Histogram comparison as a powerful tool for the search of new physics at LHC. Application to CMSSM

We propose a rigorous and effective way to compare experimental and theoretical histograms, incorporating the different sources of statistical and systematic uncertainties. This is a useful tool to extract as much information as possible from the comparison between experimental data with theoretical simulations, optimizing the chances of identifying New Physics at the LHC. We illustrate this by showing how a search in the CMSSM parameter space, using Bayesian techniques, can effectively find the correct values of the CMSSM parameters by comparing histograms of events with multijets + missing transverse momentum displayed in the effective-mass variable. The procedure is in fact very efficient to identify the true supersymmetric model, in the case supersymmetry is really there and accessible to the LHC

Bayesian approach and Naturalness in MSSM analyses for the LHC

The start of LHC has motivated an effort to determine the relative probability of the different regions of the MSSM parameter space, taking into account the present, theoretical and experimental, wisdom about the model. Since the present experimental data are not powerful enough to select a small region of the MSSM parameter space, the choice of a judicious prior probability for the parameters becomes most relevant. Previous studies have proposed theoretical priors that incorporate some (conventional) measure of the fine-tuning, to penalize unnatural possibilities. However, we show that such penalization arises from the Bayesian analysis itself (with no ad hoc assumptions), upon the marginalization of the mu-parameter. Furthermore the resulting effective prior contains precisely the Barbieri-Giudice measure, which is very satisfactory. On the other hand we carry on a rigorous treatment of the Yukawa couplings, showing in particular that the usual practice of taking the Yukawas "as required", approximately corresponds to taking logarithmically flat priors in the Yukawa couplings. Finally, we use an efficient set of variables to scan the MSSM parameter space, trading in particular B by tan beta, giving the effective prior in the new parameters. Beside the numerical results, we give accurate analytic expressions for the effective priors in all cases. Whatever experimental information one may use in the future, it is to be weighted by the Bayesian factors worked out here.Comment: LaTeX, 19 pages, 3 figure

Cotilos impactados vs. roscados no cementados: estudio radiológico post-operatorio comparativo

Se han valorado radiografías AP de pelvis obtenidas tras colocación de 102 pró- tesis no cementadas en 97 pacientes: 51 eran del tipo cótilo roscado (CR), y 51 del tipo cótilo impactado (CI). Se ha medido el ángulo de inclinación, la posición del cotilo, el grado de centraje, el grado de protrusión/extrusión, y la superficie de contacto entre cótilo y la cavidad acetabular. Globahnente los CR quedan implantados más verticalmente que los CI (p=0,006), así como más lateralizados (p=0,02). El porcentaje de cótilos bien centrados en relación al acetábulo es mayor entre los CI que entre los CR (p=0,002). Un 19% de los CR quedaron parcialmente extraídos, no llegando a contactar con el fondo de la cavidad acetabular, mientras que en ningún caso de los CI se apreció este problema. En conclusión, a pesar de la teórica ventaja de poseer una estabilidad inicial mayor, la orientación de los CR no resulta tan óptima como la obtenida con los CI, lo que asegura una estabilidad mejor a largo plazo y una menor usura del polietileno.—Post-operative anteroposterior radiographs of the pelvis in 102 patients receiving a cementless total hip arthroplasty were analyzed. In a group, a screwed spherical socket (SCR) was applied, while in other a press-fit impacted socket (IMP) was used. The following parameters were studied: inclination angle, location and centering of the acetabular component, degree of protrusion-extrusion, and porcentage of contact surface between the socket and the acetabulum. SCR sockets appeared to be placed more vertically (p=0.006), and laterally (p=0.02) than IMP prostheses. The percent of properly centered sockets was higher among IMP than among SCR implants (p=0.002). SCR prostheses were found to be partly extruded in 19% of cases while none of the IMP prostheses had this problem. In conclussion, despite the theoretical advantage of the SCR implants having a better initial fixation than the IMP implants, the latter tend to be implanted in a more optimal position, thus ensuring a better longterm stability and therefore less wear problems can be expected

Fair scans of the seesaw. Consequences for predictions on LFV processes

Usual analyses based on scans of the seesaw parameter-space can be biassed since they do not cover in a fair way the complete parameter-space. More precisely, we show that in the common "R-parametrization", many acceptable R-matrices, compatible with the perturbativity of Yukawa couplings, are normally disregarded from the beginning, which produces biasses in the results. We give a straightforward procedure to scan the space of complex R-matrices in a complete way, giving a very simple rule to incorporate the perturbativity requirement as a condition for the entries of the R-matrix, something not considered before. As a relevant application of this, we show that the extended believe that BR(mu --> e, gamma) in supersymmetric seesaw models depends strongly on the value of theta_13 is an "optical effect" produced by such biassed scans, and does not hold after a careful analytical and numerical study. When the complete scan is done, BR(mu --> e, gamma) gets very insensitive to theta_13. Moreover, the values of the branching ratio are typically larger than those quoted in the literature, due to the large number of acceptable points in the parameter-space which were not considered before. Including (unflavoured) leptogenesis does not introduce any further dependence on theta_13, although decreases the typical value of BR(mu --> e, gamma).Comment: 22 pages, 5 figure

Scavenging Behaviour of Red Deer Cervus elaphus Linnaeus, 1758 (Artiodactyla: Cervidae) in Eastern Spain

A male red deer was repeatedly observed scavenging in eastern Spain. This is the first time this behaviour of the red deer being recorded by means of camera traps. Scavenging behaviour of herbivores may have implications for wildlife biologists and managers

Flat Tree-level Inflationary Potentials in Light of CMB and LSS Data

We use cosmic microwave background and large scale structure data to test a broad and physically well-motivated class of inflationary models: those with flat tree-level potentials (typical in supersymmetry). The non-trivial features of the potential arise from radiative corrections which give a simple logarithmic dependence on the inflaton field, making the models very predictive. We also consider a modified scenario with new physics beyond a certain high-energy cut-off showing up as non-renormalizable operators (NRO) in the inflaton field. We find that both kinds of models fit remarkably well CMB and LSS data, with very few free parameters. Besides, a large part of these models naturally predict a reasonable number of e-folds. A robust feature of these scenarios is the smallness of tensor perturbations (r < 10^{-3}). The NRO case can give a sizeable running of the spectral index while achieving a sufficient number of e-folds. We use Bayesian model comparison tools to assess the relative performance of the models. We believe that these scenarios can be considered as a standard physical class of inflationary models, on a similar footing with monomial potentials.Comment: 42 LaTeX pages, 8 figure

Age and Chronodisruption in Mouse Heart: Effect of the NLRP3 Inflammasome and Melatonin Therapy

Age and age-dependent inflammation are two main risk factors for cardiovascular diseases. Aging can also affect clock gene-related impairments such as chronodisruption and has been linked to a decline in melatonin synthesis and aggravation of the NF- B/NLRP3 innate immune response known as inflammaging. The molecular drivers of these mechanisms remain unknown. This study investigated the impact of aging and NLRP3 expression on the cardiac circadian system, and the actions of melatonin as a potential therapy to restore daily rhythms by mitigating inflammaging. We analyzed the circadian expression and rhythmicity of clock genes in heart tissue of wild-type and NLRP3-knockout mice at 3, 12, and 24 months of age, with and without melatonin treatment. Our results support that aging, NLRP3 inflammasome, and melatonin affected the cardiac clock genes expression, except for Rev-erba, which was not influenced by genotype. Aging caused small phase changes in Clock, loss of rhythmicity in Per2 and Rora, and mesor dampening of Clock, Bmal1, and Per2. NLRP3 inflammasome influenced the acrophase of Clock, Per2, and Rora. Melatonin restored the acrophase and the rhythm of clock genes affected by age or NLRP3 activation. The administration of melatonin re-established murine cardiac homeostasis by reversing age-associated chronodisruption. Altogether, these results highlight new findings about the effects aging and NLRP3 inflammasome have on clock genes in cardiac tissue, pointing to continuous melatonin as a promising therapy to placate inflammaging and restore circadian rhythm in heart muscle. Additionally, light microscopy analysis showed age-related morphological impairments in cardiomyocytes, which were less severe in mice lacking NLRP3. Melatonin supplementation preserved the structure of cardiac muscle fibers in all experimental groups.Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Ministerio de Economia y Competitividad, Spain) (European Regional Development Fund/European Social Fund "Investing in your future") PI13-981 PI16-00519 PI19-01372 CB16-10-00238 CB16/10/00239Junta de Andalucia CTS-101Spanish Governmen