Healthcare expenditure prediction with neighbourhood variables:A random forest model

We investigated the additional predictive value of an individual’s neighbourhood (quality and location), and of changes therein on his/her healthcare costs. To this end, we combined several Dutch nationwide data sources from 2003 to 2014, and selected inhabitants who moved in 2010. We used random forest models to predict the area under the curve of the regular healthcare costs of individuals in the years 2011–2014. In our analyses, the quality of the neighbourhood before the move appeared to be quite important in predicting healthcare costs (i.e. importance rank 11 out of 126 socio-demographic and neighbourhood variables; rank 73 out of 261 in the full model with prior expenditure and medication). The predictive performance of the models was evaluated in terms of R2 (or proportion of explained variance) and MAE (mean absolute (prediction) error). The model containing only socio-demographic information improved marginally when neighbourhood was added (R2 +0.8%, MAE −€5). The full model remained the same for the study population (R2 = 48.8%, MAE of €1556) and for subpopulations. These results indicate that only in prediction models in which prior expenditure and utilization cannot or ought not to be used neighbourhood might be an interesting source of information to improve predictive performance

Systems approaches to innovation in pest management: reflections and lessons learned from an integrated research program on parasitic weeds in rice

This paper provides a retrospective look at a systems-oriented research program, on the increasing occurrence of parasitic weeds in rainfed rice in sub-Saharan Africa, to qualitatively assess merits and identify challenges of such approach. We gained a broad contextual overview of the problem and different stakeholders' roles, which enabled identification of entry points for innovations in parasitic weed management. At the crop level parasitic weed infestation is associated with poor soil fertility and water management. Farmers' infrequent use of inputs to control them was caused by various factors, ranging from fears of undesired side effects (agronomic) to a lack of quality control of products (institutional). Furthermore, there may be enough extension agents, but they lack the required training on (parasitic) weed management to provide farmers with advice, while their organizations do not provide them with the necessary means for farm visits. At even higher organizational levels we observed a lack of coherent policies on parasitic weed control and implementation of them. Merits and challenges of an integrated multi-stakeholder and multi-level research project are discussed

Contralateral hearing loss in children with a unilateral enlarged vestibular aqueduct

Objective: To evaluate the long-term ipsi- and contralateral hearing of patients with a unilateral enlarged vestibular aqueduct (EVA). Study design: Multicenter retrospective cohort study. Setting: Three tertiary otology and audiology referral centers. Patients and diagnostic interventions: A total of 34 children with a unilateral enlarged vestibular aqueduct as identified on CT and/or MR imaging were evaluated with pure tone and speech perception audiometry. Mean outcome measures: Radiologic measurements of the vestibular aqueduct, ipsi- and contralateral hearing loss, ipsi- and contralateral hearing loss progression over time and DNA test results. Results: All patients in this cohort with unilateral EVA presented with hearing loss. Hearing loss was progressive in 38% of the ipsilateral ears. In 29% of the children, hearing loss was also found in the contralateral ear without EVA. In 90%, the contralateral hearing was stable, with a mean follow up of 4.2 years. We found a significant correlation between the severity of the hearing loss and the size of the EVA. A genetic diagnosis associated with EVA and/or SNHL was found in only 7%. Conclusion: About a third of the children with unilateral EVA are at risk of developing hearing loss in the contralateral ear. This indicates that at least in some patients with a unilateral EVA, a bilateral pathogenic process underlies the hearing loss, in contrary to what the imaging results suggest. These findings are important for counseling of EVA patients and their parents and have implications for follow up.Neuro Imaging Researc

Incidence and clinical value of prolonged I–V interval in NICU infants after failing neonatal hearing screening

Infants admitted to neonatal intensive care units (NICUs) have a higher incidence of perinatal complications and delayed maturational processes. Parameters of the auditory brainstem response (ABR) were analyzed to study the prevalence of delayed auditory maturation or neural pathology. The prevalence of prolonged I–V interval as a measure of delayed maturation and the correlation with ABR thresholds were investigated. All infants admitted to the NICU Sophia Children’s Hospital between 2004 and 2009 who had been referred for ABR measurement after failing neonatal hearing screening with automated auditory brainstem response (AABR) were included. The ABR parameters were retrospectively analyzed. Between 2004 and 2009, 103 infants were included: 46 girls and 57 boys. In 58.3% (60 infants) of our population, the I–V interval was recordable in at least one ear at first diagnostic ABR measurement. In 4.9%, the I–V interval was severely prolonged. The median ABR threshold of infants with a normal or mildly prolonged I–V interval was 50 dB. The median ABR threshold of infants with a severely prolonged I–V interval was 30 dB. In conclusion, in case both peak I and V were measurable, we found only a limited (4.9%) incidence of severely prolonged I–V interval (≥0.8 ms) in this high-risk NICU population. A mild delay in maturation is a more probable explanation than major audiologic or neural pathology, as ABR thresholds were near normal in these infants

Magnetic resonance imaging in patients with meningitis induced hearing loss

The aim of this multicentre study was to compare T1 with T2 weighted MRI scans of the labyrinth after meningitis and to investigate whether waiting with scanning improved the reliability of diagnosing an ongoing process such as cochlear osteogenesis. Forty-five patients were included who suffered from meningitis induced hearing loss (radiological imaging <1 year after meningitis). Twenty-one gadolinium enhanced T1 and 45 T2 weighted MRI scans were scored by two radiologists regarding the condition of the labyrinth. These radiological observations were compared with the condition of the cochlea as described during cochlear implantation. A higher percentage of agreement with surgery was found for T2 (both radiologists 73%) than for T1 weighted MRI scans (radiologist 1: 62%, radiologist 2: 67%), but this difference is not significant. There was no significant difference between early (0–3 months) and late (>3 months) scanning, showing that radiological imaging soon after meningitis allows early diagnosis without suffering from a lower agreement with surgical findings

PIN71 QUALITY OF LIFE (QOL) AND OTHER ENDPOINTS COMPARISON IN THE TREATMENT OF FACIAL LIPOATROPHY WITH INJECTION OF POLY-L-LACTIC ACID

Context: Longitudinal data on bone mineral density(BMD) in children and adolescents with Prader-Willi Syndrome (PWS) during long-term GH treatment are not available. Objective: This study aimed to determine effects of long-term GH treatment and puberty on BMD of total body (BMDTB), lumbar spine (BMDLS), and bone mineral apparent density of the lumbar spine (BMAD(LS)) in children with PWS. Design and Setting: This was a prospective longitudinal study of a Dutch PWS cohort. Participants: Seventy-seven children with PWS who remained prepubertal during GH treatment for 4 years and 64 children with PWS who received GH treatment for 9 years participated in the study. Intervention: The children received GH treatment, 1 mg/m(2)/day (congruent to 0.035 mg/kg/d). Main Outcome Measures: BMDTB, BMDLS, and BMAD(LS) was measured by using the same dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry machine for all annual measurements. Results: In the prepubertal group, BMDTB standard deviation score (SDS) and BMDLSSDS significantly increased during 4 years of GH treatment whereas BMAD(LS)SDS remained stable. During adolescence, BMDTBSDS and BMAD(LS)SDS decreased significantly, in girls from the age of 11 years and in boys from the ages of 14 and 16 years, respectively, but all BMD parameters remained within the normal range. Higher Tanner stages tended to be associated with lower BMDTBSDS (P = .083) and a significantly lowerBMAD(LS)SDS (P = .016). After 9 years of GH treatment, lean body mass SDS was the most powerful predictor of BMDTBSDS and BMDLSSDS in adolescents with PWS. Conclusions: This long-term GH study demonstrates that BMDTB, BMDLS, and BMAD(LS) remain stable in prepubertal children with PWS but decreases during adolescence, parallel to incomplete pubertal development. Based on our findings, clinicians should start sex hormone therapy from the age of 11 years in girls and 14 years in boys unless there is a normal progression of puberty

Interobserver reliability and diagnostic performance of Chiari II malformation measures in MR imaging—part 2

PURPOSE: Brain MR imaging is essential in the assessment of Chiari II malformation in clinical and research settings concerning spina bifida. However, the interpretation of MR images of the malformation is not always straightforward. Morphometric analyses of the extent of Chiari II malformation may improve the assessment. In an attempt to select appropriate morphometric measures for this purpose, we investigated the interobserver reliability and diagnostic performance of several morphometric measures of Chiari II malformation on MR images. METHODS: Brain MR images of 79 children [26 with open spinal dysraphism, 17 with closed spinal dysraphism, and 36 without spinal dysraphism; mean age 10.6 (SD 3.2; range, 6-16) years] were evaluated. All children had been assessed for Chiari II malformation (defined as cerebellar herniation in combination with open spinal dysraphism; n = 23). Three observers blindly and independently reviewed the MR images for 21 measures of the cerebellum, brainstem, and posterior fossa in three planes. The interobserver reliability was assessed by an agreement index (AI = 1 - RRE) and the diagnostic performance by receiver operating characteristic analyses. RESULTS: Reliability was good for most measures, except for the degree of herniation of the vermis and tonsil. Most values differed statistically significantly between children with and without Chiari II malformation. The measures mamillopontine distance and cerebellar width showed excellent diagnostic performance. CONCLUSIONS: Morphometric measures may reliably quantify the morphological distortions of Chiari II malformation on MR images and provide additional tools to assess the severity of Chiari II malformation in clinical and research settings

Neuropsychological assessment of attention in children with spina bifida

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Children with the severe form of spina bifida (SBM: spina bifida with myelomeningocele with accompanying hydrocephalus) may manifest attention deficits, and have a similar psychological profile to children with hydrocephalus due to other etiologies. It is unclear to what extent tests to assess attention in SBM are confounded by the accompanying cognitive or visual-motor impairments. The aim of this study was to analyse attention functions by administering two different types of attention tests, one with high and the other with low cognitive and motor requirements. This enabled the possible interaction between attention and cognitive and motor impairment to be assessed.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>The study group comprised 31 children with SBM with shunted hydrocephalus. Twenty children with SB-only formed a closely matched comparison group. Of these, 19 children with SBM and 18 with SB had a full-scale IQ (FSIQ) higher than 70. All had undergone spinal surgery and all children with SBM had been shunted within the first months of life. Between 6 and 15 years of age, the children were assessed on focused and sustained attention, encoding, and distractibility/impulsivity, using both traditional tests and computerized attention tests.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Compared to the SB group, attention scores of children with SBM were lower on the traditional tests, but when interfering cognitive and visual-motor requirements were eliminated using the computerised tasks, most differences disappeared. Furthermore, in contrast to traditional attention tasks, computerized tests showed no significant correlations with IQ-scores and visual-motor skills.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Assessment of attention functions in children with SBM by traditional tests may be misleading, because this paediatric population with complex cerebral malformations has difficulty with the cognitive and visual-motor requirements. To control for these interactions, the use of both traditional and computerized attention tests is recommended.</p

Walk to me when I smile, step back when I’m angry: emotional faces modulate whole-body approach–avoidance behaviors

Facial expressions are potent social cues that can induce behavioral dispositions, such as approach–avoidance tendencies. We studied these tendencies by asking participants to make whole-body forward (approach) or backward (avoidance) steps on a force plate in response to the valence of social cues (happy or angry faces) under affect-congruent and incongruent mappings. Posturographic parameters of the steps related to automatic stimulus evaluation, step initiation (reaction time), and step execution were determined and analyzed as a function of stimulus valence and stimulus–response mapping. The main result was that participants needed more time to initiate a forward step towards an angry face than towards a smiling face (which is evidence of a congruency effect), but with backward steps, this difference failed to reach significance. We also found a reduction in spontaneous body sway prior to the step with the incongruent mapping. The results provide a crucial empirical link between theories of socially induced action tendencies and theories of postural control and suggest a motoric basis for socially guided motivated behavior