Microsimulation analysis of informal labour markets in developing countries

This PhD thesis addresses one of the most pressing problems in developing countries: labour informality. The overall objective of the thesis is to illustrate the capacity of microsimulation techniques to analyse a broad range of topics related to this problem. To highlight the potential of the methodology we pose a motivating question: what are the barriers that informal workers face to becoming formal? Job contact networks and workers’ social insurance contributions are analysed alongside other usual suspects such as the lack of human capital. The first chapter proposes a tax-benefit microsimulation exercise for Ecuador and Colombia in which we move informal workers to the formal sector. We found that a considerably high proportion of formalization income gains would be taxed away in both countries. The second chapter presents different behavioural models built on the static tax-benefit model for Colombia and considers labour supply responses and job availability constraints. A simulation exercise of pro-formality policies results in a modest to null effect on the composition of the pool of workers between the formal and informal sectors. Lastly, the third chapter presents an agent-based macroeconomic model with an informal sector that introduces the formation of job contacts on the job as a novel feature. After estimating several of the parameters for the Colombian labour market, our exploratory exercise indicates that a high degree of sectoral homophily in contact networks does not seem to contribute to labour market segmentation because the current propensity to use contacts for job search is not relatively high

Protección económica para la vejez en Colombia

Although interfamily and intergeneration solidarity is still a strategy frequently used in Colombian households, adequacy and stability of income for elderly should be guaranteed, mainly through pension payments. This article reviews the main programmes and mechanisms within the Colombian legislation that meet the needs of the aged population’s income, verifying in a descriptive way whether or not those are adequate and sufficient. The challenge for the country would be to reach an appropriate pension coverage for the growing elderly population in quantitative and qualitative terms. Finally, some policy suggestions are presentedSi bien la solidaridad intrafamiliar e intergeneracional es todavía una estrategia utilizada con frecuencia en Colombia, la suficiencia y estabilidad de los ingresos en la vejez deberían ser garantizadas principalmente por el pago de una pensión. Este artículo tiene como propósito primordial hacer una reseña de los principales mecanismos y programas contemplados en la legislación colombiana para atender las necesidades de ingreso de la población adulta mayor y verificar de forma descriptiva si pueden considerarse adecuados y suficientes. Del análisis se deriva que alcanzar una cobertura pensional cuantitativamente suficiente y cualitativamente adecuada para la creciente población adulta mayor representa un gran reto para el país. Al respecto, se contemplan algunas sugerencias de política

Técnicas de recogida de información y elaboración de documentos técnicos utilizados en la formación del estudiantado

El proyecto se concibe como una herramienta didáctica para facilitar al profesorado de la Facultad de Trabajo Social su actividad pedagógica en el aula. Para ello, hemos elaborado un CD que contiene material audiovisual y documentos técnicos profesionales utilizados por los/las trabajadores/as sociales. Este material servirá para realizar la valoración social del caso y el proyecto de intervención social

Desafíos en ciencia, tecnología e innovación en tiempo de Coronavirus Covid-19

El objetivo del presente estudio consistió en determinar el impacto de actividad física en la percepción de bienestar y salud en adolescentes, durante el periodo de confinamiento condicionado por la pandemia COVID-19. Se realizó un estudio observacional-longitudinal. N = 50 participantes (28 mujeres, 22 hombres; edad X = 15.12), quienes llevaron a cabo un programa de actividad física diseñado para espacios pequeños, además de realizar un pre y post-test. Los resultados muestran que hubo una mejora en la percepción de bienestar y salud después del periodo de actividad física (p=.05). Se concluye que, en la población de estudio, el programa de actividad física en espacios pequeños fue efectivo en la mejora de la percepción del bienestar y la salud

INNOVA Research Journal

El (Censos, 2016) (INEC), en su encuesta nacional de empleo, desempleo y subempleo en el Ecuador, de marzo de 2016, informó que el 68,6% de las personas en edad de trabajar se considera económicamente activo; de éstos, el 94,3% se consideran con empleo, el 5,7% no cuenta con empleo formal o independiente. De las personas en edad de trabajar 31,4% forman parte de la población económicamente inactiva. El emprendimiento se presenta como una solución que permite generar empleo. A la luz de nuevas investigaciones sobre el consumo de carnes y productos procesados. Está evolucionando las percepciones de la población y se están modificando sus hábitos. Se cuestionan más sobre los efectos en su salud y sobre el impacto ambiental, es mayor la demanda de productos en cuya elaboración se genere un menor nivel de impacto ambiental. Siendo la responsabilidad ambiental, un factor que a las empresas competitivas globales y locales las ha llevado no sólo a cumplir con las disposiciones legales, sino a crear ventajas competitivas a partir de la promoción del trabajo realizado en favor de la protección del medio ambiente. El fomento de emprendimientos con responsabilidad ambiental, mediante el uso de fibras sintéticas y pieles artificiales ayudará a generar herramientas para incrementar el empleo, generando valor con responsabilidad ambiental

Clustering COVID-19 ARDS patients through the first days of ICU admission. An analysis of the CIBERESUCICOVID Cohort

Background Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) can be classified into sub-phenotypes according to different inflammatory/clinical status. Prognostic enrichment was achieved by grouping patients into hypoinflammatory or hyperinflammatory sub-phenotypes, even though the time of analysis may change the classification according to treatment response or disease evolution. We aimed to evaluate when patients can be clustered in more than 1 group, and how they may change the clustering of patients using data of baseline or day 3, and the prognosis of patients according to their evolution by changing or not the cluster.Methods Multicenter, observational prospective, and retrospective study of patients admitted due to ARDS related to COVID-19 infection in Spain. Patients were grouped according to a clustering mixed-type data algorithm (k-prototypes) using continuous and categorical readily available variables at baseline and day 3.Results Of 6205 patients, 3743 (60%) were included in the study. According to silhouette analysis, patients were grouped in two clusters. At baseline, 1402 (37%) patients were included in cluster 1 and 2341(63%) in cluster 2. On day 3, 1557(42%) patients were included in cluster 1 and 2086 (57%) in cluster 2. The patients included in cluster 2 were older and more frequently hypertensive and had a higher prevalence of shock, organ dysfunction, inflammatory biomarkers, and worst respiratory indexes at both time points. The 90-day mortality was higher in cluster 2 at both clustering processes (43.8% [n = 1025] versus 27.3% [n = 383] at baseline, and 49% [n = 1023] versus 20.6% [n = 321] on day 3). Four hundred and fifty-eight (33%) patients clustered in the first group were clustered in the second group on day 3. In contrast, 638 (27%) patients clustered in the second group were clustered in the first group on day 3.Conclusions During the first days, patients can be clustered into two groups and the process of clustering patients may change as they continue to evolve. This means that despite a vast majority of patients remaining in the same cluster, a minority reaching 33% of patients analyzed may be re-categorized into different clusters based on their progress. Such changes can significantly impact their prognosis

The evolution of the ventilatory ratio is a prognostic factor in mechanically ventilated COVID-19 ARDS patients

Background: Mortality due to COVID-19 is high, especially in patients requiring mechanical ventilation. The purpose of the study is to investigate associations between mortality and variables measured during the first three days of mechanical ventilation in patients with COVID-19 intubated at ICU admission. Methods: Multicenter, observational, cohort study includes consecutive patients with COVID-19 admitted to 44 Spanish ICUs between February 25 and July 31, 2020, who required intubation at ICU admission and mechanical ventilation for more than three days. We collected demographic and clinical data prior to admission; information about clinical evolution at days 1 and 3 of mechanical ventilation; and outcomes. Results: Of the 2,095 patients with COVID-19 admitted to the ICU, 1,118 (53.3%) were intubated at day 1 and remained under mechanical ventilation at day three. From days 1 to 3, PaO2/FiO2 increased from 115.6 [80.0-171.2] to 180.0 [135.4-227.9] mmHg and the ventilatory ratio from 1.73 [1.33-2.25] to 1.96 [1.61-2.40]. In-hospital mortality was 38.7%. A higher increase between ICU admission and day 3 in the ventilatory ratio (OR 1.04 [CI 1.01-1.07], p = 0.030) and creatinine levels (OR 1.05 [CI 1.01-1.09], p = 0.005) and a lower increase in platelet counts (OR 0.96 [CI 0.93-1.00], p = 0.037) were independently associated with a higher risk of death. No association between mortality and the PaO2/FiO2 variation was observed (OR 0.99 [CI 0.95 to 1.02], p = 0.47). Conclusions: Higher ventilatory ratio and its increase at day 3 is associated with mortality in patients with COVID-19 receiving mechanical ventilation at ICU admission. No association was found in the PaO2/FiO2 variation

Amor, empatía y conductas prosociales: una reflexión interdisciplinaria

This book presents, through reflection, the relevance, timeliness and necessity of love, empathy and prosocial behaviors within the framework of the professional and disciplinary work of the authors. The reader will be able to find here what these professionals, academics and intellectuals think and feel about it. Let the reader know that it was not a simple writing project, maybe because of the invitation to think about oneself, maybe because of the presence of the concept of "love" in the academy, or maybe, because we are not so accustomed to putting in the first person the reflection turned from what we relate to day by day. May this text be the excuse to continue to reflect on the role of love, empathy and prosocial behavior in a world that sometimes shows great desolation. May these unknotted reflections allow us to understand and resignify, learn and continue.PublishedEste libro expone, por la vía de la reflexión, la pertinencia, actualidad y necesidad del amor, la empatía y las conductas prosociales en el marco del quehacer profesional y disciplinar de los autores. El lector podrá encontrar aquí lo que esos profesionales, académicos e intelectuales piensan y sienten al respecto. Sepa el lector que no fue un proyecto de escritura sencillo, quizá por la invitación a pensar sobre sí, quizá por la presencia del concepto “amor” en la academia, o quizá, simplemente, porque no estamos tan acostumbrados a poner en primera persona la reflexión devenida de aquello con lo que día a día nos relacionamos. Que sea este texto la excusa para continuar reflexionando sobre el papel del amor, la empatía y las conductas prosociales en un mundo que a veces muestra gran desolación. Que estas reflexiones des-anudadas permitan comprender y resignificar, aprender y continuar

EDUCACIÓN AMBIENTAL Y SOCIEDAD. SABERES LOCALES PARA EL DESARROLLO Y LA SUSTENTABILIDAD

Este texto contribuye al análisis científico de varias áreas del conocimiento como la filosofía social, la patología, la educación para el cuidado del medio ambiente y la sustentabilidad que inciden en diversas unidades de aprendizaje de la Licenciatura en Educación para la Salud y de la Maestría en Sociología de la SaludLas comunidades indígenas de la sierra norte de Oaxaca México, habitan un territorio extenso de biodiversidad. Sin que sea una área protegida y sustentable, la propia naturaleza de la región ofrece a sus visitantes la riqueza de la vegetación caracterizada por sus especies endémicas que componen un paisaje de suma belleza

All-cause mortality in the cohorts of the Spanish AIDS Research Network (RIS) compared with the general population: 1997Ł2010

Abstract Background: Combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) has produced significant changes in mortality of HIVinfected persons. Our objective was to estimate mortality rates, standardized mortality ratios and excess mortality rates of cohorts of the AIDS Research Network (RIS) (CoRIS-MD and CoRIS) compared to the general population. Methods: We analysed data of CoRIS-MD and CoRIS cohorts from 1997 to 2010. We calculated: (i) all-cause mortality rates, (ii) standardized mortality ratio (SMR) and (iii) excess mortality rates for both cohort for 100 personyears (py) of follow-up, comparing all-cause mortality with that of the general population of similar age and gender. Results: Between 1997 and 2010, 8,214 HIV positive subjects were included, 2,453 (29.9%) in CoRIS-MD and 5,761 (70.1%) in CoRIS and 294 deaths were registered. All-cause mortality rate was 1.02 (95% CI 0.91-1.15) per 100 py, SMR was 6.8 (95% CI 5.9-7.9) and excess mortality rate was 0.8 (95% CI 0.7-0.9) per 100 py. Mortality was higher in patients with AIDS, hepatitis C virus (HCV) co-infection, and those from CoRIS-MD cohort (1997. Conclusion: Mortality among HIV-positive persons remains higher than that of the general population of similar age and sex, with significant differences depending on the history of AIDS or HCV coinfection