Análise da recente alta internacional dos preços das commodities alimentares: previsão e mudança estrutural.

Este artigo tem como objetivo analisar a alta observada entre 2007 e 2011 nos preços das commodities de alimentação em âmbito internacional, tendo como motivação os efeitos prejudiciais que a elevação dos preços desse tipo de produto causa à segurança alimentar mundial. Por meio do método de Box e Jenkins (1976), busca-se estudar o comportamento dos preços nos meses que completam o ano de 2011 e, utilizando-se a análise de quebra estrutural, procura-se comprovar a quebra estrutural no período de maior alta. O estudo permite verificar que existe uma tendência de alta nos preços dos alimentos e de mudança estrutural na base de formação deles, evidenciando a necessidade de políticas públicas, em âmbito internacional, que assistam ao problema

Global patient outcomes after elective surgery: prospective cohort study in 27 low-, middle- and high-income countries.

BACKGROUND: As global initiatives increase patient access to surgical treatments, there remains a need to understand the adverse effects of surgery and define appropriate levels of perioperative care. METHODS: We designed a prospective international 7-day cohort study of outcomes following elective adult inpatient surgery in 27 countries. The primary outcome was in-hospital complications. Secondary outcomes were death following a complication (failure to rescue) and death in hospital. Process measures were admission to critical care immediately after surgery or to treat a complication and duration of hospital stay. A single definition of critical care was used for all countries. RESULTS: A total of 474 hospitals in 19 high-, 7 middle- and 1 low-income country were included in the primary analysis. Data included 44 814 patients with a median hospital stay of 4 (range 2-7) days. A total of 7508 patients (16.8%) developed one or more postoperative complication and 207 died (0.5%). The overall mortality among patients who developed complications was 2.8%. Mortality following complications ranged from 2.4% for pulmonary embolism to 43.9% for cardiac arrest. A total of 4360 (9.7%) patients were admitted to a critical care unit as routine immediately after surgery, of whom 2198 (50.4%) developed a complication, with 105 (2.4%) deaths. A total of 1233 patients (16.4%) were admitted to a critical care unit to treat complications, with 119 (9.7%) deaths. Despite lower baseline risk, outcomes were similar in low- and middle-income compared with high-income countries. CONCLUSIONS: Poor patient outcomes are common after inpatient surgery. Global initiatives to increase access to surgical treatments should also address the need for safe perioperative care. STUDY REGISTRATION: ISRCTN5181700

Emergency Department and Out-of-Hospital Emergency System (112-AREU 118) integrated response to Coronavirus Disease 2019 in a Northern Italy centre

Since December 2019, the world has been facing the life-threatening disease, named Coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19), recognized as a pandemic by the World Health Organization. The response of the Emergency Medicine network, integrating "out-of-hospital" and "hospital" activation, is crucial whenever the health system has to face a medical emergency, being caused by natural or human-derived disasters as well as by a rapidly spreading epidemic outbreak. We here report the Pavia Emergency Medicine network response to the COVID-19 outbreak. The "out-of-hospital" response was analysed in terms of calls, rescues and missions, whereas the "hospital" response was detailed as number of admitted patients and subsequent hospitalisation or discharge. The data in the first 5 weeks of the Covid-19 outbreak (February 21-March 26, 2020) were compared with a reference time window referring to the previous 5 weeks (January 17-February 20, 2020) and with the corresponding historical average data from the previous 5 years (February 21-March 26). Since February 21, 2020, a sudden and sustained increase in the calls to the AREU 112 system was noted (+\u2009440%). After 5 weeks, the number of calls and missions was still higher as compared to both the reference pre-Covid-19 period (+\u200948% and\u2009+\u200910%, respectively) and the historical control (+\u200953% and\u2009+\u200922%, respectively). Owing to the overflow from the neighbouring hospitals, which rapidly became overwhelmed and had to temporarily close patient access, the population served by the Pavia system more than doubled (from 547.251 to 1.135.977 inhabitants,\u2009+\u2009108%). To minimize the possibility of intra-hospital spreading of the infection, a separate "Emergency Department-Infective Disease" was created, which evaluated 1241 patients with suspected infection (38% of total ED admissions). Out of these 1241 patients, 58.0% (n\u2009=\u2009720) were admitted in general wards (n\u2009=\u2009629) or intensive care unit (n\u2009=\u200991). To allow this massive number of admissions, the hospital reshaped many general ward Units, which became Covid-19 Units (up to 270 beds) and increased the intensive care unit beds from 32 to 60. In the setting of a long-standing continuing emergency like the present Covid-19 outbreak, the integration, interaction and team work of the "out-of-hospital" and "in-hospital" systems have a pivotal role. The present study reports how the rapid and coordinated reorganization of both might help in facing such a disaster. AREU-112 and the Emergency Department should be ready to finely tune their usual cooperation to respond to a sudden and overwhelming increase in the healthcare needs brought about by a pandemia like the current one. This lesson should shape and reinforce the future

The diploid nature of the Chilean Epipetrum and a new base number in the Dioscoreaceae

13 páginas.Chromosomal analyses were conducted for the first time in all three species of the Chilean endemic Epipetrum Phil. (Dioscoreaceae; the yam family). Mitotic chromosome counts showed that all studied individuals of the rare Epipetrum bilobum and E. polyanthes, and most studied individuals of the more widespread E. humile, had 2n = 14 chromosomes. However, two populations of E. humile had 2n = 28 chromosomes. The ideograms shared a similar karyotype constitution for the three species but with a duplicated chromosome number in some populations of E. humile. Our results suggest that the Epipetrum taxa are mainly diploids, with a base number of x = 7, and the tetraploid cytotypes have arisen only in few cases. After that of Borderea (x = 6), this chromosome base number is the second lowest one found in the Dioscoreaceae. Epipetrum and Borderea are two small, relict, satellite genera of the Dioscoreaceae, endemic to Chile (South America) and the Pyrenees (Southwestern Europe), respectively. The two taxa share several morphological attributes and are adapted to rocky and mountain habitats. However, whereas Borderea is an allotetra-ploid genus of relatively recent hybrid origin, Epipetrum is diploid in common with the species found in the early branching clades of Dioscorea.Peer reviewe

Tocilizumab for treatment of severe covid-19 patients: Preliminary results from smatteo covid19 registry (smacore)

Objective: This study aimed to assess the role of Tocilizumab therapy (TCZ) in terms of ICU admission and mortality rate of critically ill patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia. Design: Patients with COVID-19 pneumonia were prospectively enrolled in SMAtteo COvid19 REgistry (SMACORE). A retrospective analysis of patients treated with TCZ matched using propensity score to patients treated with Standard Of Care (SOC) was conducted. Setting: The study was conducted at IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo Hospital, Pavia, Italy, from March 14, 2020 to March 27, 2020. Participants: Patients with a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 hospitalized in our institution at the time of TCZ availability. Interventions: TCZ was administered to 21 patients. The first administration was 8 mg/kg (up to a maximum 800 mg per dose) of Tocilizumab intravenously, repeated after 12 h if no side effects were reported after the first dose. Main Outcomes and Measures: ICU admission and 7-day mortality rate. Secondary outcomes included clinical and laboratory data. Results: There were 112 patients evaluated (82 were male and 30 were female, with a median age of 63.55 years). Using propensity scores, the 21 patients who received TCZ were matched to 21 patients who received SOC (a combination of hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin and prophylactic dose of low weight heparin). No adverse event was detected following TCZ administration. This study found that treatment with TCZ did not significantly affect ICU admission (OR 0.11; 95% CI between 0.00 and 3.38; p = 0.22) or 7-day mortality rate (OR 0.78; 95% CI between 0.06 and 9.34; p = 0.84) when compared with SOC. Analysis of laboratory measures showed significant interactions between time and treatment regarding C-Reactive Protein (CRP), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), platelets and international normalized ratio (INR) levels. Variation in lymphocytes count was observed over time, irrespective of treatment. Conclusions: TCZ administration did not reduce ICU admission or mortality rate in a cohort of 21 patients. Additional data are needed to understand the effect(s) of TCZ in treating patients diagnosed with COVID-19