Clinical, virological, and biological parameters associated with outcomes of Ebola virus infection in Macenta, Guinea

International audienceBACKGROUND. The pathogenesis of Ebola virus (EBOV) disease (EVD) is poorly characterized. The establishment of well-equipped diagnostic laboratories close to Ebola treatment centers (ETCs) has made it possible to obtain relevant virological and biological data during the course of EVD and to assess their association with the clinical course and different outcomes of the disease. METHODS. We were responsible for diagnosing EBOV infection in patients admitted to two ETCs in forested areas of Guinea. The pattern of clinical signs was recorded, and an etiological diagnosis was established by RT-PCR for EBOV infection or a rapid test for malaria and typhoid fever. Biochemical analyses were also performed. RESULTS. We handled samples from 168 patients between November 29, 2014, and January 31, 2015; 97 patients were found to be infected with EBOV, with Plasmodium falciparum coinfection in 18%. Overall mortality for EVD cases was 58%, rising to 86% if P. falciparum was also present. Viral load was higher in fatal cases of EVD than in survivors, and fatal cases were associated with higher aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT), C-reactive protein (CRP), and IL-6 levels. Furthermore, regardless of outcome, EVD was characterized by higher creatine kinase (CPK), amylase, and creatinine levels than in febrile patients without EVD, with higher blood urea nitrogen (BUN) levels in fatal cases of EVD only. CONCLUSION. These findings suggest that a high viral load at admission is a marker of poor EVD prognosis. In addition, high AST, ALT, CRP, and IL-6 levels are associated with a fatal outcome of EVD. Damage to the liver and other tissues, with massive rhabdomyolysis and, probably, acute pancreatitis, is associated with EVD and correlated with disease severity. Finally, biochemical analyses provide substantial added value at ETCs, making it possible to improve supportive rehydration and symptomatic care for patients. FUNDING. The French Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Agence Française de Développement, and Institut Pasteur

Correction: Experimental Treatment with Favipiravir for Ebola Virus Disease (the JIKI Trial): A Historically Controlled, Single-Arm Proof-of-Concept Trial in Guinea.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001967.]

Experimental treatment with Favipiravir for Ebola Virus Disease (the JIKI Trial) : a historically controlled, single-arm proof-of-concept trial in Guinea

BACKGROUND:Ebola virus disease (EVD) is a highly lethal condition for which no specific treatment has proven efficacy. In September 2014, while the Ebola outbreak was at its peak, the World Health Organization released a short list of drugs suitable for EVD research. Favipiravir, an antiviral developed for the treatment of severe influenza, was one of these. In late 2014, the conditions for starting a randomized Ebola trial were not fulfilled for two reasons. One was the perception that, given the high number of patients presenting simultaneously and the very high mortality rate of the disease, it was ethically unacceptable to allocate patients from within the same family or village to receive or not receive an experimental drug, using a randomization process impossible to understand by very sick patients. The other was that, in the context of rumors and distrust of Ebola treatment centers, using a randomized design at the outset might lead even more patients to refuse to seek care. Therefore, we chose to conduct a multicenter non-randomized trial, in which all patients would receive favipiravir along with standardized care. The objectives of the trial were to test the feasibility and acceptability of an emergency trial in the context of a large Ebola outbreak, and to collect data on the safety and effectiveness of favipiravir in reducing mortality and viral load in patients with EVD. The trial was not aimed at directly informing future guidelines on Ebola treatment but at quickly gathering standardized preliminary data to optimize the design of future studies.METHODS AND FINDINGS:Inclusion criteria were positive Ebola virus reverse transcription PCR (RT-PCR) test, age ≥ 1 y, weight ≥ 10 kg, ability to take oral drugs, and informed consent. All participants received oral favipiravir (day 0: 6,000 mg; day 1 to day 9: 2,400 mg/d). Semi-quantitative Ebola virus RT-PCR (results expressed in "cycle threshold" [Ct]) and biochemistry tests were performed at day 0, day 2, day 4, end of symptoms, day 14, and day 30. Frozen samples were shipped to a reference biosafety level 4 laboratory for RNA viral load measurement using a quantitative reference technique (genome copies/milliliter). Outcomes were mortality, viral load evolution, and adverse events. The analysis was stratified by age and Ct value. A "target value" of mortality was defined a priori for each stratum, to guide the interpretation of interim and final analysis. Between 17 December 2014 and 8 April 2015, 126 patients were included, of whom 111 were analyzed (adults and adolescents, ≥13 y, n = 99; young children, ≤6 y, n = 12). Here we present the results obtained in the 99 adults and adolescents. Of these, 55 had a baseline Ct value ≥ 20 (Group A Ct ≥ 20), and 44 had a baseline Ct value < 20 (Group A Ct < 20). Ct values and RNA viral loads were well correlated, with Ct = 20 corresponding to RNA viral load = 7.7 log10 genome copies/ml. Mortality was 20% (95% CI 11.6%-32.4%) in Group A Ct ≥ 20 and 91% (95% CI 78.8%-91.1%) in Group A Ct < 20. Both mortality 95% CIs included the predefined target value (30% and 85%, respectively). Baseline serum creatinine was ≥110 μmol/l in 48% of patients in Group A Ct ≥ 20 (≥300 μmol/l in 14%) and in 90% of patients in Group A Ct < 20 (≥300 μmol/l in 44%). In Group A Ct ≥ 20, 17% of patients with baseline creatinine ≥110 μmol/l died, versus 97% in Group A Ct < 20. In patients who survived, the mean decrease in viral load was 0.33 log10 copies/ml per day of follow-up. RNA viral load values and mortality were not significantly different between adults starting favipiravir within <72 h of symptoms compared to others. Favipiravir was well tolerated.CONCLUSIONS:In the context of an outbreak at its peak, with crowded care centers, randomizing patients to receive either standard care or standard care plus an experimental drug was not felt to be appropriate. We did a non-randomized trial. This trial reaches nuanced conclusions. On the one hand, we do not conclude on the efficacy of the drug, and our conclusions on tolerance, although encouraging, are not as firm as they could have been if we had used randomization. On the other hand, we learned about how to quickly set up and run an Ebola trial, in close relationship with the community and non-governmental organizations; we integrated research into care so that it improved care; and we generated knowledge on EVD that is useful to further research. Our data illustrate the frequency of renal dysfunction and the powerful prognostic value of low Ct values. They suggest that drug trials in EVD should systematically stratify analyses by baseline Ct value, as a surrogate of viral load. They also suggest that favipiravir monotherapy merits further study in patients with medium to high viremia, but not in those with very high viremia.TRIAL REGISTRATION:ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02329054.Evaluation of the efficacy and of the antiviral activity of T-705 (favipiravir) duringEbola virus infection in non-human primates humansEbola Virus Disease - correlates of protection, determinants of outcome, and clinical managemen

JIKI trial: correlation between EBOV RT-PCR Ct value and RNA viral load at baseline in adolescents and adults.

<p>The black line represents the regression line. The Spearman rank correlation coefficient was 0.88 (<i>p</i> < 0.001). A baseline Ct value of 20 corresponded to an RNA viral load of 5 × 10⁷ genome copies/ml of plasma (7.7 log₁₀ copies/ml). Of the 99 adolescents and adults, 84 had both an RT-PCR Ct and an RNA viral load measurement at baseline. Red dots represent patients who died. Blue dots represent patients who survived.</p

JIKI trial mortality, according to age and baseline RT-PCR Ct value.

<p>Histograms represent mortality percentages. Vertical bars represent 95% confidence intervals. Red bars represent target values. The RT-PCR assay was conducted using the RealStar Filovirus Screen RT-PCR Kit 1.0 (Altona Diagnostics).</p

JIKI trial: evolution of RT-PCR Ct values and RNA viral load in adolescents and adults.

<p>(A) Evolution of RT-PCR Ct values. (B) Evolution of RNA viral loads. The <i>x</i>-axis represents the time since first symptoms (for example, for a patient whose first symptom occurred 5 d before admission to the treatment center, the baseline value dot is positioned at 5 d). Each line represents one patient. Dots represent baseline values, X’s represent follow-up values, and asterisks represent values below the limit of quantification. Red symbols represent patients who died; blue symbols represent patients who survived.</p

JIKI trial: evolution of serum creatinine, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, and creatine phosphokinase in adolescents and adults.

<p>The <i>x</i>-axis represents the time since first symptoms (for example, for a patient whose first symptom occurred 5 d before day 0, the baseline value dot is positioned at 5 d). Each line represents one patient. Dots represent baseline values, and X’s represent follow-up values. Red symbols represent patients who died; blue symbols represent patients who survived. Dark red lines represent patients with baseline Ct < 20 who died, light red lines represent patients with baseline Ct ≥ 20 who died, dark blue lines represent patients with baseline Ct < 20 who survived, and light blue lines represent patients with baseline Ct ≥ 20 who survived. Samples obtained more than 25 d after onset of symptoms are not represented.</p

JIKI trial: evolution of serum creatinine, transaminases, and creatine phosphokinase in the 11 adolescents and adults who had worsening in at least one biochemical parameter on favipiravir.

<p>(A) Patients who survived (<i>n</i> = 7). (B) Patients who died (<i>n</i> = 4). Each line represents one patient. All patients are identified with an ID number (from 1 to 7) or letter (from a to d) throughout the figures. For all 11 patients, all available data are shown. Dots represent baseline values, and X’s represent follow-up values. Dark blue lines represent patients with baseline Ct < 20 who survived. Light blue lines represent patients with baseline Ct ≥ 20 who survived. Light red lines represent patients with baseline Ct ≥ 20 who died. The <i>x</i>-axis represents the time since first symptoms (for example, for a patient whose first symptom occurred 5 d before admission to the treatment center, the baseline value dot is positioned at 5 d). Samples obtained more than 25 d after onset of symptoms are not represented. All 11 patients continued favipiravir.</p

JIKI trial progress.

<p>ALIMA, Alliance for International Medical Action; CRF, Croix Rouge Française (French Red Cross); EU, European Union; Inserm, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale; SSA, Service de Santé des Armées (French military health service).</p