Analyzing the Lake Urmia restoration progress using ground-based and spaceborne observations

Lake Urmia, located in the North West of Iran, was once the most extensive permanent hypersaline lake in the world. Unsustainable water management in response to increasing demand together with climatic extremes have given rise to the lake's depletion during the last two decades. The Urmia Lake Restoration Program (ULRP) was established in 2013 and aims to restore the lake within a 10-year program. This study aims to monitor these restoration endeavours using spaceborne and ground-based observations. We analyzed the in-situ water level, the surface water extent, and the water volume of the lake. The water storage change of the Urmia Lake catchment is quantified using the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On satellite observations, which gives us a holistic view of hydrological components. Our analysis shows a positive trend of 14.5 cm/yr, 204 km2/yr, and 0.42 km3/yr in the time series of lake water level, lake water area, and water volume from 2015 to 2019 which indicates a short-lived stabilization of Lake Urmia. This has been achieved mainly due to an increase of 0.35 km3/yr in inflow from rivers to the lake, predominantly driven by anomalous precipitation events in 2016 and early 2019. However, the long-term trend from 2003 to 2019 still shows negative values of −22 cm/yr, −200 km2/yr, and −0.72 km3/yr for the water level, the surface area, and the water volume of the lake, respectively. The stabilization seems to be fragile however, since most of the increase in the water volume of the lake has spread over the large shallow southern region with high evaporation potential during hot seasons. Furthermore, due to the high correlation between the lake water level and precipitation, the recovery observed in 2016 and the first half of 2019 might not continue in case of a long drought period

Monitoring groundwater storage depletion using gravity recovery and climate experiment (GRACE) data in Bakhtegan catchment, Iran

Abstract The Bakhtegan catchment, an important agricultural region in south-western Iran, has suffered groundwater depletion in recent years. As groundwater is considered the main source of fresh water in the catchment, especially for agriculture, monitoring groundwater responses to irrigation is important. Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite data can help determine water mass changes in catchments and assess water volume changes. In this study, we compared GRACE-derived water mass data against groundwater volume variations measured in situ. We also assessed the efficiency of GRACE-derived data in catchments smaller than the 200,000 km2 recommended area when using GRACE. For the study period (January 2002 through December 2011), the GRACE data showed a 7.6 mm annual decline in groundwater level, with a total volume loss of 2.6 km3 during the period. The in situ monthly measurements of groundwater level showed an average depletion of 10 m in catchment aquifers during the study period. This depletion rate was supported by the recorded decrease in precipitation volume, especially in the post-drought period after 2007. These results demonstrate that GRACE can be useful tool for monitoring groundwater depletion in arid catchments

On the capability to derive mass estimates from high-low satellite-to-satellite tracking data

Recently it has been shown that it is possible to derive time-variable gravity signals from high-low satellite-to-satellite tracking (hl-SST) missions (Weigelt et al. 2013, JGR:Solid Earth, doi:10.1002/jgrb.50283). Based on the GPS information only, we will present results derived from the dedicated gravity field missions CHAMP, GRACE and GOCE which allow us to determine mass estimates for various applications. Hydrologically induced mass changes on land cause the strongest mass variations in the gravity field and can be easily identified in the hl-SST data, especially in areas with strong signals such as the Amazon basin. Ice melt in Greenland can be derived from the data and mass estimates compare well to corresponding GRACE estimates. Also, loading time series based on these gravity field solutions agree well with GPS observations for various stations around the globe. We also discuss the limitations of the data, e.g. in detecting signals related to glacial isostatic adjustment or earthquake-induced gravity field changes. Overall, we will demonstrate that the quality of the GPS data is sufficient nowadays and with a proper processing strategy it is possible to derive reasonable mass estimates. As such, this type of observations may allow to bridge a possible gap between GRACE and its successor GRACE Follow-On scheduled for launch in 2017