Machine Learning Tool for Transmission Capacity Forecasting of Overhead Lines based on Distributed Weather Data

Die Erhöhung des Anteils intermittierender erneuerbarer Energiequellen im elektrischen Energiesystem ist eine Herausforderung für die Netzbetreiber. Ein Beispiel ist die Zunahme der Nord-Süd Übertragung von Windenergie in Deutschland, die zu einer Erhöhung der Engpässe in den Freileitungen führt und sich direkt in den Stromkosten der Endverbraucher niederschlägt. Neben dem Ausbau neuer Freileitungen ist ein witterungsabhängiger Freileitungsbetrieb eine Lösung, um die aktuelle Auslastung des Systems zu verbessern. Aus der Analyse in einer Probeleitung in Deutschland wurde gezeigt, dass einen Zuwachs von ca. 28% der Stromtragfähigkeit eine Reduzierung der Kosten für Engpassmaßnahmen um ca. 55% bedeuten kann. Dieser Vorteil kann nur vom Netzbetreiber wahrgenommen werden, wenn eine Belastbarkeitsprognose für die Stromerzeugunsgplanung der konventionellen Kraftwerke zur Verfügung steht. Das in dieser Dissertation vorgestellte System prognostiziert die Belastbarkeit von Freileitungen für 48 Stunden, mit einer Verbesserung der Prognosegenauigkeit im Vergleich zum Stand-der-Technik von 6,13% in Durchschnitt. Der Ansatz passt die meteorologischen Vorhersagen an die lokale Wettersituation entlang der Leitung an. Diese Anpassungen sind aufgrund von Veränderungen der Topographie entlang der Leitungstrasse und Windschatten der umliegenden Bäume notwendig, da durch die meteorologischen Modelle diese nicht beschrieben werden können. Außerdem ist das in dieser Dissertation entwickelte Modell in der Lage die Genauigkeitsabweichungen der Wettervorhersage zwischen Tag und Nacht abzugleichen, was vorteilhaft für die Strombelastbarkeitsprognose ist. Die Zuverlässigkeit und deswegen auch die Effizienz des Stromerzeugungsplans für den nächsten 48 Stunden wurde um 10% gegenüber dem Stand der Technik erhöht. Außerdem wurde in Rahmen dieser Arbeit ein Verfahren für die Positionierung der Wetterstationen entwickelt, um die wichtigsten Stellen entlang der Leitung abzudecken und gleichzeitig die Anzahl der Wetterstationen zu minimieren. Wird ein verteiltes Sensornetzwerk in ganz Deutschland umgesetzt, wird die Einsparung von Redispatchingkosten eine Kapitalrendite von ungefähr drei Jahren bedeuten. Die Durchführung einer transienten Analyse ist im entwickelten System ebenfalls möglich, um Engpassfälle für einige Minuten zu lösen, ohne die maximale Leitertemperatur zu erreichen. Dieses Dokument versucht, die Vorteile der Freileitungsmonitoringssysteme zu verdeutlichen und stellt eine Lösung zur Unterstützung eines flexiblen elektrischen Netzes vor, die für eine erfolgreiche Energiewende erforderlich ist

QUA³CK - A Machine Learning Development Process

Machine learning and data processing are trending topics at the moment. However, there is still alack of a standard process to support a fast, simple, and effective development of machine learningmodels for academia and industry combined. Processes such as KDD or CRISP-DM are highlyspecialized in data mining and business cases. Therefore, engineers often refer to individualapproaches to solve a machine learning problem. Especially in teaching, the lack of a standardprocess is a challenge. Students typically get a better understanding if a systematic approach tosolve problems is given to them. A challenge when formulating a machine learning developmentprocess is to provide standard actions that work on different use-cases. At the same time, it has tobe simple. Complex processes often lead to the wrong approach.The QUA³CK process was created at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology to fill the gap inresearch and industry for a machine learning development process. However, the main focus wasto reach engineering students with an easy-to-remember, didactic way to solve machine learningproblems. This five-stage process starts with a machine learning question (Q), a problem thathas to be solved. Understanding the data (U) comes next. Then, the loop between selecting anAlgorithm (A), Adapting the features (A), and Adjusting the hyperparameters (A) is executeduntil the system is ready for Conclude and compare (C). At last, the Knowledge transfer (K) ofthe given solution can be realized as deployment in hardware or as a documentation.This paper describes the process and all individual steps in detail. Besides, we present severaluse-cases of QUA³CK in academia and research projects

Prevalence, associated factors and outcomes of pressure injuries in adult intensive care unit patients: the DecubICUs study

Funder: European Society of Intensive Care Medicine; doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100013347Funder: Flemish Society for Critical Care NursesAbstract: Purpose: Intensive care unit (ICU) patients are particularly susceptible to developing pressure injuries. Epidemiologic data is however unavailable. We aimed to provide an international picture of the extent of pressure injuries and factors associated with ICU-acquired pressure injuries in adult ICU patients. Methods: International 1-day point-prevalence study; follow-up for outcome assessment until hospital discharge (maximum 12 weeks). Factors associated with ICU-acquired pressure injury and hospital mortality were assessed by generalised linear mixed-effects regression analysis. Results: Data from 13,254 patients in 1117 ICUs (90 countries) revealed 6747 pressure injuries; 3997 (59.2%) were ICU-acquired. Overall prevalence was 26.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 25.9–27.3). ICU-acquired prevalence was 16.2% (95% CI 15.6–16.8). Sacrum (37%) and heels (19.5%) were most affected. Factors independently associated with ICU-acquired pressure injuries were older age, male sex, being underweight, emergency surgery, higher Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, Braden score 3 days, comorbidities (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, immunodeficiency), organ support (renal replacement, mechanical ventilation on ICU admission), and being in a low or lower-middle income-economy. Gradually increasing associations with mortality were identified for increasing severity of pressure injury: stage I (odds ratio [OR] 1.5; 95% CI 1.2–1.8), stage II (OR 1.6; 95% CI 1.4–1.9), and stage III or worse (OR 2.8; 95% CI 2.3–3.3). Conclusion: Pressure injuries are common in adult ICU patients. ICU-acquired pressure injuries are associated with mainly intrinsic factors and mortality. Optimal care standards, increased awareness, appropriate resource allocation, and further research into optimal prevention are pivotal to tackle this important patient safety threat

Correction to: Prevalence, associated factors and outcomes of pressure injuries in adult intensive care unit patients: the DecubICUs study

The original version of this article unfortunately contained a mistake

Prevalence, associated factors and outcomes of pressure injuries in adult intensive care unit patients: the DecubICUs study

Funder: European Society of Intensive Care Medicine; doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100013347Funder: Flemish Society for Critical Care NursesAbstract: Purpose: Intensive care unit (ICU) patients are particularly susceptible to developing pressure injuries. Epidemiologic data is however unavailable. We aimed to provide an international picture of the extent of pressure injuries and factors associated with ICU-acquired pressure injuries in adult ICU patients. Methods: International 1-day point-prevalence study; follow-up for outcome assessment until hospital discharge (maximum 12 weeks). Factors associated with ICU-acquired pressure injury and hospital mortality were assessed by generalised linear mixed-effects regression analysis. Results: Data from 13,254 patients in 1117 ICUs (90 countries) revealed 6747 pressure injuries; 3997 (59.2%) were ICU-acquired. Overall prevalence was 26.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 25.9–27.3). ICU-acquired prevalence was 16.2% (95% CI 15.6–16.8). Sacrum (37%) and heels (19.5%) were most affected. Factors independently associated with ICU-acquired pressure injuries were older age, male sex, being underweight, emergency surgery, higher Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, Braden score 3 days, comorbidities (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, immunodeficiency), organ support (renal replacement, mechanical ventilation on ICU admission), and being in a low or lower-middle income-economy. Gradually increasing associations with mortality were identified for increasing severity of pressure injury: stage I (odds ratio [OR] 1.5; 95% CI 1.2–1.8), stage II (OR 1.6; 95% CI 1.4–1.9), and stage III or worse (OR 2.8; 95% CI 2.3–3.3). Conclusion: Pressure injuries are common in adult ICU patients. ICU-acquired pressure injuries are associated with mainly intrinsic factors and mortality. Optimal care standards, increased awareness, appropriate resource allocation, and further research into optimal prevention are pivotal to tackle this important patient safety threat

Effect of capacitive radiofrequency on the dermis of the abdominal region

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effects of radiofrequency (RF) on sagging skin. This is a case series study with five volunteers who received a single application of capacitive RF (BTL-6000 TR-Therapy Pro®) in the right infraumbilical abdominal region, with epidermal temperature above 40°C, for 10 min (2 min per applicator area), and the skin of the contralateral region was used as control. After 30 days, on average, the skin of the abdominal region was collected for histological analysis and stained with hematoxylin and eosin, Picro-sirus, and Verhoff. The percentage of collagen and elastic fibers found was marked by the Image J®. The statistical analysis was performed in the SPSS program (version 20), with a significance level of 95%. This was registered with the ethics and research comitee of UFTM n 3.461.688 on Jul 12, 2019 and clinical trial registration n. NCT04182542, retrospectively registered. Morphometric analysis demonstrated a remodeling of collagen and elastic fibers on the side treated with RF; however, the morphometry for collagen showed no significant difference, with an average percentage of 60.94 ± 0.32 for the control side and 61.97 ± 2.80 for the treated with p=0.32. Similarly, elastic fibers also showed no significant difference between groups, with a mean percentage of 5.67 ± 2.70 for control and 6.21 ± 2.01 for treated with p=0.19. The RF with the parameters used in this study was able to cause morphological changes in collagen and elastic fibers of the abdominal region skin; however, it showed no change in the percentage of these fibers.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Desarrollo rural y turismo

Durante los últimos años, la Universidad de Guadalajara ha puesto en marcha un importante programa de internacionalización. En el Centro Universitario de la Costa hemos participado en el intensamente. Desarrollo rural y turismo forma parte de esa estrategia de compartir, trabajar y educar en forma conjunta con otras instituciones del país de nuestra América.El presente libro es una muestra clara de esta estrategia que ha llevado a nuestra cinstitución a un trabajo conjunto con universidades latinoamericanas.Los artículos que integran este libro fueron presentados en diferentes eventos académicos y evaluados conforme a las normas establecidas para cada área de trabajo. Hay, a su vez, una gran diversidad de enfoques: del histórico- antropológico al ecológico-turístico, pasando por las visiones más económicas, sociológicas y vinculadas al desarrollo sustentable

Desarrollo de capacidades para la inclusión educativa universitaria

Los ámbitos comunitarios, familiares y de género, constituyen escenarios donde se producen y reproducen cotidianamente las desigualdades, por ello desde las universidades deben ser ámbitos privilegiados para la actuación profesional. Resultan necesarias acciones tendientes a lograr mayor equidad como vía para alcanzar la igualdad, tanto en los procesos de ingreso a la educación superior como en la calidad sostenida de la educación que se ofrece, implementar un enfoque de derechos humanos, interculturalidad e inclusión social en el sentido amplio del término, que faciliten la restauración de derechos en un ambiente de paz, para lo que se deben poner en práctica acciones de igualdad de oportunidades como afirmativas. Para alcanzar estos objetivos, es necesario que los profesionales universitarios, especialmente los docentes, cuenten con conocimientos, habilidades y valores que les faciliten desarrollar la labor de intervención profesional que en este sentido se necesita. Entiéndase por intervención profesional, la actividad que desarrollan los profesionales cuando ofrecen elementos de análisis que facilitan a los sujetos necesitados de su acción, identificar las contradicciones de su entorno, elaborar alternativas de cambio y seleccionar las que consideren más pertinentes a fin de encontrar respuestas a sus necesidades