Numbat Media: A case study in the challenges of starting an outreach project

Why do scientists do outreach? Familiar Outreach Trajectory Outreach Fatigue Problem: We’re asking too much of scientists How do we get our hard-won science resources out to more people? Numbat Media: Connect scientists (including myself) to the general public What do we do? This project needs more hands. Let’s collaborate

Symplectic integrators for index one constraints

We show that symplectic Runge-Kutta methods provide effective symplectic integrators for Hamiltonian systems with index one constraints. These include the Hamiltonian description of variational problems subject to position and velocity constraints nondegenerate in the velocities, such as those arising in sub-Riemannian geometry and control theory.Comment: 13 pages, accepted in SIAM J Sci Compu

Spectroscopy of z ~ 7 candidate galaxies: using Lyman α to constrain the neutral fraction of hydrogen in the high-redshift universe

Following our previous spectroscopic observations of z > 7 galaxies with Gemini/Gemini Near Infra-Red Spectrograph (GNIRS) and Very Large Telescope (VLT)/XSHOOTER, which targeted a total of eight objects, we present here our results from a deeper and larger VLT/FOcal Reducer and Spectrograph (FORS2) spectroscopic sample of Wide Field Camera 3 selected z > 7 candidate galaxies. With our FORS2 setup we cover the 737–1070 nm wavelength range, enabling a search for Lyman α in the redshift range spanning 5.06–7.80. We target 22 z-band dropouts and find no evidence of Lyman α emission, with the exception of a tentative detection (<5σ, which is our adopted criterion for a secure detection) for one object. The upper limits on Lyman α flux and the broad-band magnitudes are used to constrain the rest-frame equivalent widths for this line emission. We analyse our FORS2 observations in combination with our previous GNIRS and XSHOOTER observations, and suggest that a simple model where the fraction of high rest-frame equivalent width emitters follows the trend seen at z = 3-6.5 is inconsistent with our non-detections at z ∼ 7.8 at the 96 per cent confidence level. This may indicate that a significant neutral H I fraction in the intergalactic medium suppresses Lyman α, with an estimated neutral fraction χHI∼0.5, in agreement with other estimates

Constraining the bright-end of the UV luminosity function for z 7-9 galaxies: results from CANDELS/GOODS-South

The recent Hubble Space Telescope near-infrared imaging with the Wide-Field Camera #3 (WFC 3) of the Great Observatories Origins Deep Survey South (GOODS-S) field in the Cosmic Assembly Near-infrared Deep Extragalactic Legacy Survey (CANDELS) programme covering nearly 100 arcmin2, along with already existing Advanced Camera for Surveys optical data, makes possible the search for bright galaxy candidates at redshift z ≈ 7–9 using the Lyman break technique. We present the first analysis of z′-drop z ≈ 7 candidate galaxies in this area, finding 19 objects. We also analyse Y-drops at z ≈ 8, trebling the number of bright (HAB < 27 mag) Y-drops from our previous work, and compare our results with those of other groups based on the same data. The bright high-redshift galaxy candidates we find serve to better constrain the bright end of the luminosity function at those redshift, and may also be more amenable to spectroscopic confirmation than the fainter ones presented in various previous work on the smaller fields (the Hubble Ultra Deep Field and the WFC 3 Early Release Science observations). We also look at the agreement with previous luminosity functions derived from WFC 3 drop-out counts, finding a generally good agreement, except for the luminosity function of Yan et al. at z ≈ 8, which is strongly ruled out

Signal Traits and Oxidative Stress: A Comparative Study across Populations with Divergent Signals

Diverging populations often shift patterns of signal use – a process that can contribute to reproductive isolation and speciation. Yet it is not clear why most traits gain or lose signal value during divergence. One reason this could occur is because changes in the relationship between signals and relevant physiological parameters degrade the reliability of a signal, or even change its underlying information content. Here we test the hypothesis that the relationship between signal trait elaboration and a central component of organismal health – oxidative stress – differs across closely related populations that have diverged in signal use and preferences. In the recently diverged barn swallow subspecies complex (Hirundo rustica, Family: Hirundinidae), different populations use different traits as sexual signals. Two of these traits, ventral breast plumage color and tail streamer length, differ markedly between North American H. r. erythrogaster and European H. r. rustica. Despite this divergence, variation in ventral plumage color was similarly associated with measures of oxidative damage across both populations. However, the directionality of these relationships differed between the sexes: darker male barn swallows had higher levels of plasma oxidative damage than their lighter counterparts, while the opposite relationship was seen in females. In contrast, relationships between tail streamer length and measures of oxidative stress were not consistent across populations. Some analyses indicated that in European H. r. rustica, where males bearing elongated streamers are preferred as mates, longer-streamered males were more oxidatively stressed; however, the opposite pattern was suggested in North American H. r. erythrogaster. Tail streamer length was not associated with measures of oxidative stress in females of either population. Differences in the physiological state of stronger signalers across populations and between the sexes may be related to costs or constraints on signal elaboration (e.g., biochemical pathways associated with melanogenesis), or reflect differences in how signal-mediated social interactions influence oxidative stress. Overall, our results suggest that while some phenotypic traits appear to be capable of conveying similar physiological information regardless of their use as signals, divergence in other phenotypic traits may be associated with shifts in their information content

Signal Traits and Oxidative Stress: A Comparative Study across Populations with Divergent Signals

Diverging populations often shift patterns of signal use – a process that can contribute to reproductive isolation and speciation. Yet it is not clear why most traits gain or lose signal value during divergence. One reason this could occur is because changes in the relationship between signals and relevant physiological parameters degrade the reliability of a signal, or even change its underlying information content. Here we test the hypothesis that the relationship between signal trait elaboration and a central component of organismal health – oxidative stress – differs across closely related populations that have diverged in signal use and preferences. In the recently diverged barn swallow subspecies complex (Hirundo rustica, Family: Hirundinidae), different populations use different traits as sexual signals. Two of these traits, ventral breast plumage color and tail streamer length, differ markedly between North American H. r. erythrogaster and European H. r. rustica. Despite this divergence, variation in ventral plumage color was similarly associated with measures of oxidative damage across both populations. However, the directionality of these relationships differed between the sexes: darker male barn swallows had higher levels of plasma oxidative damage than their lighter counterparts, while the opposite relationship was seen in females. In contrast, relationships between tail streamer length and measures of oxidative stress were not consistent across populations. Some analyses indicated that in European H. r. rustica, where males bearing elongated streamers are preferred as mates, longer-streamered males were more oxidatively stressed; however, the opposite pattern was suggested in North American H. r. erythrogaster. Tail streamer length was not associated with measures of oxidative stress in females of either population. Differences in the physiological state of stronger signalers across populations and between the sexes may be related to costs or constraints on signal elaboration (e.g., biochemical pathways associated with melanogenesis), or reflect differences in how signal-mediated social interactions influence oxidative stress. Overall, our results suggest that while some phenotypic traits appear to be capable of conveying similar physiological information regardless of their use as signals, divergence in other phenotypic traits may be associated with shifts in their information content

Positive Carotenoid Balance Correlates with Greater Reproductive Performance in a Wild Bird

Background: Carotenoids can confer somatic and reproductive benefits, but most evidence is from captive animal experimentation or single time-point sampling. Another perhaps more informative means by which to assess physiological contributions to animal performance is by tracking an individual’s ability to increase or sustain carotenoids or other health-related molecules over time, as these are likely to be temporally variable. Methodology/Principal Findings: In a field study of North American barn swallows (Hirundo rustica erythrogaster), we analyzed within-individual changes in carotenoid concentrations by repeatedly sampling the carotenoid profiles of individuals over the course of the breeding season. Our results demonstrate that carotenoid concentrations of individuals are temporally dynamic and that season-long balance of these molecules, rather than single time-point samples, predict reproductive performance. This was true even when controlling for two important variables associated with reproductive outcomes: (1) timing of breeding and (2) sexually selected plumage coloration, which is itself positively correlated with and concomitantly changes with circulating carotenoid concentrations. Conclusions/Significance: While reproduction itself is purported to impose health stress on organisms, these data suggest that free-ranging, high-quality individuals can mitigate such costs, by one or several genetic, environmental (diet), or physiological mechanisms. Moreover, the temporal variations in both health-linked physiological measures and morphological traits we uncover here merit further examination in other species, especially when goals include the estimation of signal information content or the costs of trait expression

Bringing Forecasting Into the Future: Using Google to Predict Visitation in U.S. National Parks

In recent years, visitation to U.S. National Parks has been increasing, with the majority of this increase occurring in a subset of parks. As a result, managers in these parks must respond quickly to increasing visitor-related challenges. Improved visitation forecasting would allow managers to more proactively plan for such increases. In this study, we leverage internet search data that is freely available through Google Trends to create a forecasting model. We compare this Google Trends model to a traditional autoregressive forecasting model. Overall, our Google Trends model accurately predicted 97% of the total visitation variation to all parks one year in advance from 2013 to 2017 and outperformed the autoregressive model by all metrics. While our Google Trends model performs better overall, this was not the case for each park unit individually; the accuracy of this model varied significantly from park to park. We hypothesized that park attributes related to trip planning would correlate with the accuracy of our Google Trends model, but none of the variables tested produced overly compelling results. Future research can continue exploring the utility of Google Trends to forecast visitor use in protected areas, or use methods demonstrated in this paper to explore alternative data sources to improve visitation forecasting in U.S. National Parks

The importance of cross-validation, accuracy, and precision for measuring plumage color: A comment on Vaquero-Alba et al. (2016)

Vaquero-Alba and colleagues published a study in The Auk: Ornithological Advances comparing objective color measurements of plumage taken in the field directly on a bird’s body to those taken in the lab on collected feathers arranged to emulate the appearance of a bird’s natural plumage. Although the field measures of plumage color were less repeatable than lab measures, the authors concluded that measurements taken in the field were more representative of a bird’s ‘‘true color.’’ Accordingly, they recommend that researchers should bring spectrophotometers into the field to measure color on live birds. We question the assumption that their field measurements represent true color and highlight concerns regarding their experimental design and methodology. Because they did not measure color of live birds in the lab or the color of plucked feathers in the field, they cannot directly test whether the assessment of color in the field on a live bird is superior. Also, rather than assume field measures are the most accurate or precise way to assess plumage color, we suggest cross-validation with other methodologies, such as digital photography, pigment biochemistry, or measures of a known color standard in both environments. Importantly, researchers should be aware of the limitations and advantages of various methods for measuring plumage color so they can use the method most appropriate for their study. Vaquero-Alba y sus colaboradores publicaron un estudio en The Auk comparando medidas objetivas del color del plumaje tomadas en el campo directamente en el cuerpo del ave con medidas tomadas en el laboratorio en plumas recolectadas y organizadas para emular la apariencia natural del plumaje. Aunque las medidas de campo del color del plumaje fueron menos repetibles que las de laboratorio, los autores concluyeron que las medidas tomadas en el campo fueron ma´s representativas del ‘‘color verdadero’’ de un ave. En consecuencia, recomendaron que los investigadores deben llevar espectrofot ´ ometros a los sitios de campo para medir el color en aves vivas. Cuestionamos la suposici ´on de que sus mediciones de campo representan el ‘‘color verdadero’’ y resaltamos nuestras preocupaciones con respecto a su dise ˜no experimental y metodolog´ıa. Debido a que ellos no midieron el color de las aves vivas en el laboratorio ni el color de las plumas sueltas en el campo, no pueden evaluar directamente si la evaluaci ´on del color en el campo en un ave viva es superior. Tambi´en, en vez de asumir que las medidas de campo son la forma ma´s exacta o precisa de determinar el color del plumaje, sugerimos que se haga una validaci ´on cruzada con otras metodolog´ıas como la fotograf´ıa digital, la bioqu´ımica de los pigmentos o las medidas de un esta´ndar de un color conocido en ambos ambientes. Es importante que los investigadores tengan en cuenta las limitaciones y avances en varios m´etodos para medir el color del plumaje para que puedan usar el m´etodo ma´s apropiado para su estudio

The importance of cross-validation, accuracy, and precision for measuring plumage color: A comment on Vaquero-Alba et al. (2016)

Vaquero-Alba and colleagues published a study in The Auk: Ornithological Advances comparing objective color measurements of plumage taken in the field directly on a bird’s body to those taken in the lab on collected feathers arranged to emulate the appearance of a bird’s natural plumage. Although the field measures of plumage color were less repeatable than lab measures, the authors concluded that measurements taken in the field were more representative of a bird’s ‘‘true color.’’ Accordingly, they recommend that researchers should bring spectrophotometers into the field to measure color on live birds. We question the assumption that their field measurements represent true color and highlight concerns regarding their experimental design and methodology. Because they did not measure color of live birds in the lab or the color of plucked feathers in the field, they cannot directly test whether the assessment of color in the field on a live bird is superior. Also, rather than assume field measures are the most accurate or precise way to assess plumage color, we suggest cross-validation with other methodologies, such as digital photography, pigment biochemistry, or measures of a known color standard in both environments. Importantly, researchers should be aware of the limitations and advantages of various methods for measuring plumage color so they can use the method most appropriate for their study. Vaquero-Alba y sus colaboradores publicaron un estudio en The Auk comparando medidas objetivas del color del plumaje tomadas en el campo directamente en el cuerpo del ave con medidas tomadas en el laboratorio en plumas recolectadas y organizadas para emular la apariencia natural del plumaje. Aunque las medidas de campo del color del plumaje fueron menos repetibles que las de laboratorio, los autores concluyeron que las medidas tomadas en el campo fueron ma´s representativas del ‘‘color verdadero’’ de un ave. En consecuencia, recomendaron que los investigadores deben llevar espectrofot ´ ometros a los sitios de campo para medir el color en aves vivas. Cuestionamos la suposici ´on de que sus mediciones de campo representan el ‘‘color verdadero’’ y resaltamos nuestras preocupaciones con respecto a su dise ˜no experimental y metodolog´ıa. Debido a que ellos no midieron el color de las aves vivas en el laboratorio ni el color de las plumas sueltas en el campo, no pueden evaluar directamente si la evaluaci ´on del color en el campo en un ave viva es superior. Tambi´en, en vez de asumir que las medidas de campo son la forma ma´s exacta o precisa de determinar el color del plumaje, sugerimos que se haga una validaci ´on cruzada con otras metodolog´ıas como la fotograf´ıa digital, la bioqu´ımica de los pigmentos o las medidas de un esta´ndar de un color conocido en ambos ambientes. Es importante que los investigadores tengan en cuenta las limitaciones y avances en varios m´etodos para medir el color del plumaje para que puedan usar el m´etodo ma´s apropiado para su estudio