Justice implications of adaptation to Climate Change and its governance

This paper analyzes the different notions of justice that have informed the debate about adaptation to climate change in the international arena and examines current adaptation funding mechanisms in order to understand whether they embody the equity criteria that inspire them. At first it underlines that the concept of justice has been attributed multiple connotations and that non industrialized and industrialized countries adopt different rationales when discussing climate change. In addition, it describes how justice and equity are at the center of the debate about adaptation. Since vulnerability to climate change effects is function of local wealth distribution and of the local degree of social resilience, the paper emphasizes that adaptation governance is concerned with the equitable distribution of benefits and burdens of the effects of climate change and with the obligations of industrialized countries toward non industrialized nations, but also, at the same time with matters of procedural justice. After analyzing how current international financial mechanisms in support of adaptation embody different notions of equity, it points out that there are doubts that the current funding methods reflect the justice concerns that inspire global adaptation policies and suggests that they should be deeply reformed

Crystal nucleation from solution: design and modelling of detection time experiments

Crystal nucleation is the process responsible for the appearance of a thermodynamically stable phase from a metastable parent solution. Given its activated nature, nucleation is affected by stochasticity which, despite originating at the molecular level, affects heavily also the macroscopic behaviour of the system. Being far too small to be observed directly, nuclei are detected by indirect methods, which correlate the formation of the new phase with a measurable change in a property of the system, hence a model linking nuclei formation and crystals detection is always needed. We have previously presented a model describing nucleation in macroscopic systems as a stochastic Poisson process. The model, despite its general character, can describe industrially relevant processes, e.g. batch cooling at different operating conditions. The different scales influenced by the stochastic nature of nucleation demand appropriate theoretical and experimental investigations, particularly for applying the model to industrial scale-up, optimisation, and control. Using statistical tools, we have looked into the issue of estimating stochastic processes by collecting a representative, but limited number of data, produced from a homogeneous set. Moreover, using our model, we analysed the sensitivity of crystallising systems on initial and boundary conditions, with particular emphasis on the effect of supersaturation, temperature and detection conditions. Finally, in light of the stochastic nature of nucleation, we also applied statistical meta-analysis to assess the agreement between the fitting and its parameters and experiments, to gain further insight into the quality of the model. Experimentally, we have first investigated the conditions to perform homogeneous and reproducible measurements, necessary to understand the fundamental physical features and ultimately to estimate reliable kinetic parameters. A second aspect we have explored concerned the size of the crystallising systems. Since in macroscopic reactors various phenomena occur simultaneously (nucleation, growth, breakage, agglomeration) we chose to work with two main system sizes, 1-3 mL reactors (mesoscale) and 1-60 nL reactors (microscale, i.e. microscopic droplets), where at least some of such phenomena could be decoupled. In the mesoscale crystallisers, one can perform experiments where temperature and transmissivity could be measured online, hence monitoring the appearance and disappearance of crystals. Additionally, the influence of fluid-dynamics, typically turbulent in these reactors, was investigated. In the microfluidic chips, on the other hand, a very high through-put (thousands of replicas of the same reactor) can be potentially achieved and, thanks to their very small size, high supersaturations, outside of usual experimental reach, could be explored. Additionally, within the microscopic droplets the fluid motion is generally diffusive or laminar convective, hence hindering breakage and agglomeration. One could thus observe systems where nucleation and growth of single crystals (or of few crystals) occur unperturbed. Nevertheless, some main challenges, which we have been addressing, must be tackled before performing reliable crystallisation experiments: the characterisation and the reproducibility of shape and size of the droplets and their stability (i.e. the loss of mass due to evaporation and perspiration through the chip). In conclusion, we demonstrate that, even if the data are reproducible and reliable, robust probability estimations can be obtained only with a sufficiently large number of experiments, which require careful design to avoid sensitivity regions and data processing to reject the non-homogeneous data. The different sizes investigated have permitted to gain a better insight into the fundamental phenomena occurring in a crystallising system between the first formation of nuclei until crystal detection, which is of utmost importance for understanding the design of the experiments at an industrially relevant scale. Moreover, appropriate mathematical tools allowed to assess the reliability of the fitting obtained from independent measurements of the same system at different conditions

Improving Postdischarge Outcomes in Acute Heart Failure

The global burden that acute heart failure (AHF) carries has remained unchanged over the past several decades (1). European registries (2–5) showed that 1-year outcome rates remain unacceptably high (Table 1) and confirm that hospitalization for AHF represents a change in the natural history of the disease process(6). As patients hospitalized for HF have a bad prognosis, it is crucial to utilize hospitalization as an opportunity to: 1) assess the individual components of the cardiac substrate; 2) identify and treat comorbidities; 3) identify early, safe endpoints of therapy to facilitate timely hospital discharge and outpatient follow-up; and 4) implement and begin optimization guideline-directed medical therapies (GDMTs). As outcomes are influenced by many factors, many of which are incompletely understood, a systematic approach is proposed that should start with admission and continues through post-discharge (7)

Machine learning methods to predict outcomes of pharmacological treatment in psychosis

In recent years, machine learning (ML) has been a promising approach in the research of treatment outcome prediction in psychosis. In this study, we reviewed ML studies using different neuroimaging, neurophysiological, genetic, and clinical features to predict antipsychotic treatment outcomes in patients at different stages of schizophrenia. Literature available on PubMed until March 2022 was reviewed. Overall, 28 studies were included, among them 23 using a single-modality approach and 5 combining data from multiple modalities. The majority of included studies considered structural and functional neuroimaging biomarkers as predictive features used in ML models. Specifically, functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) features contributed to antipsychotic treatment response prediction of psychosis with good accuracies. Additionally, several studies found that ML models based on clinical features might present adequate predictive ability. Importantly, by examining the additive effects of combining features, the predictive value might be improved by applying multimodal ML approaches. However, most of the included studies presented several limitations, such as small sample sizes and a lack of replication tests. Moreover, considerable clinical and analytical heterogeneity among included studies posed a challenge in synthesizing findings and generating robust overall conclusions. Despite the complexity and heterogeneity of methodology, prognostic features, clinical presentation, and treatment approaches, studies included in this review suggest that ML tools may have the potential to predict treatment outcomes of psychosis accurately. Future studies need to focus on refining feature characterization, validating prediction models, and evaluate their translation in real-world clinical practice

Sexual Dimorphism in the Brain Correlates of Adult-Onset Depression: A Pilot Structural and Functional 3T MRI Study

Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) is a disabling illness affecting more than 5% of the elderly population. Higher female prevalence and sex-specific symptomatology have been observed, suggesting that biologically-determined dimensions might affect the disease onset and outcome. Rumination and executive dysfunction characterize adult-onset MDD, but sex differences in these domains and in the related brain mechanisms are still largely unexplored. The present pilot study aimed to explore any interactions between adult-onset MDD and sex on brain morphology and brain function during a Go/No-Go paradigm. We hypothesized to detect diagnosis by sex effects on brain regions involved in self-referential processes and cognitive control. Twenty-four subjects, 12 healthy (HC) (mean age 68.7 y, 7 females and 5 males) and 12 affected by adult-onset MDD (mean age 66.5 y, 5 females and 7 males), underwent clinical evaluations and a 3T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) session. Diagnosis and diagnosis by sex effects were assessed on regional gray matter (GM) volumes and task-related functional MRI (fMRI) activations. The GM volume analyses showed diagnosis effects in left mid frontal cortex (p < 0.01), and diagnosis by sex effects in orbitofrontal, olfactory, and calcarine regions (p < 0.05). The Go/No-Go fMRI analyses showed MDD effects on fMRI activations in left precuneus and right lingual gyrus, and diagnosis by sex effects on fMRI activations in right parahippocampal gyrus and right calcarine cortex (p < 0.001, ≥ 40 voxels). Our exploratory results suggest the presence of sex-specific brain correlates of adult-onset MDD-especially in regions involved in attention processing and in the brain default mode-potentially supporting cognitive and symptom differences between sexes

A sex-informed approach to improve the personalised decision making process in myelodysplastic syndromes: a multicentre, observational cohort study

Background Sex is a major source of diversity among patients and a sex-informed approach is becoming a new paradigm in precision medicine. We aimed to describe sex diversity in myelodysplastic syndromes in terms of disease genotype, phenotype, and clinical outcome. Moreover, we sought to incorporate sex information into the clinical decision-making process as a fundamental component of patient individuality. Methods In this multicentre, observational cohort study, we retrospectively analysed 13 284 patients aged 18 years or older with a diagnosis of myelodysplastic syndrome according to 2016 WHO criteria included in the EuroMDS network (n=2025), International Working Group for Prognosis in MDS (IWG-PM; n=2387), the Spanish Group of Myelodysplastic Syndromes registry (GESMD; n=7687), or the Dusseldorf MDS registry (n=1185). Recruitment periods for these cohorts were between 1990 and 2016. The correlation between sex and genomic features was analysed in the EuroMDS cohort and validated in the IWG-PM cohort. The effect of sex on clinical outcome, with overall survival as the main endpoint, was analysed in the EuroMDS population and validated in the other three cohorts. Finally, novel prognostic models incorporating sex and genomic information were built and validated, and compared to the widely used revised International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-R). This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04889729. Findings The study included 7792 (58middot7%) men and 5492 (41middot3%) women. 10 906 (82middot1%) patients were White, and race was not reported for 2378 (17middot9%) patients. Sex biases were observed at the single-gene level with mutations in seven genes enriched in men (ASXL1, SRSF2, and ZRSR2 p<0middot0001 in both cohorts; DDX41 not available in the EuroMDS cohort vs p=0middot0062 in the IWG-PM cohort; IDH2 p<0middot0001 in EuroMDS vs p=0middot042 in IWG-PM; TET2 p=0middot031 vs p=0middot035; U2AF1 p=0middot033 vs p<0middot0001) and mutations in two genes were enriched in women (DNMT3A p<0middot0001 in EuroMDS vs p=0middot011 in IWG-PM; TP53 p=0middot030 vs p=0middot037). Additionally, sex biases were observed in co-mutational pathways of founding genomic lesions (splicing-related genes, predominantly in men, p<0middot0001 in both the EuroMDS and IWG-PM cohorts), in DNA methylation (predominantly in men, p=0middot046 in EuroMDS vs p<0middot0001 in IWG-PM), and TP53 mutational pathways (predominantly in women, p=0middot0073 in EuroMDS vs p<0middot0001 in IWG-PM). In the retrospective EuroMDS cohort, men had worse median overall survival (81middot3 months, 95% CI 70middot4-95middot0 in men vs 123middot5 months, 104middot5-127middot5 in women; hazard ratio [HR] 1middot40, 95% CI 1middot26-1middot52; p<0middot0001). This result was confirmed in the prospective validation cohorts (median overall survival was 54middot7 months, 95% CI 52middot4-59middot1 in men vs 74middot4 months, 69middot3-81middot2 in women; HR 1middot30, 95% CI 1middot23-1middot35; p<0middot0001 in the GEMSD MDS registry; 40middot0 months, 95% CI 33middot4-43middot7 in men vs 54middot2 months, 38middot6-63middot8 in women; HR 1middot23, 95% CI 1middot08-1middot36; p<0middot0001 in the Dusseldorf MDS registry). We developed new personalised prognostic tools that included sex information (the sex-informed prognostic scoring system and the sex-informed genomic scoring system). Sex maintained independent prognostic power in all prognostic systems; the highest performance was observed in the model that included both sex and genomic information. A five-to-five mapping between the IPSS-R and new score categories resulted in the re-stratification of 871 (43middot0%) of 2025 patients from the EuroMDS cohort and 1003 (42middot0%) of 2387 patients from the IWG-PM cohort by using the sex-informed prognostic scoring system, and of 1134 (56middot0%) patients from the EuroMDS cohort and 1265 (53middot0%) patients from the IWG-PM cohort by using the sex-informed genomic scoring system. We created a web portal that enables outcome predictions based on a sex-informed personalised approach. Interpretation Our results suggest that a sex-informed approach can improve the personalised decision making process in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes and should be considered in the design of clinical trials including low-risk patients. Copyright (c) 2022 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

HMG-coenzyme A reductase inhibition, type 2 diabetes, and bodyweight: evidence from genetic analysis and randomised trials.

BACKGROUND: Statins increase the risk of new-onset type 2 diabetes mellitus. We aimed to assess whether this increase in risk is a consequence of inhibition of 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-CoA reductase (HMGCR), the intended drug target. METHODS: We used single nucleotide polymorphisms in the HMGCR gene, rs17238484 (for the main analysis) and rs12916 (for a subsidiary analysis) as proxies for HMGCR inhibition by statins. We examined associations of these variants with plasma lipid, glucose, and insulin concentrations; bodyweight; waist circumference; and prevalent and incident type 2 diabetes. Study-specific effect estimates per copy of each LDL-lowering allele were pooled by meta-analysis. These findings were compared with a meta-analysis of new-onset type 2 diabetes and bodyweight change data from randomised trials of statin drugs. The effects of statins in each randomised trial were assessed using meta-analysis. FINDINGS: Data were available for up to 223 463 individuals from 43 genetic studies. Each additional rs17238484-G allele was associated with a mean 0·06 mmol/L (95% CI 0·05-0·07) lower LDL cholesterol and higher body weight (0·30 kg, 0·18-0·43), waist circumference (0·32 cm, 0·16-0·47), plasma insulin concentration (1·62%, 0·53-2·72), and plasma glucose concentration (0·23%, 0·02-0·44). The rs12916 SNP had similar effects on LDL cholesterol, bodyweight, and waist circumference. The rs17238484-G allele seemed to be associated with higher risk of type 2 diabetes (odds ratio [OR] per allele 1·02, 95% CI 1·00-1·05); the rs12916-T allele association was consistent (1·06, 1·03-1·09). In 129 170 individuals in randomised trials, statins lowered LDL cholesterol by 0·92 mmol/L (95% CI 0·18-1·67) at 1-year of follow-up, increased bodyweight by 0·24 kg (95% CI 0·10-0·38 in all trials; 0·33 kg, 95% CI 0·24-0·42 in placebo or standard care controlled trials and -0·15 kg, 95% CI -0·39 to 0·08 in intensive-dose vs moderate-dose trials) at a mean of 4·2 years (range 1·9-6·7) of follow-up, and increased the odds of new-onset type 2 diabetes (OR 1·12, 95% CI 1·06-1·18 in all trials; 1·11, 95% CI 1·03-1·20 in placebo or standard care controlled trials and 1·12, 95% CI 1·04-1·22 in intensive-dose vs moderate dose trials). INTERPRETATION: The increased risk of type 2 diabetes noted with statins is at least partially explained by HMGCR inhibition. FUNDING: The funding sources are cited at the end of the paper

ENIGMA-anxiety working group : Rationale for and organization of large-scale neuroimaging studies of anxiety disorders

Altres ajuts: Anxiety Disorders Research Network European College of Neuropsychopharmacology; Claude Leon Postdoctoral Fellowship; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation, 44541416-TRR58); EU7th Frame Work Marie Curie Actions International Staff Exchange Scheme grant 'European and South African Research Network in Anxiety Disorders' (EUSARNAD); Geestkracht programme of the Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development (ZonMw, 10-000-1002); Intramural Research Training Award (IRTA) program within the National Institute of Mental Health under the Intramural Research Program (NIMH-IRP, MH002781); National Institute of Mental Health under the Intramural Research Program (NIMH-IRP, ZIA-MH-002782); SA Medical Research Council; U.S. National Institutes of Health grants (P01 AG026572, P01 AG055367, P41 EB015922, R01 AG060610, R56 AG058854, RF1 AG051710, U54 EB020403).Anxiety disorders are highly prevalent and disabling but seem particularly tractable to investigation with translational neuroscience methodologies. Neuroimaging has informed our understanding of the neurobiology of anxiety disorders, but research has been limited by small sample sizes and low statistical power, as well as heterogenous imaging methodology. The ENIGMA-Anxiety Working Group has brought together researchers from around the world, in a harmonized and coordinated effort to address these challenges and generate more robust and reproducible findings. This paper elaborates on the concepts and methods informing the work of the working group to date, and describes the initial approach of the four subgroups studying generalized anxiety disorder, panic disorder, social anxiety disorder, and specific phobia. At present, the ENIGMA-Anxiety database contains information about more than 100 unique samples, from 16 countries and 59 institutes. Future directions include examining additional imaging modalities, integrating imaging and genetic data, and collaborating with other ENIGMA working groups. The ENIGMA consortium creates synergy at the intersection of global mental health and clinical neuroscience, and the ENIGMA-Anxiety Working Group extends the promise of this approach to neuroimaging research on anxiety disorders