Tobacco and multiple sclerosis susceptibility

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic immune-mediated disease of the central nervous system (CNS) that arises from a combination of a complex genetic predisposition and environmental factors. For northern Europeans, the lifetime risk of MS is 1:400, making it the most common non-traumatic cause of disability in young adults. The strongest genetic associations with MS are located within the human leukocyte antigen (HLA) complex and in recent years, a large number of non-HLA risk loci that influence disease susceptibility have been identified. The contribution of lifestyle and environmental factors is more difficult to study. However, it is important to identify these factors since they are potentially preventable and may also lead to hypotheses on critical pathogenic events. This thesis focuses on the impact of tobacco on MS risk. We replicated the finding of an association between smoking and MS risk and demonstrated that the risk of developing the disease increases with cumulative dose of smoking. However, snuff use, which leads to exposure to high doses of nicotine, was associated with decreased MS risk (paper I). In paper II, we showed an inverse dose-response correlation between cumulative dose of snuff use and disease risk. Nicotine has been shown to be protective in several models of inflammatory diseases, and may thus exert anti-inflammatory and immune-modulating effects in a way that reduces the risk of developing MS. In paper IV, we investigated the association between smoking and MS in more detail. Both duration and intensity of smoking contribute independently to the risk of developing the disease. Smoking affects MS risk regardless of age at exposure, in contrast to many other environmental risk factors which seem to act mainly during adolescence. The detrimental effect of smoking slowly abates after smoking cessation regardless of the timing of smoking and regardless of the cumulative dose of smoking. In paper III, we demonstrated that exposure to passive smoking among never smokers is associated with increased risk of MS. Tobacco smoke, but not tobacco consumption in the form of moist snuff, increases MS risk, suggesting that the critical effects of smoking may be caused by irritation in the lungs. Smoking increases pro-inflammatory cell activation and induces post-translational modifications of proteins in the lungs. In paper V, an interaction was demonstrated between carriage of HLA-DRB1*15, absence of HLA A*02, and smoking in the development of MS. We hypothesize that smoke-induced lung irritation, in the context of MS risk HLA genes, may generate post-translationally modified peptides which are cross-reactive with CNS antigens, promoting a CNS-directed autoaggressive immunity that results in MS. Further studies would be valuable in order to investigate whether other forms of lung irritation contribute to the triggering of MS. Apart from generating data of importance for preventive measures, our finding of an interaction between smoking and HLA genotype emphasizes the need to include data on environmental exposures in genetic analyses of complex diseases and vice versa

The relationship between nightmares, depression and suicide

Abstract Objective Previous studies investigating the association between nightmares and suicide have yielded different results. We aimed to investigate whether nightmares, directly or indirectly, influence the incidence of suicide. Methods We used a prospective cohort study, based on 40,902 participants with a mean follow-up duration of 19.0 years. Cox proportional hazards models with attained age as time-scale were fitted to estimate hazard ratios (HR) of suicide with 95% confidence intervals (CI) as a function of the presence or absence of depression and nightmares. Mediation analysis was used to asses to what extent the relationship between nightmares and the incidence rate of suicide could be mediated by depression. Results No association was observed between nightmares and the incidence of suicide among participants without depression. Compared with non-depressed participants without nightmares, the incidence of suicide among participants with a diagnosis of depression was similar among those with and without nightmares (HR 12.3, 95% CI 5.55–27.2 versus HR 13.2, 95% CI 7.25–24.1). The mediation analysis revealed no significant effects of nightmares on suicide incidence. However, the incidence of depression during follow-up was higher among those who suffered from nightmares than among those who did not (p Conclusions Our findings indicate that nightmares have no influence on the incidence rate of suicide, but may reflect pre-existing depression. This is supported by a recent discovery of a strong genetic correlation of nightmares with depressive disorders, with no evidence that nightmares would predispose to psychiatric illness or psychological problems. Interventions targeting both depression and nightmares, when these conditions co-occur, may provide additional therapeutic benefit

Mendelian randomization shows a causal effect of low vitamin D on multiple sclerosis risk.

ObjectiveWe sought to estimate the causal effect of low serum 25(OH)D on multiple sclerosis (MS) susceptibility that is not confounded by environmental or lifestyle factors or subject to reverse causality.MethodsWe conducted mendelian randomization (MR) analyses using an instrumental variable (IV) comprising 3 single nucleotide polymorphisms found to be associated with serum 25(OH)D levels at genome-wide significance. We analyzed the effect of the IV on MS risk and both age at onset and disease severity in 2 separate populations using logistic regression models that controlled for sex, year of birth, smoking, education, genetic ancestry, body mass index at age 18-20 years or in 20s, a weighted genetic risk score for 110 known MS-associated variants, and the presence of one or more HLA-DRB1*15:01 alleles.ResultsFindings from MR analyses using the IV showed increasing levels of 25(OH)D are associated with a decreased risk of MS in both populations. In white, non-Hispanic members of Kaiser Permanente Northern California (1,056 MS cases and 9,015 controls), the odds ratio (OR) was 0.79 (p = 0.04, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.64-0.99). In members of a Swedish population from the Epidemiological Investigation of Multiple Sclerosis and Genes and Environment in Multiple Sclerosis MS case-control studies (6,335 cases and 5,762 controls), the OR was 0.86 (p = 0.03, 95% CI: 0.76-0.98). A meta-analysis of the 2 populations gave a combined OR of 0.85 (p = 0.003, 95% CI: 0.76-0.94). No association was observed for age at onset or disease severity.ConclusionsThese results provide strong evidence that low serum 25(OH)D concentration is a cause of MS, independent of established risk factors

Elderly persons in the risk zone. Design of a multidimensional, health-promoting, randomised three-armed controlled trial for "prefrail" people of 80+ years living at home

Background The very old (80+) are often described as a "frail" group that is particularly exposed to diseases and functional disability. They are at great risk of losing the ability to manage their activities of daily living independently. A health-promoting intervention programme might prevent or delay dependence in activities of daily life and the development of functional decline. Studies have shown that those who benefit most from a health-promoting and disease-preventive programme are persons with no, or discrete, activity restrictions. The three-armed study "Elderly in the risk zone" is designed to evaluate if multi-dimensional and multi-professional educational senior meetings are more effective than preventive home visits, and if it is possible to prevent or delay deterioration if an intervention is made when the persons are not so frail. In this paper the study design, the intervention and the outcome measures as well as the baseline characteristics of the study participants are presented. Methods/Design The study is a randomised three-armed single-blind controlled trial with follow-ups 3 months, 1 and 2 years. The study group should comprise a representative sample of pre-frail 80-year old persons still living at home in two municipalities of Gothenburg. To allow for drop-outs, it was estimated that a total of about 450 persons would need to be included in the study. The participants should live in their ordinary housing and not be dependent on the municipal home help service or care. Further, they should be independent of help from another person in activities of daily living and be cognitively intact, having a score of 25 or higher as assessed with the Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE). Discussion We believe that the design of the study, the randomisation procedure, outcome measurements and the study protocol meetings should ensure the quality of the study. Furthermore, the multi-dimensionality of the intervention, the involvement of both the professionals and the senior citizens in the planning of the intervention should have the potential to effectively target the heterogeneous needs of the elderly. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT0087705

Relationship between shift work and the onset of rheumatoid arthritis

Background Environmental factors play a prominent role in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) aetiology. Shift work has previously been associated with increased RA risk in females. The aim of this study was to investigate the potential association, including a dose-response association, between permanent night shift work, rotating shift work and day-oriented shift work and risk of developing anticitrullinated peptide antibodies (ACPA)-positive and ACPA-negative RA. Methods The present report is based on a population-based, case-control study with incident cases of RA (1951 cases and 2225 controls matched by age, gender and residential area). Using logistic regression, occurrence of RA among subjects who have been exposed to different kinds of shift work was compared with that among those who have never been exposed by calculating the OR with a 95% CI. Results Rotating shift work and day-oriented shift work increased the risk of developing ACPA-positive RA (OR 1.3, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.7 and OR 1.3, 95% CI 1.0 to 1.6), but not ACPA-negative RA. Permanent night shift work appeared to be a protective factor both against ACPA-positive RA (OR 0.7, 95% CI 0.6 to 0.9) and ACPA-negative RA (OR 0.8, 95% CI 0.6 to 1.0). For both subsets of RA, significant trends showed a lower risk of developing RA with increasing duration of permanent night shift work (p value for trend 0.002 vs 0.04). Conclusions Sleep restriction as a consequence of shift work is associated with several biological effects among which changes in melatonin production may be involved. The present epidemiological findings of a complex relationship between sleep patterns and different forms of RA may be of importance for increasing the understanding of the pathophysiology of RA

Complex Relationships of Smoking, HLA-DRB1 Genes, and Serologic Profiles in Patients With Early Rheumatoid Arthritis : Update From a Swedish Population-Based Case-Control Study

Objective Smoking is associated with an increased risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in subsets of patients defined according to the presence or absence of anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPAs) and rheumatoid factors (RFs). Moreover, an interaction between smoking and the HLA-DRB1 shared epitope (SE) has been demonstrated to be a risk factor for seropositive RA. The aim of this study was to investigate the interplay between smoking and the HLA-DRB1 SE with regard to risk of RA in different patient subsets based on ACPA and RF status. Methods Incident cases of RA (3,645 cases, 5,883 matched controls) were divided into 4 subgroups based on the presence or absence of RF and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide 2 (anti-CCP2) antibodies. The influence of smoking on the risk of disease was determined in each RA subgroup, using logistic regression models with calculation of odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). The potential interaction between smoking and HLA-DRB1 SE genes was evaluated by calculating the attributable proportion due to interaction (AP). Results In the RF+/anti-CCP2+ subset of RA patients, both smoking and the presence of the HLA-DRB1 SE conferred independent disease risks, and there was a strong interaction between the 2 risk factors (AP 0.4, 95% CI 0.3, 0.5). In the RF-/anti-CCP2+ patient subset, the HLA-DRB1 SE conferred an increased risk of RA, whereas the independent influence of smoking was limited. However, there was a significant interaction between the HLA-DRB1 SE and smoking (AP 0.2, 95% CI 0.02, 0.5). In the RF+/anti-CCP2- patient subset, there was an increased risk of disease among smokers, which was only marginally affected by the presence of the HLA-DRB1 SE, and no interaction between the 2 factors was observed (AP 0.002, 95% CI -0.3, 0.3). In the RF-/anti-CCP2- patient subset, neither smoking nor the presence of the HLA-DRB1 SE conferred an increased risk of RA. Conclusion These findings demonstrate different effects of smoking and HLA-DRB1 in the 4 serologically defined RA subsets