1,031 research outputs found
The risk of buildings overheating in a low-carbon climate change future
An overheating risk tool that is compatible with building performance simulation software
has been developed, using principal component analysis to give a statistically rigorous
simplification of the UKCP09 probabilistic climate projections. The tool converts a single
dynamic simulation output into many hundreds of simulation results at hourly resolution for
equally-probable climates from the UKCP09 weather generator. The result is a population of
outcomes for the performance of a specific building in a future climate, thus helping the user
choose adaptation technologies that might reduce the risk of overheating. The outputs of the
LCF tool can be delivered as a risk matrix or a probabilistic overheating curve. The
perceptions and requirements of potential users were assessed and, for non-domestic
buildings in particular, the need to quantify and assess overheating risk was understood by
professionals, with concerns expressed for the ease of incorporation of the UKCP09
projections into this process. The new tool has the potential to meet these concerns
Pionic charge exchange on the proton from 40 to 250 MeV
The total cross sections for pionic charge exchange on hydrogen were measured
using a transmission technique on thin CH2 and C targets. Data were taken for
pi- lab energies from 39 to 247 MeV with total errors of typically 2% over the
Delta-resonance and up to 10% at the lowest energies. Deviations from the
predictions of the SAID phase shift analysis in the 60 to 80 MeV region are
interpreted as evidence for isospin-symmetry breaking in the s-wave amplitudes.
The charge dependence of the Delta-resonance properties appears to be smaller
than previously reported
Validation of the DECAF score to predict hospital mortality in acute exacerbations of COPD
Background
Hospitalisation due to acute
exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) is common, and
subsequent mortality high. The DECAF score was derived
for accurate prediction of mortality and risk strati
fi
cation
to inform patient care. We aimed to validate the DECAF
score, internally and externally, and to compare its
performance to other predictive tools.
Methods
The study took place in the two hospitals
within the derivation study (internal validation) and in
four additional hospitals (external validation) between
January 2012 and May 2014. Consecutive admissions
were identi
fi
ed by screening admissions and searching
coding records. Admission clinical data, including DECAF
indices, and mortality were recorded. The prognostic
value of DECAF and other scores were assessed by the
area under the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC)
curve.
Results
In the internal and external validation cohorts,
880 and 845 patients were recruited. Mean age was
73.1 (SD 10.3) years, 54.3% were female, and mean
(SD) FEV
1
45.5 (18.3) per cent predicted. Overall
mortality was 7.7%. The DECAF AUROC curve for
inhospital mortality was 0.83 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.87) in
the internal cohort and 0.82 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.87) in
the external cohort, and was superior to other
prognostic scores for inhospital or 30-day mortality.
Conclusions
DECAF is a robust predictor of mortality,
using indices routinely available on admission. Its
generalisability is supported by consistent strong
performance; it can identify low-risk patients (DECAF
0
–
1) potentially suitable for Hospital at Home or early
supported discharge services, and high-risk patients
(DECAF 3
–
6) for escalation planning or appropriate early
palliation.
Trial registration number
UKCRN ID 14214
Mechanical in-Exsufflation Improves the Breathing Pattern in Patients with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy
The effect of near-surface plastic deformation on the hot corrosion and high temperature corrosion-fatigue response of a nickel-based superalloy
Surface treatments such as shot peening to inhibit fatigue crack initiation are essential processes when designing gas turbine components for aerospace applications. It is therefore crucial to understand the effects of shot peening in representative service environments. Here, the influence of surface treatment on the high temperature corrosion fatigue response of a polycrystalline nickel-based superalloy is considered, an area that has not previously been explored. Two shot peening conditions; 110H 7A 200% and 330H 7A 200%, along with a polished surface were chosen. Specimens were salted and exposed to SO2 gas during fatigue testing at 700 °C. A range of novel techniques including SEM, EBSD and axial chromatism profilometry were used to analyse the near surface cold work and surface condition before and after testing. EBSD local misorientation maps, paired with an increase in corrosion-fatigue life, suggest that a greater depth of cold work produced by the smaller shot size (110H), is providing a significant benefit in terms of hot corrosion and corrosion-fatigue performance. This paper concludes that the presence of a substantial layer of cold work is required to account for any metal loss due to the effects of hot corrosion. It is also evident that cold work hinders fatigue crack initiation and delays the onset of pit to crack transition
CHIMPS: the 13CO/C18O (J = 3 to 2) Heterodyne Inner Milky Way Plane Survey
We present the 13CO/C18O (J = 3 → 2) Heterodyne Inner Milky Way Plane Survey (CHIMPS) which has been carried out using the Heterodyne Array Receiver Program on the 15 m James Clerk Maxwell Telescope (JCMT) in Hawaii. The high-resolution spectral survey currently covers |b| ≤ 0.5° and 28° ≲ l ≲ 46°, with an angular resolution of 15 arcsec in 0.5 km s-1 velocity channels. The spectra have a median rms of ˜0.6 K at this resolution, and for optically thin gas at an excitation temperature of 10 K, this sensitivity corresponds to column densities of NH2 ˜ 3 × 1020 cm-2 and NH2 ˜ 4 × 1021 cm-2 for 13CO and C18O, respectively. The molecular gas that CHIMPS traces is at higher column densities and is also more optically thin than in other publicly available CO surveys due to its rarer isotopologues, and thus more representative of the three-dimensional structure of the clouds. The critical density of the J = 3 → 2 transition of CO is ≳104 cm-3 at temperatures of ≤20 K, and so the higher density gas associated with star formation is well traced. These data complement other existing Galactic plane surveys, especially the JCMT Galactic Plane Survey which has similar spatial resolution and column density sensitivity, and the Herschel infrared Galactic Plane Survey. In this paper, we discuss the observations, data reduction and characteristics of the survey, presenting integrated-emission maps for the region covered. Position-velocity diagrams allow comparison with Galactic structure models of the Milky Way, and while we find good agreement with a particular four-arm model, there are some significant deviations.Peer reviewedFinal Accepted Versio
Homologous Flares and Magnetic Field Topology in Active Region NOAA 10501 on 20 November 2003
We present and interpret observations of two morphologically homologous
flares that occurred in active region (AR) NOAA 10501 on 20 November 2003. Both
flares displayed four homologous H-alpha ribbons and were both accompanied by
coronal mass ejections (CMEs). The central flare ribbons were located at the
site of an emerging bipole in the center of the active region. The negative
polarity of this bipole fragmented in two main pieces, one rotating around the
positive polarity by ~ 110 deg within 32 hours. We model the coronal magnetic
field and compute its topology, using as boundary condition the magnetogram
closest in time to each flare. In particular, we calculate the location of
quasiseparatrix layers (QSLs) in order to understand the connectivity between
the flare ribbons. Though several polarities were present in AR 10501, the
global magnetic field topology corresponds to a quadrupolar magnetic field
distribution without magnetic null points. For both flares, the photospheric
traces of QSLs are similar and match well the locations of the four H-alpha
ribbons. This globally unchanged topology and the continuous shearing by the
rotating bipole are two key factors responsible for the flare homology.
However, our analyses also indicate that different magnetic connectivity
domains of the quadrupolar configuration become unstable during each flare, so
that magnetic reconnection proceeds differently in both events.Comment: 24 pages, 10 figures, Solar Physics (accepted
Charged pion form factor between Q^2=0.60 and 2.45 GeV^2. II. Determination of, and results for, the pion form factor
The charged pion form factor, Fpi(Q^2), is an important quantity which can be
used to advance our knowledge of hadronic structure. However, the extraction of
Fpi from data requires a model of the 1H(e,e'pi+)n reaction, and thus is
inherently model dependent. Therefore, a detailed description of the extraction
of the charged pion form factor from electroproduction data obtained recently
at Jefferson Lab is presented, with particular focus given to the dominant
uncertainties in this procedure. Results for Fpi are presented for
Q^2=0.60-2.45 GeV^2. Above Q^2=1.5 GeV^2, the Fpi values are systematically
below the monopole parameterization that describes the low Q^2 data used to
determine the pion charge radius. The pion form factor can be calculated in a
wide variety of theoretical approaches, and the experimental results are
compared to a number of calculations. This comparison is helpful in
understanding the role of soft versus hard contributions to hadronic structure
in the intermediate Q^2 regime.Comment: 18 pages, 11 figure
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