Base de données de l'enquête des 3 000 familles

Rappelons brièvement que l'enquête sur la mobilité géographique et sociale en France, dite « Enquête des 3 000 familles », repose sur la reconstitution de la descendance patronymique d'un échantillon représentatif de 3 000 couples formés en France au début du xixe siècle. Pour suivre les individus dans leurs déplacements au xixe siècle, on a dépouillé systématiquement les tables décennales de l'état civil de toutes les communes de France pour la période 1803-1902, afin d'y relever toutes les ..

Does the European marriage pattern explain economic growth?

This article scrutinizes the recently postulated link between the European Marriage Pattern (EMP) and economic success. Multivariate analysis of 4,705 demographic observations, covering women's marriage age, female lifetime celibacy, and household complexity in 39 European countries, shows that the most extreme manifestations of the EMP were associated with economic stagnation rather than growth. There is no evidence that the EMP improved economic performance by empowering women, increasing human capital investment, adjusting population to economic trends, or sustaining beneficial cultural norms. European economic success was not caused by the EMP and its sources must therefore be sought in other factors.This is the accepted manuscript. The final version is available from CUP at http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=9335236&fileId=S0022050714000564

The Decline of Remarriage: Evidence From German Village Populations in the Eighteenth and Nineteenth Centuries

Family reconstitution data for fourteen German village populations permit the examination of remarriage during the eighteenth and nineteenth cen turies. The results provide compelling evidence for a secular decline in the tenden cy to remarry. Pronounced age and sex differentials in the likelihood of remar riage were evident: widows were far less likely to remarry than widowers, and the probability of remarriage declined rapidly with age, particularly for women. The probability of remarriage was also inversely associated with the number and age of children. There were, however, no clear differences in either the probability of remarriage or its tendency to decline over time among major occupational groups. The decline in remarriage probabilities was caused in part by declines in adult mortality, which gradually raised the ages of surviving spouses to levels at which remarriage has historically been rather unlikely. However, age-specific marriage probabilities also declined, affecting both men and women and all oc cupational groups, suggesting the presence of a social change of wide scope. Some comments on possible factors contributing to the decline of remarriage are presented. The need for a comprehensive explanation of remarriage trends and differentials remains an important challenge for family historians.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/68212/2/10.1177_036319908501000103.pd

Chronicle of an early demise, surname extinction in the fifteenth and the seventeenth centuries

This is the Author’s Original Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History on 2018, available online: http://www.tandfonline.com/10.1080/01615440.2018.1462747It has been amply demonstrated that individuals' reproductive capability is the key explanatory phenomenon for understanding onomastic disappearance during the early modern period. This article analyzes the evolution and consequences of surname extinction in a specific population: Catalonia in the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries. In this article two aspects are examined. First, the observed disappearance of surnames is estimated through historical data collected in the Llibres d'Esposalles (Marriage Books) from 1481 to 1600 at Barcelona Cathedral. Second, the estimated natural extinction of those surnames registered in 1481 is forecast by applying a statistical branching processResearch has been funded by Projects MTM2016-76969-P (Spanish State Research Agency, AEI) and MTM2013-41383-P (Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness), both co-funded by the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF), IAP network from Belgian Science Policy. Work of J. Ameijeiras-Alonso has been supported by the Ph.D. Grant BES-2014-071006 from the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and CompetitivenessNO

La famille Bertillon et la naissance d'une nouvelle science sociale

The present article covers the biography, vocabulary and demographic analysis of the Bertillon-Guillard family. Although it was A. Guillard who invented the word "demography", it was his son-in-law, Louis-Adolphe Bertillon, who gave to this new science all its meaning, with the International Population Conference, the Annales de demographic internationale and the very first lectures on demography. A study of their vocabulary shows that A. Guillard remained an amateur, whereas his son-in-law, Louis-Adolphe Bertillon, made progress in the analysis of mortality along the lines of W. Farr. As for Jacques Bertillon, Louis-Adolphe 's son who knew all about international research on fertility, he published the first treatise on demography worthy of this name in 1890 and founded the National Alliance for Growth of the French Population. He remains particularly well-known for his nomenclature of causes of death which became international in 1900 and which was mainly based on the International Statistical Conférence of 1855.Cet article retrace la biographie, le vocabulaire et l'analyse démographique de la famille BertillonGuillard. Si A. Guillard a créé le mot de démographie, son gendre Louis-Adolphe Bertillon donne à la science nouvelle toute son extension, avec le Congrès international de démographie, les Annales de démographie internationale, et les premiers cours de démographie. L'analyse du vocabulaire montre qu'A. Guillard reste un amateur, tandis que son gendre Louis-Adolphe Bertillon fait progresser l'analyse de la mortalité, dans la ligne de W. Farr. Quant à Jacques Bertillon, fils de Louis-Adolphe, très au courant des recherches internationales sur la fécondité, il publie en 1890 le premier Traité de démographie digne de ce nom, et fonde l'Alliance nationale pour l'accroissement de la population française. Il reste surtout connu pour sa nomenclature des causes de décès, devenue internationale en 1900, qu'il a repris en grande partie du Congrès international de statistique de 1855.Dupâquier Michel. La famille Bertillon et la naissance d'une nouvelle science sociale. In: Annales de démographie historique, 1983. Mères et nourrissons. pp. 293-311

Croissance démographique régionale dans le Bassin parisien au XVIIIe siècle

Dupâquier Jacques. Croissance démographique régionale dans le Bassin parisien au XVIIIe siècle. In: Annales de démographie historique, 1973. Hommage à Marcel Reinhard. Sur la population française au XVIIIe et au XIXe siècles. pp. 231-250