Explicit error bounds for lazy reversible Markov Chain Monte Carlo

We prove explicit, i.e., non-asymptotic, error bounds for Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, such as the Metropolis algorithm. The problem is to compute the expectation (or integral) of f with respect to a measure which can be given by a density with respect to another measure. A straight simulation of the desired distribution by a random number generator is in general not possible. Thus it is reasonable to use Markov chain sampling with a burn-in. We study such an algorithm and extend the analysis of Lovasz and Simonovits (1993) to obtain an explicit error bound

Limit Theorems for Individual-Based Models in Economics and Finance

There is a widespread recent interest in using ideas from statistical physics to model certain types of problems in economics and finance. The main idea is to derive the macroscopic behavior of the market from the random local interactions between agents. Our purpose is to present a general framework that encompasses a broad range of models, by proving a law of large numbers and a central limit theorem for certain interacting particle systems with very general state spaces. To do this we draw inspiration from some work done in mathematical ecology and mathematical physics. The first result is proved for the system seen as a measure-valued process, while to prove the second one we will need to introduce a chain of embeddings of some abstract Banach and Hilbert spaces of test functions and prove that the fluctuations converge to the solution of a certain generalized Gaussian stochastic differential equation taking values in the dual of one of these spaces.Comment: To appear in Stochastic Processes and their Application

Functional and Banach Space Stochastic Calculi: Path-Dependent Kolmogorov Equations Associated with the Frame of a Brownian Motion

First, we revisit basic theory of functional It\uf4/path-dependent calculus, using the formulation of calculus via regularization. Relations with the corresponding Banach space valued calculus are explored. The second part of the paper is devoted to the study of the Kolmogorov type equation associated with the so called window Brownian motion, called path-dependent heat equation, for which well-posedness at the level of strict solutions is established. Then, a notion of strong approximating solution, called strong-viscosity solution, is introduced which is supposed to be a substitution tool to the viscosity solution. For that kind of solution, we also prove existence and uniqueness