A compactness result in approach theory with an application to the continuity approach structure

We establish a compactness result in approach theory which we apply to obtain a generalization of Prokhorov's Theorem for the continuity approach structure.Comment: 10 page

Optimisation under uncertainty applied to a bridge collision problem

We consider the problem of modelling the load on a bridge pillar when hit by a vehicle. This load depends on a number of uncertain variables, such as the mass of the vehicle and its speed on impact. The objective of our study is to analyse their effect on the load. More specifically, we are interested in finding the minimum distance of the pillar to the side of the road passing under the bridge such that a given constraint on the load is satisfied in 99% of impact cases, i.e., such that the probability of satisfying the constraint is 0.99. In addition, we look for solutions to the following optimisation problem: find the distance that minimises a given cost function while still satisfying a given constraint on the load. This optimisation problem under uncertain constraints is not a well-posed problem, so we turn it into a decision problem under uncertainty. For both problems, we consider two typical cases. In the first, so-called precise-probability case, all uncertain variables involved are modelled using probability distributions, and in the second, so-called imprecise-probability case, the uncertainty for at least some of the variables (in casu the mass) is modelled by an interval of possible values, which is a special imprecise-probabilistic model. In the first case, we compute the joint distribution using simple Monte Carlo simulation, and in the second case, we combine Monte Carlo simulation with newly developed techniques in the field of imprecise probabilities. For the optimisation problem with uncertain constraints, this leads to two distinct approaches with different optimality criteria, namely maximality and maximinity, which we discuss and compare

Reliability analysis in vehicle collision with bridge pier

Much work has been done in bridge design specification via a set of structural design standards called Eurocodes to cover the design of all types of structures. We analyse the accidental force on a bridge pier when it is hit by vehicles in order to assess the reliability of a bridge. The force that comes from a vehicle—called vehicle impact force—is not deterministic and it depends on some uncertain parameters, such as the mass of the vehicle and its speed on impact. All the data and uncertainty models for the parameters are given by Eurocode 1. In this paper we analyse the force that is affected by these parameters. For doing that we consider two kinds of problems where in the both problems this force is a function on a distance—the distance between the bridge pier and the side of a road passing under the bridge. One of the problems proposes a design force as a function of the distance—called reliable distance—using a strength condition, the condition on the design forces and the other one suggests a tool for obtaining an economical optimum distance—called cost-optimal distance—by taking into account the optimum economical costs—the cost of bulding and repairing the bridge and human life. In both problems, we consider the safety of the distance where affects dynamic and static design forces and the impact force of vehicle which is not a constant. We show how reliable are Eurocodes by comparing these two distances calculated in two different problems. In other words, through these two problems/criteria we show the danger of using the data represented via Eurocodes for the parameters. In addition, we found linear functions on the distance and the (dynamic and static) design forces of the bridge

Predictores de abandono en un ensayo clínico controlado de psicoterapia para depresión moderada

A significant number of psychotherapy clients remain untreated, and dropping out is one of the main reasons. Still, the literature around this subject is incoherent. The present study explores potential pre-treatment predictors of dropout in a sample of clients who took part in a clinical trial designed to test the efficacy of narrative therapy for major depressive disorder compared to cognitive-behavioral therapy. Logistic regression analysis showed that: (1) treatment assignment did not predict dropout, (2) clients taking psychiatric medication at intake were 80% less likely to drop out from therapy, compared to clients who were not taking medication, and (3) clients presenting anxious comorbidity at intake were 82% less likely to dropout compared to those clients not presenting anxious comorbidity. Results suggest that clinicians should pay attention to depressed clients who are not taking psychiatric medication or have no comorbid anxiety. More research is needed in order to understand this relationship.Un número significativo de clientes de psicoterapia no recibe tratamiento adecuado y el abandono del mismo es una de las principales razones. La literatura existente al respecto es contradictoria. Este estudio explora potenciales predictores del abandono en una muestra de clientes que participaron de un ensayo clínico diseñado para demostrar la eficacia de la terapia narrativa en el trastorno depresivo mayor en comparación con la terapia cognitivo-conductual. Los resultados muestran que (1) la asignación del tratamiento no predecía el abandono, (2) los clientes que al comenzar el tratamiento estaban medicados tuvieron un 80% menos de probabilidad de abandonar la psicoterapia, comparado con los clientes no medicados y (3) los clientes que padecían de comorbilidad ansiosa tuvieron un 82% menos de probabilidad de abandonar la psicoterapia comparado con los clientes sin comorbilidad. Los clínicos deberían prestar especial atención a los clientes sin medicación o que no padezcan de comorbilidad ansiosa. Se requiere más investigación para comprender esta relación.Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) supported this paper through the Research Project “Ambivalence and Unsuccessful Psychotherapy” [PTDC/PSI-PCL/121525/2010], coordinated by M. Gonçalves, and a doctoral grant to R. Lopes [SFRH/BD/47343/2008]

Perception of Sleep in Recovering Alcohol-Dependent Patients With Insomnia: Relationship With Future Drinking

Subjective and objective measures of poor sleep in alcoholic insomniacs predict relapse to drinking. Nonalcoholic insomniacs underestimate their total sleep time (TST) and overestimate their sleep onset latency (SOL) and wake time after sleep onset (WASO) compared with polysomnography (PSG). This study evaluated 3 hypotheses: (1) subjective SOL would predict frequency of future drinking; (2) participants would overestimate SOL and WASO and underestimate TST; and (3) higher amounts of over- and underestimates of sleep at baseline would predict worse drinking outcomes prospectively. Methods : Participants ( N =18), mean age 44.6 years (±13.2), underwent an adaptation night and then 2 nights of PSG 3 weeks apart. They also provided morning estimates of SOL, WASO, TST, and sleep efficiency (SE). Following the baseline PSG, participants were followed over 12 weeks. A 2-way ANOVA (night × method of measuring sleep) compared results and regression analyses predicted drinking. Drinking outcomes were defined as number of days drinking (DD) and number of heavy-drinking days (HDD) during 2 consecutive 6-week follow-up periods. Results : Most participants (72%) overestimated SOL by a mean of 21.3 (±36) minutes compared with PSG [ F (1, 14)=7.1, p <0.03]. Unexpectedly, 89% underestimated WASO by a mean difference of 48.7 (±49) minutes [ F (1, 14)=15.6, p <0.01]. Drinking during the first 6-week study period was predicted by both subjective estimates of WASO and their accuracy, whereas drinking during the second 6-week period was predicted by both subjective estimations of sleep and rapid eye movement sleep latency. Conclusion : Greater subjective accuracy of wakefulness at night provided by the patient predicted drinking during the study. Unlike nonalcoholic insomniacs, this alcoholic sample significantly underestimated WASO compared with PSG values. The predictive ability of sleep parameters depended on the selected measure of drinking outcomes and when outcomes were measured. Subjective sleep measures were better predictors of future drinking than corresponding PSG measures.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/65202/1/j.1530-0277.2006.00245.x.pd

Ingestion of marine debris by Wedge-tailed Shearwaters ( Ardenna pacifica ) on Lord Howe Island, Australia during 2005–2018

publisher: Elsevier articletitle: Ingestion of marine debris by Wedge-tailed Shearwaters (Ardenna pacifica) on Lord Howe Island, Australia during 2005–2018 journaltitle: Marine Pollution Bulletin articlelink: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2018.06.023 content_type: article copyright: © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.The attached document is the authors’ submitted version of the journal article. You are advised to consult the publisher’s version if you wish to cite from it

Multimodal therapy in an inpatient setting

Inpatient Multimodal Therapy (imt) is a residential treatment program, lasting a maximum of 36 weeks, for patients with severe neurotic symptoms. A group of 44 chronic obsessive-compulsive patients and a group of 40 chronic phobic patients were treated in order to assess the outcome and the process of treatment and to identify prognostic factors associated with the effect. At follow-up-on average, eight months after discharge-it was found that 60% had improved, 32% had remained the same, and 8% had deteriorated, indicating that, in general, the treatment was beneficial. That these effects were long-lasting is supported by the fact that, at follow-up, 78% of all patients were no longer receiving treatment, 18% were receiving outpatient or day treatment, and 4% were receiving inpatient treatment. Phobic patients appear to have gained more from the multimodal approach than did obsessive-compulsive patients, as indicated by the fact that the severity of symptoms decreased as they improved in rational thinking, assertiveness, and arousal. By contrast, obsessive-compulsive patients relapsed more than phobic patients did. This was attributed to the fact that the former gained less from the rational-emotive training, denied problems with assertiveness, and did not practice the acquired relaxation skills. It further appeared that a favorable outcome could be induced in patients who (1) expressed relatively mild symptoms in this otherwise severe group, (2) reported relatively few additional complaints, (3) could clearly indicate interpersonal problems, and (4) did not use psychotropic drugs. These prognostic factors are so widespread that not much weight can be ascribed to them. Yet they are useful for indication of imt until better predictors are found

Materializing digital collecting: an extended view of digital materiality

If digital objects are abundant and ubiquitous, why should consumers pay for, much less collect them? The qualities of digital code present numerous challenges for collecting, yet digital collecting can and does occur. We explore the role of companies in constructing digital consumption objects that encourage and support collecting behaviours, identifying material configuration techniques that materialise these objects as elusive and authentic. Such techniques, we argue, may facilitate those pleasures of collecting otherwise absent in the digital realm. We extend theories of collecting by highlighting the role of objects and the companies that construct them in materialising digital collecting. More broadly, we extend theories of digital materiality by highlighting processes of digital material configuration that occur in the pre-objectification phase of materialisation, acknowledging the role of marketing and design in shaping the qualities exhibited by digital consumption objects and consequently related consumption behaviours and experiences