687 research outputs found
An artificial neural network model for rainfall forecasting in Bangkok, Thailand
This paper presents a new approach using an Artificial Neural Network technique to improve rainfall forecast performance. A real world case study was set up in Bangkok; 4 years of hourly data from 75 rain gauge stations in the area were used to develop the ANN model. The developed ANN model is being applied for real time rainfall forecasting and flood management in Bangkok, Thailand. Aimed at providing forecasts in a near real time schedule, different network types were tested with different kinds of input information. Preliminary tests showed that a generalized feedforward ANN model using hyperbolic tangent transfer function achieved the best generalization of rainfall. Especially, the use of a combination of meteorological parameters (relative humidity, air pressure, wet bulb temperature and cloudiness), the rainfall at the point of forecasting and rainfall at the surrounding stations, as an input data, advanced ANN model to apply with continuous data containing rainy and non-rainy period, allowed model to issue forecast at any moment. Additionally, forecasts by ANN model were compared to the convenient approach namely simple persistent method. Results show that ANN forecasts have superiority over the ones obtained by the persistent model. Rainfall forecasts for Bangkok from 1 to 3 h ahead were highly satisfactory. Sensitivity analysis indicated that the most important input parameter besides rainfall itself is the wet bulb temperature in forecasting rainfall
The Rigidly Rotating Magnetosphere of Sigma Ori E
We attempt to characterize the observed variability of the magnetic
helium-strong star sigma Ori E in terms of a recently developed rigidly
rotating magnetosphere model. This model predicts the accumulation of
circumstellar plasma in two co-rotating clouds, situated in magnetohydrostatic
equilibrium at the intersection between magnetic and rotational equators. We
find that the model can reproduce well the periodic modulations observed in the
star's light curve, H alpha emission-line profile, and longitudinal field
strength, confirming that it furnishes an essentially correct, quantitative
description of the star's magnetically controlled circumstellar environment.Comment: 4 pages, 3 figures, accepted by Ap
Focusing by blocking: repeatedly generating central density peaks in self-propelled particle systems by exploiting diffusive processes
Over the past few years the displacement statistics of self-propelled
particles has been intensely studied, revealing their long-time diffusive
behavior. Here, we demonstrate that a concerted combination of boundary
conditions and switching on and off the self-propelling drive can generate and
afterwards arbitrarily often restore a non-stationary centered peak in their
spatial distribution. This corresponds to a partial reversibility of their
statistical behavior, in opposition to the above-mentioned long-time diffusive
nature. Interestingly, it is a diffusive process that mediates and makes
possible this procedure. It should be straightforward to verify our predictions
in a real experimental system.Comment: 6 pages, 6 figure
Testing the companion hypothesis for the origin of the X-ray emission from intermediate-mass main-sequence stars
There is no straightforward explanation for intrinsic X-ray emission from
intermediate-mass main-sequence stars. Therefore the observed emission is often
interpreted in terms of (hypothesized) late-type magnetically active companion
stars. We use Chandra imaging observations to spatially resolve in X-rays a
sample of main-sequence B-type stars with recently discovered companions at
arcsecond separation. We find that all spatially resolved companions are X-ray
emitters, but seven out of eleven intermediate-mass stars are also X-ray
sources. If this emission is interpreted in terms of additional sub-arcsecond
or spectroscopic companions, this implies a high multiplicity of B-type stars.
Firm results on B star multiplicity pending, the alternative, that B stars
produce intrinsic X-rays, can not be discarded. The appropriate scenario in
this vein is might be a magnetically confined wind, as suggested for the X-ray
emission of the magnetic Ap star IQ Aur. However, the only Ap star in the
Chandra sample is not detected in X-rays, and therefore does not support this
picture.Comment: 12 pages; accepted for publication in Astronomy & Astrophysic
Predictions for mass-loss rates and terminal wind velocities of massive O-type stars
Mass loss forms an important aspect of the evolution of massive stars, as
well as for the enrichment of the surrounding ISM. Our goal is to predict
accurate mass-loss rates and terminal wind velocities. These quantities can be
compared to empirical values, thereby testing radiation-driven wind models. One
specific issue is that of the "weak-wind problem", where empirically derived
mass-loss rates fall orders of magnitude short of predicted values. We employ
an established Monte Carlo model and a recently suggested new line acceleration
formalism to solve the wind dynamics consistently. We provide a new grid of
mass-loss rates and terminal wind velocities of O stars, and compare the values
to empirical results. Our models fail to provide mass-loss rates for
main-sequence stars below a luminosity of log(L/Lsun) = 5.2, where we run into
a fundamental limit. At luminosities below this critical value there is
insufficient momentum transferred in the region below the sonic point to
kick-start the acceleration. This problem occurs at the location of the onset
of the weak-wind problem. For O dwarfs, the boundary between being able to
start a wind, and failing to do so, is at spectral type O6/O6.5. The direct
cause of this failure is a combination of the lower luminosity and a lack of Fe
V lines at the wind base. This might indicate that another mechanism is
required to provide the necessary driving to initiate the wind. For stars more
luminous than log(L/Lsun) = 5.2, our new mass-loss rates are in excellent
agreement with the mass-loss prescription by Vink et al. 2000. This implies
that the main assumption entering the method of the Vink et al. prescriptions -
i.e. that the momentum equation is not explicitly solved for - does not
compromise the reliability of the Vink et al. results for this part of
parameter space (Abridged).Comment: 10 pages, 10 figures, Astronomy & Astrophysics (in press
New findings on the prototypical Of?p stars
In recent years several in-depth investigations of the three Galactic Of?p
stars were undertaken. These multiwavelength studies revealed the peculiar
properties of these objects (in the X-rays as well as in the optical): magnetic
fields, periodic line profile variations, recurrent photometric changes.
However, many questions remain unsolved. To clarify some of the properties of
the Of?p stars, we have continued their monitoring. A new XMM observation and
two new optical datasets were obtained. Additional information for the
prototypical Of?p trio has been found. HD108 has now reached its quiescent,
minimum-emission state, for the first time in 50--60yrs. The echelle spectra of
HD148937 confirm the presence of the 7d variations in the Balmer lines and
reveal similar periodic variations (though of lower amplitudes) in the HeI5876
and HeII4686 lines, underlining its similarities with the other two
prototypical Of?p stars. The new XMM observation of HD191612 was taken at the
same phase in the line modulation cycle but at a different orbital phase as
previous data. It clearly shows that the X-ray emission of HD191612 is
modulated by the 538d period and not the orbital period of 1542d - it is thus
not of colliding-wind origin and the phenomenon responsible for the optical
changes appears also at work in the high-energy domain. There are however
problems: our MHD simulations of the wind magnetic confinement predict both a
harder X-ray flux of a much larger strength than what is observed (the modeled
DEM peaks at 30-40MK, whereas the observed one peaks at 2MK) and narrow lines
(hot gas moving with velocities of 100--200km/s, whereras the observed FWHM is
~2000km/s).Comment: 10 pages, 8 figures (2 in jpg), accepted for publication by A&
X-ray Variability in the Young Massive Triple theta2 Ori A
Massive stars rarely show intrinsic X-ray variability. The only O-stars
credited to be intrinsically variable are theta1 Ori C due to effects from
magnetic confinement of its wind, and theta2 Ori A suspected of similar
activity. Early Chandra observations have shown that the most massive star
system in the Orion Trapezium Cluster, theta2 Ori A, shows rapid variability on
time scales of hours. We determine X-ray fluxes and find that the star shows
very strong variability over the last 5 years. We observed a second large X-ray
outburst in November 2004 with the high resolution transmission grating
spectrometer on-board Chandra. In the low state X-ray emissivities indicate
temperatures well above 25 MK. In the high state we find an extended emissivity
distribution with high emissivities in the range from 3 MK to over 100 MK. The
outburst event in stellar terms is one of the most powerful ever observed and
the most energetic one in the ONC with a lower total energy limit of 1.5x10^37
ergs. The line diagnostics show that under the assumption that the line
emitting regions in the low states are as close as within 1 -- 2 stellar radii
from the O-star's photosphere, whereas the hard states suggest a distance of 3
-- 5 stellar radii. The two outbursts are very close to the periastron passage
of the stars. We argue that the high X-ray states are possibly the result of
reconnection events from magnetic interactions of the primary and secondary
stars of the spectroscopic binary. Effects from wind collisions seem unlikely
for this system. The low state emissivity and R-ratios strengthen the
predicament that the X-ray emission is enhanced by magnetic confinement of the
primary wind. We also detect Fe fluorescence indicative of the existence of
substantial amounts of neutral Fe in the vicinity of the X-ray emission.Comment: 11 pages, 8 figures, accepted for publication in The Astrophysical
Main Journa
CP and related phenomena in the context of Stellar Evolution
We review the interaction in intermediate and high mass stars between their
evolution and magnetic and chemical properties. We describe the theory of
Ap-star `fossil' fields, before touching on the expected secular diffusive
processes which give rise to evolution of the field. We then present recent
results from a spectropolarimetric survey of Herbig Ae/Be stars, showing that
magnetic fields of the kind seen on the main-sequence already exist during the
pre-main sequence phase, in agreement with fossil field theory, and that the
origin of the slow rotation of Ap/Bp stars also lies early in the pre-main
sequence evolution; we also present results confirming a lack of stars with
fields below a few hundred gauss. We then seek which macroscopic motions
compete with atomic diffusion in determining the surface abundances of AmFm
stars. While turbulent transport and mass loss, in competition with atomic
diffusion, are both able to explain observed surface abundances, the interior
abundance distribution is different enough to potentially lead to a test using
asterosismology. Finally we review progress on the turbulence-driving and
mixing processes in stellar radiative zones.Comment: Proceedings of IAU GA in Rio, JD4 on Ap stars; 10 pages, 7 figure
The effect of magnetic dipolar interactions on the interchain spin wave dispersion in CsNiF_3
Inelastic neutron scattering measurements were performed on the ferromagnetic
chain system CsNiF_3 in the collinear antiferromagnetic ordered state below T_N
= 2.67K. The measured spin wave dispersion was found to be in good agreement
with linear spin wave theory including dipolar interactions. The additional
dipole tensor in the Hamiltonian was essential to explain some striking
phenomena in the measured spin wave spectrum: a peculiar feature of the
dispersion relation is a jump at the zone center, caused by strong dipolar
interactions in this system. The interchain exchange coupling constant and the
planar anisotropy energy were determined within the present model to be J'/k_B
= -0.0247(12)K and A/k_B = 3.3(1)K. This gives a ratio J/J' \approx 500, using
the previously determined intrachain coupling constant J/k_B = 11.8$. The small
exchange energy J' is of the same order as the dipolar energy, which implies a
strong competition between the both interactions.Comment: 18 pages, TeX type, 7 Postscript figures included. To be published in
Phys. Rev.
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