The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis

Climate change affects timing of reproduction in many bird species, but few studies have investigated its influence on annual reproductive output. Here, we assess changes in the annual production of young by female breeders in 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) covering all continents between 1970 and 2019. Overall, average offspring production has declined in recent decades, but considerable differences were found among species and populations. A total of 56.7% of populations showed a declining trend in offspring production (significant in 17.4%), whereas 43.3% exhibited an increase (significant in 10.4%). The results show that climatic changes affect offspring production through compounded effects on ecological and life history traits of species. Migratory and larger-bodied species experienced reduced offspring production with increasing temperatures during the chick-rearing period, whereas smaller-bodied, sedentary species tended to produce more offspring. Likewise, multi-brooded species showed increased breeding success with increasing temperatures, whereas rising temperatures were unrelated to reproductive success in single-brooded species. Our study suggests that rapid declines in size of bird populations reported by many studies from different parts of the world are driven only to a small degree by changes in the production of young.This meta-analysis was financed by the grant of the Polish National Science Centre (Narodowe Centrum Nauki) (no. 2017/27/B/NZ8/00465) awarded to Lucyna Hałupka.Peer reviewe

The effect of climate change on avian offspring production: A global meta-analysis

Climate change affects timing of reproduction in many bird species, but few studies have investigated its influence on annual reproductive output. Here, we assess changes in the annual production of young by female breeders in 201 populations of 104 bird species (N = 745,962 clutches) covering all continents between 1970 and 2019. Overall, average offspring production has declined in recent decades, but considerable differences were found among species and populations. A total of 56.7% of populations showed a declining trend in offspring production (significant in 17.4%), whereas 43.3% exhibited an increase (significant in 10.4%). The results show that climatic changes affect offspring production through compounded effects on ecological and life history traits of species. Migratory and larger-bodied species experienced reduced offspring production with increasing temperatures during the chick-rearing period, whereas smaller-bodied, sedentary species tended to produce more offspring. Likewise, multi-brooded species showed increased breeding success with increasing temperatures, whereas rising temperatures were unrelated to repro- ductive success in single-brooded species. Our study suggests that rapid declines in size of bird populations reported by many studies from different parts of the world are driven only to a small degree by changes in the production of young

Understanding the Relationship Between Mood Symptoms and Mobile App Engagement Among Patients With Breast Cancer Using Machine Learning: Case Study

BackgroundHealth interventions delivered via smart devices are increasingly being used to address mental health challenges associated with cancer treatment. Engagement with mobile interventions has been associated with treatment success; however, the relationship between mood and engagement among patients with cancer remains poorly understood. A reason for this is the lack of a data-driven process for analyzing mood and app engagement data for patients with cancer. ObjectiveThis study aimed to provide a step-by-step process for using app engagement metrics to predict continuously assessed mood outcomes in patients with breast cancer. MethodsWe described the steps involved in data preprocessing, feature extraction, and data modeling and prediction. We applied this process as a case study to data collected from patients with breast cancer who engaged with a mobile mental health app intervention (IntelliCare) over 7 weeks. We compared engagement patterns over time (eg, frequency and days of use) between participants with high and low anxiety and between participants with high and low depression. We then used a linear mixed model to identify significant effects and evaluate the performance of the random forest and XGBoost classifiers in predicting weekly mood from baseline affect and engagement features. ResultsWe observed differences in engagement patterns between the participants with high and low levels of anxiety and depression. The linear mixed model results varied by the feature set; these results revealed weak effects for several features of engagement, including duration-based metrics and frequency. The accuracy of predicting depressed mood varied according to the feature set and classifier. The feature set containing survey features and overall app engagement features achieved the best performance (accuracy: 84.6%; precision: 82.5%; recall: 64.4%; F1 score: 67.8%) when used with a random forest classifier. ConclusionsThe results from the case study support the feasibility and potential of our analytic process for understanding the relationship between app engagement and mood outcomes in patients with breast cancer. The ability to leverage both self-report and engagement features to analyze and predict mood during an intervention could be used to enhance decision-making for researchers and clinicians and assist in developing more personalized interventions for patients with breast cancer

Minimal Effect of Messaging on Engagement in a Digital Anxiety Intervention

Poster for 2022 Meeting of Society for Digital Mental Healt

Minimal Effect of Messaging on Engagement in a Digital Anxiety Intervention

This study evaluated the effectiveness of different recruitment messages for encouraging enrollment in a digital mental health intervention (DMHI) for anxiety among 1,600 anxious patients in a large healthcare system. Patients were randomly assigned to receive a standard message, or one of five messages designed to encourage enrollment: Three messages offered varying financial incentives, one message offered coaching, and one message provided user testimonials. Patients could then click a link in the message to visit the DMHI website, enroll, and start the first session. We examined the effects of message features and message length (short vs. long) on rates of site clicks, enrollment, and starting the first session. We also tested whether demographic and clinical factors derived from patients’ electronic health records were associated with rates of enrollment and starting the first session to understand the characteristics of patients most likely to use DMHIs in this setting. Across messages, 19.4% of patients clicked a link to visit the DMHI website, but none of the messages were significantly associated with rates of site clicks, enrollment, or starting the first session. Females (vs. males) had a greater probability of enrollment. No other demographic or clinical variables were significantly associated with enrollment or starting the first session. Findings provide guidance for resource allocation decisions in larger scale DMHI implementations in healthcare settings