425 research outputs found

    Polarization of stars with debris disks: comparing observations with models

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    The HerschelHerschel Space telescope carried out an unprecedented survey of nearby stars for debris disks. The dust present in these debris disks scatters and polarizes stellar light in the visible part of the spectrum. We explore what can be learned with aperture polarimetry and detailed radiative transfer modelling about stellar systems with debris disks. We present a polarimetric survey, with measurements from the literature, of candidate stars observed by DEBRIS and DUNES HerschelHerschel surveys. We perform a statistical analysis of the polarimetric data with the detection of far-infrared excess by HerschelHerschel and SpitzerSpitzer with a sample of 223 stars. Monte Carlo simulations were performed to determine the effects of various model parameters on the polarization level and find the mass required for detection with current instruments. Eighteen stars were detected with a polarization 0.01≀Pâ‰Č0.10.01 \le P \lesssim 0.1 per cent and ≄3σP\ge3\sigma_P, but only two of them have a debris disk. No statistically significant difference is found between the different groups of stars, with, without, and unknown status for far-infrared excess, and presence of polarization. The simulations show that the integrated polarization is rather small, usually <0.01< 0.01 per cent for typical masses detected by their far-infrared excess for hot and most warm disks. Masses observed in cold disks can produce polarization levels above 0.010.01 per cent since there is usually more dust in them than in closer disks. We list five factors which can explain the observed low-polarization detection rate. Observations with high-precision polarimeters should lead to additional constraints on models of unresolved debris disks.Comment: Corrected some quotations and typos and deleted superfluous references. 20 pages, 5 figure

    Relevé polarimétrique d'étoiles candidates pour des disques de débris

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    Le relevĂ© DEBRIS est effectuĂ© par le tĂ©lescope spatial Herschel. Il permet d’échantillonner les disques de dĂ©bris autour d’étoiles de l’environnement solaire. Dans la premiĂšre partie de ce mĂ©moire, un relevĂ© polarimĂ©trique de 108 Ă©toiles des candidates de DEBRIS est prĂ©sentĂ©. Utilisant le polarimĂštre de l’Observatoire du Mont-MĂ©gantic, des observations ont Ă©tĂ© effectuĂ©es afin de dĂ©tecter la polarisation due Ă  la prĂ©sence de disques de dĂ©bris. En raison d’un faible taux de dĂ©tection d’étoiles polarisĂ©es, une analyse statistique a Ă©tĂ© rĂ©alisĂ©e dans le but de comparer la polarisation d’étoiles possĂ©dant un excĂšs dans l’infrarouge et la polarisation de celles n’en possĂ©dant pas. Utilisant la thĂ©orie de diffusion de Mie, un modĂšle a Ă©tĂ© construit afin de prĂ©dire la polarisation due Ă  un disque de dĂ©bris. Les rĂ©sultats du modĂšle sont cohĂ©rents avec les observations. La deuxiĂšme partie de ce mĂ©moire prĂ©sente des tests optiques du polarimĂštre POL-2, construit Ă  l’UniversitĂ© de MontrĂ©al. L’imageur du tĂ©lescope James-Clerk-Maxwell passe de l’instrument SCUBA Ă  l’instrument SCUBA-2, qui sera au moins cent fois plus rapide que son prĂ©dĂ©cesseur. De mĂȘme, le polarimĂštre suit l’amĂ©lioration et un nouveau polarimĂštre, POL-2, a Ă©tĂ© installĂ© sur SCUBA-2 en juillet 2010. Afin de vĂ©rifier les performances optiques de POL-2, des tests ont Ă©tĂ© exĂ©cutĂ©s dans les laboratoires sub-millimĂ©triques de l’UniversitĂ© de Western Ontario en juin 2009 et de l’UniversitĂ© de Lethbridge en septembre 2009. Ces tests et leurs implications pour les observations futures sont discutĂ©s.The DEBRIS survey, being performed by the space telescope Herschel, is an unbiased sampling of the debris disks candidates in the solar neighbourhood. In the first part of this thesis, a ground-based polarimetric survey of 108 DEBRIS candidate stars is presented. Using the polarimeter, “La Belle et la Bete,” at the Mont-Megantic Observatory, observations were carried out in order to detect polarization induced by the presence of a debris disk. Due to a low rate of detection, a statistical analysis was performed to compare the polarization between stars owning a debris disk with stars without one. Using Mie scattering theory, a basic model was constructed to estimate the level of polarization produced by dust grains in a debris disk. The results of this model are consistent with our observations. The second part of the thesis presents the optical tests of the polarimeter POL-2, built at UniversitĂ© de MontrĂ©al. The James Clerk-Maxwell-Telescope imager SCUBA has been upgraded to SCUBA-2, which is more than one hundred times faster than its predecessor with 500 times more pixels. Likewise, the polarimeter follows the improvement as a new polarimeter, POL-2, was installed on SCUBA-2 in July 2010. In order to verify the optical performance of POL-2, tests were completed at the submillimeter laboratories at the University of Western Ontario in June 2009, and the University of Lethbridge in September 2009. These tests and their implications for future observations are discussed

    An observational estimate of the direct response of the cold-season atmospheric circulation to the Arctic Sea ice loss

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    Author Posting. © American Meteorological Society, 2020. This article is posted here by permission of American Meteorological Society for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Journal of Climate 33(9), (2020): 3863-3882, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0687.1.The direct response of the cold-season atmospheric circulation to the Arctic sea ice loss is estimated from observed sea ice concentration (SIC) and an atmospheric reanalysis, assuming that the atmospheric response to the long-term sea ice loss is the same as that to interannual pan-Arctic SIC fluctuations with identical spatial patterns. No large-scale relationship with previous interannual SIC fluctuations is found in October and November, but a negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)/Arctic Oscillation follows the pan-Arctic SIC fluctuations from December to March. The signal is field significant in the stratosphere in December, and in the troposphere and tropopause thereafter. However, multiple regressions indicate that the stratospheric December signal is largely due to concomitant Siberian snow-cover anomalies. On the other hand, the tropospheric January–March NAO signals can be unambiguously attributed to SIC variability, with an Iceland high approaching 45 m at 500 hPa, a 2°C surface air warming in northeastern Canada, and a modulation of blocking activity in the North Atlantic sector. In March, a 1°C northern Europe cooling is also attributed to SIC. An SIC impact on the warm Arctic–cold Eurasia pattern is only found in February in relation to January SIC. Extrapolating the most robust results suggests that, in the absence of other forcings, the SIC loss between 1979 and 2016 would have induced a 2°–3°C decade−1 winter warming in northeastern North America and a 40–60 m decade−1 increase in the height of the Iceland high, if linearity and perpetual winter conditions could be assumed.This research was supported by the Blue-Action project (European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program, Grant 727852) and by the National Science Foundation (OPP 1736738).2020-10-0

    Moving beyond the cost–loss ratio : economic assessment of streamflow forecasts for a risk-averse decision maker

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    A large effort has been made over the past 10 years to promote the operational use of probabilistic or ensemble streamflow forecasts. Numerous studies have shown that ensemble forecasts are of higher quality than deterministic ones. Many studies also conclude that decisions based on ensemble rather than deterministic forecasts lead to better decisions in the context of flood mitigation. Hence, it is believed that ensemble forecasts possess a greater economic and social value for both decision makers and the general population. However, the vast majority of, if not all, existing hydro-economic studies rely on a cost–loss ratio framework that assumes a risk-neutral decision maker. To overcome this important flaw, this study borrows from economics and evaluates the economic value of early warning flood systems using the well-known Constant Absolute Risk Aversion (CARA) utility function, which explicitly accounts for the level of risk aversion of the decision maker. This new framework allows for the full exploitation of the information related to a forecasts’ uncertainty, making it especially suited for the economic assessment of ensemble or probabilistic forecasts. Rather than comparing deterministic and ensemble forecasts, this study focuses on comparing different types of ensemble forecasts. There are multiple ways of assessing and representing forecast uncertainty. Consequently, there exist many different means of building an ensemble forecasting system for future streamflow. One such possibility is to dress deterministic forecasts using the statistics of past error forecasts. Such dressing methods are popular among operational agencies because of their simplicity and intuitiveness. Another approach is the use of ensemble meteorological forecasts for precipitation and temperature, which are then provided as inputs to one or many hydrological model(s). In this study, three concurrent ensemble streamflow forecasting systems are compared: simple statistically dressed deterministic forecasts, forecasts based on meteorological ensembles, and a variant of the latter that also includes an estimation of state variable uncertainty. This comparison takes place for the Montmorency River, a small flood-prone watershed in southern central Quebec, Canada. The assessment of forecasts is performed for lead times of 1 to 5 days, both in terms of forecasts’ quality (relative to the corresponding record of observations) and in terms of economic value, using the new proposed framework based on the CARA utility function. It is found that the economic value of a forecast for a risk-averse decision maker is closely linked to the forecast reliability in predicting the upper tail of the streamflow distribution. Hence, post-processing forecasts to avoid overforecasting could help improve both the quality and the value of forecasts

    The neural correlates of referential communication : taking advantage of sparse-sampling fMRI to study verbal communication with a real interaction partner

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    This paper introduces an innovative functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) protocol to study real verbal interactions while limiting the impact of speech-related movement artefacts. This protocol is based on a sparse sampling acquisition technique and allowed participants to complete a referential communication task with a real interaction partner. During verbal interactions, speakers adjust their verbal productions depending on their interlocutors' knowledge of the referents being mentioned. These adjustments have been linked to theory of mind (ToM), the ability to infer other's mental states. We thus sought to determine if the brain regions supporting ToM would also be activated during a referential communication task in which participants have to present movie characters that vary in their likelihood of being known by their interlocutor. This pilot study establishes that the sparse sampling strategy is a viable option to study the neural correlates of referential communication while minimizing movement artefacts. In addition, the brain regions supporting ToM were recruited during the task, though specifically for the conditions where participants could adjust their verbal productions to the interlocutor's likely knowledge of the referent. This study therefore demonstrates the feasibility and relevance of a sparse-sampling approach to study verbal interactions with fMRI, including referential communication

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    Note complÚte ; Résumé ; Capsule: Ingénieure ou infirmier: les choix traditionnels et non traditionnels des filles et des garçons
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