555 research outputs found

    Impacto do programa bolsa famĂ­lia sobre a frequĂȘncia escolar: o caso da agricultura familiar no Nordeste do Brasil.

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    O objetivo deste trabalho Ă© avaliar o impacto do programa de transferĂȘncia de renda condicionada Bolsa FamĂ­lia sobre a frequĂȘncia escolar de crianças e adolescentes de cinco a 14 anos na agricultura familiar dos estados de Pernambuco, CearĂĄ, Sergipe e ParaĂ­ba. Nessa investigação, o trabalho faz uso de dados primĂĄrios (pesquisa de campo) e dados secundĂĄrios (PNAD, 2005) para obter estimativas de propensity score. Os resultados indicam que, de forma geral, o programa eleva a frequĂȘncia escolar das referidas crianças no intervalo de 5,4 a 5,9 pontos percentuais. Contudo, hĂĄ importantes diferenças quando se considera meninas e meninos separadamente, sendo o programa eficaz no primeiro caso e ineficaz no segundo. Ou seja, apesar da avaliação positiva para as meninas, nĂŁo parece haver efeito do programa sobre a frequĂȘncia escolar dos meninos, o que pode estar associado a diferenças de gĂȘnero nos custos de oportunidades do investimento em capital humano no meio rural

    Viewpoint: Estimating the causal effects of policies and programs

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    Estimation, inference and interpretation of the causal effects of programs and policies have all advanced dramatically over the past 25 years. We highlight three particularly important intellectual trends: an improved appreciation of the substantive importance of heterogeneous responses and of their methodological implications, a stronger focus on internal validity brought about by the “credibility revolution,” and the scientific value that follows from grounding estimation and interpretation in economic theory. We discuss a menu of commonly employed partial equilibrium approaches to the identification of causal effects, emphasizing that the researcher’s central intellectual contribution always consists of making an explicit case for a specific causal interpretation given the relevant economic theory, the data, the institutional context and the economic question of interest. We also touch on the importance of general equilibrium effects and full cost–benefit analyses.RĂ©sumĂ©Point de vue: Sur l’estimation des effets causatifs des politiques et programmes. Dans le monde de l’estimation, l’infĂ©rence et l’interprĂ©tation des effets causatifs des programmes et des politiques, il y a eu des progrĂšs dramatiques au cours des derniers 25 ans. Les auteurs soulignent trois tendances intellectuelles particuliĂšrement importantes : une apprĂ©ciation amĂ©liorĂ©e de l’importance substantielle des rĂ©ponses hĂ©tĂ©rogĂšnes et de leur importance mĂ©thodologique, une focalisation plus robuste sur la validitĂ© interne engendrĂ©e par la « rĂ©volution de la crĂ©dibilitĂ© », et la valeur scientifique qui dĂ©coule d’un ancrage de l’estimation et de l’interprĂ©tation dans la thĂ©orie Ă©conomique. On discute un Ă©ventail d’approches d’équilibre partiel Ă  l’identification des effets causatifs, mettant au premier plan que la contribution intellectuelle centrale du chercheur consiste Ă  bĂątir un argumentaire explicite pour une interprĂ©tation causale spĂ©cifique compte tenu de la thĂ©orie Ă©conomique pertinente, des donnĂ©es, du contexte institutionnel, et de la question Ă©conomique d’intĂ©rĂȘt. On mentionne aussi l’importance des effets d’équilibre gĂ©nĂ©ral et des analyses de tous les coĂ»ts et avantages.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/134884/1/caje12217.pdfhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/134884/2/caje12217_am.pd

    Fertility and economic instability: the role of unemployment and job displacement

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    In this paper, we study the separate effects of unemployment and job displacement on fertility in a sample of white collar women in Austria. Using an instrumental variable approach, we show that unemployment incidence as such has no negative effect on fertility decisions, but the very fact of being displaced from a career-oriented job has. Fertility rates for women affected by a firm closure are significantly below those of a control group, even after 6 years, and this is so irrespective of the incidence or the duration of the associated unemployment spell

    The impact of economic recession on maternal and infant mortality: lessons from history

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    <p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The effect of the recent world recession on population health has featured heavily in recent international meetings. Maternal health is a particular concern given that many countries were already falling short of their MDG targets for 2015.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>We utilise 20<sup>th </sup>century time series data from 14 high and middle income countries to investigate associations between previous economic recession and boom periods on maternal and infant outcomes (1936 to 2005). A first difference logarithmic model is used to investigate the association between short run fluctuations in GDP per capita (individual incomes) and changes in health outcomes. Separate models are estimated for four separate time periods.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>The results suggest a modest but significant association between maternal and infant mortality and economic growth for early periods (1936 to 1965) but not more recent periods. Individual country data display markedly different patterns of response to economic changes. Japan and Canada were vulnerable to economic shocks in the post war period. In contrast, mortality rates in countries such as the UK and Italy and particularly the US appear little affected by economic fluctuations.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>The data presented suggest that recessions do have a negative association with maternal and infant outcomes particularly in earlier stages of a country's development although the effects vary widely across different systems. Almost all of the 20 least wealthy countries have suffered a reduction of 10% or more in GDP per capita in at least one of the last five decades. The challenge for today's policy makers is the design and implementation of mechanisms that protect vulnerable populations from the effects of fluctuating national income.</p

    Higher occurrence of nausea and vomiting after total hip arthroplasty using general versus spinal anesthesia: an observational study.

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    BACKGROUND: Under the assumption that postoperative nausea and vomiting (PONV) may occur after total hip arthroplasty (THA) regardless of the anesthetic technique used, it is not clear whether general (GA) or spinal (SA) anesthesia has higher causal effect on this occurrence. Conflicting results have been reported. METHODS: In this observational study, we selected all elective THA interventions performed in adults between 1999 and 2008 in a Swiss orthopedic clinic under general or spinal anesthesia. To assess the effect of anesthesia type on the occurrence of PONV, we used the propensity score and matching methods, which allowed us to emulate the design and results of an RCT. RESULTS: Among 3922 procedures, 1984 (51 %) patients underwent GA, of which 4.1 % experienced PONV, and 1938 underwent SA, of which 3.5 % experienced PONV. We found that the average treatment effect on the treated, i.e. the effect of anesthesia type for a sample of individuals that actually received spinal anesthesia compared to individuals who received GA, was ATET = 2.00 % [95 % CI, 0.78-3.19 %], which translated into an OR = 1.97 [95 % CI 1.35; 2.87]. CONCLUSION: This suggests that the type of anesthesia is not neutral regarding PONV, general anesthesia being more strongly associated with PONV than spinal anesthesia in orthopedic surgery

    Stability in a network economy: The role of institutions

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    We consider an economy in which agents are embedded in a network of potential value-generating relationships. Agents are assumed to be able to participate in three types of economic interactions: Autarkic self-provision; bilateral interaction; and multilateral collaboration through endogenously provided platforms. We introduce two stability concepts and provide sufficient and necessary conditions on the network structure that guarantee existence, in cases of the absence of externalities, link-based externalities and crowding externalities. We show that institutional arrangements based on socioeconomic roles and leadership guarantee stability. In particular, the stability of more complex economic outcomes requires more strict and complex institutional rules to govern economic interactions. We investigate strict social hierarchies, tiered leadership structures and global market places

    Super-resolution imaging as a method to study GPCR dimers and higher-order oligomers

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    The study of G protein-coupled receptor (GPCR) dimers and higher-order oligomers has unveiled mechanisms for receptors to diversify signaling and potentially uncover novel therapeutic targets. The functional and clinical significance of these receptor–receptor associations has been facilitated by the development of techniques and protocols, enabling researchers to unpick their function from the molecular interfaces, to demonstrating functional significance in vivo, in both health and disease. Here we describe our methodology to study GPCR oligomerization at the single-molecule level via super-resolution imaging. Specifically, we have employed photoactivated localization microscopy, with photoactivatable dyes (PD-PALM) to visualize the spatial organization of these complexes to <10 nm resolution, and the quantitation of GPCR monomer, dimer, and oligomer in both homomeric and heteromeric forms. We provide guidelines on optimal sample preparation, imaging parameters, and necessary controls for resolving and quantifying single-molecule data. Finally, we discuss advantages and limitations of this imaging technique and its potential future applications to the study of GPCR function
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