Capturing human category representations by sampling in deep feature spaces

Understanding how people represent categories is a core problem in cognitive science. Decades of research have yielded a variety of formal theories of categories, but validating them with naturalistic stimuli is difficult. The challenge is that human category representations cannot be directly observed and running informative experiments with naturalistic stimuli such as images requires a workable representation of these stimuli. Deep neural networks have recently been successful in solving a range of computer vision tasks and provide a way to compactly represent image features. Here, we introduce a method to estimate the structure of human categories that combines ideas from cognitive science and machine learning, blending human-based algorithms with state-of-the-art deep image generators. We provide qualitative and quantitative results as a proof-of-concept for the method's feasibility. Samples drawn from human distributions rival those from state-of-the-art generative models in quality and outperform alternative methods for estimating the structure of human categories.Comment: 6 pages, 5 figures, 1 table. Accepted as a paper to the 40th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society (CogSci 2018

Unmasking Clever Hans Predictors and Assessing What Machines Really Learn

Current learning machines have successfully solved hard application problems, reaching high accuracy and displaying seemingly "intelligent" behavior. Here we apply recent techniques for explaining decisions of state-of-the-art learning machines and analyze various tasks from computer vision and arcade games. This showcases a spectrum of problem-solving behaviors ranging from naive and short-sighted, to well-informed and strategic. We observe that standard performance evaluation metrics can be oblivious to distinguishing these diverse problem solving behaviors. Furthermore, we propose our semi-automated Spectral Relevance Analysis that provides a practically effective way of characterizing and validating the behavior of nonlinear learning machines. This helps to assess whether a learned model indeed delivers reliably for the problem that it was conceived for. Furthermore, our work intends to add a voice of caution to the ongoing excitement about machine intelligence and pledges to evaluate and judge some of these recent successes in a more nuanced manner.Comment: Accepted for publication in Nature Communication

Communicating model uncertainty for natural hazards:A qualitative systematic thematic review

Natural hazard models are vital for all phases of risk assessment and disaster management. However, the high number of uncertainties inherent to these models is highly challenging for crisis communication. The non-communication of these is problematic as interdependencies between them, especially for multi-model approaches and cascading hazards, can result in much larger deep uncertainties. The recent upsurge in research into uncertainty communication makes it important to identify key lessons, areas for future development, and areas for future research. We present a systematic thematic literature review to identify methods for effective communication of model uncertainty. Themes identified include a) the need for clear uncertainty typologies, b) the need for effective engagement with users to identify which uncertainties to focus on, c) managing ensembles, confidence, bias, consensus and dissensus, d) methods for communicating specific uncertainties (e.g., maps, graphs, and time), and e) the lack of evaluation of many approaches currently in use. Finally, we identify lessons and areas for future investigation, and propose a framework to manage the communication of model related uncertainty with decision-makers, by integrating typology components that help identify and prioritise uncertainties. We conclude that scientists must first understand decision-maker needs, and then concentrate efforts on evaluating and communicating the decision-relevant uncertainties. Developing a shared uncertainty management scheme with users facilitates the management of different epistemological perspectives, accommodates the different values that underpin model assumptions and the judgements they prompt, and increases uncertainty tolerance. This is vital, as uncertainties will only increase as our model (and event) complexities increase.</p

WELCOME TO DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION ERA: FROM PROOF-OF-CONCEPT TO BIG DATA INSIGHTS CREATION

Digital transformation (DT) is no longer an optional strategic priority, but the direction for managers of traditional firms that their success is built in the pre-digital era. With all hype around DT opportunities, it is rather a highly complex challenge that affects many or all segments of a firm and more so at the early stages of DT. Firms at the early stage of DT face the challenge of choosing among a big variety of existing and emerging technologies on the market, neglecting technological uncertainty, navigating through the technological solutions ocean, and avoiding hype-driven decisions while being technology competence-less. With this respect, the phase preceding any adoption or rejection of a new DT initiative and aiming at the first meeting and proving feasibility and commercial opportunities becomes increasingly important. The thesis investigates three particular phenomena of the earliest Digital Transformation (DT) stage, that are seemingly well-known and intuitively clear but suffer from the lack of empirical and conceptual evidence base as well as theoretical ground on closer inspection, namely, proof-of-concept, data-driven decision-making, and Big Data insights creation. Focusing on the three aspects of the early stage of DT allows building a research agenda that consists of complementing each other parts. Three-essays research was run with three related objectives. Each objective is addressed by conducting independent research using comparative methods. The thesis applies the qualitative approach as the overarching, with the relative to the three essays methodologies, namely, qualitative case study, ethnography, and participatory observation. The thesis uses qualitative methods to derive main findings and quantitative methods based on novel computational techniques to add more nuances to the results. This allows a new empirical and conceptual perspective on the earliest stages of DT. The findings suggest that a) cognitive biases drive what I labeled as perceived technology potentiality, moreover, technology awareness develops step-wise as PoC is run moving from borrowed technology awareness to minimum acquired technology awareness and enhanced technology awareness. These findings were used to explain how PoC dynamic changes with time. Further, findings show how b) different types of traps (cognitive and data) drive managerial trust in data when data-driven decision-making is first used. The findings were taken as the ground to build the three traps zones notion, where the decisions and trust in data are driven by different combinations of traps. Finally, findings reveal that c) Big Data dimensions have their related sub-dimensions, differences and similarities of which led to the discovery of the two effects of Big Data dimensions, namely, Proliferation and Additive. These findings helped to explain how exactly Big Data dimensions participate in the Big Data insights creation and to build the conceptual matrix of Big Data insights creation. In this vein, the research contributes to the technology innovation literature by shedding light on the phenomena of the earliest stage of DT and by initiating the first comprehensive conversation on PoC, data-driven decision-making, and Big Data insights creation. Further, the research contributes to the existing literature on managerial cognition, decision-making, and Big Data usefulness. Finally, contributions to methods in the technology innovation field are drawn

Assessing the perceived environment through crowdsourced spatial photo content for application to the fields of landscape and urban planning

Assessing information on aspects of identification, perception, emotion, and social interaction with respect to the environment is of particular importance to the fields of natural resource management. Our ability to visualize this type of information has rapidly improved with the proliferation of social media sites throughout the Internet in recent years. While many methods to extract information on human behavior from crowdsourced geodata already exist, this work focuses on visualizing landscape perception for application to the fields of landscape and urban planning. Visualization of people’s perceptual responses to landscape is demonstrated with crowdsourced photo geodata from Flickr, a popular photo sharing community. A basic, general method to map, visualize and evaluate perception and perceptual values is proposed. The approach utilizes common tools for spatial knowledge discovery and builds on existing research, but is specifically designed for implementation within the context of landscape perception analysis and particularly suited as a base for further evaluation in multiple scenarios. To demonstrate the process in application, three novel types of visualizations are presented: the mapping of lines of sight in Yosemite Valley, the assessment of landscape change in the area surrounding the High Line in Manhattan, and individual location analysis for Coit Tower in San Francisco. The results suggest that analyzing crowdsourced data may contribute to a more balanced assessment of the perceived landscape, which provides a basis for a better integration of public values into planning processes.:Contents 3 1 Introduction 7 1.1 Motivation 7 1.2 Literature review and conceptual scope 9 1.3 Terminology 11 1.4 Related research 12 1.5 Objectives 14 1.6 Methodology 16 1.7 Formal conventions 21 I. Part I: Conceptual framework 23 1.1 Visual perception 23 1.2 Theory and practice in landscape perception assessment 27 1.2.1 Expert valuation versus participation 27 1.2.2 Photography-based landscape perception assessment 32 1.2.2.1. Photo-based surveys 32 1.2.2.2. Photo-based Internet surveys 35 1.2.2.3. Photo-interviewing and participant photography 37 1.2.3 Conclusions 40 1.3 Conceptual approach 42 1.3.1 A framing theory: Distributed cognition 42 1.3.2 Description of the approach 46 1.3.3 Choosing the right data source 48 1.3.3.1. Availability of crowdsourced and georeferenced photo data 48 1.3.3.2. Suitability for analyzing human behavior and perception 51 1.3.4 Relations between data and the phenomenon under observation 55 1.3.4.1. Photo taking and landscape perception 55 1.3.4.2. User motivation in the context of photo sharing in communities 61 1.3.4.3. Describing and tagging photos: Forms of attributing meaning 66 1.3.5 Considerations for measuring and weighting data 70 1.3.6 Conclusions 77 II. Part II: Application example – Flickr photo analysis and evaluation of results 80 2.1 Software architecture 80 2.2 Materials and methods 86 2.2.1 Data retrieval, initial data structure and overall quantification 86 2.2.2 Global data bias 89 2.2.3 Basic techniques for filtering and classifying data 94 2.2.3.1. Where: photo locations 94 2.2.3.2. Who: user origin 96 2.2.3.3. When: time of photo taking 102 2.2.3.4. What: tag frequency 108   2.2.4 Methods for aggregating data 113 2.2.4.1. Clustering of photo locations 113 2.2.4.2. Clustering of tag locations 115 2.3 Application to planning: techniques for visualizing data 118 2.3.1 Introduction 118 2.3.2 Tag maps 121 2.3.2.1. Description of technique 121 2.3.2.2. Results: San Francisco and Berkeley waterfront 126 2.3.2.3. Results: Berkeley downtown and university campus 129 2.3.2.4. Results: Dresden and the Elbe Valley 132 2.3.2.5. Results: Greater Toronto Area and City of Toronto 136 2.3.2.6. Results: Baden-Württemberg 143 2.3.2.7. Summary 156 2.3.3 Temporal comparison for assessing landscape change 158 2.3.3.1. Description of technique 158 2.3.3.2. Results: The High Line, NY 159 2.3.3.3. Summary 160 2.3.4 Determining lines of sight and important visual connections 161 2.3.4.1. Description of technique 161 2.3.4.2. Results: Yosemite Valley 162 2.3.4.3. Results: Golden Gate and Bay Bridge 167 2.3.4.4. Results: CN Tower, Toronto 168 2.3.4.5. Summary 170 2.3.5 Individual location analysis 171 2.3.5.1. Description of technique 171 2.3.5.2. Results: Coit Tower, San Francisco 171 2.3.5.3. Results: CN Tower, Toronto 172 2.3.5.4. Summary 173 2.4 Quality and accuracy of results 175 2.4.1 Methodology 175 2.4.2 Accuracy of data 175 2.4.3 Validity and reliability of visualizations 178 2.4.3.1. Reliability 178 2.4.3.2. Validity 180 2.5 Implementation example: the London View Framework 181 2.5.1 Description 181 2.5.2 Evaluation methodology 183 2.5.3 Analysis 184 2.5.3.1. Landmarks 184 2.5.3.2. Views 192 2.5.4 Summary 199 III. Discussion 203 3.1 Application of the framework from a wider perspective 203 3.2 Significance of results 204 3.3 Further research 205   3.4 Discussion of workshop results and further feedback 206 3.4.1 Workshops at University of Waterloo and University of Toronto, Canada 206 3.4.2 Workshop at University of Technology Dresden, Germany 209 3.4.3 Feedback from presentations, discussions, exhibitions: second thoughts 210 IV. Conclusions 212 V. References 213 5.1 Literature 213 5.2 List of web references 228 5.3 List of figures 230 5.4 List of tables 234 5.5 List of maps 235 5.6 List of appendices 236 VI. Appendices 237  Als Wahrnehmung wird der Bewusstseinsprozess des subjektiven Verstehens der Umwelt bezeichnet. Grundlage für diesen Prozess ist die Gewinnung von Informationen über die Sinne, also aus visuellen, olfaktorischen, akustischen und anderen Reizen. Die Wahrnehmung ist aber auch wesentlich durch interne Prozesse beeinflusst. Das menschliche Gehirn ist fortlaufend damit beschäftigt, sowohl bewusst als auch unbewusst Sinneswahrnehmungen mit Erinnerungen abzugleichen, zu vereinfachen, zu assoziieren, vorherzusagen oder zu vergleichen. Aus diesem Grund ist es schwierig, die Wahrnehmung von Orten und Landschaften in Planungsprozessen zu berücksichtigen. Jedoch wird genau dies von der Europäischen Landschaftskonvention gefordert, die Landschaft als einen bestimmten Bereich definiert, so wie er von Besuchern und Einwohnern wahrgenommen wird (“as a zone or area as perceived by local people or visitors”, ELC Art. 1, Abs. 38). Während viele Fortschritte und Erkenntnisse, zum Beispiel aus den Kognitionswissenschaften, heute helfen, die Wahrnehmung einzelner Menschen zu verstehen, konnte die Stadt- und Landschaftsplanung kaum profitieren. Es fehlt an Kenntnissen über das Zusammenwirken der Wahrnehmung vieler Menschen. Schon Stadtplaner Kevin Lynch beschäftigte dieses gemeinsame, kollektive ‚Bild‘ der menschlichen Umwelt ("generalized mental picture", Lynch, 1960, p. 4). Seitdem wurden kaum nennenswerte Fortschritte bei der Erfassung der allgemeinen, öffentlichen Wahrnehmung von Stadt- und Landschaft erzielt. Dies war Anlass und Motivation für die vorliegende Arbeit. Eine bisher in der Planung ungenutzte Informationsquelle für die Erfassung der Wahrnehmung vieler Menschen bietet sich in Form von crowdsourced Daten (auch ‚Big Data‘), also großen Mengen an Daten die von vielen Menschen im Internet zusammengetragen werden. Im Vergleich zu konventionellen Daten, zum Beispiel solchen die durch Experten erhoben werden und durch öffentliche Träger zur Verfügung stehen, eröffnet sich durch crowdsourced Daten eine bisher nicht verfügbare Quelle für Informationen, um die komplexen Zusammenhänge zwischen Raum, Identität und subjektiver Wahrnehmung zu verstehen. Dabei enthalten crowdsourced Daten lediglich Spuren menschlicher Entscheidungen. Aufgrund der Menge ist es aber möglich, wesentliche Informationen über die Wahrnehmung derer, die diese Daten zusammengetragen haben, zu gewinnen. Dies ermöglicht es Planern zu verstehen, wie Menschen ihre unmittelbare Umgebung wahrnehmen und mit ihr interagieren. Darüber hinaus wird es immer wichtiger, die Ansichten Vieler in Planungsprozessen zu berücksichtigen (Lynam, De Jong, Sheil, Kusumanto, & Evans, 2007; Brody, 2004). Der Wunsch nach öffentlicher Beteiligung sowie die Anzahl an beteiligten Stakeholdern nehmen dabei konstant zu. Durch das Nutzen dieser neuen Informationsquelle bietet sich eine Alternative zu herkömmlichen Ansätzen wie Umfragen, die genutzt werden um beispielsweise Meinungen, Positionen, Werte, Normen oder Vorlieben von bestimmten sozialen Gruppen zu messen. Indem es crowdsourced Daten erleichtern, solch soziokulturelle Werte zu bestimmen, können die Ergebnisse vor allem bei der schwierigen Gewichtung gegensätzlicher Interessen und Ansichten helfen. Es wird die Ansicht geteilt, dass die Nutzung von crowdsourced Daten, indem Einschätzungen von Experten ergänzt werden, letztendlich zu einer faireren, ausgeglichenen Berücksichtigung der Allgemeinheit in Entscheidungsprozessen führen kann (Erickson, 2011, p.1). Eine große Anzahl an Methoden ist bereits verfügbar, um aus dieser Datenquelle wichtige landschaftsbezogene Informationen auszulesen. Beispiele sind die Bewertung der Attraktivität von Landschaften, die Bestimmung der Bedeutung von Sehenswürdigkeiten oder Wahrzeichen, oder die Einschätzung von Reisevorlieben von Nutzergruppen. Viele der bisherigen Methoden wurden jedoch als ungenügend empfunden, um die speziellen Bedürfnisse und das breite Spektrum an Fragestellungen zur Landschaftswahrnehmung in Stadt- und Landschaftsplanung zu berücksichtigen. Das Ziel der vorliegenden Arbeit ist es, praxisrelevantes Wissen zu vermitteln, welches es Planern erlaubt, selbstständig Daten zu erforschen, zu visualisieren und zu interpretieren. Der Schlüssel für eine erfolgreiche Umsetzung wird dabei in der Synthese von Wissen aus drei Kategorien gesehen, theoretische Grundlagen (1), technisches Wissen zur Datenverarbeitung (2) sowie Kenntnisse zur grafischen Visualisierungen (3). Die theoretischen Grundlagen werden im ersten Teil der Arbeit (Part I) präsentiert. In diesem Teil werden zunächst Schwachpunkte aktueller Verfahren diskutiert, um anschließend einen neuen, konzeptionell-technischen Ansatz vorzuschlagen der gezielt auf die Ergänzung bereits vorhandener Methoden zielt. Im zweiten Teil der Arbeit (Part II) wird anhand eines Datenbeispiels die Anwendung des Ansatzes exemplarisch demonstriert. Fragestellungen die angesprochen werden reichen von der Datenabfrage, Verarbeitung, Analyse, Visualisierung, bis zur Interpretation von Grafiken in Planungsprozessen. Als Basis dient dabei ein Datenset mit 147 Millionen georeferenzierte Foto-Daten und 882 Millionen Tags der Fotoaustauschplatform Flickr, welches in den Jahren 2007 bis 2015 von 1,3 Millionen Nutzern zusammengetragen wurde. Anhand dieser Daten wird die Entwicklung neuer Visualisierungstechniken exemplarisch vorgestellt. Beispiele umfassen Spatio-temporal Tag Clouds, eine experimentelle Technik zur Generierung von wahrnehmungsgewichteten Karten, die Visualisierung von wahrgenommenem Landschaftswandel, das Abbilden von wahrnehmungsgewichteten Sichtlinien, sowie die Auswertung von individueller Wahrnehmung von und an bestimmten Orten. Die Anwendung dieser Techniken wird anhand verschiedener Testregionen in den USA, Kanada und Deutschland für alle Maßstabsebenen geprüft und diskutiert. Dies umfasst beispielsweise die Erfassung und Bewertung von Sichtlinien und visuellen Bezügen in Yosemite Valley, das Monitoring von wahrgenommenen Veränderungen im Bereich der High Line in New York, die Auswertung von individueller Wahrnehmung für Coit Tower in San Francisco, oder die Beurteilung von regional wahrgenommenen identitätsstiftenden Landschaftswerten für Baden-Württemberg und die Greater Toronto Area (GTA). Anschließend werden Ansätze vorgestellt, um die Qualität und Validität von Visualisierungen einzuschätzen. Abschließend wird anhand eines konkreten Planungsbeispiels, des London View Management Frameworks (LVMF), eine spezifische Implementation des Ansatzes und der Visualisierungen kurz aufgezeigt und diskutiert. Mit der Arbeit wird vor allem das breite Potential betont, welches die Nutzung von crowdsourced Daten für die Bewertung von Landschaftswahrnehmung in Stadt- und Landschaftsplanung bereithält. Insbesondere crowdsourced Fotodaten werden als wichtige zusätzliche Informationsquelle gesehen, da sie eine bisher nicht verfügbare Perspektive auf die allgemeine, öffentliche Wahrnehmung der Umwelt ermöglichen. Während der breiteren Anwendung noch einige Grenzen gesetzt sind, können die vorgestellten experimentellen Methoden und Techniken schon wichtige Aufschlüsse über eine ganze Reihe von wahrgenommenen Landschaftswerten geben. Auf konzeptioneller Ebene stellt die Arbeit eine erste Grundlage für weitere Forschung dar. Bevor jedoch eine breite Anwendung in der Praxis möglich ist, müssen entscheidende Fragen gelöst werden, beispielsweise zum Copyright, zur Definition von ethischen Standards innerhalb der Profession, sowie zum Schutz der Privatsphäre Beteiligter. Längerfristig wird nicht nur die Nutzung der Daten als wichtig angesehen, sondern auch die Erschließung der essentiellen Möglichkeiten dieser Entwicklung zur besseren Kommunikation mit Auftraggebern, Beteiligten und der Öffentlichkeit in Planungs- und Entscheidungsprozessen.:Contents 3 1 Introduction 7 1.1 Motivation 7 1.2 Literature review and conceptual scope 9 1.3 Terminology 11 1.4 Related research 12 1.5 Objectives 14 1.6 Methodology 16 1.7 Formal conventions 21 I. Part I: Conceptual framework 23 1.1 Visual perception 23 1.2 Theory and practice in landscape perception assessment 27 1.2.1 Expert valuation versus participation 27 1.2.2 Photography-based landscape perception assessment 32 1.2.2.1. Photo-based surveys 32 1.2.2.2. Photo-based Internet surveys 35 1.2.2.3. Photo-interviewing and participant photography 37 1.2.3 Conclusions 40 1.3 Conceptual approach 42 1.3.1 A framing theory: Distributed cognition 42 1.3.2 Description of the approach 46 1.3.3 Choosing the right data source 48 1.3.3.1. Availability of crowdsourced and georeferenced photo data 48 1.3.3.2. Suitability for analyzing human behavior and perception 51 1.3.4 Relations between data and the phenomenon under observation 55 1.3.4.1. Photo taking and landscape perception 55 1.3.4.2. User motivation in the context of photo sharing in communities 61 1.3.4.3. Describing and tagging photos: Forms of attributing meaning 66 1.3.5 Considerations for measuring and weighting data 70 1.3.6 Conclusions 77 II. Part II: Application example – Flickr photo analysis and evaluation of results 80 2.1 Software architecture 80 2.2 Materials and methods 86 2.2.1 Data retrieval, initial data structure and overall quantification 86 2.2.2 Global data bias 89 2.2.3 Basic techniques for filtering and classifying data 94 2.2.3.1. Where: photo locations 94 2.2.3.2. Who: user origin 96 2.2.3.3. When: time of photo taking 102 2.2.3.4. What: tag frequency 108   2.2.4 Methods for aggregating data 113 2.2.4.1. Clustering of photo locations 113 2.2.4.2. Clustering of tag locations 115 2.3 Application to planning: techniques for visualizing data 118 2.3.1 Introduction 118 2.3.2 Tag maps 121 2.3.2.1. Description of technique 121 2.3.2.2. Results: San Francisco and Berkeley waterfront 126 2.3.2.3. Results: Berkeley downtown and university campus 129 2.3.2.4. Results: Dresden and the Elbe Valley 132 2.3.2.5. Results: Greater Toronto Area and City of Toronto 136 2.3.2.6. Results: Baden-Württemberg 143 2.3.2.7. Summary 156 2.3.3 Temporal comparison for assessing landscape change 158 2.3.3.1. Description of technique 158 2.3.3.2. Results: The High Line, NY 159 2.3.3.3. Summary 160 2.3.4 Determining lines of sight and important visual connections 161 2.3.4.1. Description of technique 161 2.3.4.2. Results: Yosemite Valley 162 2.3.4.3. Results: Golden Gate and Bay Bridge 167 2.3.4.4. Results: CN Tower, Toronto 168 2.3.4.5. Summary 170 2.3.5 Individual location analysis 171 2.3.5.1. Description of technique 171 2.3.5.2. Results: Coit Tower, San Francisco 171 2.3.5.3. Results: CN Tower, Toronto 172 2.3.5.4. Summary 173 2.4 Quality and accuracy of results 175 2.4.1 Methodology 175 2.4.2 Accuracy of data 175 2.4.3 Validity and reliability of visualizations 178 2.4.3.1. Reliability 178 2.4.3.2. Validity 180 2.5 Implementation example: the London View Framework 181 2.5.1 Description 181 2.5.2 Evaluation methodology 183 2.5.3 Analysis 184 2.5.3.1. Landmarks 184 2.5.3.2. Views 192 2.5.4 Summary 199 III. Discussion 203 3.1 Application of the framework from a wider perspective 203 3.2 Significance of results 204 3.3 Further research 205   3.4 Discussion of workshop results and further feedback 206 3.4.1 Workshops at University of Waterloo and University of Toronto, Canada 206 3.4.2 Workshop at University of Technology Dresden, Germany 209 3.4.3 Feedback from presentations, discussions, exhibitions: second thoughts 210 IV. Conclusions 212 V. References 213 5.1 Literature 213 5.2 List of web references 228 5.3 List of figures 230 5.4 List of tables 234 5.5 List of maps 235 5.6 List of appendices 236 VI. Appendices 237

Visualizing Set Relations and Cardinalities Using Venn and Euler Diagrams

In medicine, genetics, criminology and various other areas, Venn and Euler diagrams are used to visualize data set relations and their cardinalities. The data sets are represented by closed curves and the data set relationships are depicted by the overlaps between these curves. Both the sets and their intersections are easily visible as the closed curves are preattentively processed and form common regions that have a strong perceptual grouping effect. Besides set relations such as intersection, containment and disjointness, the cardinality of the sets and their intersections can also be depicted in the same diagram (referred to as area-proportional) through the size of the curves and their overlaps. Size is a preattentive feature and so similarities, differences and trends are easily identified. Thus, such diagrams facilitate data analysis and reasoning about the sets. However, drawing these diagrams manually is difficult, often impossible, and current automatic drawing methods do not always produce appropriate diagrams. This dissertation presents novel automatic drawing methods for different types of Euler diagrams and a user study of how such diagrams can help probabilistic judgement. The main drawing algorithms are: eulerForce, which uses a force-directed approach to lay out Euler diagrams; eulerAPE, which draws area-proportional Venn diagrams with ellipses. The user study evaluated the effectiveness of area- proportional Euler diagrams, glyph representations, Euler diagrams with glyphs and text+visualization formats for Bayesian reasoning, and a method eulerGlyphs was devised to automatically and accurately draw the assessed visualizations for any Bayesian problem. Additionally, analytic algorithms that instantaneously compute the overlapping areas of three general intersecting ellipses are provided, together with an evaluation of the effectiveness of ellipses in drawing accurate area-proportional Venn diagrams for 3-set data and the characteristics of the data that can be depicted accurately with ellipses

Supporting Diabetes Self-Management with Ubiquitous Computing Technologies: A User-Centered Inquiry

Ubiquitous computing technologies offer opportunities to improve treatments for chronic health conditions. Type 1 diabetes is a compelling use-case for such approaches, given its severity, and need for individuals to make frequent care decisions, informed by complex data. However, current apps, typically based on effortful reflection on collected data, generally show poor adoption, lack vital cognitive and emotional support, and are poorly tailored to users’ actual diabetes decision making processes. This thesis investigates how diabetes apps can be improved from a user-centered perspective. An initial questionnaire-based study investigated how well existing diabetes apps meet user needs. Perceived benefits, limitations, and reasons for low adoption rates were identified. A talk-aloud study of detailed user interactions with diabetes logging apps was conducted to characterize the benefits and limitations of diverse UI elements for T1 diabetes management, and to more precisely identify wider problems with current interaction designs. This led to positing a refined version of Mamykina et al.’s model for diabetes self-management, to account for observed practices, whereby the previously accepted habitual and sensemaking cognitive states are augmented by a posited ‘fluid contextual reasoning’ (FCR) mode, which allows multiple contextual factors to be balanced for dynamic course correction when navigating complex situations, using previously learned knowledge. To investigate user perceptions of the levels and kinds of monitoring anticipated in next generation diabetes decision support systems, a 4-week technology probe, in which participants used multiple networked devices and external data aggregation, was used to frame requirements for user-centered development of such future systems. Integrating all of the above work, an iterative design process was undertaken to create DUETS, a card-based system to facilitate reflection by designers, users, and other stakeholders on diabetes support management systems. The resulting tool and method were then implemented and evaluated through structured sessions with stakeholder focus groups