8,098 research outputs found
Quasiclassical Coarse Graining and Thermodynamic Entropy
Our everyday descriptions of the universe are highly coarse-grained,
following only a tiny fraction of the variables necessary for a perfectly
fine-grained description. Coarse graining in classical physics is made natural
by our limited powers of observation and computation. But in the modern quantum
mechanics of closed systems, some measure of coarse graining is inescapable
because there are no non-trivial, probabilistic, fine-grained descriptions.
This essay explores the consequences of that fact. Quantum theory allows for
various coarse-grained descriptions some of which are mutually incompatible.
For most purposes, however, we are interested in the small subset of
``quasiclassical descriptions'' defined by ranges of values of averages over
small volumes of densities of conserved quantities such as energy and momentum
and approximately conserved quantities such as baryon number. The
near-conservation of these quasiclassical quantities results in approximate
decoherence, predictability, and local equilibrium, leading to closed sets of
equations of motion. In any description, information is sacrificed through the
coarse graining that yields decoherence and gives rise to probabilities for
histories. In quasiclassical descriptions, further information is sacrificed in
exhibiting the emergent regularities summarized by classical equations of
motion. An appropriate entropy measures the loss of information. For a
``quasiclassical realm'' this is connected with the usual thermodynamic entropy
as obtained from statistical mechanics. It was low for the initial state of our
universe and has been increasing since.Comment: 17 pages, 0 figures, revtex4, Dedicated to Rafael Sorkin on his 60th
birthday, minor correction
Localized precipitation and runoff on Mars
We use the Mars Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (MRAMS) to simulate lake
storms on Mars, finding that intense localized precipitation will occur for
lake size >=10^3 km^2. Mars has a low-density atmosphere, so deep convection
can be triggered by small amounts of latent heat release. In our reference
simulation, the buoyant plume lifts vapor above condensation level, forming a
20km-high optically-thick cloud. Ice grains grow to 200 microns radius and fall
near (or in) the lake at mean rates up to 1.5 mm/hr water equivalent (maximum
rates up to 6 mm/hr water equivalent). Because atmospheric temperatures outside
the surface layer are always well below 273K, supersaturation and condensation
begin at low altitudes above lakes on Mars. In contrast to Earth lake-effect
storms, lake storms on Mars involve continuous precipitation, and their
vertical velocities and plume heights exceed those of tropical thunderstorms on
Earth. Convection does not reach above the planetary boundary layer for lakes
O(10^2) mbar. Instead, vapor is
advected downwind with little cloud formation. Precipitation occurs as snow,
and the daytime radiative forcing at the land surface due to plume vapor and
storm clouds is too small to melt snow directly (<+10 W/m^2). However, if
orbital conditions are favorable, then the snow may be seasonally unstable to
melting and produce runoff to form channels. We calculate the probability of
melting by running thermal models over all possible orbital conditions and
weighting their outcomes by probabilities given by Laskar et al., 2004. We
determine that for an equatorial vapor source, sunlight 15% fainter than at
present, and snowpack with albedo 0.28 (0.35), melting may occur with 4%(0.1%)
probability. This rises to 56%(12%) if the ancient greenhouse effect was
modestly (6K) greater than today.Comment: Submitted to JGR Planet
Assessment of the probability of contaminating Mars
New methodology is proposed to assess the probability that the planet Mars will by biologically contaminated by terrestrial microorganisms aboard a spacecraft. Present NASA methods are based on the Sagan-Coleman formula, which states that the probability of contamination is the product of the expected microbial release and a probability of growth. The proposed new methodology extends the Sagan-Coleman approach to permit utilization of detailed information on microbial characteristics, the lethality of release and transport mechanisms, and of other information about the Martian environment. Three different types of microbial release are distinguished in the model for assessing the probability of contamination. The number of viable microbes released by each mechanism depends on the bio-burden in various locations on the spacecraft and on whether the spacecraft landing is accomplished according to plan. For each of the three release mechanisms a probability of growth is computed, using a model for transport into an environment suited to microbial growth
Spike-and-Slab Priors for Function Selection in Structured Additive Regression Models
Structured additive regression provides a general framework for complex
Gaussian and non-Gaussian regression models, with predictors comprising
arbitrary combinations of nonlinear functions and surfaces, spatial effects,
varying coefficients, random effects and further regression terms. The large
flexibility of structured additive regression makes function selection a
challenging and important task, aiming at (1) selecting the relevant
covariates, (2) choosing an appropriate and parsimonious representation of the
impact of covariates on the predictor and (3) determining the required
interactions. We propose a spike-and-slab prior structure for function
selection that allows to include or exclude single coefficients as well as
blocks of coefficients representing specific model terms. A novel
multiplicative parameter expansion is required to obtain good mixing and
convergence properties in a Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation approach and is
shown to induce desirable shrinkage properties. In simulation studies and with
(real) benchmark classification data, we investigate sensitivity to
hyperparameter settings and compare performance to competitors. The flexibility
and applicability of our approach are demonstrated in an additive piecewise
exponential model with time-varying effects for right-censored survival times
of intensive care patients with sepsis. Geoadditive and additive mixed logit
model applications are discussed in an extensive appendix
Action Sets: Weakly Supervised Action Segmentation without Ordering Constraints
Action detection and temporal segmentation of actions in videos are topics of
increasing interest. While fully supervised systems have gained much attention
lately, full annotation of each action within the video is costly and
impractical for large amounts of video data. Thus, weakly supervised action
detection and temporal segmentation methods are of great importance. While most
works in this area assume an ordered sequence of occurring actions to be given,
our approach only uses a set of actions. Such action sets provide much less
supervision since neither action ordering nor the number of action occurrences
are known. In exchange, they can be easily obtained, for instance, from
meta-tags, while ordered sequences still require human annotation. We introduce
a system that automatically learns to temporally segment and label actions in a
video, where the only supervision that is used are action sets. An evaluation
on three datasets shows that our method still achieves good results although
the amount of supervision is significantly smaller than for other related
methods.Comment: CVPR 201
Voyager Mars planetary quarantine Basic math model report
Basic math model study of planetary quarantine effects on Voyager Mars missio
- …