4,365 research outputs found

    Using a Remote Sensing-Supported Hydro-Agroecological Model for Field-Scale Simulation of Heterogeneous Crop Growth and Yield: Application for Wheat in Central Europe

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    The challenge of converting global agricultural food, fiber and energy crop cultivation into an ecologically and economically sustainable production process requires the most efficient agricultural management strategies. Development, control and maintenance of these strategies are highly dependent on temporally and spatially continuous information on crop status at the field scale. This paper introduces the application of a process-based, coupled hydro-agroecological model (PROMET) for the simulation of temporally and spatially dynamic crop growth on agriculturally managed fields. By assimilating optical remote sensing data into the model, the simulation of spatial crop dynamics is improved to a point where site-specific farming measures can be supported. Radiative transfer modeling (SLC) is used to provide maps of leaf area index from Earth Observation (EO). These maps are used in an assimilation scheme that selects closest matches between EO and PROMET ensemble runs. Validation is provided for winter wheat (years 2004, 2010 and 2011). Field samples validate the temporal dynamics of the simulations (avg. R-2 = 0.93) and > 700 ha of calibrated combine harvester data are used for accuracy assessment of the spatial yield simulations (avg. RMSE = 1.15 t center dot ha(-1)). The study shows that precise simulation of field-scale crop growth and yield is possible, if spatial remotely sensed information is combined with temporal dynamics provided by land surface process models. The presented methodology represents a technical solution to make the best possible use of the growing stream of EO data in the context of sustainable land surface management

    Using a Remote Sensing-Supported Hydro-Agroecological Model for Field-Scale Simulation of Heterogeneous Crop Growth and Yield: Application for Wheat in Central Europe

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    The challenge of converting global agricultural food, fiber and energy crop cultivation into an ecologically and economically sustainable production process requires the most efficient agricultural management strategies. Development, control and maintenance of these strategies are highly dependent on temporally and spatially continuous information on crop status at the field scale. This paper introduces the application of a process-based, coupled hydro-agroecological model (PROMET) for the simulation of temporally and spatially dynamic crop growth on agriculturally managed fields. By assimilating optical remote sensing data into the model, the simulation of spatial crop dynamics is improved to a point where site-specific farming measures can be supported. Radiative transfer modeling (SLC) is used to provide maps of leaf area index from Earth Observation (EO). These maps are used in an assimilation scheme that selects closest matches between EO and PROMET ensemble runs. Validation is provided for winter wheat (years 2004, 2010 and 2011). Field samples validate the temporal dynamics of the simulations (avg. R-2 = 0.93) and > 700 ha of calibrated combine harvester data are used for accuracy assessment of the spatial yield simulations (avg. RMSE = 1.15 t center dot ha(-1)). The study shows that precise simulation of field-scale crop growth and yield is possible, if spatial remotely sensed information is combined with temporal dynamics provided by land surface process models. The presented methodology represents a technical solution to make the best possible use of the growing stream of EO data in the context of sustainable land surface management

    Estimating global warming potential for agricultural landscapes with minimal field data and cost

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    Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture comprise 10-12% of anthropocentric global emissions; and 76% of the agricultural emissions are generated in the developing world. Landscape GHG accounting is an effective way to efficiently develop baseline emissions and appropriate mitigation approaches. In a 9,736-hectare case study area dominated by rice and wheat in the Karnal district of Haryana state, India, the authors used a low-cost landscape agricultural GHG accounting method with limited fieldwork, remote sensing, and biogeochemical modeling. We used the DeNitrification-DeComposition (DNDC) model software to simulate crop growth and carbon and nitrogen cycling to estimate net GHG emissions, with information based on the mapping of cropping patterns over time using multi- resolution and multi-temporal optical remote sensing imagery. We estimated a mean net emission of 78,620 tCO2e/yr (tons of carbon dioxide equivalents per year) with a 95% confidence interval of 51,212-106,028 tCO2e/yr based on uncertainties in our crop mapping and soil data. A modeling sensitivity analysis showed soil clay fraction, soil organic carbon fraction, soil density, and nitrogen amendments to be among the most sensitive factors, and therefore critical to capture in field surveys. We recommend a multi-phase approach to increase efficiency and reduce cost in GHG accounting. Field campaigns and aspects of remote sensing image characteristics can be optimized for targeted landscapes through solid background research. An appropriate modeling approach can be selected based on crop and soil characteristics. Soil data in developing world landscapes remain a significant source of uncertainty for studies like these and should remain a key research and data development effort

    Quantifying the Impacts of Land Use, Management and Climate Change on Water Resources in Missouri River Basin

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    A location-specific evaluation of hydrological landscape responses concerning past and projected climate and land use land cover (LULC) changes can provide a powerful intellectual basis for developing efficient and profitable agroecosystems, and overcoming uncertain and detrimental consequences of LULC and climate shifts. This dissertation assessed the impacts of land use, management, and climate change on water resources in the Missouri River Basin (MRB) through four specific studies that included: (i) to study the responses of leached nutrient concentrations and soil health to winter rye cover crop (CC) under no-till corn (Zea mays L.)-soybean [Glycine max (L.) Merr.] rotation, (ii) to simulate hydrological responses of integrated crop-livestock (ICL) system under projected climate changes in an agricultural watershed, (iii) to evaluate the hydrological landscape responses in relation to past (1986-2018) LULC and climate shifts across South Dakota (SD), and (iv) to evaluate the hydrological landscape responses in relation to past (1986-2018) LULC and climate shifts across MRB. Cover cropping has been promoted for the ecological agricultural intensification, however, the vulnerability of CC establishment and expected soil health and water quality benefits under short and cold growing periods for CC are of concerns among producers in the northern Great Plains (NGP) region. Thus, a field experiment from 2017 to 2020 was conducted to assess the impacts of winter rye (Secale cereale L.) CC on soil health and water quality parameters under a no-till corn-soybean rotation at Southeast Research Farm (SERF), Beresford, SD. Interestingly, the study site faced one dry (2020) and two abnormally wet (2018 and 2019) years which received 31% lower (2020), and 31% (2018) and 23% (2019) higher precipitation, respectively, than the annual average (1953-2019). Data showed that biomass of the rye CC was 251 kg ha-1 in 2018, 1213 kg ha-1 in 2019, and 147 kg ha-1 in 2020, coinciding with contrasting growing degree days i.e., 1458, 2042, 794, respectively, as a consequence of variable weather conditions. Cover cropping did not impact water quality for the majority of the study period. However, a significant reduction in leached nitrate (~19-20%) and total nitrogen (TN) (~8.5-16%) concentrations were found only in 2019, pertaining to sequestered 18.8 kg N ha-1. Rye CC showed 13 and 11% significantly higher microbially active carbon and water-extractable organic nitrogen, respectively, than the control (No CC) treatment. The non-significant impacts on soil health indicators due to winter rye showed that study duration (3 years) may not be sufficient to see the beneficial impacts of cover crop on soils. However, significant reductions in leached nitrate and TN concentrations for one (2019) out of three study years suggest that well-established rye CC (biomass = 1213 kg ha-1; which was 4.8 and 8.3 times higher than that in 2018 and 2020) has the potential of reducing nutrient leaching and enhancing soil health for the study region. The ICL systems, when well managed properly, have beneficial impacts on soils and water yield, however, very limited studies are available due to the complexity of these integrated systems. Thus, a simulation study was conducted to assess the hydrological impacts of long-term implementation of ICL systems at watershed scale with the projected climate scenarios on water yield using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model over two time periods [i.e. Near Future (2021-2050) and Far Future (2070-2099)]. This study was conducted in three phases over Skunk Creek Watershed (SCW), SD, USA. In phase I, the impact of long-term ICL system implementation (1976- 2005; 30 years) on soil hydrology was evaluated. Phase II and phase III evaluated the impacts of projected climate changes under existing land cover and ICL system, respectively. Outcomes of phase I showed a significant decrease in water yield and surface runoff. Phase II showed the susceptibility of SCW to extreme events such as floods and waterlogging during spring, and droughts during summers under the projected climate changes. Phase III showed the reduction in water yield and surface runoff due to the ICL system and minimizing the induced detrimental impacts only due to climate change. Evapotranspiration (ET) plays a significant role in crop growth and development, therefore, an accurate estimation of ET is very important for water use and availability. The past hydrological landscape responses were studied using well-validated (r2 = 0.91, PBIAS= -4%, and %RMSE = 11.8%) actual evapotranspiration (ETa) time-series (1986- 2018) estimations. The developed ETa products were further used to understand the crop water-use (CWU) characteristics and existing historic mono-directional (increasing or decreasing) trends across the SD and MRB regions. Spatial variability of the Operational Simplified Surface Energy Balance (SSEBop) model- and Landsat-based ETa estimations showed strong correspondence with land cover and climate across the basin. The drier foothills in northwestern MRB, dominated by grassland/shrubland, showed lower ETa (\u3c 400 mm/year), whereas, cropland dominated regions in lower semi-humid MRB and forested headwater exhibited higher ETa (\u3e 500 mm/year). For the SD region, Mann Kendall trend analysis revealed an absence of a significant trend in annual CWU at a regional scale due to the combined impact of varying weather conditions, and the presence of both increasing (12%) and decreasing (9%) CWU trends over a substantial portion at the pixel-scale. Whereas, for the MRB, summer season CWU trend analysis revealed a significant increasing trend at the regional-scale with 30% MRB cropland pixels under a significant increasing trend at pixel-scale. The existing increasing trends can be explained by the shift in agricultural practices, increased irrigated cropland area, higher productions, moisture regime shifts, and decreased risk of farming in the dry areas. Moreover, the decreasing trend pixels could be the result of the dynamic conversion of wetlands to croplands, decreased and improved irrigation and water management practices in the region. Overall, both studies highlight the potential of Landsat imagery and remote sensing-based ETa modeling approaches in generating historical time-series ETa maps over a wide range of elevation, vegetation, and climate

    Agro-hydrological modelling of regional irrigation water demand

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    The irrigation sector accounts for over 70% of the total freshwater consumption in the world. Therefore, e cient management of irrigation water is essential to ensure water, food, energy and environmental securities in a sustainable manner; these securities are grand challenges of the 21st century. The main objective of this research is to evaluate the simulation of irrigation water demand at the catchment scale in order to develop improved tools for conducting quantitative planning and climate change studies. Irrigation water demand is mostly driven by soil moisture. It is a state variable which is used to trigger the irrigation in hydrological models. In this study, a hydrolgical model (Soil and Water Assessment Tool, SWAT) is evaluated for reliably simulating the spatial and temporal patterns of soil moisture at a catchment scale. The SWAT simulated soil moisture was compared with the indirect estimates of soil moisture from Landsat and Time-domain re ectometry (TDR). The results showed that the SWAT simulated soil moisture was comparable with the soil moisture estimated from Landsat and TDR. Secondly, the applicability of the SWAT model was tested for simulating stream ow, evapotranspiration (ET) and irrigation water demand for four di erent agro-climatic zones (Mediterranean, Subtropical monsoon, Humid, and Tropical). Two di erent irrigation scheduling techniques were used to simulate irrigation namely, soil water de cit and plant water demand. It was seen from the results that the SWAT simulated irrigation amounts under soil moisture irrigation scheduling technique were close to the irrigation statistics provided by the state. However, the irrigation amounts simulated under the plant water demand irrigation scheduling technique were underestimated. Additionally, the two reanalysis data were also used to check the data uncertainty in simulating irrigation water demand. SWAT model code was modi ed by incorporating modi ed root density distribution function and dynamic stress factor. The modi ed model was used to simulate irrigation and crop yield. It was tested against the irrigation and crop yield simulated by Soil Water Atmosphere Plant (SWAP) model and eld data (Hamerstorf, Lower Saxony, Germany). It was then validated for di erent catchments (Germany, India and Vietnam). The results showed that the SWAT simulated irrigation water demand in case of plant water demand is comparable with the amount simulated by the model under soil water de cit irrigation scheduling technique. This dissertation not only bridges the gap between the scales of soil moisture determination but also establishes a close connection with the actual observations and modelled soil moisture and irrigation amounts at the eld, regional and global studies in agricultural water management. Additionally, the studies about simulating irrigation water requirement in data-scarce areas must address data uncertainty when using reanalysis data. It was found that rainfall is not always the dominant variable in irrigation simulation. Therefore, it is worth checking and bias correct the other climate variables

    Impact of Irrigation on Hydrologic Change in Highly Cultivated Basin

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    Coupled modelling of land surface microwave interactions using ENVISAT ASAR data

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    In the last decades microwave remote sensing has proven its capability to provide valuable information about the land surface. New sensor generations as e.g. ENVISAT ASAR are capable to provide frequent imagery with an high information content. To make use of these multiple imaging capabilities, sophisticated parameter inversion and assimilation strategies have to be applied. A profound understanding of the microwave interactions at the land surface is therefore essential. The objective of the presented work is the analysis and quantitative description of the backscattering processes of vegetated areas by means of microwave backscattering models. The effect of changing imaging geometries is investigated and models for the description of bare soil and vegetation backscattering are developed. Spatially distributed model parameterisation is realized by synergistic coupling of the microwave scattering models with a physically based land surface process model. This enables the simulation of realistic SAR images, based on bioand geophysical parameters. The adequate preprocessing of the datasets is crucial for quantitative image analysis. A stringent preprocessing and sophisticated terrain geocoding and correction procedure is therefore suggested. It corrects the geometric and radiometric distortions of the image products and is taken as the basis for further analysis steps. A problem in recently available microwave backscattering models is the inadequate parameterisation of the surface roughness. It is shown, that the use of classical roughness descriptors, as the rms height and autocorrelation length, will lead to ambiguous model parameterisations. A new two parameter bare soil backscattering model is therefore recommended to overcome this drawback. It is derived from theoretical electromagnetic model simulations. The new bare soil surface scattering model allows for the accurate description of the bare soil backscattering coefficients. A new surface roughness parameter is introduced in this context, capable to describe the surface roughness components, affecting the backscattering coefficient. It is shown, that this parameter can be directly related to the intrinsic fractal properties of the surface. Spatially distributed information about the surface roughness is needed to derive land surface parameters from SAR imagery. An algorithm for the derivation of the new surface roughness parameter is therefore suggested. It is shown, that it can be derived directly from multitemporal SAR imagery. Starting from that point, the bare soil backscattering model is used to assess the vegetation influence on the signal. By comparison of the residuals between measured backscattering coefficients and those predicted by the bare soil backscattering model, the vegetation influence on the signal can be quantified. Significant difference between cereals (wheat and triticale) and maize is observed in this context. It is shown, that the vegetation influence on the signal can be directly derived from alternating polarisation data for cereal fields. It is dependant on plant biophysical variables as vegetation biomass and water content. The backscattering behaviour of a maize stand is significantly different from that of other cereals, due to its completely different density and shape of the plants. A dihedral corner reflection between the soil and the stalk is identified as the major source of backscattering from the vegetation. A semiempirical maize backscattering model is suggested to quantify the influences of the canopy over the vegetation period. Thus, the different scattering contributions of the soil and vegetation components are successfully separated. The combination of the bare soil and vegetation backscattering models allows for the accurate prediction of the backscattering coefficient for a wide range of surface conditions and variable incidence angles. To enable the spatially distributed simulation of the SAR backscattering coefficient, an interface to a process oriented land surface model is established, which provides the necessary input variables for the backscattering model. Using this synergistic, coupled modelling approach, a realistic simulation of SAR images becomes possible based on land surface model output variables. It is shown, that this coupled modelling approach leads to promising and accurate estimates of the backscattering coefficients. The remaining residuals between simulated and measured backscatter values are analysed to identify the sources of uncertainty in the model. A detailed field based analysis of the simulation results revealed that imprecise soil moisture predictions by the land surface model are a major source of uncertainty, which can be related to imprecise soil texture distribution and soil hydrological properties. The sensitivity of the backscattering coefficient to the soil moisture content of the upper soil layer can be used to generate soil moisture maps from SAR imagery. An algorithm for the inversion of soil moisture from the upper soil layer is suggested and validated. It makes use of initial soil moisture values, provided by the land surface process model. Soil moisture values are inverted by means of the coupled land surface backscattering model. The retrieved soil moisture results have an RMSE of 3.5 Vol %, which is comparable to the measurement accuracy of the reference field data. The developed models allow for the accurate prediction of the SAR backscattering coefficient. The various soil and vegetation scattering contributions can be separated. The direct interface to a physically based land surface process model allows for the spatially distributed modelling of the backscattering coefficient and the direct assimilation of remote sensing data into a land surface process model. The developed models allow for the derivation of static and dynamic landsurface parameters, as e.g. surface roughness, soil texture, soil moisture and biomass from remote sensing data and their assimilation in process models. They are therefore reliable tools, which can be used for sophisticated practice oriented problem solutions in manifold manner in the earth and environmental sciences

    Contribution of Remote Sensing on Crop Models: A Review

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    Crop growth models simulate the relationship between plants and the environment to predict the expected yield for applications such as crop management and agronomic decision making, as well as to study the potential impacts of climate change on food security. A major limitation of crop growth models is the lack of spatial information on the actual conditions of each field or region. Remote sensing can provide the missing spatial information required by crop models for improved yield prediction. This paper reviews the most recent information about remote sensing data and their contribution to crop growth models. It reviews the main types, applications, limitations and advantages of remote sensing data and crop models. It examines the main methods by which remote sensing data and crop growth models can be combined. As the spatial resolution of most remote sensing data varies from sub-meter to 1 km, the issue of selecting the appropriate scale is examined in conjunction with their temporal resolution. The expected future trends are discussed, considering the new and planned remote sensing platforms, emergent applications of crop models and their expected improvement to incorporate automatically the increasingly available remotely sensed products

    Combining remote sensing and crop modeling techniques to derive a nitrogen fertilizer application strategy

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    The crucial question in this thesis was how can remote sensing data and crop models be used to derive a N fertilizer strategy that is capable to lower the environmental side effects of N fertilizer application. This raised the following detailed objectives: The first objective (i) how N content determination via spectral reflectance is influenced by different leaves and positions on the leaf was investigated in Publication I. Different wheat plants were cultivated under different N levels and under drought stress in two hydroponic greenhouse trials. Spectral reflectance measurements were taken from three leaves and at three positions on the leaf for each plant. In total, 16 vegetation indices broadly used in the literature were calculated based on the spectral reflectance for each combination of leaf and position. The plant N content was determined by lab analyses. Neither the position on the leaf nor leaf number had an impact on the accuracy of plant N determination via spectral reflectance measurements. Therefore measurements taken at the canopy level seem to be a valid approach. However, if other stress symptoms like drought or disease infection occur, a differentiation between leaves and positions on the leaf might play a more crucial role. Publication II dealt with the second objective on (ii), how to incorporate leaf disease into the DSSAT wheat model to enable the simulation of the impact of leaf disease on yield. An integration of sensor information in crop growth models requires the update of model state variables. A model extension was developed by adding a pest damage module to the existing wheat model. The approach was tested on a two-year dataset from Argentina with different wheat cultivars and on a one-year dataset from Germany with different inoculum levels of septoria tritici blotch (STB). After the integration of disease infection, the accuracy of the simulated yield and leaf area index (LAI) was improved. The Root mean squared error (RMSE) values for yield (1144 kg ha−1) and LAI (1.19 m2 m−2) were reduced by half (499 kg ha−1) for yield and LAI (0.69 m2 m−2). A sensitivity analysis also showed a strong responsiveness of the model by the integration of different STB disease infection scenarios. Increasing the modeling accuracy even further a MM approach seems to be suitable. Assembling more models increases the complexity of the simulation and the involved calibration procedure especially if the user is not familiar with all models. To avoid these conflicts, Publication III evaluated the third objective (iii) if an automatic calibration procedure in a MM approach for winter wheat can eliminate the subjectivity factor in model calibration. The model calibration was performed on a 4-yr N wheat fertilizer trial in southwest Germany. The evaluation mean showed satisfying results for the calibration (d-Index 0.93) and evaluation dataset (d-Index 0.81). This lead to the fourth (iv) objective to use a MM approach to improve the overall modeling accuracy. The evaluation of a fertilizer trial showed an improved modeling accuracy in most cases, especially in the drought season 2018. Based on the combination of a MM approach and the incorporation of sensor data, a Nitrogen Application Prescription System (NAPS) was developed. The initial NAPS setup requires long term recorded data (yield, weather, and soil) to ensure proper MM calibration. After calibration, the current growing season conditions are required (weather, management information) until the N application date. Afterward, the NAPS incorporates remote sensing information and generated weather for running future N application scenarios. The selection of the proper amount of N is determined by economic and ecological criteria. Furthermore, in order to account for differences in in-field variabilities and to deliver a N prescription site-specifically, the NAPS concept has to be applied on a geospatial scale by adjusting soil parameters spatially. The NAPS concept has the potential to adjust the N application more economically and ecologically by using current sensor data, historical yield records, and future weather prediction to derive a more precise N application strategy. Finally, this concept exhibits the potential for reconciliation of the issue of an economic, agricultural production without harming the environment.In dieser Arbeit wurde eruiert, ob mit Hilfe von Sensordaten und Pflanzenwachstumsmodellen eine N-Düngemittelstrategie abgeleitet werden kann, die in der Lage ist die ökologischen Belastung zu verringern. Dies umfasste die Evaluation folgender Fragestellungen: (I) Wird die spektrale Reflexion und somit die Bestimmung der N-Konzentration durch die Messung an verschiedenen Blattetagen und -Positionen beeinflusst (Publikation I)? Für die Klärung dieser ersten Frage wurden in zwei hydroponischen Gewächshausversuchen Weizenpflanzen bei unterschiedlicher N-Exposition und Trockenstress kultiviert. Für jede Pflanze wurden spektrale Reflexionsmessungen an drei Blattetagen und an drei Positionen auf dem Blatt durchgeführt. Insgesamt wurden die 16 üblichsten auf spektraler Reflexion basierenden Vegetationsindizes für jede Kombination von Blattetage und -Position berechnet. Die N-Konzentration der Pflanze wurde durch Laboranalysen bestimmt. Weder die Position auf dem Blatt noch die Blattetage hatten einen Einfluss auf die Genauigkeit der Bestimmung der N-Konzentration der Pflanze durch spektrale Reflexionsmessungen. Daher sind Messungen auf Bestandsebene ausreichend. Falls jedoch weitere Stressfaktoren wie Trockenheit oder Krankheitsbefall auftreten, kann eine Differenzierung zwischen verschiedenen Blattetagen notwendig oder von Vorteil sein. In der nächsten Fragestellung (Publikation II) wurde untersucht, wie Blattkrankheiten in ein DSSAT-Weizenmodell integriert werden können, um so die Auswirkungen von Blattkrankheiten auf den Ertrag zu simulieren. Eine Modellerweiterung wurde entwickelt, durch die Integration eines Blattkrankheitsmoduls in das bestehende DSSAT Weizenmodell. Das Modul simuliert die Auswirkungen des täglichen Schadens durch die Krankheit auf die Photosynthese und den Blattflächenindex. Der Ansatz wurde an einem zweijährigen Datensatz aus Argentinien mit verschiedenen Weizensorten und an einem einjährigen Datensatz aus Deutschland mit verschiedenen Inokulumniveaus von Septoria tritici-Blotch (STB) getestet. Die Sensitivitätsanalyse zeigte die Möglichkeit des Modells, den Ertrag in einer exponentiellen Beziehung mit zunehmendem Infektionsgrad (0-70%) zu reduzieren. Das erweiterte Modell stellt somit eine Möglichkeit dar, STB-Infektionen standortspezifisch in Verbindung mit verfügbaren Sensordaten zu simulieren. Um die Modellierungsgenauigkeit noch weiter zu erhöhen, wurde der Einsatz eines MM-Ansatz geprüft. Die Kombination von verschiedenen Modellen erhöht die Komplexität der Simulation und des damit verbundenen Kalibrierungsverfahrens, insbesondere wenn der Benutzer nicht mit allen Modellen vertraut ist. Die dritte Fragestellung (iii) untersuchte daher, ob objektive Kalibrierungsergebnisse gewährleitet werden könnten, wenn die cultivar coefficients im Modell auf Basis tatsächlich gemessener Daten mittels eines neu entwickelten automatischen Calibrator-Programms optimiert wurden. Die Modellkalibrierung wurde an einem 4-jährigen-Weizendüngungsversuch in Südwestdeutschland durchgeführt. Die statistische Auswertung des Kalibrierverfahrens zeigte zufriedenstellende Ergebnisse und führte zur vierten Fragestellung. Die vierte Fragestellung befasste sich mit dem Thema, ob ein MM-Ansatz die Gesamtmodelliergenauigkeit verbessern kann. Die Auswertung des Düngemittelversuchs zeigte in den meisten Fällen eine verbesserte Modellierungsgenauigkeit, insbesondere in einem durch Wasserstress geprägten Versuchsjahr wie 2018. Unter Verwendung eines MM-Ansatzes, durch Anpassung der Modellvariablen und durch die Integration von Sensordaten wurde ein Nitrogen Application Prescription System (NAPS) entwickelt. Eine Voraussetzung für das NAPS-Konzepts ist das Vorhandensein von Langzeit-Daten (Ertrag, Klima- und Bodenbedingungen), um eine korrekte MM-Kalibrierung zu gewährleisten. Nach der Kalibrierung werden die Bedingungen der aktuellen Wachstumssaison (Wetter, Managementinformationen) bis zum Düngetermin benötigt. Anschließend berechnet das NAPS basierend auf Sensorinformationen und simulierten Wetterbedingungen verschiedene Düngeszenarien. Ökonomische und ökologische Kriterien bestimmen die optimierte Düngemenge. Darüber hinaus muss das NAPS-Konzept auf räumlicher Ebene arbeiten, indem es die Bodenparameter berücksichtigt. So kann unter Beachtung der Feldvariabilität eine standortspezifische N-Ausbringung gewährleistet werden. In Summe zeigte sich, dass NAPS die Düngung an ökonomische und ökologische Faktoren anpasst, indem es aktuelle Sensordaten, historische Ertragsaufzeichnungen und zukünftige Wettervorhersagen zur Ermittlung einer präziseren N-Ausbringung nutzt. Das Konzept hat so das Potenzial, die nachteiligen Auswirkungen einer Überdüngung zu begrenzen, so dass eine umweltfreundlichere Agrarproduktion gewährleistet wird
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