Evaluating the impact of social-media on sales forecasting: a quantitative study of worlds biggest brands using Twitter, Facebook and Google Trends

In the world of digital communication, data from online sources such as social networks might provide additional information about changing consumer interest and significantly improve the accuracy of forecasting models. In this thesis I investigate whether information from Twitter, Facebook and Google Trends have the ability to improve daily sales forecasts for companies with respect to the forecasts from transactional sales data only. My original contribution to this domain, exposed in the present thesis, consists in the following main steps: 1. Data collection. I collected Twitter, Facebook and Google Trends data for the period May 2013 May 2015 for 75 brands. Historical transactional sales data was supplied by Certona Corporation. 2. Sentiment analysis. I introduced a new sentiment classification approach based on combining the two standard techniques (lexicon-based and machine learning based). The proposed method outperforms the state-of-the-art approach by 7% in F-score. 3. Identification and classification of events. I proposed a framework for events detection and a robust method for clustering Twitter events into different types based on the shape of the Twitter volume and sentiment peaks. This approach allows to capture the varying dynamics of information propagation through the social network. I provide empirical evidence that it is possible to identify types of Twitter events that have significant power to predict spikes in sales. 4. Forecasting next day sales. I explored linear, non-linear and cointegrating relationships between sales and social-media variables for 18 brands and showed that social-media variables can improve daily sales forecasts for the majority of brands by capturing factors, such as consumer sentiment and brand perception. Moreover, I identified that social-media data without sales information, can be used to predict sales direction with the accuracy of 63%. The experts from the industry consider the results obtained in this thesis to be valuable and useful for decision making and for making strategic planning for the future

Multimedia

The nowadays ubiquitous and effortless digital data capture and processing capabilities offered by the majority of devices, lead to an unprecedented penetration of multimedia content in our everyday life. To make the most of this phenomenon, the rapidly increasing volume and usage of digitised content requires constant re-evaluation and adaptation of multimedia methodologies, in order to meet the relentless change of requirements from both the user and system perspectives. Advances in Multimedia provides readers with an overview of the ever-growing field of multimedia by bringing together various research studies and surveys from different subfields that point out such important aspects. Some of the main topics that this book deals with include: multimedia management in peer-to-peer structures & wireless networks, security characteristics in multimedia, semantic gap bridging for multimedia content and novel multimedia applications

Shell nouns : in a systemic functional linguistics perspective

Tese de doutoramento, Linguística (Análise do Discurso), Universidade de Lisboa, Faculdade de Letras, 2015Shell nouns in a Systemic Functional Linguistics perspective. The aim of this thesis is to develop an account of shell nouns (Schmid, 2000) in a Systemic Functional Linguistics (SFL) perspective. Using a parallel corpus comprising five article submissions by Portuguese academics in the field of economics and five published articles on comparable topics, the ideational, interpersonal and textual functions of shell nouns are tagged at the strata of the lexicogrammar and discourse semantics using Corpus Tool version 2.7.4 (O’Donnell, 2008). The systems networks used to tag the corpus are grounded in SFL theory. The analysis shows that shell nouns constitute an important systemic resource for the writers of research articles, who need to build an argument, positioning themselves and their study to convince the discourse community that their paper makes a contribution to knowledge in their disciplinary field. They enable a text to unfold by compacting information realised as a clause or more elsewhere in the text. Thus they can help scaffold a text through hyper-Themes, hyper-News and internal conjunction. At the stratum of the lexicogrammar, anaphorically referring nominal groups with a shell noun as Head often compose Theme, where they constitute a shared point of departure for the clause. In a decoding relational clause whose Process is realised by a verb such as reveal, confirm, or suggest, an anaphorically referring shell noun that construes Token helps to explicitly build the writer’s argument. Shell nouns that construe the field of research, such as results and findings are common in this function. Mental, linguistic and factual shell nouns contribute to construing dialogic position, and coupling between interpersonal systems and textual systems enables the writer to align the reader with certain positions and disalign with others. Although most shell nouns are not field specific, because they can project a figure that instantiates an entity, they contribute to construing field, for example instantiating entities as the object of study of the empirical research. The capacity of shell nouns to function as described above derives from their status as semiotic abstractions, which can refer to text as fact or report and are grammatical metaphors. They can be seen as lying at the intersection of modality and the logico-semantic relations of projection and expansion, brought into being by the semogenic process of nominalisation. The writers of the published articles and article submissions are found to use shell nouns in all of the functions above, but there are differences in the relative shares of the functions, which may affect reader reactions to the text

29th Annual Computational Neuroscience Meeting: CNS*2020

Meeting abstracts This publication was funded by OCNS. The Supplement Editors declare that they have no competing interests. Virtual | 18-22 July 202

Towards a Brain-inspired Information Processing System: Modelling and Analysis of Synaptic Dynamics: Towards a Brain-inspired InformationProcessing System: Modelling and Analysis ofSynaptic Dynamics

Biological neural systems (BNS) in general and the central nervous system (CNS) specifically exhibit a strikingly efficient computational power along with an extreme flexible and adaptive basis for acquiring and integrating new knowledge. Acquiring more insights into the actual mechanisms of information processing within the BNS and their computational capabilities is a core objective of modern computer science, computational sciences and neuroscience. Among the main reasons of this tendency to understand the brain is to help in improving the quality of life of people suffer from loss (either partial or complete) of brain or spinal cord functions. Brain-computer-interfaces (BCI), neural prostheses and other similar approaches are potential solutions either to help these patients through therapy or to push the progress in rehabilitation. There is however a significant lack of knowledge regarding the basic information processing within the CNS. Without a better understanding of the fundamental operations or sequences leading to cognitive abilities, applications like BCI or neural prostheses will keep struggling to find a proper and systematic way to help patients in this regard. In order to have more insights into these basic information processing methods, this thesis presents an approach that makes a formal distinction between the essence of being intelligent (as for the brain) and the classical class of artificial intelligence, e.g. with expert systems. This approach investigates the underlying mechanisms allowing the CNS to be capable of performing a massive amount of computational tasks with a sustainable efficiency and flexibility. This is the essence of being intelligent, i.e. being able to learn, adapt and to invent. The approach used in the thesis at hands is based on the hypothesis that the brain or specifically a biological neural circuitry in the CNS is a dynamic system (network) that features emergent capabilities. These capabilities can be imported into spiking neural networks (SNN) by emulating the dynamic neural system. Emulating the dynamic system requires simulating both the inner workings of the system and the framework of performing the information processing tasks. Thus, this work comprises two main parts. The first part is concerned with introducing a proper and a novel dynamic synaptic model as a vital constitute of the inner workings of the dynamic neural system. This model represents a balanced integration between the needed biophysical details and being computationally inexpensive. Being a biophysical model is important to allow for the abilities of the target dynamic system to be inherited, and being simple is needed to allow for further implementation in large scale simulations and for hardware implementation in the future. Besides, the energy related aspects of synaptic dynamics are studied and linked to the behaviour of the networks seeking for stable states of activities. The second part of the thesis is consequently concerned with importing the processing framework of the dynamic system into the environment of SNN. This part of the study investigates the well established concept of binding by synchrony to solve the information binding problem and to proposes the concept of synchrony states within SNN. The concepts of computing with states are extended to investigate a computational model that is based on the finite-state machines and reservoir computing. Biological plausible validations of the introduced model and frameworks are performed. Results and discussions of these validations indicate that this study presents a significant advance on the way of empowering the knowledge about the mechanisms underpinning the computational power of CNS. Furthermore it shows a roadmap on how to adopt the biological computational capabilities in computation science in general and in biologically-inspired spiking neural networks in specific. Large scale simulations and the development of neuromorphic hardware are work-in-progress and future work. Among the applications of the introduced work are neural prostheses and bionic automation systems

Immunohistochemical and electrophysiological investigation of E/I balance alterations in animal models of frontotemporal dementia

Behavioural variant frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD) is a neurodegenerative disease characterised by changes in behaviour. Apathy, behavioural disinhibition and stereotyped behaviours are the first symptoms to appear and all have a basis in reward and pleasure deficits. The ventral striatum and ventral regions of the globus pallidus are involved in reward and pleasure. It is therefore reasonable to suggest alterations in these regions may underpin bvFTD. One postulated contributory factor is alteration in E/I balance in striatal regions. GABAergic interneurons play a role in E/I balance, acting as local inhibitory brakes, they are therefore a rational target for research investigating early biological predictors of bvFTD. To investigate this, we will carry out immunohistochemical staining for GABAergic interneurons (parvalbumin and neuronal nitric oxide synthase) in striatal regions of brains taken from CHMP2B mice, a validated animal model of bvFTD. We hypothesise that there will be fewer GABAergic interneurons in the striatum which may lead to ‘reward-seeking’ behaviour in bvFTD. This will also enable us to investigate any preclinical alterations in interneuron expression within this region. Results will be analysed using a mixed ANOVA and if significant, post hoc t-tests will be used. The second part of our study will involve extracellular recordings from CHMP2B mouse brains using a multi-electrode array (MEA). This will enable us to determine if there are alterations in local field potentials (LFP) in preclinical and symptomatic animals. We will also be able to see if neuromodulators such as serotonin and dopamine effect LFPs after bath application. We will develop slice preparations to preserve pathways between the ventral tegmental area and the ventral pallidum, an output structure of the striatum, and the dorsal raphe nucleus and the VP. Using the MEA we will stimulate an endogenous release of dopamine and serotonin using the slice preparations as described above. This will enable us to see if there are any changes in LFPs after endogenous release of neuromodulators. We hypothesise there will be an increase in LFPs due to loss of GABAergic interneurons

Congress UPV Proceedings of the 21ST International Conference on Science and Technology Indicators

This is the book of proceedings of the 21st Science and Technology Indicators Conference that took place in València (Spain) from 14th to 16th of September 2016. The conference theme for this year, ‘Peripheries, frontiers and beyond’ aimed to study the development and use of Science, Technology and Innovation indicators in spaces that have not been the focus of current indicator development, for example, in the Global South, or the Social Sciences and Humanities. The exploration to the margins and beyond proposed by the theme has brought to the STI Conference an interesting array of new contributors from a variety of fields and geographies. This year’s conference had a record 382 registered participants from 40 different countries, including 23 European, 9 American, 4 Asia-Pacific, 4 Africa and Near East. About 26% of participants came from outside of Europe. There were also many participants (17%) from organisations outside academia including governments (8%), businesses (5%), foundations (2%) and international organisations (2%). This is particularly important in a field that is practice-oriented. The chapters of the proceedings attest to the breadth of issues discussed. Infrastructure, benchmarking and use of innovation indicators, societal impact and mission oriented-research, mobility and careers, social sciences and the humanities, participation and culture, gender, and altmetrics, among others. We hope that the diversity of this Conference has fostered productive dialogues and synergistic ideas and made a contribution, small as it may be, to the development and use of indicators that, being more inclusive, will foster a more inclusive and fair world

Abstracts on Radio Direction Finding (1899 - 1995)

The files on this record represent the various databases that originally composed the CD-ROM issue of "Abstracts on Radio Direction Finding" database, which is now part of the Dudley Knox Library's Abstracts and Selected Full Text Documents on Radio Direction Finding (1899 - 1995) Collection. (See Calhoun record https://calhoun.nps.edu/handle/10945/57364 for further information on this collection and the bibliography). Due to issues of technological obsolescence preventing current and future audiences from accessing the bibliography, DKL exported and converted into the three files on this record the various databases contained in the CD-ROM. The contents of these files are: 1) RDFA_CompleteBibliography_xls.zip [RDFA_CompleteBibliography.xls: Metadata for the complete bibliography, in Excel 97-2003 Workbook format; RDFA_Glossary.xls: Glossary of terms, in Excel 97-2003 Workbookformat; RDFA_Biographies.xls: Biographies of leading figures, in Excel 97-2003 Workbook format]; 2) RDFA_CompleteBibliography_csv.zip [RDFA_CompleteBibliography.TXT: Metadata for the complete bibliography, in CSV format; RDFA_Glossary.TXT: Glossary of terms, in CSV format; RDFA_Biographies.TXT: Biographies of leading figures, in CSV format]; 3) RDFA_CompleteBibliography.pdf: A human readable display of the bibliographic data, as a means of double-checking any possible deviations due to conversion

Argonne National Laboratory Reports

This sixth symposium covers process control processes and issues involved in the conversion of fossil fuels into synthetic fuels