Intrusion detection by machine learning = Behatolás detektálás gépi tanulás által

Since the early days of information technology, there have been many stakeholders who used the technological capabilities for their own benefit, be it legal operations, or illegal access to computational assets and sensitive information. Every year, businesses invest large amounts of effort into upgrading their IT infrastructure, yet, even today, they are unprepared to protect their most valuable assets: data and knowledge. This lack of protection was the main reason for the creation of this dissertation. During this study, intrusion detection, a field of information security, is evaluated through the use of several machine learning models performing signature and hybrid detection. This is a challenging field, mainly due to the high velocity and imbalanced nature of network traffic. To construct machine learning models capable of intrusion detection, the applied methodologies were the CRISP-DM process model designed to help data scientists with the planning, creation and integration of machine learning models into a business information infrastructure, and design science research interested in answering research questions with information technology artefacts. The two methodologies have a lot in common, which is further elaborated in the study. The goals of this dissertation were two-fold: first, to create an intrusion detector that could provide a high level of intrusion detection performance measured using accuracy and recall and second, to identify potential techniques that can increase intrusion detection performance. Out of the designed models, a hybrid autoencoder + stacking neural network model managed to achieve detection performance comparable to the best models that appeared in the related literature, with good detections on minority classes. To achieve this result, the techniques identified were synthetic sampling, advanced hyperparameter optimization, model ensembles and autoencoder networks. In addition, the dissertation set up a soft hierarchy among the different detection techniques in terms of performance and provides a brief outlook on potential future practical applications of network intrusion detection models as well

Machine Learning

Machine Learning can be defined in various ways related to a scientific domain concerned with the design and development of theoretical and implementation tools that allow building systems with some Human Like intelligent behavior. Machine learning addresses more specifically the ability to improve automatically through experience

Democratizing machine learning

Modelle des maschinellen Lernens sind zunehmend in der Gesellschaft verankert, oft in Form von automatisierten Entscheidungsprozessen. Ein wesentlicher Grund dafür ist die verbesserte Zugänglichkeit von Daten, aber auch von Toolkits für maschinelles Lernen, die den Zugang zu Methoden des maschinellen Lernens für Nicht-Experten ermöglichen. Diese Arbeit umfasst mehrere Beiträge zur Demokratisierung des Zugangs zum maschinellem Lernen, mit dem Ziel, einem breiterem Publikum Zugang zu diesen Technologien zu er- möglichen. Die Beiträge in diesem Manuskript stammen aus mehreren Bereichen innerhalb dieses weiten Gebiets. Ein großer Teil ist dem Bereich des automatisierten maschinellen Lernens (AutoML) und der Hyperparameter-Optimierung gewidmet, mit dem Ziel, die oft mühsame Aufgabe, ein optimales Vorhersagemodell für einen gegebenen Datensatz zu finden, zu vereinfachen. Dieser Prozess besteht meist darin ein für vom Benutzer vorgegebene Leistungsmetrik(en) optimales Modell zu finden. Oft kann dieser Prozess durch Lernen aus vorhergehenden Experimenten verbessert oder beschleunigt werden. In dieser Arbeit werden drei solcher Methoden vorgestellt, die entweder darauf abzielen, eine feste Menge möglicher Hyperparameterkonfigurationen zu erhalten, die wahrscheinlich gute Lösungen für jeden neuen Datensatz enthalten, oder Eigenschaften der Datensätze zu nutzen, um neue Konfigurationen vorzuschlagen. Darüber hinaus wird eine Sammlung solcher erforderlichen Metadaten zu den Experimenten vorgestellt, und es wird gezeigt, wie solche Metadaten für die Entwicklung und als Testumgebung für neue Hyperparameter- Optimierungsmethoden verwendet werden können. Die weite Verbreitung von ML-Modellen in vielen Bereichen der Gesellschaft erfordert gleichzeitig eine genauere Untersuchung der Art und Weise, wie aus Modellen abgeleitete automatisierte Entscheidungen die Gesellschaft formen, und ob sie möglicherweise Individuen oder einzelne Bevölkerungsgruppen benachteiligen. In dieser Arbeit wird daher ein AutoML-Tool vorgestellt, das es ermöglicht, solche Überlegungen in die Suche nach einem optimalen Modell miteinzubeziehen. Diese Forderung nach Fairness wirft gleichzeitig die Frage auf, ob die Fairness eines Modells zuverlässig geschätzt werden kann, was in einem weiteren Beitrag in dieser Arbeit untersucht wird. Da der Zugang zu Methoden des maschinellen Lernens auch stark vom Zugang zu Software und Toolboxen abhängt, sind mehrere Beiträge in Form von Software Teil dieser Arbeit. Das R-Paket mlr3pipelines ermöglicht die Einbettung von Modellen in sogenan- nte Machine Learning Pipelines, die Vor- und Nachverarbeitungsschritte enthalten, die im maschinellen Lernen und AutoML häufig benötigt werden. Das mlr3fairness R-Paket hingegen ermöglicht es dem Benutzer, Modelle auf potentielle Benachteiligung hin zu über- prüfen und diese durch verschiedene Techniken zu reduzieren. Eine dieser Techniken, multi-calibration wurde darüberhinaus als seperate Software veröffentlicht.Machine learning artifacts are increasingly embedded in society, often in the form of automated decision-making processes. One major reason for this, along with methodological improvements, is the increasing accessibility of data but also machine learning toolkits that enable access to machine learning methodology for non-experts. The core focus of this thesis is exactly this – democratizing access to machine learning in order to enable a wider audience to benefit from its potential. Contributions in this manuscript stem from several different areas within this broader area. A major section is dedicated to the field of automated machine learning (AutoML) with the goal to abstract away the tedious task of obtaining an optimal predictive model for a given dataset. This process mostly consists of finding said optimal model, often through hyperparameter optimization, while the user in turn only selects the appropriate performance metric(s) and validates the resulting models. This process can be improved or sped up by learning from previous experiments. Three such methods one with the goal to obtain a fixed set of possible hyperparameter configurations that likely contain good solutions for any new dataset and two using dataset characteristics to propose new configurations are presented in this thesis. It furthermore presents a collection of required experiment metadata and how such meta-data can be used for the development and as a test bed for new hyperparameter optimization methods. The pervasion of models derived from ML in many aspects of society simultaneously calls for increased scrutiny with respect to how such models shape society and the eventual biases they exhibit. Therefore, this thesis presents an AutoML tool that allows incorporating fairness considerations into the search for an optimal model. This requirement for fairness simultaneously poses the question of whether we can reliably estimate a model’s fairness, which is studied in a further contribution in this thesis. Since access to machine learning methods also heavily depends on access to software and toolboxes, several contributions in the form of software are part of this thesis. The mlr3pipelines R package allows for embedding models in so-called machine learning pipelines that include pre- and postprocessing steps often required in machine learning and AutoML. The mlr3fairness R package on the other hand enables users to audit models for potential biases as well as reduce those biases through different debiasing techniques. One such technique, multi-calibration is published as a separate software package, mcboost

The 8th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting

The aim of ITISE 2022 is to create a friendly environment that could lead to the establishment or strengthening of scientific collaborations and exchanges among attendees. Therefore, ITISE 2022 is soliciting high-quality original research papers (including significant works-in-progress) on any aspect time series analysis and forecasting, in order to motivating the generation and use of new knowledge, computational techniques and methods on forecasting in a wide range of fields

Tracking the Temporal-Evolution of Supernova Bubbles in Numerical Simulations

The study of low-dimensional, noisy manifolds embedded in a higher dimensional space has been extremely useful in many applications, from the chemical analysis of multi-phase flows to simulations of galactic mergers. Building a probabilistic model of the manifolds has helped in describing their essential properties and how they vary in space. However, when the manifold is evolving through time, a joint spatio-temporal modelling is needed, in order to fully comprehend its nature. We propose a first-order Markovian process that propagates the spatial probabilistic model of a manifold at fixed time, to its adjacent temporal stages. The proposed methodology is demonstrated using a particle simulation of an interacting dwarf galaxy to describe the evolution of a cavity generated by a Supernov

Untangling hotel industry’s inefficiency: An SFA approach applied to a renowned Portuguese hotel chain

The present paper explores the technical efficiency of four hotels from Teixeira Duarte Group - a renowned Portuguese hotel chain. An efficiency ranking is established from these four hotel units located in Portugal using Stochastic Frontier Analysis. This methodology allows to discriminate between measurement error and systematic inefficiencies in the estimation process enabling to investigate the main inefficiency causes. Several suggestions concerning efficiency improvement are undertaken for each hotel studied.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Sentiment Analysis of Textual Content in Social Networks. From Hand-Crafted to Deep Learning-Based Models

Aquesta tesi proposa diversos mètodes avançats per analitzar automàticament el contingut textual compartit a les xarxes socials i identificar les opinions, emocions i sentiments a diferents nivells d’anàlisi i en diferents idiomes. Comencem proposant un sistema d’anàlisi de sentiments, anomenat SentiRich, basat en un conjunt ric d’atributs, inclosa la informació extreta de lèxics de sentiments i models de word embedding pre-entrenats. A continuació, proposem un sistema basat en Xarxes Neurals Convolucionals i regressors XGboost per resoldre una sèrie de tasques d’anàlisi de sentiments i emocions a Twitter. Aquestes tasques van des de les tasques típiques d’anàlisi de sentiments fins a determinar automàticament la intensitat d’una emoció (com ara alegria, por, ira, etc.) i la intensitat del sentiment dels autors a partir dels seus tweets. També proposem un nou sistema basat en Deep Learning per solucionar el problema de classificació de les emocions múltiples a Twitter. A més, es va considerar el problema de l’anàlisi del sentiment depenent de l’objectiu. Per a aquest propòsit, proposem un sistema basat en Deep Learning que identifica i extreu l'objectiu dels tweets. Tot i que alguns idiomes, com l’anglès, disposen d’una àmplia gamma de recursos per permetre l’anàlisi del sentiment, a la majoria de llenguatges els hi manca. Per tant, utilitzem la tècnica d'anàlisi de sentiments entre idiomes per desenvolupar un sistema nou, multilingüe i basat en Deep Learning per a llenguatges amb pocs recursos lingüístics. Proposem combinar l’ajuda a la presa de decisions multi-criteri i anàlisis de sentiments per desenvolupar un sistema que permeti als usuaris la possibilitat d’explotar tant les opinions com les seves preferències en el procés de classificació d’alternatives. Finalment, vam aplicar els sistemes desenvolupats al camp de la comunicació de les marques de destinació a través de les xarxes socials. Amb aquesta finalitat, hem recollit tweets de persones locals, visitants i els gabinets oficials de Turisme de diferents destinacions turístiques i es van analitzar les opinions i les emocions compartides en ells. En general, els mètodes proposats en aquesta tesi milloren el rendiment dels enfocaments d’última generació i mostren troballes apassionants.Esta tesis propone varios métodos avanzados para analizar automáticamente el contenido textual compartido en las redes sociales e identificar opiniones, emociones y sentimientos, en diferentes niveles de análisis y en diferentes idiomas. Comenzamos proponiendo un sistema de análisis de sentimientos, llamado SentiRich, que está basado en un conjunto rico de características, que incluyen la información extraída de léxicos de sentimientos y modelos de word embedding previamente entrenados. Luego, proponemos un sistema basado en redes neuronales convolucionales y regresores XGboost para resolver una variedad de tareas de análisis de sentimientos y emociones en Twitter. Estas tareas van desde las típicas tareas de análisis de sentimientos hasta la determinación automática de la intensidad de una emoción (como alegría, miedo, ira, etc.) y la intensidad del sentimiento de los autores de los tweets. También proponemos un novedoso sistema basado en Deep Learning para abordar el problema de clasificación de emociones múltiples en Twitter. Además, consideramos el problema del análisis de sentimientos dependiente del objetivo. Para este propósito, proponemos un sistema basado en Deep Learning que identifica y extrae el objetivo de los tweets. Si bien algunos idiomas, como el inglés, tienen una amplia gama de recursos para permitir el análisis de sentimientos, la mayoría de los idiomas carecen de ellos. Por lo tanto, utilizamos la técnica de Análisis de Sentimiento Inter-lingual para desarrollar un sistema novedoso, multilingüe y basado en Deep Learning para los lenguajes con pocos recursos lingüísticos. Proponemos combinar la Ayuda a la Toma de Decisiones Multi-criterio y el análisis de sentimientos para desarrollar un sistema que brinde a los usuarios la capacidad de explotar las opiniones junto con sus preferencias en el proceso de clasificación de alternativas. Finalmente, aplicamos los sistemas desarrollados al campo de la comunicación de las marcas de destino a través de las redes sociales. Con este fin, recopilamos tweets de personas locales, visitantes, y gabinetes oficiales de Turismo de diferentes destinos turísticos y analizamos las opiniones y las emociones compartidas en ellos. En general, los métodos propuestos en esta tesis mejoran el rendimiento de los enfoques de vanguardia y muestran hallazgos interesa.This thesis proposes several advanced methods to automatically analyse textual content shared on social networks and identify people’ opinions, emotions and feelings at a different level of analysis and in different languages. We start by proposing a sentiment analysis system, called SentiRich, based on a set of rich features, including the information extracted from sentiment lexicons and pre-trained word embedding models. Then, we propose an ensemble system based on Convolutional Neural Networks and XGboost regressors to solve an array of sentiment and emotion analysis tasks on Twitter. These tasks range from the typical sentiment analysis tasks, to automatically determining the intensity of an emotion (such as joy, fear, anger, etc.) and the intensity of sentiment (aka valence) of the authors from their tweets. We also propose a novel Deep Learning-based system to address the multiple emotion classification problem on Twitter. Moreover, we considered the problem of target-dependent sentiment analysis. For this purpose, we propose a Deep Learning-based system that identifies and extracts the target of the tweets. While some languages, such as English, have a vast array of resources to enable sentiment analysis, most low-resource languages lack them. So, we utilise the Cross-lingual Sentiment Analysis technique to develop a novel, multi-lingual and Deep Learning-based system for low resource languages. We propose to combine Multi-Criteria Decision Aid and sentiment analysis to develop a system that gives users the ability to exploit reviews alongside their preferences in the process of alternatives ranking. Finally, we applied the developed systems to the field of communication of destination brands through social networks. To this end, we collected tweets of local people, visitors, and official brand destination offices from different tourist destinations and analysed the opinions and the emotions shared in these tweets

Low-Resource Unsupervised NMT:Diagnosing the Problem and Providing a Linguistically Motivated Solution

Unsupervised Machine Translation hasbeen advancing our ability to translatewithout parallel data, but state-of-the-artmethods assume an abundance of mono-lingual data. This paper investigates thescenario where monolingual data is lim-ited as well, finding that current unsuper-vised methods suffer in performance un-der this stricter setting. We find that theperformance loss originates from the poorquality of the pretrained monolingual em-beddings, and we propose using linguis-tic information in the embedding train-ing scheme. To support this, we look attwo linguistic features that may help im-prove alignment quality: dependency in-formation and sub-word information. Us-ing dependency-based embeddings resultsin a complementary word representationwhich offers a boost in performance ofaround 1.5 BLEU points compared to stan-dardWORD2VECwhen monolingual datais limited to 1 million sentences per lan-guage. We also find that the inclusion ofsub-word information is crucial to improv-ing the quality of the embedding