An overview on managing additive consistency of reciprocal preference relations for consistency-driven decision making and Fusion: Taxonomy and future directions

The file attached to this record is the author's final peer reviewed version. The Publisher's final version can be found by following the DOI link.The reciprocal preference relation (RPR) is a powerful tool to represent decision makers’ preferences in decision making problems. In recent years, various types of RPRs have been reported and investigated, some of them being the ‘classical’ RPRs, interval-valued RPRs and hesitant RPRs. Additive consistency is one of the most commonly used property to measure the consistency of RPRs, with many methods developed to manage additive consistency of RPRs. To provide a clear perspective on additive consistency issues of RPRs, this paper reviews the consistency measurements of the different types of RPRs. Then, consistency-driven decision making and information fusion methods are also reviewed and classified into four main types: consistency improving methods; consistency-based methods to manage incomplete RPRs; consistency control in consensus decision making methods; and consistency-driven linguistic decision making methods. Finally, with respect to insights gained from prior researches, further directions for the research are proposed

DYNAMIC PROBLEM OF FORMATION OF SECURITIES PORTFOLIO UNDER UNCERTAINTY CONDITIONS

The analysis of known methods for solving the problem of forming a portfolio of securities in the face of uncertainty is carried out. Traditionally, the problem is solved under the assumption that for each type of asset, the values of the main statistical characteristics of the random value of their profitability (mathematical expectation and variance) are known. At the same time, the variance of portfolio returns, which is minimized, is used as a criterion for portfolio optimization. Two alternative approaches to solving the formulated problem are proposed. The first of them provides a decision on the criterion of the probability that the random total portfolio return will not be lower than the given. It is assumed that the random return for each type of asset is distributed normally and the statistical characteristics of the respective densities are known. The original problem is reduced to the problem of maximizing the quadratic fractional criterion in the presence of linear constraints. To solve this non-standard optimization problem, a special iterative algorithm is proposed that implements the procedure for sequential improvement of the plan. The method converges and the computational procedure for obtaining a solution can be stopped by any of the standard criteria. The second approach considers the possibility of solving the problem under the assumption that the distribution densities of random asset returns are not known, however, based on the results of preliminary statistical processing of the initial data, estimates of the values of the main numerical characteristics for each of the assets are obtained. To solve the problem, a new mathematical apparatus is used – continuous linear programming, which is a generalization of ordinary linear programming to the case when the task variables are continuous. This method, in the considered problem, is based on solving an auxiliary problem: finding the worst-case distribution density of a random total portfolio return at which this total return does not reach an acceptable threshold with maximum probability. Now the main minimax problem is being solved: the formation of the best portfolio in the worst conditions. The resulting computational scheme leads to the problem of quadratic mathematical programming in the presence of linear constraints. Next, a method is proposed for solving the problem of forming a portfolio of securities, taking into account the real dynamics of the value of assets. The problem that arises in this case is formulated and solved in terms of the general theory of control, using the Riccati equation

International joint venture success in the automotive industry

This thesis examines International IJVs and the conditions that contribute to their success. The original contribution to knowledge of his thesis is the identification of Trust, the Parent Relationship and Long-Term Commitment as conditions most likely to foster successful IJVs. This thesis showed the applicability of these conditions to IJVs in the automotive sector and also demonstrates the dependency of each condition to the other by identifying a sequential order with which the conditions These conditions are established through interviewing senior management from both parents and the internal management of 13 successful IJVs in the automotive industry. The thesis is divided into a qualitative and quantitative analysis. Key themes from the respondent s qualitative views of success are extracted, coded and then analysed to provide robust empirical results. The data acquired from the respondents is analysed using fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (fsQCA). The conditions leading to success are the parent s relationship, the level of trust that exists between the parents and their long-term commitment to the IJV

The management and performance of international joint ventures

This study investigates several core aspects of the management and performance of international joint ventures with parent firms from Europe, North America and Australia. The focus of the study is the relationships between management control of IJVs, autonomy granted to the IJV management, trust between IJV partners, perceptions of cultural differences between IJV partners and the performance of IJVs. The study builds on the existing literature by examining new data and providing new empirical insights. Data was collected by means of an international mail survey using a self-administered questionnaire and an e-mail survey. The General Directorate of Foreign Investment (GDFI) database in Turkey and the OSIRIS database served to provide two sampling frames for the data collection. The perspective of this study is an empirical investigation of the nature of management control exercised by the parent firms over the joint ventures. This study provides new evidence on the relationships between the dimensions of management control and the performance of a sample of JVs. The overall concept of autonomy is examined by discussing differences in the management and control of decision-making as categorized by operational versus strategic decisions. Furthermore, the influence of IJV performance and IJV duration on autonomy is considered. The relative importance of both national culture and corporate culture differences on the management of the joint venture is considered. The influence of joint venture age and the influence of autonomy granted to JV management are investigated with particular reference to culture. This study provides a framework of trust by treating perceptions of cultural differences as antecedents to trust, the degree of JV autonomy granted as a consequence of trust and JV performance as both antecedent to and consequence of trust. This study identifies the key determinants of IJV performance as management control of IJVs, autonomy granted to the IJV management, trust between IJV partners and perceptions of cultural differences between IJV partners

Fuzzy EOQ Model with Trapezoidal and Triangular Functions Using Partial Backorder

EOQ fuzzy model is EOQ model that can estimate the cost from existing information. Using trapezoid fuzzy functions can estimate the costs of existing and trapezoid membership functions has some points that have a value of membership . TR ̃C value results of trapezoid fuzzy will be higher than usual TRC value results of EOQ model . This paper aims to determine the optimal amount of inventory in the company, namely optimal Q and optimal V, using the model of partial backorder will be known optimal Q and V for the optimal number of units each time a message . EOQ model effect on inventory very closely by using EOQ fuzzy model with triangular and trapezoid membership functions with partial backorder. Optimal Q and optimal V values for the optimal fuzzy models will have an increase due to the use of trapezoid and triangular membership functions that have a different value depending on the requirements of each membership function value. Therefore, by using a fuzzy model can solve the company's problems in estimating the costs for the next term

Tools for Composite Indicators Building

Our society is changing so fast we need to know as soon as possible when things go wrong (Euroabstracts, 2003). This is where composite indicators enter into the discussion. A composite indicator is an aggregated index comprising individual indicators and weights that commonly represent the relative importance of each indicator. However, the construction of a composite indicator is not straightforward and the methodological challenges raise a series of technical issues that, if not addressed adequately, can lead to composite indicators being misinterpreted or manipulated. Therefore, careful attention needs to be given to their construction and subsequent use. This document reviews the steps involved in a composite indicator’s construction process and discusses the common pitfalls to be avoided. We stress the need for multivariate analysis prior to the aggregation of the individual indicators. We deal with the problem of missing data and with the techniques used to bring into a common unit the indicators that are of very different nature. We explore different methodologies for weighting and aggregating indicators into a composite and test the robustness of the composite using uncertainty and sensitivity analysis. Finally we show how the same information that is communicated by the composite indicator can be presented in very different ways and how this can influence the policy message.JRC.G.9-Econometrics and statistical support to antifrau

Entry Mode Strategies and Technology Transfer of Japanese High-Tech Companies in China

Ph.DDOCTOR OF PHILOSOPH

Advanced Information Systems and Technologies

This book comprises the proceedings of the V International Scientific Conference "Advanced Information Systems and Technologies, AIST-2017". The proceeding papers cover issues related to system analysis and modeling, project management, information system engineering, intelligent data processing computer networking and telecomunications. They will be useful for students, graduate students, researchers who interested in computer science

Neuro-Fuzzy Based Intelligent Approaches to Nonlinear System Identification and Forecasting

Nearly three decades back nonlinear system identification consisted of several ad-hoc approaches, which were restricted to a very limited class of systems. However, with the advent of the various soft computing methodologies like neural networks and the fuzzy logic combined with optimization techniques, a wider class of systems can be handled at present. Complex systems may be of diverse characteristics and nature. These systems may be linear or nonlinear, continuous or discrete, time varying or time invariant, static or dynamic, short term or long term, central or distributed, predictable or unpredictable, ill or well defined. Neurofuzzy hybrid modelling approaches have been developed as an ideal technique for utilising linguistic values and numerical data. This Thesis is focused on the development of advanced neurofuzzy modelling architectures and their application to real case studies. Three potential requirements have been identified as desirable characteristics for such design: A model needs to have minimum number of rules; a model needs to be generic acting either as Multi-Input-Single-Output (MISO) or Multi-Input-Multi-Output (MIMO) identification model; a model needs to have a versatile nonlinear membership function. Initially, a MIMO Adaptive Fuzzy Logic System (AFLS) model which incorporates a prototype defuzzification scheme, while utilising an efficient, compared to the Takagi–Sugeno–Kang (TSK) based systems, fuzzification layer has been developed for the detection of meat spoilage using Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy. The identification strategy involved not only the classification of beef fillet samples in their respective quality class (i.e. fresh, semi-fresh and spoiled), but also the simultaneous prediction of their associated microbiological population directly from FTIR spectra. In the case of AFLS, the number of memberships for each input variable was directly associated to the number of rules, hence, the “curse of dimensionality” problem was significantly reduced. Results confirmed the advantage of the proposed scheme against Adaptive Neurofuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Partial Least Squares (PLS) techniques used in the same case study. In the case of MISO systems, the TSK based structure, has been utilized in many neurofuzzy systems, like ANFIS. At the next stage of research, an Adaptive Fuzzy Inference Neural Network (AFINN) has been developed for the monitoring the spoilage of minced beef utilising multispectral imaging information. This model, which follows the TSK structure, incorporates a clustering pre-processing stage for the definition of fuzzy rules, while its final fuzzy rule base is determined by competitive learning. In this specific case study, AFINN model was also able to predict for the first time in the literature, the beef’s temperature directly from imaging information. Results again proved the superiority of the adopted model. By extending the line of research and adopting specific design concepts from the previous case studies, the Asymmetric Gaussian Fuzzy Inference Neural Network (AGFINN) architecture has been developed. This architecture has been designed based on the above design principles. A clustering preprocessing scheme has been applied to minimise the number of fuzzy rules. AGFINN incorporates features from the AFLS concept, by having the same number of rules as well as fuzzy memberships. In spite of the extensive use of the standard symmetric Gaussian membership functions, AGFINN utilizes an asymmetric function acting as input linguistic node. Since the asymmetric Gaussian membership function’s variability and flexibility are higher than the traditional one, it can partition the input space more effectively. AGFINN can be built either as an MISO or as an MIMO system. In the MISO case, a TSK defuzzification scheme has been implemented, while two different learning algorithms have been implemented. AGFINN has been tested on real datasets related to electricity price forecasting for the ISO New England Power Distribution System. Its performance was compared against a number of alternative models, including ANFIS, AFLS, MLP and Wavelet Neural Network (WNN), and proved to be superior. The concept of asymmetric functions proved to be a valid hypothesis and certainly it can find application to other architectures, such as in Fuzzy Wavelet Neural Network models, by designing a suitable flexible wavelet membership function. AGFINN’s MIMO characteristics also make the proposed architecture suitable for a larger range of applications/problems