Continuous reinforcement operator applied to resilience in disaster rescue networks

This work was partially funded by FCT Strategic Program UID/EEA/00066/2013, project PEST of UNINOVA and also by the Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology) through theproject UID/MAT/00297/2013 (Centro de Matemática e Aplicações).Resilience measurement can be viewed as a multicriteria hierarchical decision making problem since calculating the final level of resilience involves measuring different criteria, at several hierarchical levels, and then merging the information together. In this paper, a resilience model for disaster rescue networks is discussed with a full-reinforcement operator, denoted continuous reinforcement operator. This approach is tested with different levels of reinforcement and the results are compared with those from a Fuzzy Inference System. The proposed approach offers interesting features to support balanced development of disaster rescue networks and facilitates managerial decisions by imposing standards for criteria to penalize or reward the information fusion process.publishersversionpublishe

ベトナムにおける危機管理従事者の情報伝達能力向上のための訓練手法改善

The research firstly provides a review on key policy, exercise program and government structures on Vietnamese emergency management. Then, environmental hazards related to port activities are identified that facilitate to choose emergency exercise topics. Methods on exercise design and evaluation are developed for better understanding issues of communication through table-top and functional exercise. These methods have been applied for several case studies in Haiphong city, Vietnam (oil spill and fire accident at port, rescue at hospital, fire at chemical warehouse), and Kitakyushu city, Japan (medical service in earthquake). As results, communication structures among stakeholders are visualized and clearly defined in table-top excised. Use of time element for functional exercise provides quantitative evidences for capturing communication issues and providing clues for improvement. The research is expected to be useful material for emergency managers to enhance communication in emergency management北九州市立大

Great East Japan Earthquake, JR East Mitigation Successes, and Lessons for California High-Speed Rail, MTI Report 12-37

California and Japan both experience frequent seismic activity, which is often damaging to infrastructure. Seismologists have developed systems for detecting and analyzing earthquakes in real-time. JR East has developed systems to mitigate the damage to their facilities and personnel, including an early earthquake detection system, retrofitting of existing facilities for seismic safety, development of more seismically resistant designs for new facilities, and earthquake response training and exercises for staff members. These systems demonstrated their value in the Great East Japan Earthquake of 2011 and have been further developed based on that experience. Researchers in California are developing an earthquake early warning system for the state, and the private sector has seismic sensors in place. These technologies could contribute to the safety of the California High-Speed Rail Authority’s developing system, which could emulate the best practices demonstrated in Japan in the construction of the Los Angeles-to-San Jose segment

Reset-free Trial-and-Error Learning for Robot Damage Recovery

The high probability of hardware failures prevents many advanced robots (e.g., legged robots) from being confidently deployed in real-world situations (e.g., post-disaster rescue). Instead of attempting to diagnose the failures, robots could adapt by trial-and-error in order to be able to complete their tasks. In this situation, damage recovery can be seen as a Reinforcement Learning (RL) problem. However, the best RL algorithms for robotics require the robot and the environment to be reset to an initial state after each episode, that is, the robot is not learning autonomously. In addition, most of the RL methods for robotics do not scale well with complex robots (e.g., walking robots) and either cannot be used at all or take too long to converge to a solution (e.g., hours of learning). In this paper, we introduce a novel learning algorithm called "Reset-free Trial-and-Error" (RTE) that (1) breaks the complexity by pre-generating hundreds of possible behaviors with a dynamics simulator of the intact robot, and (2) allows complex robots to quickly recover from damage while completing their tasks and taking the environment into account. We evaluate our algorithm on a simulated wheeled robot, a simulated six-legged robot, and a real six-legged walking robot that are damaged in several ways (e.g., a missing leg, a shortened leg, faulty motor, etc.) and whose objective is to reach a sequence of targets in an arena. Our experiments show that the robots can recover most of their locomotion abilities in an environment with obstacles, and without any human intervention.Comment: 18 pages, 16 figures, 3 tables, 6 pseudocodes/algorithms, video at https://youtu.be/IqtyHFrb3BU, code at https://github.com/resibots/chatzilygeroudis_2018_rt

Trapped on the seashore, seaborne evacuation, and impact of exposure to PM2.5: Live demonstration of the urbanEXODUS large-scale evacuation model

Wildfires can trigger large-scale pedestrian, vehicle and seaborne evacuations, and cause injuries and fatalities. Evacuation models are employed to better understand the involved processes and their interactions. During the final exercise of the European Commission’s H2020 IN-PREP project, urbanEXODUS was used within a training platform, by incident managers, to aid their response to a simulated disaster. The scenario involved a traffic accident escalating to a wildfire, causing the local community to evacuate. The model combined pedestrian and vehicle evacuation, and through a flow model, a simplistic representation of boat evacuation. The effects of wildfire on escape routes and possible fatalities were evaluated using fire perimeter data. The development of a novel fractional dose model allowed the software to determine agents’ acute exposure to PM2.5, in relation to the WHO daily mean Air Quality Guidelines (AQG). The simulation results comprise key evacuation performance parameters including evacuation times, fatalities, and escape route usage. Results indicate that 6% of the population was unable to leave the area and are treated as fatalities. The road network and boats were used by 69% and 31% of the evacuees respectively. PM2.5 exposure was zero for 84% of the evacuees, and below the AQG, for 1%, while 15% received, on average, a dosage of 7.6 times the AQG (range 1.0 – 28.3, SD = 5.8), which may cause respiratory and cardiovascular disorders. The model offers detailed evacuation information that is practically impossible to obtain otherwise, allowing crisis managers to take risk-informed decisions when planning for a crisis

The State-of-the-Art Survey on Optimization Methods for Cyber-physical Networks

Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) are increasingly complex and frequently integrated into modern societies via critical infrastructure systems, products, and services. Consequently, there is a need for reliable functionality of these complex systems under various scenarios, from physical failures due to aging, through to cyber attacks. Indeed, the development of effective strategies to restore disrupted infrastructure systems continues to be a major challenge. Hitherto, there have been an increasing number of papers evaluating cyber-physical infrastructures, yet a comprehensive review focusing on mathematical modeling and different optimization methods is still lacking. Thus, this review paper appraises the literature on optimization techniques for CPS facing disruption, to synthesize key findings on the current methods in this domain. A total of 108 relevant research papers are reviewed following an extensive assessment of all major scientific databases. The main mathematical modeling practices and optimization methods are identified for both deterministic and stochastic formulations, categorizing them based on the solution approach (exact, heuristic, meta-heuristic), objective function, and network size. We also perform keyword clustering and bibliographic coupling analyses to summarize the current research trends. Future research needs in terms of the scalability of optimization algorithms are discussed. Overall, there is a need to shift towards more scalable optimization solution algorithms, empowered by data-driven methods and machine learning, to provide reliable decision-support systems for decision-makers and practitioners

Data fusion approach for eucalyptus trees identification

UIDB/00066/2020 DSAIPA/AI/0100/2018Remote sensing is based on the extraction of data, acquired by satellites or aircrafts, through multispectral images, that allow their remote analysis and classification. Analysing those images with data fusion techniques is a promising approach for identification and classification of forest types. Fusion techniques can aggregate various sources of heterogeneous information to generate value-added maps, facilitating forest-type classification. This work applies a data fusion algorithm, denoted FIF (Fuzzy Information Fusion), which combines computational intelligence techniques with multicriteria concepts and techniques, to automatically distinguish Eucalyptus trees from satellite images. The algorithm customization was performed with a Portuguese area planted with Eucalyptus. After customizing and validating the approach with several representative scenarios to assess its suitability for automatic classification of Eucalyptus, we tested on a large tile obtaining a sensitivity of 69.61%, with a specificity of 99.43%, and an overall accuracy of 98.19%. This work demonstrates the potential of our approach to automatically classify specific forest types from satellite images, since this is a novel approach dedicated to the identification of eucalyptus trees.publishersversionpublishe

Road network recovery from concurrent capacity-reducing incidents : model development and optimisation

Local and regional economies are highly dependent on the road network. The concurrent closure of multiple sections of the network following a hazardous event is likely to have significant negative consequences for those using the network. In situations such as these, infrastructure managers must decide how best to restore the network to protect users, maximise connectivity and minimise overall disruption. Furthermore, many hazardous events are forecast to become more frequent and extreme in the future as a result of climate change. Extensive research has been undertaken to understand how to improve the resilience of degraded transport networks. Whilst network robustness (that is, the ability of a network to withstand stress) has been considered in numerous studies, the recovery of the network has captured less attention among researchers. Methodologies developed to date are overly simplistic, especially when simulating the dynamics of traffic demand and drivers’ decision-making in multi-day situations where there is considerable interplay between actual and perceived network states and behaviour. This thesis presents a decision-support tool that optimises the recovery of road transport networks after major day-to-day disruptions, maximising network connectivity and minimising total travel costs. This work expands upon previous efforts by introducing a new approach that models the damage-capacity-time relationship and improves the existing reinforcement-learning traffic-assignment models to be applicable to disrupted scenarios. An efficient metaheuristic approach (NSGA-II) is proposed to find optimal solutions for the recovery problem. The model is also applied to a real-world scenario based on the Scottish road network. Results from this case study clearly highlight the potential applicability of this model to evaluate different recovery strategies and optimise the recovery of road networks after multi-day major disruptions.Local and regional economies are highly dependent on the road network. The concurrent closure of multiple sections of the network following a hazardous event is likely to have significant negative consequences for those using the network. In situations such as these, infrastructure managers must decide how best to restore the network to protect users, maximise connectivity and minimise overall disruption. Furthermore, many hazardous events are forecast to become more frequent and extreme in the future as a result of climate change. Extensive research has been undertaken to understand how to improve the resilience of degraded transport networks. Whilst network robustness (that is, the ability of a network to withstand stress) has been considered in numerous studies, the recovery of the network has captured less attention among researchers. Methodologies developed to date are overly simplistic, especially when simulating the dynamics of traffic demand and drivers’ decision-making in multi-day situations where there is considerable interplay between actual and perceived network states and behaviour. This thesis presents a decision-support tool that optimises the recovery of road transport networks after major day-to-day disruptions, maximising network connectivity and minimising total travel costs. This work expands upon previous efforts by introducing a new approach that models the damage-capacity-time relationship and improves the existing reinforcement-learning traffic-assignment models to be applicable to disrupted scenarios. An efficient metaheuristic approach (NSGA-II) is proposed to find optimal solutions for the recovery problem. The model is also applied to a real-world scenario based on the Scottish road network. Results from this case study clearly highlight the potential applicability of this model to evaluate different recovery strategies and optimise the recovery of road networks after multi-day major disruptions

Mission-Critical Communications from LMR to 5G: a Technology Assessment approach for Smart City scenarios

Radiocommunication networks are one of the main support tools of agencies that carry out actions in Public Protection & Disaster Relief (PPDR), and it is necessary to update these communications technologies from narrowband to broadband and integrated to information technologies to have an effective action before society. Understanding that this problem includes, besides the technical aspects, issues related to the social context to which these systems are inserted, this study aims to construct scenarios, using several sources of information, that helps the managers of the PPDR agencies in the technological decisionmaking process of the Digital Transformation of Mission-Critical Communication considering Smart City scenarios, guided by the methods and approaches of Technological Assessment (TA).As redes de radiocomunicações são uma das principais ferramentas de apoio dos órgãos que realizam ações de Proteção Pública e Socorro em desastres, sendo necessário atualizar essas tecnologias de comunicação de banda estreita para banda larga, e integra- las às tecnologias de informação, para se ter uma atuação efetiva perante a sociedade . Entendendo que esse problema inclui, além dos aspectos técnicos, questões relacionadas ao contexto social ao qual esses sistemas estão inseridos, este estudo tem por objetivo a construção de cenários, utilizando diversas fontes de informação que auxiliem os gestores destas agências na tomada de decisão tecnológica que envolve a transformação digital da Comunicação de Missão Crítica considerando cenários de Cidades Inteligentes, guiado pelos métodos e abordagens de Avaliação Tecnológica (TA)