Mini-Workshop: Dynamics of Stochastic Systems and their Approximation

The aim of this workshop was to bring together specialists in the area of stochastic dynamical systems and stochastic numerical analysis to exchange their ideas about the state of the art of approximations of stochastic dynamics. Here approximations are considered in the analytical sense in terms of deriving reduced dynamical systems, which are less complex, as well as in the numerical sense via appropriate simulation methods. The main theme is concerned with the efficient treatment of stochastic dynamical systems via both approaches assuming that ideas and methods from one ansatz may prove beneficial for the other. A particular goal was to systematically identify open problems and challenges in this area

A delay-dependent approach to H∞ filtering for stochastic delayed jumping systems with sensor non-linearities

This is the post print version of the article. The official published version can be obtained from the link below - Copyright 2007 Taylor & Francis Ltd.In this paper, a delay-dependent approach is developed to deal with the stochastic H∞ filtering problem for a class of It type stochastic time-delay jumping systems subject to both the sensor non-linearities and the exogenous non-linear disturbances. The time delays enter into the system states, the sensor non-linearities and the external non-linear disturbances. The purpose of the addressed filtering problem is to seek an H∞ filter such that, in the simultaneous presence of non-linear disturbances, sensor non-linearity as well as Markovian jumping parameters, the filtering error dynamics for the stochastic time-delay system is stochastically stable with a guaranteed disturbance rejection attenuation level γ. By using It's differential formula and the Lyapunov stability theory, we develop a linear matrix inequality approach to derive sufficient conditions under which the desired filters exist. These conditions are dependent on the length of the time delay. We then characterize the expression of the filter parameters, and use a simulation example to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed results.This work was supported in part by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) of the U.K. under Grant GR/S27658/01, the Nuffield Foundation of the U.K.under Grant NAL/00630/G, and the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation of Germany

Exit time asymptotics for small noise stochastic delay differential equations

Dynamical system models with delayed dynamics and small noise arise in a variety of applications in science and engineering. In many applications, stable equilibrium or periodic behavior is critical to a well functioning system. Sufficient conditions for the stability of equilibrium points or periodic orbits of certain deterministic dynamical systems with delayed dynamics are known and it is of interest to understand the sample path behavior of such systems under the addition of small noise. We consider a small noise stochastic delay differential equation (SDDE) with coefficients that depend on the history of the process over a finite delay interval. We obtain asymptotic estimates, as the noise vanishes, on the time it takes a solution of the stochastic equation to exit a bounded domain that is attracted to a stable equilibrium point or periodic orbit of the corresponding deterministic equation. To obtain these asymptotics, we prove a sample path large deviation principle (LDP) for the SDDE that is uniform over initial conditions in bounded sets. The proof of the uniform sample path LDP uses a variational representation for exponential functionals of strong solutions of the SDDE. We anticipate that the overall approach may be useful in proving uniform sample path LDPs for a broad class of infinite-dimensional small noise stochastic equations.Comment: 39 page

Stochastic Synchronization of Genetic Oscillator Networks

The study of synchronization among genetic oscillators is essential for the understanding of the rhythmic phenomena of living organisms at both molecular and cellular levels. Genetic networks are intrinsically noisy due to natural random intra- and inter-cellular fluctuations. Therefore, it is important to study the effects of noise perturbation on the synchronous dynamics of genetic oscillators. From the synthetic biology viewpoint, it is also important to implement biological systems that minimizing the negative influence of the perturbations. In this paper, based on systems biology approach, we provide a general theoretical result on the synchronization of genetic oscillators with stochastic perturbations. By exploiting the specific properties of many genetic oscillator models, we provide an easy-verified sufficient condition for the stochastic synchronization of coupled genetic oscillators, based on the Lur'e system approach in control theory. A design principle for minimizing the influence of noise is also presented. To demonstrate the effectiveness of our theoretical results, a population of coupled repressillators is adopted as a numerical example. In summary, we present an efficient theoretical method for analyzing the synchronization of genetic oscillator networks, which is helpful for understanding and testing the synchronization phenomena in biological organisms. Besides, the results are actually applicable to general oscillator networks.Comment: 14 pages, 4 figure

STOCHASTIC DELAY DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS WITH APPLICATIONS IN ECOLOGY AND EPIDEMICS

Mathematical modeling with delay differential equations (DDEs) is widely used for analysis and predictions in various areas of life sciences, such as population dynamics, epidemiology, immunology, physiology, and neural networks. The memory or time-delays, in these models, are related to the duration of certain hidden processes like the stages of the life cycle, the time between infection of a cell and the production of new viruses, the duration of the infectious period, the immune period, and so on. In ordinary differential equations (ODEs), the unknown state and its derivatives are evaluated at the same time instant. In DDEs, however, the evolution of the system at a certain time instant depends on the past history/memory. Introduction of such time-delays in a differential model significantly improves the dynamics of the model and enriches the complexity of the system. Moreover, natural phenomena counter an environmental noise and usually do not follow deterministic laws strictly but oscillate randomly about some average values, so that the population density never attains a fixed value with the advancement of time. Accordingly, stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs) models play a prominent role in many application areas including biology, epidemiology and population dynamics, mostly because they can offer a more sophisticated insight through physical phenomena than their deterministic counterparts do. The SDDEs can be regarded as a generalization of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and DDEs.This dissertation, consists of eight Chapters, is concerned with qualitative and quantitative features of deterministic and stochastic delay differential equations with applications in ecology and epidemics. The local and global stabilities of the steady states and Hopf bifurcations with respect of interesting parameters of such models are investigated. The impact of incorporating time-delays and random noise in such class of differential equations for different types of predator-prey systems and infectious diseases is studied. Numerical simulations, using suitable and reliable numerical schemes, are provided to show the effectiveness of the obtained theoretical results.Chapter 1 provides a brief overview about the topic and shows significance of the study. Chapter 2, is devoted to investigate the qualitative behaviours (through local and global stability of the steady states) of DDEs with predator-prey systems in case of hunting cooperation on predators. Chapter 3 deals with the dynamics of DDEs, of multiple time-delays, of two-prey one-predator system, where the growth of both preys populations subject to Allee effects, with a direct competition between the two-prey species having a common predator. A Lyapunov functional is deducted to investigate the global stability of positive interior equilibrium. Chapter 4, studies the dynamics of stochastic DDEs for predator-prey system with hunting cooperation in predators. Existence and uniqueness of global positive solution and stochastically ultimate boundedness are investigated. Some sufficient conditions for persistence and extinction, using Lyapunov functional, are obtained. Chapter 5 is devoted to investigate Stochastic DDEs of three-species predator prey system with cooperation among prey species. Sufficient conditions of existence and uniqueness of an ergodic stationary distribution of the positive solution to the model are established, by constructing a suitable Lyapunov functional. Chapter 6 deals with stochastic epidemic SIRC model with time-delay for spread of COVID-19 among population. The basic reproduction number ℛs0 for the stochastic model which is smaller than ℛ0 of the corresponding deterministic model is deduced. Sufficient conditions that guarantee the existence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution, using the stochastic Lyapunov functional, and conditions for the extinction of the disease are obtained. In Chapter 7, some numerical schemes for SDDEs are discussed. Convergence and consistency of such schemes are investigated. Chapter 8 summaries the main finding and future directions of research. The main findings, theoretically and numerically, show that time-delays and random noise have a significant impact in the dynamics of ecological and biological systems. They also have an important role in ecological balance and environmental stability of living organisms. A small scale of white noise can promote the survival of population; While large noises can lead to extinction of the population, this would not happen in the deterministic systems without noises. Also, white noise plays an important part in controlling the spread of the disease; When the white noise is relatively large, the infectious diseases will become extinct; Re-infection and periodic outbreaks can also occur due to the time-delay in the transmission terms

Classication of the asymptotic behaviour of solutions of stochastic differential equations with state independent noise

We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of solution of dierential equation with state-independent perturbation. The dierential equation studied is a perturbed version of a globally stable autonomous equation with unique equilibrium where the diffusion coefficient is independent of the state. Perturbed differential equation is widely applied to model natural phenomena, in Finance, Engineering, Physics and other disciplines. Real-world processes are often subjected to interference in the form of random external perturbations. This could lead to a dramatic effect on the behaviour of these processes. Therefore it is important to analyse these equations. We start by considering an additive deterministic perturbation in Chapter 1. It is assumed that the restoring force is asymptotically negligible as the solution becomes large, and that the perturbation tends to zero as time becomes indefinitely large. It is shown that solutions are always locally stable, and that solutions either tend to zero or to infinity as time tends to infinity. In Chapter 2 and 4, we each explore a linear and nonlinear equation with stochastic perturbation in finite dimensions. We find necessary and sufficient conditions on the rate of decay of the noise intensity for the solution of the equations to be globally asymptotically stable, bounded, or unstable. In Chapter 3 we concentrate on a scalar nonlinear stochastic differential equation. As well as the necessary and sufficient condition, we also explore the simple sufficient conditions and the connections between the conditions which characterise the various classes of long-run behaviour. To facilitate the analysis, we investigate using Split-Step method the difference equations both in the scalar case and the finite dimensional case in Chapter 5 and 6. We can mimic the exact asymptotic behaviour of the solution of the stochastic differential equation under the same conditions in discrete time