A Neural Network and Principal Component Analysis Approach to Develop a Real-Time Driving Cycle in an Urban Environment: The Case of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

This study aimed to develop the Addis Ababa Driving Cycle (DC) using real-time data from passenger vehicles in Addis Ababa based on a neural network (NN) and principal component analysis (PCA) approach. Addis Ababa has no local DC for automobile emissions tests and standard DCs do not reflect the current scenario. During the DC's development, the researchers determined the DC duration based on their experience and the literature. A k-means clustering method was also applied to cluster the dimensionally reduced data without identifying the best clustering method. First, a shape-preserving cubic interpolation technique was applied to remove outliers, followed by the Bayes wavelet signal denoising technique to smooth the data. Rules were then set for the extraction of trips and trip indicators before PCA was applied, and the machine learning classification was applied to identify the best clustering method. Finally, after training the NN using Bayesian regularization with a back propagation, the velocity for each route section was predicted and its performance had an overall R-value of 0.99. Compared with target data, the DCs developed by the NN and micro trip methods have a relative difference of 0.056 and 0.111, respectively, and resolve the issue of the DC duration decision in the micro trip method

Towards enabling predictive optimal energy management systems for hybrid electric vehicles with real world considerations

2021 Spring.Includes bibliographical references.In the pursuit of greater vehicle fleet efficiency, Predictive Optimal Energy Management Systems (POEMS) enabled Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV) have shown promising theoretical results. In order to enable the practical development of POEMS enabled PHEV technology, if must first be determined what method and what data is needed is for providing optimal predictions. Research performed at Colorado State University and partner institutions in 2019 and 2020 pursued a novel course in considering the widest range of possible data and methods of prediction currently available including a survey of all feasible Vehicle to Infrastructure (V2I), Vehicle to Vehicle (V2V), Advance Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS), and Ego vehicle CAN data streams with classical and novel machine learning methods. Real world vehicle operation data was collected in Fort Collins Colorado, processed, and used in the development of optimal prediction methods. From the results of this research, concrete conclusions on the relative value of V2I, V2V, and ADAS information for prediction, and high fidelity predictions were obtained for 10 second horizons using specialized Artificial Neural Networks

Advanced Control and Estimation Concepts, and New Hardware Topologies for Future Mobility

According to the National Research Council, the use of embedded systems throughout society could well overtake previous milestones in the information revolution. Mechatronics is the synergistic combination of electronic, mechanical engineering, controls, software and systems engineering in the design of processes and products. Mechatronic systems put “intelligence” into physical systems. Embedded sensors/actuators/processors are integral parts of mechatronic systems. The implementation of mechatronic systems is consistently on the rise. However, manufacturers are working hard to reduce the implementation cost of these systems while trying avoid compromising product quality. One way of addressing these conflicting objectives is through new automatic control methods, virtual sensing/estimation, and new innovative hardware topologies

Development of Machine Learning based approach to predict fuel consumption and maintenance cost of Heavy-Duty Vehicles using diesel and alternative fuels

One of the major contributors of human-made greenhouse gases (GHG) namely carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (NOX) in the transportation sector and heavy-duty vehicles (HDV) contributing to about 27% of the overall fraction. In addition to the rapid increase in global temperature, airborne pollutants from diesel vehicles also present a risk to human health. Even a small improvement that could potentially drive energy savings to the century-old mature diesel technology could yield a significant impact on minimizing greenhouse gas emissions. With the increasing focus on reducing emissions and operating costs, there is a need for efficient and effective methods to predict fuel consumption, maintenance costs, and total cost of ownership for heavy-duty vehicles. Every improvement so achieved in this direction is a direct contributor to driving the reduction in the total cost of ownership for a fleet owner, thereby bringing economic prosperity and reducing oil imports for the economy. Motivated by these crucial goals, the present research considers integrating data-driven techniques using machine learning algorithms on the historical data collected from medium- and heavy-duty vehicles. The primary motivation for this research is to address the challenges faced by the medium- and heavy-duty transportation industry in reducing emissions and operating costs. The development of a machine learning-based approach can provide a more accurate and reliable prediction of fuel consumption and maintenance costs for medium- and heavy-duty vehicles. This, in turn, can help fleet owners and operators to make informed decisions related to fuel type, route planning, and vehicle maintenance, leading to reduced emissions and lower operating costs. Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the automotive industry has witnessed massive growth in the last few years. Heavy-duty transportation research and commercial fleets are adopting machine learning (ML) techniques for applications such as autonomous driving, fuel economy/emissions, predictive maintenance, etc. However, to perform well, modern AI methods require a large amount of high-quality, diverse, and well-balanced data, something which is still not widely available in the automotive industry, especially in the division of medium- and heavy-duty trucks. The research methodology involves the collection of data at the West Virginia University (WVU) Center for Alternative Fuels, Engines, and Emissions (CAFEE) lab in collaboration with fleet management companies operating medium- and heavy-duty vehicles on diesel and alternative fuels, including compressed natural gas, liquefied propane gas, hydrogen fuel cells, and electric vehicles. The data collected is used to develop machine learning models that can accurately predict fuel consumption and maintenance costs based on various parameters such as vehicle weight, speed, route, fuel type, and engine type. The expected outcomes of this research include 1) the development of a neural network model 3 that can accurately predict the fuel consumed by a vehicle per trip given the parameters such as vehicle speed, engine speed, and engine load, and 2) the development of machine learning models for estimating the average cost-per-mile based on the historical maintenance data of goods movement trucks, delivery trucks, school buses, transit buses, refuse trucks, and vocational trucks using fuels such as diesel, natural gas, and propane. Due to large variations in maintenance data for vehicles performing various activities and using different fuel types, the regular machine learning or ensemble models do not generalize well. Hence, a mixed-effect random forest (MERF) is developed to capture the fixed and random effects that occur due to varying duty-cycle of vocational heavy-duty trucks that perform different tasks. The developed model helps in predicting the average maintenance cost given the vocation, fuel type, and region of operation, making it easy for fleet companies to make procurement decisions based on their requirement and total cost of ownership. Both the models can provide insights into the impact of various parameters and route planning on the total cost of ownership affected by the fuel cost and the maintenance and repairs cost. In conclusion, the development of a machine learning-based approach can provide a reliable and efficient solution to predict fuel consumption and maintenance costs impacting the total cost of ownership for heavy-duty vehicles. This, in turn, can help the transportation industry reduce emissions and operating costs, contributing to a more sustainable and efficient transportation system. These models can be optimized with more training data and deployed in a real-time environment such as cloud service or an onboard vehicle system as per the requirement of companies

Implementation of Radial Basis Function Artificial Neural Network into an Adaptive Equivalent Consumption Minimization Strategy for Optimized Control of a Hybrid Electric Vehicle

Continued increases in the emission of greenhouse gases by passenger vehicles has accelerated the production of hybrid electric vehicles. With this increase in production, there has been a parallel demand for continuously improving strategies of hybrid electric vehicle control. The goal of an ideal control strategy is to maximize fuel economy while minimizing emissions. The design and implementation of an optimized control strategy is a complex challenge. Methods exist by which the globally optimal control strategy may be found. However, these methods are not applicable in real-world driving applications since these methods require a priori knowledge of the upcoming drive cycle. Real-time control strategies use the global optimal as a benchmark against which performance can be evaluated. Real-time strategies incorporate methods such as drive cycle prediction algorithms, parameter feedback, driving pattern recognition algorithms, etc. The goal of this work is to use a previously defined strategy which has been shown to closely approximate the global optimal and implement a radial basis function (RBF) artificial neural network (ANN) that dynamically adapts the strategy based on past driving conditions. The strategy used is the Equivalent Consumption Minimization Strategy (ECMS) [1], which uses an equivalence factor to define the control strategy. The equivalence factor essentially defines the torque split between the electric motor and internal combustion engine. Consequently, the equivalence factor greatly affects fuel economy. An equivalence factor that is optimal (with respect to fuel economy) for a single drive cycle can be found offline – with a priori knowledge of the drive cycle. The RBF ANN is used to dynamically update the equivalence factor by examining a past time window of driving characteristics. A total of 30 sets of training data are used to train the RBF ANN, each set contains characteristics from a different drive cycle. Each drive cycle is characterized by 9 parameters. For each drive cycle, the optimal equivalence factor is determined and included in the training data. The performance of the RBF ANN is evaluated against the fuel economy obtained with the optimal equivalence factor from the ECMS. For the majority of drive cycles examined, the RBF ANN implementation is shown to produce fuel economy values that are within +/- 2.5% of the fuel economy obtained with the optimal equivalence factor. The advantage of the RBF ANN is that it does not require a priori drive cycle knowledge and is able to be implemented real time while meeting or exceeding the performance of the optimal ECMS. Recommendations are made on how the RBF ANN could be improved to produce better results across a greater array of driving conditions

Advances in Intelligent Vehicle Control

This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue Advances in Intelligent Vehicle Control that was published in the journal Sensors. It presents a collection of eleven papers that covers a range of topics, such as the development of intelligent control algorithms for active safety systems, smart sensors, and intelligent and efficient driving. The contributions presented in these papers can serve as useful tools for researchers who are interested in new vehicle technology and in the improvement of vehicle control systems

Mining electric vehicle adoption of users

The increase of greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere, and their adverse effects on the environment, have prompted the search for alternative energy sources to fossil fuels. One of the solutions gaining ground is the electrification of various human activities, such as the transport sector. This trend has fueled a growing need for electrical energy storage in lithium batteries. Precisely knowing the degree of degradation that this type of battery accumulates over its useful life is necessary to bring economic benefits, both for companies and citizens. This paper aims to answer the current need by proposing two research questions about electric motor vehicles. The first focuses on habits EV owners practice, which may harm the battery life, and the second on factors that may keep consumers from purchasing this type of vehicle. This research work sought to answer these two questions, using a methodology from data science and statistical analysis applied to three surveys carried out on electric vehicle owners. The results allowed us to conclude that, except for the Year variable, all other factors had a marginal effect on the vehicles’ absolute autonomy degradation. Regarding obstacles of the adoption of electric vehicles, the biggest encountered was the insufficient coverage of the network of charging stations.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio