50 research outputs found
Characterizing cardiac function in ICU survivors of sepsis
Background:
Sepsis is one of the most common reasons for ICU admission and a leading cause of mortality worldwide. More than one-half of survivors experience significant physical, psychological, or cognitive impairments, often termed post-intensive care syndrome (PICS). Sepsis is recognized increasingly as being associated with a risk of adverse cardiovascular events that is comparable with other major cardiovascular risk factors. It is plausible that sepsis survivors may be at risk of unidentified cardiovascular disease, and this may play a role in functional impairments seen after ICU discharge.
Research Question:
What is the prevalence of myocardial dysfunction after an ICU admission with sepsis and to what extent might it be associated with physical impairments in PICS?
Study Design and Methods:
Characterisation of Cardiovascular Function in ICU Survivors of Sepsis (CONDUCT-ICU) is a prospective, multicenter, pilot study characterizing cardiovascular function and functional impairments in survivors of sepsis taking place in the west of Scotland. Survivors of sepsis will be recruited at ICU discharge and followed up 6 to 10 weeks after hospital discharge. Biomarkers of myocardial injury or dysfunction (high sensitivity troponin and N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide) and systemic inflammation (C-reactive protein, IL-1ÎČ, IL-6, IL-10, and tumor necrosis factor alpha) will be measured in 69 patients at recruitment and at follow-up. In addition, a cardiovascular magnetic resonance substudy will be performed at follow-up in 35 patients. We will explore associations between cardiovascular magenetic resonance indexes of cardiac function, biomarkers of cardiac dysfunction and inflammation, and patient-reported outcome measures.
Interpretation:
CONDUCT-ICU will provide data regarding the cause and prevalence of cardiac dysfunction in survivors of sepsis and will explore associations with functional impairment. It will provide feasibility data and operational learning for larger studies investigating mechanisms of functional impairment after ICU admission and the association between sepsis and adverse cardiovascular events.
Trial Registry:
ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT05633290; URL: www.clinicaltrials.go
Association of antenatal or neonatal SARS-COV-2 exposure with developmental and respiratory outcomes, and healthcare usage in early childhood: A national prospective cohort study
Background: Perinatal exposure to SARS-CoV-2 may affect neurodevelopment before 12 months of age, but longer-term outcomes remain unknown. We examined whether antenatal or neonatal SARS-CoV-2 exposure compared with non-exposure is associated with neurodevelopment, respiratory symptoms, and health care usage in early childhood. Methods: This prospective national population-based cohort study was conducted in England and Wales, United Kingdom. We enrolled term-born children (â„37 weeks' gestation) with and without antenatal or neonatal exposure to SARS-CoV-2 infection by approaching parents of eligible children who were cared for in 87 NHS hospitals. Potential participants were identified through the national active surveillance studies of pregnant women and newborn infants hospitalised with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection conducted through the UK Obstetric Surveillance System and the British Paediatric Surveillance Unit. We defined antenatal and neonatal SARS-CoV-2 exposure as infants born to mothers hospitalised with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection between 14 + 0 and 36 + 6 weeks gestation and infants admitted to hospital with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection within the first 28 days after birth. Children born preterm or with major congenital anomaly or who were not residing in the UK were excluded. We assessed children's development (Ages and Stages Questionnaire 3rd Edition (ASQ-3); Ages and Stages Questionnaire Social-Emotional 2nd Edition (ASQ:SE-2)), respiratory symptoms (Liverpool Respiratory Symptom Questionnaire (LRSQ)) and health care usage (parent-completed questionnaire) at 21â32 months of age. Primary outcome: total ASQ-3 score, converted to z-scores. Secondary outcomes: ASQ:SE-2 z-scores; risk of delay in ASQ-3 domains; total LRSQ scores, converted to z-scores. Analyses were adjusted for children's age, sex, maternal ethnicity, parental education, and index of multiple deprivation. Findings: Between October 20, 2021 and January 27, 2023, we approached 668 and 1877 families out of 712 and 1917 potentially eligible participants in the exposed and comparison cohort. Of the 125 and 306 participants who were enrolled to the exposed and comparison cohort 121 and 301 participants completed the questionnaires and 96 and 243 participants were included in the analysis. In the age adjusted analysis, the mean total ASQ-3 z-score was lower in the exposed than the comparison cohort (â0.3, 95% CI: â0.6 to â0.05), however, when adjusted for sex, parental education, ethnicity and IMD quintile, there was no significant difference (difference in mean z-score = â0.2 95% CI: â0.5 to 0.03). SARS-CoV-2 exposure was associated with increased risk of delayed personal-social skills (odds ratio = 3.81; 95% CI: 1.07â13.66), higher ASQ:SE-2 total z-scores (difference in mean z-score = 0.4; 95% CI: 0.2â0.6) and increased risk of delayed social-emotional development (OR = 3.58, 95% CI: 1.30â9.83), after adjusting for sex, age at assessment, parental education, ethnicity and IMD quintile. The exposed cohort had a higher mean total LRSQ z-score than the comparison cohort (0.3 95% CI: 0â0.6) and higher inpatient (38% vs. 21%, p = 0.0001), outpatient (38% vs. 30%, p = 0.0090), and General Practitioner appointments (60% vs. 50%, p = 0.021) than the comparison cohort, after adjusting for sex, age at assessment, parental education, ethnicity and IMD quintile. No differences in other secondary outcomes between the exposed and comparison cohorts were found. Interpretation: Although the exposed cohort did not differ from the comparison cohort on the primary outcome, total ASQ-3 score, the exposed cohort were at greater risk of delayed social-emotional development, had a greater prevalence of respiratory symptoms and increased health care usage relative to the comparison cohort. The study is limited by the smaller sample size due to the low response rate and lack of clinical developmental assessments. Given the association of poor social-emotional development with antenatal or neonatal SARS-CoV-2 exposure, developmental screening, and follow-up of children with confirmed antenatal or neonatal SARS-CoV-2 infection may be warranted to identify those in need of early intervention. Funding: Action Medical Research for Children
Coronary CT Angiography and 5-Year Risk of Myocardial Infarction.
BACKGROUND: Although coronary computed tomographic angiography (CTA) improves diagnostic certainty in the assessment of patients with stable chest pain, its effect on 5-year clinical outcomes is unknown. METHODS: In an open-label, multicenter, parallel-group trial, we randomly assigned 4146 patients with stable chest pain who had been referred to a cardiology clinic for evaluation to standard care plus CTA (2073 patients) or to standard care alone (2073 patients). Investigations, treatments, and clinical outcomes were assessed over 3 to 7 years of follow-up. The primary end point was death from coronary heart disease or nonfatal myocardial infarction at 5 years. RESULTS: The median duration of follow-up was 4.8 years, which yielded 20,254 patient-years of follow-up. The 5-year rate of the primary end point was lower in the CTA group than in the standard-care group (2.3% [48 patients] vs. 3.9% [81 patients]; hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.41 to 0.84; P=0.004). Although the rates of invasive coronary angiography and coronary revascularization were higher in the CTA group than in the standard-care group in the first few months of follow-up, overall rates were similar at 5 years: invasive coronary angiography was performed in 491 patients in the CTA group and in 502 patients in the standard-care group (hazard ratio, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.88 to 1.13), and coronary revascularization was performed in 279 patients in the CTA group and in 267 in the standard-care group (hazard ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.91 to 1.27). However, more preventive therapies were initiated in patients in the CTA group (odds ratio, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.19 to 1.65), as were more antianginal therapies (odds ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.54). There were no significant between-group differences in the rates of cardiovascular or noncardiovascular deaths or deaths from any cause. CONCLUSIONS: In this trial, the use of CTA in addition to standard care in patients with stable chest pain resulted in a significantly lower rate of death from coronary heart disease or nonfatal myocardial infarction at 5 years than standard care alone, without resulting in a significantly higher rate of coronary angiography or coronary revascularization. (Funded by the Scottish Government Chief Scientist Office and others; SCOT-HEART ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01149590 .)
Antenatal and neonatal exposure to SARS-CoV-2 and childrenâs development: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Objectives: To conduct a systematic review of the impact of antenatal and neonatal exposure to SARS-CoV-2 on developmental outcomes in preterm and term-born infants. Methods: We searched Embase, Emcare, MEDLINE, PsycINFO, Web of Science and grey literature on May 27, 2022 and updated on May 8, 2023. Studies defining exposure with a positive SARS-CoV-2 protein or genetic material, used a contemporaneous non-exposed cohort, and reported developmental outcomes up to 2 years of age were included. Results: Four out of 828 screened studies were included. Meta-analysis included 815 infants screened for developmental delay (n = 306 exposed; n = 509 non-exposed) between 3- and 11-months of age. Among term-born infants, we did not find an increased risk of delay in communication (oddâs ratio: 0.73 (95% CI: 0.24â2.24)), gross motor (1.50 (0.62, 3.62)), fine motor (2.90 (0.58, 14.43)), problem-solving (1.19 (0.54, 2.66)) or personal-social development (1.93 (0.78, 4.75)) in exposed infants. The number of preterm-born infants in the exposed (n = 37) and comparison cohorts (n = 41) were too few to report meaningful comparisons. Conclusion: Evidence regarding the potential impact of antenatal or neonatal exposure to SARS-CoV-2 infection on developmental outcomes in early infancy is limited and inconsistent. Larger cohorts with outcomes beyond the first year of life are needed. Impact: The current evidence examining associations between SARS-CoV-2 exposure during the neonatal period and developmental outcomes in infancy is limited by there being few studies with extremely small sample sizes.Based on sparse data there was no consistent association between antenatal or neonatal exposure to SARS-CoV-2 infection and an adverse impact on developmental outcomes below 12 months of age for babies born preterm or at term.This study highlights that larger cohorts with outcomes assessed beyond the first year are needed to determine the potential longer-term impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection exposure on child development
Global longitudinal strain by feature tracking cardiovascular MRI predicts mortality in patients with end stage kidney disease
Background:
Patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) are at increased risk premature death, with cardiovascular disease being the predominant mode of death. We hypothesized that left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LV-GLS) measured by feature tracking cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) would be associated with all-cause mortality in patients with ESKD.
Methods:
A pooled analysis of CMR studies in patients with ESKD acquired within a single centre between 2002 and 2016 was carried out. CMR parameters including left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), LV mass index (LVMI), left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF) and LV-GLS were measured. We tested independent associations of CMR parameters with survival using a multivariable Cox model.
Results:
Among 215 patients (mean age: 54âyears, 62% male), mortality was 53% over 5.0âyears median follow-up. The median LVEF was 64.7% (IQR 58.5, 70.0) and median LV-GLS was -15.3% (-17.24, -13.6). While 90% of patients had preserved LVEF (>50%), 58% of this group had abnormal LVGLS (>-16%). On multivariable Cox regression, age (HR: 1.04, 95%CI: 1.02-1.05), future-renal transplant (HR 0.29 95%CI: 0.17-0.47), LAEF (HR: 0.98, 95%CI: 0.96-1.00) and LV-GLS (HR: 1.08, 95%CI: 1.01-1.16) were independently associated with mortality.
Conclusions:
In this cohort of patients with ESKD, LV-GLS on feature tracking CMR and LAEF were associated with all-cause mortality, independent of baseline clinical variables and future renal transplantation. This effect was present even when >90% of the cohort had normal left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Using LV-GLS, instead of LVEF, to diagnose cardiac dysfunction in patients with ESKD could result in a major advance in our understanding of cardiovascular disease in ESKD
Diagnostic and Prognostic Biomarkers in the Rational Assessment of Mesothelioma (DIAPHRAGM) study:Protocol of a prospective, multicentre, observational study
Introduction: Malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) is an asbestos-related cancer, which is difficult to diagnose. Thoracoscopy is frequently required but is not widely available. An accurate, non-invasive diagnostic biomarker would allow early specialist referral, limit diagnostic delays and maximise clinical trial access. Current markers offer insufficient sensitivity and are not routinely used. The SOMAmer proteomic classifier and fibulin-3 have recently demonstrated sensitivity and specificity exceeding 90% in retrospective studies. DIAPHRAGM (Diagnostic and Prognostic Biomarkers in the Rational Assessment of Mesothelioma) is a suitably powered, multicentre, prospective observational study designed to determine whether these markers provide clinically useful diagnostic and prognostic information.
Methods and analysis: Serum and plasma (for SOMAscan and fibulin-3, respectively) will be collected at presentation, prior to pleural biopsy/pleurodesis, from 83 to 120 patients with MPM, at least 480 patients with non-MPM pleural disease and 109 asbestos-exposed controls. Final numbers of MPM/non-MPM cases will depend on the incidence of MPM in the study population (estimated at 13â20%). Identical sampling and storage protocols will be used in 22 recruiting centres and histological confirmation sought in all cases. Markers will be measured using the SOMAscan proteomic assay (SomaLogic) and a commercially available fibulin-3 ELISA (USCN Life Science). The SE in the estimated sensitivity and specificity will be <5% for each marker and their performance will be compared with serum mesothelin. Blood levels will be compared with paired pleural fluid levels and MPM tumour volume (using MRI) in a nested substudy. The prognostic value of each marker will be assessed and a large bioresource created.
Ethics and dissemination: The study has been approved by the West of Scotland Research Ethics Committee (Ref: 13/WS/0240). A Trial Management Group meets on a monthly basis. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals, presented at international meetings and disseminated to patient groups.
Trial registration number: ISRCTN10079972, Pre-results
Validation of the Bluebelle Wound Healing questionnaire (WHQ) for assessment of surgical site infection in primary surgical wounds after hospital discharge
Background
Accurate assessment of surgicalâsite infection (SSI) is crucial for surveillance and research. Selfâreporting patient measures are needed because current SSI tools are limited for assessing patients after leaving hospital. The Bluebelle Wound Healing Questionnaire (WHQ) was developed for patient or observer completion; this study tested its acceptability, scale structure, reliability and validity in patients with closed primary wounds after abdominal surgery.
Methods
Patients completed the WHQ (selfâassessment) within 30 days after leaving hospital and returned it by post. Healthcare professionals completed the WHQ (observer assessment) by telephone or faceâtoâface. Questionnaire response rates and patient acceptability were assessed. Factor analysis and Cronbach's α examined scale structure and internal consistency. Testâretest and selfâ versus observer reliability assessments were performed. Sensitivity and specificity for SSI discrimination against a faceâtoâface reference diagnosis (using Centers for Disease Control and Prevention criteria) were examined.
Results
Some 561 of 792 selfâassessments (70·8 per cent) and 597 of 791 observer assessments (75·5 per cent) were completed, with few missing data or problems reported. Data supported a singleâscale structure with strong internal consistency (α greater than 0·8). Reliability between testâretest and selfâ versus observer assessments was good (Îș 0·6 or above for the majority of items). Sensitivity and specificity for SSI discrimination was high (area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve 0·91).
Conclusion
The Bluebelle WHQ is acceptable, reliable and valid with a singleâscale structure for postdischarge patient or observer assessment of SSI in closed primary wounds
Worldwide trends in hypertension prevalence and progress in treatment and control from 1990 to 2019 a pooled analysis of 1201 population-representative studies with 104 million participants
BACKGROUND: Hypertension can be detected at the primary health-care level and low-cost treatments can effectively control hypertension. We aimed to measure the prevalence of hypertension and progress in its detection, treatment, and control from 1990 to 2019 for 200 countries and territories. METHODS: We used data from 1990 to 2019 on people aged 30-79 years from population-representative studies with measurement of blood pressure and data on blood pressure treatment. We defined hypertension as having systolic blood pressure 140 mm Hg or greater, diastolic blood pressure 90 mm Hg or greater, or taking medication for hypertension. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate the prevalence of hypertension and the proportion of people with hypertension who had a previous diagnosis (detection), who were taking medication for hypertension (treatment), and whose hypertension was controlled to below 140/90 mm Hg (control). The model allowed for trends over time to be non-linear and to vary by age. FINDINGS: The number of people aged 30-79 years with hypertension doubled from 1990 to 2019, from 331 (95% credible interval 306-359) million women and 317 (292-344) million men in 1990 to 626 (584-668) million women and 652 (604-698) million men in 2019, despite stable global age-standardised prevalence. In 2019, age-standardised hypertension prevalence was lowest in Canada and Peru for both men and women; in Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and some countries in western Europe including Switzerland, Spain, and the UK for women; and in several low-income and middle-income countries such as Eritrea, Bangladesh, Ethiopia, and Solomon Islands for men. Hypertension prevalence surpassed 50% for women in two countries and men in nine countries, in central and eastern Europe, central Asia, Oceania, and Latin America. Globally, 59% (55-62) of women and 49% (46-52) of men with hypertension reported a previous diagnosis of hypertension in 2019, and 47% (43-51) of women and 38% (35-41) of men were treated. Control rates among people with hypertension in 2019 were 23% (20-27) for women and 18% (16-21) for men. In 2019, treatment and control rates were highest in South Korea, Canada, and Iceland (treatment >70%; control >50%), followed by the USA, Costa Rica, Germany, Portugal, and Taiwan. Treatment rates were less than 25% for women and less than 20% for men in Nepal, Indonesia, and some countries in sub-Saharan Africa and Oceania. Control rates were below 10% for women and men in these countries and for men in some countries in north Africa, central and south Asia, and eastern Europe. Treatment and control rates have improved in most countries since 1990, but we found little change in most countries in sub-Saharan Africa and Oceania. Improvements were largest in high-income countries, central Europe, and some upper-middle-income and recently high-income countries including Costa Rica, Taiwan, Kazakhstan, South Africa, Brazil, Chile, Turkey, and Iran. INTERPRETATION: Improvements in the detection, treatment, and control of hypertension have varied substantially across countries, with some middle-income countries now outperforming most high-income nations. The dual approach of reducing hypertension prevalence through primary prevention and enhancing its treatment and control is achievable not only in high-income countries but also in low-income and middle-income settings. FUNDING: WHO.Fil: Zhou, Bin. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Carrillo Larco, Rodrigo M.. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Danaei, Goodarz. Harvard Medical School; Estados UnidosFil: Riley, Leanne M.. WHO; SuizaFil: Paciorek, Christopher J.. University of California; Estados UnidosFil: Stevens, Gretchen A.. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Gregg, Edward W.. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Bennett, James E.. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Solomon, Bethlehem. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Singleton, Rosie K.. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Sophiea, Marisa K.. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Iurilli, Maria LC. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Lhoste, Victor PF. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Cowan, Melanie J.. WHO; SuizaFil: Savin, Stefan. WHO; SuizaFil: Woodward, Mark. Imperial College London; Reino Unido. University of New South Wales; AustraliaFil: Balanova, Yulia. National Medical Research Centre for Therapy and Preventive Medicine; RusiaFil: Cifkova, Renata. Karlova Univerzita; RepĂșblica ChecaFil: Damasceno, Albertino. Eduardo Mondlane University; MozambiqueFil: Elliott, Paul. Imperial College London; Reino UnidoFil: Farzadfar, Farshad. Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center; IrĂĄnFil: He, Jiang. University of Tulane; Estados UnidosFil: Ikeda, Nayu. National Institutes of Biomedical Innovation, Health and Nutrition; JapĂłnFil: Kengne, Andre P.. South African Medical Research Council; SudĂĄfricaFil: Khang, Young Ho. Seoul National University College of Medicine; Corea del SurFil: Chang Kim, Hyeon. Yonsei University College of Medicine; Corea del SurFil: Laxmaiah, Avula. National Institute of Nutrition; IndiaFil: Lin, Hsien Ho. National Taiwan University; ChinaFil: Margozzini Maira, Paula. Pontificia Universidad CatĂłlica de Chile; ChileFil: Rubinstein, Adolfo Luis. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones CientĂficas y TĂ©cnicas. Oficina de CoordinaciĂłn Administrativa Parque Centenario. Centro de Investigaciones en EpidemiologĂa y Salud PĂșblica. Instituto de Efectividad ClĂnica y Sanitaria. Centro de Investigaciones en EpidemiologĂa y Salud PĂșblica; Argentin
Characterization of a Putative Receptor Binding Surface on Skint-1, a Critical Determinant of Dendritic Epidermal T Cell Selection
Dendritic epidermal T cells (DETC) form a skin-resident γΎ T cell population that makes key contributions to cutaneous immune stress surveillance, including non-redundant contributions to protection from cutaneous carcinogens. How DETC become uniquely associated with the epidermis was in large part solved by the identification of Skint-1, the prototypic member of a novel B7-related multigene family. Expressed only by thymic epithelial cells and epidermal keratinocytes, Skint-1 drives specifically the development of DETC progenitors, making it the first clear candidate for a selecting ligand for non-MHC/CD1-restricted T cells. However, the molecular mechanisms underpinning Skint-1 activity are unresolved. Here, we provide evidence that DETC selection requires Skint-1 expression on the surface of thymic epithelial cells, and depends upon specific residues on the CDR3-like loop within the membrane-distal variable domain of Skint-1 (Skint-1 DV). Nuclear magnetic resonance of Skint-1 DV revealed a core tertiary structure conserved across the Skint family, but a highly distinct surface charge distribution, possibly explaining its unique function. Crucially, the CDR3-like loop formed an electrostatically distinct surface, featuring key charged and hydrophobic solvent-exposed residues, at the membrane-distal tip of DV. These results provide the first structural insights into the Skint family, identifying a putative receptor binding surface that directly implicates Skint-1 in receptor-ligand interactions crucial for DETC selection
Comprehensive Cancer-Predisposition Gene Testing in an Adult Multiple Primary Tumor Series Shows a Broad Range of Deleterious Variants and Atypical Tumor Phenotypes.
Multiple primary tumors (MPTs) affect a substantial proportion of cancer survivors and can result from various causes, including inherited predisposition. Currently, germline genetic testing of MPT-affected individuals for variants in cancer-predisposition genes (CPGs) is mostly targeted by tumor type. We ascertained pre-assessed MPT individuals (with at least two primary tumors by age 60 years or at least three by 70 years) from genetics centers and performed whole-genome sequencing (WGS) on 460 individuals from 440 families. Despite previous negative genetic assessment and molecular investigations, pathogenic variants in moderate- and high-risk CPGs were detected in 67/440 (15.2%) probands. WGS detected variants that would not be (or were not) detected by targeted resequencing strategies, including low-frequency structural variants (6/440 [1.4%] probands). In most individuals with a germline variant assessed as pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP), at least one of their tumor types was characteristic of variants in the relevant CPG. However, in 29 probands (42.2% of those with a P/LP variant), the tumor phenotype appeared discordant. The frequency of individuals with truncating or splice-site CPG variants and at least one discordant tumor type was significantly higher than in a control population (Ï2 = 43.642; p †0.0001). 2/67 (3%) probands with P/LP variants had evidence of multiple inherited neoplasia allele syndrome (MINAS) with deleterious variants in two CPGs. Together with variant detection rates from a previous series of similarly ascertained MPT-affected individuals, the present results suggest that first-line comprehensive CPG analysis in an MPT cohort referred to clinical genetics services would detect a deleterious variant in about a third of individuals.JW is supported by a Cancer Research UK Cambridge Cancer Centre Clinical Research Training Fellowship. Funding for the NIHR BioResource â Rare diseases project was provided by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR, grant number RG65966). ERM acknowledges support from the European Research Council (Advanced Researcher Award), NIHR (Senior Investigator Award and Cambridge NIHR Biomedical Research Centre), Cancer Research UK Cambridge
Cancer Centre and Medical Research Council Infrastructure Award. The
University of Cambridge has received salary support in respect of EM from the NHS in the East of England through the Clinical Academic Reserve. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NHS or Department of Health. DGE is an NIHR Senior Investigator and is supported by the all Manchester NIHR Biomedical Research Centre