9,085 research outputs found
A Note on likelihood estimation of missing values in time series
Missing values in time series can be treated as unknown parameters and estimated by maximum likelihood, or as random variables and predicted by the expectation of the unknown values given the data. The difference between these two procedures is illustrated by an example. It is argued that the second procedure is, in general, more relevant for estimating missing values in time series
A Note on likelihood estimation of missing values in time series.
Missing values in time series can be treated as unknown parameters and estimated by maximum likelihood, or as random variables and predicted by the expectation of the unknown values given the data. The difference between these two procedures is illustrated by an example. It is argued that the second procedure is, in general, more relevant for estimating missing values in time series.ARIMA models; Interpolation; Mean Square Error;
Bayesian outliers functions for linear models.
This paper introduces two new diagnostic tools: the Bayesian outlier curve (BOC) and the Sequential Bayesian outlier curve (SEBOC). Both are built using the posterior odds for every possible number of outliers in a scale contaminated linear model. It is shown that these functions have a cross-validation interpretation, and can be useful to judge the robustness of the fitted model. The computation of these curves is carried out using ideas from stratified sampling.Cross-validations; Diagnosis; Mixture models; Model selection;
The Non-Mesonic Weak Decay of Double-Lambda Hypernuclei: A Microscopic Approach
The non--mesonic weak decay of double-- hypernuclei is studied
within a microscopic diagrammatic approach. Besides the nucleon--induced
mechanism, , widely studied in single-- hypernuclei,
additional hyperon--induced mechanisms, ,
and , are
accessible in double-- hypernuclei and are investigated here. As in
previous works on single-- hypernuclei, we adopt a nuclear matter
formalism extended to finite nuclei via the local density approximation and a
one--meson exchange weak transition potential (including the ground state
pseudoscalar and vector octets mesons) supplemented by correlated and
uncorrelated two--pion--exchange contributions. The weak decay rates are
evaluated for hypernuclei in the region of the experimentally accessible light
hypernuclei Be and B. Our
predictions are compared with a few previous evaluations. The rate for the
decay is dominated by --, -- and
--exchange and turns out to be about 2.5\% of the free decay
rate, , while the total rate for the and decays, dominated by
--exchange, amounts to about 0.25\% of . The
experimental measurement of these decays would be essential for the beginning
of a systematic study of the non--mesonic decay of strangeness
hypernuclei. This field of research could also shed light on the possible
existence and nature of the --dibaryon.Comment: 17 pages, 2 figure
Squark-mediated Higgs+jets production at the LHC
We investigate possible scenarios of light-squark production at the LHC as a
new mechanism to produce Higgs bosons in association with jets. The study is
motivated by the SUSY search for H+jets events, performed by the CMS
collaboration on 8 and 13 TeV data using the razor variables. Two simplified
models are proposed to interpret the observations in this search. The
constraint from Run I and the implications for Run II and beyond are discussed
Nucleon and gamma N -> Delta lattice form factors in a constituent quark model
A covariant quark model, based both on the spectator formalism and on vector
meson dominance, and previously calibrated by the physical data, is here
extended to the unphysical region of the lattice data by means of one single
extra adjustable parameter - the constituent quark mass in the chiral limit. We
calculated the Nucleon (N) and the gamma N -> Delta form factors in the
universe of values for that parameter described by quenched lattice QCD. A
qualitative description of the Nucleon and gamma N -> Delta form factors
lattice data is achieved for light pions.Comment: To appear in J.Phys.
Global three-neutrino oscillation analysis of neutrino data
A global analysis of the solar, atmospheric and reactor neutrino data is
presented in terms of three-neutrino oscillations. We include the most recent
solar neutrino rates of Homestake, SAGE, GALLEX and GNO, as well as the recent
1117 day Super-Kamiokande data sample, including the recoil electron energy
spectrum both for day and night periods and we treat in a unified way the full
parameter space for oscillations, correctly accounting for the transition from
the matter enhanced (MSW) to the vacuum oscillations regime. Likewise, we
include in our description conversions with . For the
atmospheric data we perform our analysis of the contained events and the
upward-going -induced muon fluxes, including the previous data samples of
Frejus, IMB, Nusex, and Kamioka experiments as well as the full 71 kton-yr
(1144 days) Super-Kamiokande data set, the recent 5.1 kton-yr contained events
of Soudan2 and the results on upgoing muons from the MACRO detector. We first
present the allowed regions of solar and atmospheric oscillation parameters
, and , ,
respectively, as a function of and determine the constraints from
atmospheric and solar data on the mixing angle , common to solar
and atmospheric analyses. We also obtain the allowed ranges of parameters from
the full five-dimensional combined analysis of the solar, atmospheric and
reactor data.Comment: 56 pages, 21 postscript figures. Some misprints corrected and new
references added. Chooz limit included in Fig.21. Final version to appear in
Phys. Rev.
Twisted mass QCD for weak matrix elements
I report on the application of tmQCD techniques to the computation of hadronic matrix elements of four-fermion operators. Emphasis is put on the computation of in quenched QCD performed by the ALPHA Collaboration. The extension of tmQCD strategies to the study of neutral -meson mixing is briefly discussed. Finally, some remarks are made concerning proposals to apply tmQCD to the computation of amplitudes
- …