Sistem Peringatan Dini Menghadapi Iklim Ekstrem

Abstrak. Dengan letaknya diantara dua benua dan dua samudera serta berada di garis khatulistiwa, maka benua maritim Indonesia merupakan salah satu pusat konveksi utama dunia. Dengan kenyataan demikian maka Indonesia menghadapi risiko yang besar dari tingginya variabilitas iklim dan ekstremitas iklim. Guna menghadapi dampak dari iklim ekstrem maka diperlukan strategi yang mumpuni untuk membuat suatu peringatan dini secara nasional. Dengan desakan jumlah populasi dan kecanggihan teknologi informasi maka kedepan diperlukan sistem peringatan dini yang dapat menjangkau secara luas dan cepat menghadapi perubahan yang terjadi. Sebuah sistem peringatan dini yang juga harus dapat mengantisipasi dampak dan risiko. Sistem peringatan dini yang dibangun merupakan mata rantai dari pengamatan di lapangan, pengolahan data dan analisa serta sistem diseminasi yang memadai. Tulisan ini mengulas sistem peringatan dini iklim untuk sektor pertanian dengan evolusi sistem berbagi data, informasi, sistem informasi dan sistem informasi terkostumisasi. Tujuan akhir yang diupayakan adalah sebuah sistem online yang tanggap terhadap perubahan yang terjadi guna pemanfaatan yang maksimal di sektor pertanian.Abstract. Located between two continents, two oceans, and on the equator, the Indonesian maritime continent is one of the world's major deep convection. With such a reality, Indonesia experiences a substantial risk of high climate variability and climate extremes. In order to deal with the impact of extreme climate, there is a need for a strategy to establish a nationwide early warning. With stressors of demographic tension and technology sophistication, the future early warning system should be broad reaching as well as quickly responsive to face dynamical changes. That early warning system should also be able to anticipate probable impacts and risks. The established system is a chain of observations in the field, data processing and analysis as well as adequate dissemination system. This paper reviews the early warning system that can be done by observation agencies with the user agencies in the agricultural sector through sharing of data, information, information system and customized information system. The ultimate goal being pursued is an online system that is responsive to changes that occur to maximum utilization in the agricultural sector

MENGINVESTIGASI NIAT BERKUNJUNG KE DESTINASI WISATA LABUAN BAJO: STUDI PADA GENERASI Z DI JABODETABEK

Aldrian, menginvestigasi niat berkunjung ke destinasi wisata Labuan Bajo: studi pada generasi z di Jabodetabek. Skripsi, Jakarta: Program Studi S1 Manajemen, Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Negeri Jakarta, Tim Pembimbing: Prof. Usep Suhud, Msi., Ph.D & Ika Febrilia, SE, M.M. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji pengaruh e-wom, destination image, attitude toward destination, destination trust, dan visit intention. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif. Pengumpulan data menggunakan kuesioner. Subjek penelitian ini adalah 217 responden yang berdomisili di wilayah Jabodetabek. Analisis data menggunakan SPSS dan AMOS versi 24. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hipotesis pertama membuktikan e-WoM berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap destination image diterima. Hipotesis kedua membuktikan e-WoM berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap attitude toward destination diterima. Hipotesis ketiga membuktikan e-WoM berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap destination trust diterima. Hipotesis keempat membuktikan e-WoM berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap visit intention ditolak. Hipotesis kelima membuktikan destination image berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap visit intention ditolak. Hipotesis keenam membuktikan attitude toward destination berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap visit intention ditolak. Hipotesis ketujuh membuktikan destination trust berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap visit intention diterima. Kata Kunci: e-wom, destination image, attitude toward destinatio

Home-based care and quality of life for people with physical disabilities in greater Johannesburg

A research report submitted to the School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Public Health. 11 May 2016Introduction: Persons living with disability are among the most marginalized and vulnerable groups in many communities in South Africa. Having a disability has an impact on how an individual feels about their health status as well as the social and psychological aspects of their lives; referred to as an individual’s quality of life. Efforts to improve quality of life for people with disabilities have included provision of home based care services which entail day to day care (medical, psychological and material) that a person receives in his or her own community. The overall objective of this study was to determine the relationship between exposure to Home Based Care services and Quality of Life for people with physical disabilities in greater Johannesburg with a view to offer recommendations that seek to improve the service and ensure improved quality of life for people with disabilities. The quality of life domains examined are physical functional status, emotional well-being, social relationships, social support and ability to practically engage with the environment. In addition, the study also described the type and frequency of home based care services available for people with disabilities. Materials and methods: This study was a descriptive and analytical cross-sectional study of 96 people with physical disabilities 18 years and older. A questionnaire, adapted from the WHO QOL BREF tool was interviewer-administered among participants drawn from clients of the Association of People with Physical Disabilities (APD). Bivariate and multi variate analysis was conducted to detect associations between the demographic characteristics, HBC characteristics and quality of life (both QOL rating and the different domains of QOL). Results: The majority of the sample (60%) was female and the mean age was 55 with a standard deviation (SD) of 17.8. Three-quarters of the sample (75%) was over the age of 40; with the mean age for males and females at 48 (SD-15.6) and 59 (SD-17.9) years respectively. More than half of the sample (65%) was exposed to HBC services, primarily provided by APD. The most common HBC components among the clients were basic care (52%) as well as basic body exercises (54%). On self-reported QOL, 44.8% considered their QOL to be good. A quarter (25%) would neither describe it as good or bad, stating that life has good and bad moments. About 26% thought their QOL was very poor, with 11.5% considering it to be very poor. Five dimensions of QOL were examined; physical and functional status; emotional/psychological well-being; social support, social relationships and practical environment; and associations tested for each of these with demographic factors sex, age, marital status, and education. Only marital status was positively associated with emotional well-being (p=0.04) while none of the demographic factors were associated with social relationships and practical environment. Married people and people living with partners tended to report better states of emotional well-being as opposed to those who were single, widowed or divorced. Social support was significantly related to HBC (p=0.01) and HBC was also positively associated with physical and functional status (p=<0.01) with the majority of people receiving HBC being in the low (88.9%) and medium (82.5%) physical functionality categories respectively. Conclusion: The strongest relationship was between HBC and the social support dimension of QOL. The comparison group were people with physical disabilities who received social work services. HBC was shown to increase social support pointing to the fact that the HBC caregivers are seen as a social support structure in the absence of such or contribute to building stronger social support systems for persons with disabilities and their families, which has a positive influence on their quality of life. Study revealed a strong relationship between physical functional status and HBC for persons with physical disabilities, with clients of low functioning status requiring and needing more services. This reveals the importance of augmenting rehabilitation services through specialised therapy support and increasing capacity of HBC caregivers in providing the requisite support. As a result of limited resources and capacity of the HBC caregivers, the HBC program reviewed offer rudimentary services to some who may require more specialised therapy and psychosocial support service. For people with physical motor disabilities, access to multi-disciplinary services including, but not limited to rehabilitation therapy (physio and occupational therapy), psychosocial support and accessibility/mobility improvement support, as proposed in the CBR guidelines, is crucial to enhancing the quality of their lives.MT201

ANALYSIS OF THE PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF THE LOGISTICS EXPRESS LINER PORT ON THE T-14 TANJUNG PERAK – LARANTUKA – LEWOLEBA – KALABAHI ROUTE IN REDUCING PRICE DISPARITY

The express liner program also known in Indonesia as "Tol Laut", initiated in 2015, aimed to reduce price disparities between Java and eastern Indonesian regions by providing regular and sustainable shipping services to remote areas. However, after seven years, the program has not significantly affected price disparities in eastern Indonesia. To evaluate the program's effectiveness, this study examined port performance and economic changes resulting from Sea Toll. The study identified areas of improvement for Larantuka, Lewoleba, and Kalabahi ports, such as docks, terminals, access roads, and storage facilities. Port performance evaluation revealed that Larantuka Port had subpar utilization of docks and stacking fields, while Lewoleba Port exhibited poor dock usage. Kalabahi Port, on the other hand, demonstrated good performance in dock utilization and stacking field usage. Regarding ship services, Larantuka Port showed good waiting time performance but poor loading and unloading productivity and ship effectiveness. Lewoleba Port had unfavorable waiting time in 2021 but improved in 2022, while its loading and unloading productivity and effectiveness were poor in both years. Kalabahi Port demonstrated good waiting time and effectiveness, but its loading and unloading productivity fell short of the standard. Evaluating the economic impact, the Sea Toll program did not significantly reduce the prices of necessities. Certain commodities experienced price increases influenced by regional distances and price fluctuations in Surabaya. However, medium rice prices decreased significantly in Larantuka and Kalabahi, indicating a positive impact of the Sea Toll program in those areas

Seasonal variability of Indonesian rainfall in ECHAM4 simulations and in the reanalyses: The role of ENSO

A study on the skill of the atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM version 4 and two reanalyses in simulating the Indonesian rainfall is presented with comparisons to 30 years of rain gauge data. The reanalyses are those performed by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and of the National Centers for Environmental Predic- tion jointly with National Center for Atmospheric Research. This study investigates the skill of the reanalyses and ECHAM4 with regard to regional, annual and interannual variability of rainfall and its responses to El Ni˜ no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. The study is conducted at two resolutions, T42 and T106. A new regionalization method called the double correlation method is introduced. With this method, the Maritime Continent is divided into three climate regions, the south mon- soonal, the northwest semi-monsoonal and the Molucca anti-monsoonal region. Except over Molucca, the reanalyses and ECHAM4 simulate these annual rainfall patterns quite well. The three regions are used to study the variability of Indonesian rainfall and to mea- sure the skills of the reanalyses and ECHAM4. The skill of rainfall simulations in Indonesia depends on the region, month and season, and the distribution of land and sea. Higher sim- ulation skills are confined to years with ENSO events. Except for the region of northwest Indonesia, the rainfall from June (Molucca) and July (south Indonesia) to November is in- fluenced by ENSO, and it is more sensitive to El Ni˜ no than La Ni˜ na events. The observations show that the Moluccan region is more sensitive to ENSO, receives a longer ENSO impact and receives the earliest ENSO impact in June. The ENSO impact will diminish in Decem- ber. It is found that the reanalyses and the climate model simulate the seasonal variability better than the monthly one. The seasonal skill is the highest in June/July/August, followed by September/October/November, December/January/February and March/April/May. The correlations usually break down in April (for monthly analysis) or in spring (for seasonal analysis). In general the performance of ECHAM4 is poor, but in ENSO sensitive regions and during ENSO events, it is comparable to the reanalyses. The introduction of a higher resolution land-sea mask improves the model performance. Besides rainfall variability, signatures of the ENSO impact, the spring correlation breakdown and annual cycles are better represented by the higher resolution model

MENGINVESTIGASI NIAT BERKUNJUNG KE DESTINASI WISATA LABUAN BAJO: STUDI PADA GENERASI Z DI JABODETABEK

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji pengaruh e-wom, destination image, attitude toward destination, destination trust, dan visit intention. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif. Pengumpulan data menggunakan kuesioner. Subjek penelitian ini adalah 217 responden yang berdomisili di wilayah Jabodetabek. Analisis data menggunakan SPSS dan AMOS versi 24. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hipotesis pertama membuktikan e-WoM berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap destination image diterima. Hipotesis kedua membuktikan e-WoM berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap attitude toward destination diterima. Hipotesis ketiga membuktikan e-WoM berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap destination trust diterima. Hipotesis keempat membuktikan e-WoM berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap visit intention ditolak. Hipotesis kelima membuktikan destination image berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap visit intention ditolak. Hipotesis keenam membuktikan attitude toward destination berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap visit intention ditolak. Hipotesis ketujuh membuktikan destination trust berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap visit intention diterima. ***** This study aims to examine the effect of e-wom, destination image, attitude toward destination, destination trust, and visit intention. This research uses quantitative methods. Collecting data using a questionnaire. The subjects of this study were 217 respondents who live in the Jabodetabek area. Data analysis using SPSS and AMOS version 24. The results show that the first hypothesis proves that e-WoM has a positive and significant effect on the image of the destination received. The second hypothesis proves that e-WoM has a positive and significant effect on attitudes towards accepted goals. The third hypothesis proves that e-WoM has a positive and significant effect on the goals of trust received. The fourth hypothesis proves that e-WoM has a positive and significant effect on rejected visit intentions. The fifth hypothesis proves that the image of the destination has a positive and significant effect on the intention of being rejected. Hypothesis Prove that attitude towards the destination has a positive and significant effect on visit intention is rejected. The seventh hypothesis proves that destination trust has a positive and significant effect on the intention of the visit received

KAJIAN PEMBANGUNAN PEMBANGKIT LISTRIK TENAGA MIKROHIDRO (PLTMH) DENGAN TURBIN PELTON DI DESA GALAR KECAMATAN SOMPAK KABUPATEN LANDAK

PLTMH merupakan pembangkit listrik skala kecil yang menggunakan tenaga air sebagai tenaga penggerak dengan memanfaatkan head dan jumlah debit air. Seperti di Desa Galar, Kecamatan Sompak, Kabupaten Landak yang akan memanfaatkan tenaga air dari riam di Bukit Raya. Tujuan penelitian untuk mengetahui debit lapangan, debit andalan, head, daya terbangkitkan, desain PLTMH meliputi komponen bangunan air, dimensi turbin pelton dan penentuan letak rumah pembangkit. Pada penelitian dilakukan pengukuran aliran air dan pengukuran head, data diolah dengan analisa debit andalan menggunakan metode mock dengan hasil perhitungan evapotranspirasi potensial menggunakan metode Penman-Monteith. Didapat hasil debit lapangan 0,04 /det, debit andalan 0,02 /det dengan head bruto 100,2 m potensi daya yang dapat terbangkitkan ialah 12,4 kW dapat digunakan untuk 28 rumah jika menggunkan listrik 450 watt. Perhitungan bangunan air meliputi volume bak penenang 10,32 , diameter pipa pesat 6 inci, komponen dari dimensi turbin yaitu (U1) = 21,7 m/det, (D) = 1730 mm, (C1) = 43,4 m/det,  (d) = 24 mm, (b) = 22 mm, (h) =  65 mm, (t)  = 24 mm, (a) = 29 mm, (Do) = 1808 mm, (Z) = 113 buah. Rumah pembangkit yang terletak pada elevasi +254 m dengan ukuran 6 x 8 m.Kata Kunci: PLTMH, Debit Andalan, Pembangkit dan Turbin Pelton