Making the most of what we have: Application of extrapolation approaches in radioecological wildlife transfer models

© 2015 The Authors. We will never have data to populate all of the potential radioecological modelling parameters required for wildlife assessments. Therefore, we need robust extrapolation approaches which allow us to make best use of our available knowledge. This paper reviews and, in some cases, develops, tests and validates some of the suggested extrapolation approaches.The concentration ratio (CRproduct-diet or CRwo-diet) is shown to be a generic (trans-species) parameter which should enable the more abundant data for farm animals to be applied to wild species.An allometric model for predicting the biological half-life of radionuclides in vertebrates is further tested and generally shown to perform acceptably. However, to fully exploit allometry we need to understand why some elements do not scale to expected values.For aquatic ecosystems, the relationship between log10(a) (a parameter from the allometric relationship for the organism-water concentration ratio) and log(Kd) presents a potential opportunity to estimate concentration ratios using Kd values.An alternative approach to the CRwo-media model proposed for estimating the transfer of radionuclides to freshwater fish is used to satisfactorily predict activity concentrations in fish of different species from three lakes. We recommend that this approach (REML modelling) be further investigated and developed for other radionuclides and across a wider range of organisms and ecosystems.Ecological stoichiometry shows potential as an extrapolation method in radioecology, either from one element to another or from one species to another.Although some of the approaches considered require further development and testing, we demonstrate the potential to significantly improve predictions of radionuclide transfer to wildlife by making better use of available data

Cerebrospinal fluid levels of 5-HIAA and dopamine in people with HIV and depression

Depression is a common illness in people with HIV (PWH) and is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. The mechanisms that underpin depression in PWH remain incompletely elucidated, and more research is therefore needed to develop effective treatments. One hypothesis is that neurotransmitter levels may be altered. These levels could be influenced by the chronic inflammation and viral persistence that occurs in PWH. We examined a panel of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) neurotransmitters in PWH on suppressive antiretroviral therapy (ART), many of whom had a current depression diagnosis. CSF monoamine neurotransmitters and their metabolites were measured from participants in studies at the Emory Center for AIDS Research (CFAR). Only participants on stable ART with suppressed HIV RNA from both plasma and CSF were analyzed. Neurotransmitter levels were measured with high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC). Neurotransmitters and their metabolites included dopamine (DA), homovanillic acid (HVA, a major metabolite of dopamine), serotonin (5-HT), 5-hydroxyindole-3-acetic acid (5-HIAA, a major metabolite of serotonin), and 4-hydroxy-3-methoxyphenylglycol (MHPG, a major metabolite of norepinephrine). Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with depression. There were 79 PWH with plasma and CSF HIV RNA levels < 200 copies/mL at the time of the visit, and 25 (31.6%) carried a current diagnosis of depression. Participants with depression were significantly older (median age 53 years versus 47 years, P = 0.014) and were significantly less likely to be African American (48.0% versus 77.8%, P = 0.008). Participants with depression had significantly lower dopamine levels (median 0.49 ng/mL versus 0.62 ng/mL, P = 0.03) and significantly lower 5-HIAA levels (median 12.57 ng/mL versus 15.41 ng/mL, P = 0.015). Dopamine and 5-HIAA were highly correlated. In the multivariable logistic regression models, lower 5-HIAA was significantly associated with the depression diagnosis when accounting for other significant demographic factors. The associations between lower 5-HIAA, lower dopamine, and depression in PWH suggest that altered neurotransmission may contribute to these comorbid conditions. However, the effects of antidepressants on neurotransmitters cannot be ruled out as a factor in the 5-HIAA results