Modeling of COVID-19 Epidemic Growth Curve in Indonesia

Aim of this study is to make parametric modeling of the COVID-19 epidemic growth curve so that the maximum value and time at that point can be obtained from the cumulative cases of COVID-19. The data used in this study is the cumulative number of positive confirmed cases of COVID-19 from https://covid19.go.id/. The method used in this study is fitting data with the Logistic and Gompertz models. Result of this study are (1) the Logistic and Gompertz models are very fit in modeling the COVID-19 epidemic growth curve, indicated from the value of R2 (coefficient of determination) which reaches more than 99%; (2) From the Logistics model it is obtained that the estimated amount of the maximum cumulative case at the end of the COVID-19 epidemic is 7,714 positive confirmed cases, achieved in about 82 days (May 22, 2020) from Mar 2, 2020, when the first positive COVID-19 case was announced by the government; and (3) From the Gompertz model, it is obtained that the estimated maximum cumulative case at the end of the COVID-19 epidemic is 33,975 positive confirmed cases, achieved in about 152 days (Jul 30, 2020) from Mar 2, 2020. The results of this study can be used as input to the government to take steps in controlling the spread of COVID-19

EFEK METODE DAN WAKTU PENYIMPANAN SAMPEL FESES SAPI ACEH TERHADAP STABILITAS KONSENTRASI METABOLIT KORTISOL

EFEK METODE DAN WAKTU PENYIMPANAN SAMPEL FESES SAPI ACEH TERHADAP STABILITAS KONSENTRASI METABOLIT KORTISOLABSTRAKPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji stabilitas konsentrasi metabolit kortisol terhadap perbedaan metode penyimpanan dan waktu penyimpanan sampel feses sapi aceh. Percobaan 1 menggunakan Rancangan Acak Lengkap (RAL) dengan 3 perlakuan dan 7 ulangan berupa perbedaan metode penyimpanan sampel feses yaitu a) di dalam freezer -20oC sebagai kontrol (K1), b) di dalam cold box berisi ice pack 0-15oC (K2), dan c) di ruang terbuka 26-30oC (K3). Percobaan 2 menggunakan RAL dengan 5 perlakuan dan 7 ulangan berupa perbedaan waktu penyimpanan setelah feses dikoleksi yaitu: a) segera disimpan di dalam freezer -20oC (0 jam, control/P1), b) 3 jam (P2), c) 6 jam (P3), d) 9 jam (P4), dan 12 jam setelah feses dikoleksi (P5). Hormon dianalisis menggunakan metode enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Data dianalisis mengunakan analisis ragam one way analysis of variance (ANOVA) dilanjutkan uji Duncan. Hasil percobaan 1 adalah metode penyimpanan sampel feses berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap stabilitas metabolit kortisol (

Increasing Conceptual Understanding through CCM-CCA Based Learning Device

Learning must be focus on creating conceptual change in students. One of the alternatives is using CCM-CCA-based learning devices because CCM-CCA is a learning model that can create cognitive conflict as a condition for conceptual change. This research is directed to develop learning devices based on CCM-CCA that can improve conceptual understanding. The learning devices developed to consist of LEU (Learning Events Units) and SW (Students’ Worksheet) for Newton's Law material about motion and work-energy. The results of the validation of learning devices (LEU and SW validation) indicate that these devices are valid in content and construction so that they are suitable for the learning process. Based on the results of the implementation of the device and the test results, it was concluded that the CCM-CCA-based learning device was able to improve conceptual understanding. The increase was obtained through an N-Gain analysis with an N-Gain value for LEU of 60.44% and SW of 54.01%. The percentage of the N-Gain score is included in the increase with the medium category

Kolaborasi dalam Skenario Pelembagaan Sosial (SPS) atau Social Institution Scenario (SIS) Permukiman Sempadan Sungai

Environmental experts and social experts have a dilemmatic view of responding to communities inhabiting river border settlements, that the risk of degradation land resources, disasters and safety to river border settlers, in others has an optimistic view that increasing the capacity and proficiency of land resources will bring the community closer to environmental functions and services, so that it will be able to increase the level of community welfare. This study examines the process of structuring the social interaction of community elements residing on the border of the Brantas River "Kampung Wisata Warna-Warni" Jodipan Village, Malang City. This study applies a qualitative approach to understand the main problems of collaboration in the preparation of social institutional scenarios through document studies, observations, interviews and Focus Group Discussions. (FGD). The research produced an overview, namely: 1) The location of the settlement of Kampung Wisata Warna-Warni Jodipan Village has access to a very strategic location in the city center; 2). The interference of stakeholders outside the community of Kampung Wisata Warna-Warni Jodipan has a significant effect in changing people's social habits and behavior; and 3). Stakeholder collaboration in the scenario of social institutionalization of the settlement of Kampung Wisata Warna-Warni Kelurahan Jodipan Malang city through the engineering of the 7C Lyon concept is very relevant

Gerakan Fajar Nusantara (GAFATAR) dan Agama Semitik: Antara Toleransi Agama dan Sinkretisme Agama

After the fall of Orde Baru, various religious sects emerged as if they were endless. Not only radical groups but also conservative groups and even splinter groups. These schools are present by offering solutions to various problems faced by society, from the economy to spiritual needs. Al-Qiyadah Al-Islamiyah, which was founded by Ahmad Mushaddeq, for example, is present in a society that is thirsty for spiritual needs. Gerakan Fajar Nusantara (Gafatar), which is a metamorphosis of the Millah Abraham (Komar) Community, is here to offer solutions to the problems of conflict between religious adherents that seem never to be finished in Indonesia. This New Religious Movement offers a new concept regarding the relations between Semitic religions. This movement considers that the differences between Semitic religions (Judaism, Christianity, and Islam) are only biological, not theological. This view is the concept of hyper-tolerance, which is the tolerance that crosses the boundaries that differentiate the respective Semitic religions. This view is one of the reasons for the Indonesian Ulema Council (MUI) to issue a heretical fatwa against Gafatar. The concept of tolerance that is relevant to building harmony between religious communities in Indonesia is the Agree in Disagreement offered by A. Mukti Ali, which is to believe that religion is the best religion without needing to blame other religions. This concept is in line with the values contained in Surah Al-Kafirun, namely allowing other parties to carry out their rituals of worship without the need to be confused with different religious teachings.Keywords: New Religious Movement, Gerakan Fajar Nusantara, Agree in Disagreement

PENGEMBANGAN BUKU SAKU BERBASIS GAME UNTUK MENINGKATKAN HASIL BELAJAR IPS SISWA KELAS IV TEMA PAHLAWAN NASIONAL INDONESIA

This study aims to determine the steps of media development, determine the validity of learning media, and determine the level of effectiveness of game-based pocket book learning media to improve social studies learning outcomes of grade IV students on the theme of Indonesian National Heroes. The method used in this research is R&D using the ASSURE development model, namely: Analyse Learner, State Objective, Select Media and Materials, Utizile Media and Materials, Require Learner Participation, and Evaluate and Revise.  The results of validation from material experts, pocket book learning media get a score of 80% so that it is included in the very high category. The results of validation from learning media experts obtained a feasibility score of 90%, so it was included in the very high category. And the results of the validation of learning design experts get a score of 70% so that it is included in the high category. The results of the Paired Samples Test test show that the sig (2-tailed) value is 0.000 <0.05, it can be concluded that there is a significant difference between the pretest results and the posttest results of the assessment of learning outcomes of grade IV elementary school students. So that the game-based pocket book learning media proved to be valid and effective in improving the social studies learning outcomes of fourth grade students of SD Negeri Kutowinangun

PENGARUH ORGANISASI REMAJA MASJID USSISA ALA TAQWA DESA PEMATANG CERMAI KECAMATAN TANJUNG BERINGIN KABUPATEN SERDANG BEDAGAI DALAM MENINGKATKAN SHALAT BERJAMAAH DI MASJID

The main problem of this research is how the role of the youth of the Ussisa Ala Taqwa mosque in increasing congregational prayers in Pematang Cermai Village, Tanjung Beringin District, Serdang Bedagai Regency. The sub-problems are: 1) What is the work program for the youth of the Ussisa Ala Taqwa mosque in increasing congregational prayers? This type of research is a descriptive qualitative study with a sociological and management approach. Interviews were conducted with mosque administrators, mosque youth, congregations and community leaders. Data collection methods are carried out by making observations or observations, interviews, and documentation. Then the data is analyzed using data reduction techniques, data display, verification and data conclusion. The results of this study indicate that there are six work programs of youth at the Ussisa Ala Taqwa mosque in increasing congregational prayers in Pematang Cermai Village, Tanjung Beringin District, Serdang Bedagai Regency, namely routine recitation of the taklim council, basic recitation of the Al-Qur'an Education Park (TPA), conducting recitation or religious lectures, Commemoration of Islamic Holidays (PHBI), calligraphy training and holding clean Fridays. In carrying out these activities, there are still obstacles faced by youth mosques, namely factors of activity, weather factors, discipline factors and financial factors. His efforts are to keep activating the previously prepared programs and providing reading books that provide motivation about congregational prayer and the disadvantages of those who are reluctant to pray in congregation. The implication of this research is that mosque youth should understand the situation and condition of the community, cooperate with the community, as well as the government, religious leaders to provide support to mosque youth in the form of morals or material

EFL Students’ Motivation toward E-learning

Abstract: Learning English as a Foreign Language has faced a diffrent phase in the on-going 21st century since it presents some challenges to be mastered by society to succeed. Mastering information, communication, and technology (ICT) has been one of the issues to equip due to its rapid growth. Consequently, integrating ICT in all aspects of human life cannot be circumvented without exception in the education sector especially in EFL learning. Electronic learning, commonly abbreviated as e-learning assisted by technology to facilitate learning, has altered the traditional method to enable EFL teaching and learning. Due to its development, a variety of e-learning platforms have been created and utilized to support the education goal and try to attract students’ motivation toward its implementation. This paper outlines how EFL students' motivation toward E-learning.Keywords: English as a Foreign Language (EFL), students’ motivation, E-learning.Abstrak: Belajar Bahasa Inggris sebagai Bahasa Asing menghadapi fase yang berbeda di abad ke-21 yang sedang berlangsung karena menghadirkan beberapa tantangan yang harus dikuasai oleh masyarakat untuk berhasil. Penguasaan informasi, komunikasi, dan teknologi (TIK) menjadi salah satu hal yang harus dibekali karena perkembangannya yang pesat. Akibatnya, pengintegrasian TIK dalam semua aspek kehidupan manusia tidak dapat dielakkan tanpa terkecuali di bidang pendidikan khususnya dalam pembelajaran Bahasa Inggris. Pembelajaran elektronik, biasa disingkat e-learning dibantu oleh teknologi untuk memfasilitasi pembelajaran, telah mengubah metode tradisional untuk memungkinkan pengajaran dan pembelajaran EFL. Karena perkembangannya, berbagai platform e-learning telah diciptakan dan dimanfaatkan untuk mendukung tujuan pendidikan dan berusaha menarik motivasi siswa dalam penerapannya. Makalah ini menguraikan bagaimana motivasi siswa EFL terhadap E-learning.Kata-kata kunci: Bahasa Inggris sebagai Bahasa Asing (EFL), motivasi siswa, E-learning

Peningkatan Afeksi Anak Usia Dini melalui Dongeng dengan Alat Peraga

Through the Fairy Tale Method with props, where children are invited to develop their own children's affections. Furthermore, teachers play a role in orienting children to understand the moral messages contained in, a fairy tale that is conveyed by using a media that is more interesting, so that images that can enhance children's affection in the process carried out in Early Childhood Class Yasmin TK DR. Cipto Mangunkusumo, Bandar Jawa Village, Bandar District, Simalungun Regency. To obtain data through testing and observation with data collection tools such as observation sheets for children and teachers and the test as an evaluation material at the end of each cycle that aims to determine changes in the ability of children to develop affection in the fairytale method. There are several conclussions: The level of affection of children in Cycle I there were 18 children  66.67%) reached the level of completeness ≥ 70, this means the child had not reached classical completeness and was in the Fair criteria. While in Cycle II there were 23 children who had reached mastery levels ≥ 70 (85.18%). So in Cycle II an increase in affection which has reached the Good category