Real-time monitoring shows substantial excess all-cause mortality during second wave of COVID-19 in Europe, October to December 2020.

The European monitoring of excess mortality for public health action (EuroMOMO) network monitors weekly excess all-cause mortality in 27 European countries or subnational areas. During the first wave of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic in Europe in spring 2020, several countries experienced extraordinarily high levels of excess mortality. Europe is currently seeing another upsurge in COVID-19 cases, and EuroMOMO is again witnessing a substantial excess all-cause mortality attributable to COVID-19.Funding statement: The EuroMOMO network hub at Statens Serum Institut receives funding from European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Solna, Sweden, through a framework contract 2017-2020.S

Withdrawal of exogenous hormones might affect multi-gene signature results in early luminal breast cancer

status: publishe

Structural characterization of the PliG lysozyme inhibitor family

Several Gram-negative bacteria protect themselves against the lytic action of host lysozymes by producing specific proteinaceous inhibitors. So far, four different families of lysozyme inhibitors have been identified including Ivy (Inhibitor of vertebrate lysozyme), MliC/PliC (Membrane associated/periplasmic inhibitor of C-type lysozyme), PliI and PliG (periplasmic inhibitors of I- and G-type lysozymes, respectively). Here we provide the first crystallographic description of the PliG family. Crystal structures were obtained for the PliG homologues from Escherichia coli, Salmonella enterica serotype Typhimurium and Aeromonas hydrophila. These structures show that the fold of the PliG family is very distinct from that of all other families of lysozyme inhibitors. Small-angle X-ray scattering studies reveal that PliG is monomeric in solution as opposed to the dimeric PliC and PliI. The PliG family shares a highly conserved SG(x)xY sequence motif with the MliC/PliC and PliI families where it was shown to reside on a loop that blocks the active site of lysozyme leading to inhibition. Surprisingly, we found that in PliG this motif is not well exposed and not involved in the inhibitory action. Instead, we could identify a distinct cluster of surface residues that are conserved across the PliG family and are essential for efficient G-type lysozyme inhibition, as evidenced by mutagenesis studies.status: publishe

The UZ Leuven Policy for Extended Adjuvant Anti-estrogen Therapy in Women With Early Estrogen Receptor-Positive Breast Cancer

Opinion statement: Five years after adjuvant endocrine treatment for estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer, patients have a 2 to 20 % risk of metastatic relapse during the next 5 years. Extended adjuvant endocrine therapy seems to further lower this. In UZ Leuven, extended endocrine therapy is now discussed unless the tumor was a grade 1-2, pT1N0, ER-positive, progesterone receptor (PR)-positive, HER2-negative lesion. After 5 years of adjuvant tamoxifen treatment for ER-positive breast cancer, we encourage women to take another 5 years of tamoxifen. If the tumor was lymph node-positive at diagnosis and patients are menopausal after the first 5 years of tamoxifen, we advise to take prolonged treatment with an oral aromatase inhibitor (AI). For this particular group, available data for extending endocrine therapy with an AI after 5 years of tamoxifen are strongest and more convincing for letrozole than for anastrozole or exemestane. Under these conditions, letrozole is reimbursed for 3 years in Belgium. If women are postmenopausal at diagnosis and already used an oral AI at any time during the first 5 years, we discuss an extra 5 years of tamoxifen. Results from ongoing clinical trials will tell us whether in these cases prolonged AI use is better than tamoxifen so that therapy can be adapted. Benefit from extended adjuvant endocrine therapy is likely larger with better compliance and potential side effects of extended endocrine therapy need to be discussed. Therefore, when advising extended adjuvant endocrine treatment, a balance should always be made between relapse risk and treatment tolerance/compliance.status: publishe

Prognostic Value of the Progesterone Receptor by Subtype in Patients with Estrogen Receptor-Positive, HER-2 Negative Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND: In estrogen receptor-positive (ER+), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER-2) negative breast cancers, the progesterone receptor (PR) is an independent prognostic marker. Little is known about the prognostic value of PR by tumor grade. We assessed this in two independent datasets. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Women with primary operable, invasive ER+ HER-2 negative breast cancer diagnosed between 2000 and 2012, treated at University Hospitals Leuven, were included. We assessed the association of PR status and subtype (grade 1-2 vs. grade 3) with distant recurrence-free interval (DRFI) and breast cancer-specific survival. The interaction between PR status and subtype was investigated, and associations of PR status by subtype were calculated. The BIG 1-98 data set was used for validation. RESULTS: In total, 4,228 patients from Leuven and 5,419 from BIG 1-98 were analyzed. In the Leuven cohort, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of PR-positive versus PR-negative tumors for DRFI was 0.66 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.50-0.89). For the interaction with subtype (p = .34), the HR of PR status was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.61-1.01) in luminal A-like and 0.59 (95% CI, 0.46-0.76) in luminal B-like tumors. In luminal A-like tumors, observed 5-year cumulative incidences of distant recurrence were 4.1% for PR-negative and 2.8% for PR-positive tumors, and in luminal B-like 18.7% and 9.2%, respectively. In the BIG 1-98 cohort, similar results were observed; for the interaction with subtype (p = .12), the adjusted HR of PR status for DRFI was 0.88 (95% CI, 0.57-1.35) in luminal A-like and 0.58 (95% CI, 0.43-0.77) in luminal B-like tumors. Observed 5-year cumulative incidences were similar. CONCLUSION: PR positivity may be more protective against metastatic relapse in luminal B-like versus luminal A-like breast cancer, but no strong conclusions can be made. In absolute risk, results suggest an absent PR is clinically more important in high compared with low proliferative ER+ HER-2 negative tumors. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: An absent progesterone receptor (PR) predicts a worse outcome in women treated for an estrogen receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative breast cancer. As low proliferative tumors lacking PR are now also classified high risk, the prognostic value of PR across risk groups was studied. Despite a negative test for interaction of the prognostic value of PR by tumor grade, the magnitude of an absent PR on breast cancer relapse is much larger in high than in low proliferative breast cancers.status: publishe

The prognostic performance of Adjuvant! Online and Nottingham Prognostic Index in young breast cancer patients

Limited data are available on the prognostic performance of Adjuvant! Online (AOL) and Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI) in young breast cancer patients.status: publishe

Tamoxifen Metabolism and Efficacy in Breast Cancer: A Prospective Multicenter Trial.

Levels of endoxifen, the most active metabolite of tamoxifen, vary by the highly polymorphic cytochrome P450 (CYP) 2D6 enzyme. We prospectively investigated tamoxifen efficacy by serum endoxifen levels and the tamoxifen activity score (TAS). A prospective observational multicenter study included postmenopausal women with an estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer receiving first-line tamoxifen, 20 mg daily in the neoadjuvant or metastatic setting, recruited between February 2009 and May 2014. The primary endpoint was the objective response rate (ORR) using RECIST criteria 1.0. Secondary endpoints were clinical benefit (CB), progression-free survival (PFS), and tolerability of tamoxifen. The main analysis used logistic regression to relate ORR to serum endoxifen levels after 3 months. Endpoints were also related to other tamoxifen metabolites and to TAS. Endoxifen levels were available for 247 of all 297 patients (83%), of which 209 with target lesions (85%). Median follow-up time for PFS was 32.5 months, and 62% progressed. ORR and CB were 45% and 84%, respectively. ORR was not related to endoxifen, and the OR of ORR was 1.008 per μg/L increase in endoxifen (95% confidence interval, 0.971-1.046; = ). In general, none of the endpoints was associated with endoxifen levels, tamoxifen metabolites, or TAS. Under the prespecified assumptions, the results from this prospective clinical trial do not suggest therapeutic drug monitoring of endoxifen to be of clinical value in postmenopausal women treated with tamoxifen for breast cancer in the neoadjuvant or metastatic setting.

Excess mortality in Europe coincides with peaks of COVID-19, influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), November 2023 to February 2024

Since the end of November 2023, the European Mortality Monitoring Network (EuroMOMO) has observed excess mortality in Europe. During weeks 48 2023-6 2024, preliminary results show a substantially increased rate of 95.3 (95% CI:  91.7-98.9) excess all-cause deaths per 100,000 person-years for all ages. This excess mortality is seen in adults aged 45 years and older, and coincides with widespread presence of COVID-19, influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) observed in many European countries during the 2023/24 winter season.The ‘Excess mortality monitoring in Europe to assess impact of communicable diseases’ is a project of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) run under the framework contract No. ECDC/2022/025.S