Using California Harmful Algae Risk Mapping to Predict Sea Lion Strandings

Domoic acid (DA) is a toxin produced by marine diatoms of the genus Pseudo-nitzschia (Pn) and bioaccumulates in California sea lions (Zalophus californianus). DA toxicosis can cause neurological issues and death, and the rate at which Z. californianus become stranded due to this condition has been increasing since it was first diagnosed in a marine mammal in 1998. We compared geotemporal data of sea lion strandings with data from the California Harmful Algae Risk Mapping (C-HARM) Model to analyze patterns that may indicate when and where a sea lion stranding due to DA toxicosis will occur. C-HARM geographically visualizes the probabilities that Pn diatoms exceed 10,000 cells/L, that cellular domoic acid (cDA) exceeds concentrations of 10 pg per Pn cell, and that particulate domoic acid (pDA) concentrations exceed 500 ng/L in a given area. We defined the parameters within which we would analyze the data according to sea lion foraging behavior: a 100 km area around each stranding location and a time frame of 15 days leading up to and including the date of a stranding observation. Within these parameters we took the means of probabilities of each variable (cDA, pDA, and Pn) and so far have found that Pn shows promise of being the most useful indicator of the three. If a significant relationship between C-HARM and strandings can be established, it could serve as a powerful tool in the management of sea lions and other marine mammals suffering from the effects of DA

Interseismic coupling, segmentation and mechanical behavior of the Central Chile subduction zone.

International audienceGlobal Positioning System (GPS) measurements carried out in Chile over the last two decades showed that an entire portion of the Nazca-South America subduction zone (38°S ␣ 24°S) was locked over this period of time. The induced accumulation of elastic deformation in the upper-plate was not released until the recent Maule earthquake of 27 February 2010 (Mw 8.8) that ruptured the southern part of this section. Locking or coupling between the two plates varies both with depth and along strike. Here we use our own GPS data (an updated solution of our extended network in central Chile), combined with other published data sets, to quantify the spatial variations of the coupling that prevailed before the Maule earthquake. Using a simple elastic model based on the back-slip assumption, we show that coupling variations on the subduction plane are sufficient to explain the observed surface deformation, with no need of a sliver in central Chile. We identify four segments characterized by higher coupling and separated by narrow areas of lower coupling. This segmentation is in good agreement with historical and recent seismicity in Chile. In particular the narrow zones of lower coupling seem to have stopped most large seismic ruptures, including Maule's. These zones are often associated with irregular bathymetric or coastal features (fracture zones or peninsulas). Finally, coseismic and early post-seismic slip distribution of the Maule earthquake, occurring either in previously highly or weakly coupled zones, map a complex distribution of velocity-weakening and velocity-strengthening patches on the subduction interface

Editorial: InSAR for volcanoes and tectonics

Abstract not availabl

El Terremoto de Tocopilla de Mw=7.7 (Norte de Chile) del 14 de Noviembre de 2007: Resultados preliminares de la geodesia especial (InSAR)

A Mw 7.7 subduction earthquake occurred on November 14, 2007 in Tocopilla (northern Chile). This region (between 16.5ºS and 23.5ºS) had been identified as major seismic gap (~1000 km length) since the South Peru (Mw= 9.1, 16 August 1868) and the Iquique (Mw=9.0, 10 May 1877) megathrust earthquakes. This gap was reduced to 500 km after the Arequipa (Mw = 8.3, 23 June 2001) and the Antofagasta (Mw = 8.1, 30 July 1995) earthquakes. We compute interferograms using Envisat ASAR images acquired before and after the Tocopilla earthquake to infer the location, geometry and slip of the rupture. Elastic modeling of this data allows us to infer that the 2007 main rupture extended over an area of ~150 x 60 km2, between 35 and 55 km depth, with a mean displacement of ~ 1.3 m. That means that the Tocopilla earthquake ruptured the deeper part of the seismogenic interface, probably within the transition zone. This earthquake released a little portion of the slip deficit accumulated in the seismic gap during the last 130 years (~ 10m). Hence the Tocopilla event may constitute a precursor of a future large thrust event in the current 500 km seismic gap that continues accumulating elastic strain from 1877.Un terremoto de subducción de Mw 7.7 tuvo lugar el 14 de Noviembre de 2007 en Tocopilla (norte de Chile). Esta región (entre 16.5ºS y 23.5º S) había sido identificada como una gran laguna sísmica (de ~ 1000 km de longitud) desde los terremotos del Sur de Perú (Mw = 9.1, 16 de Agosto de 1868) y de Iquique (Mw = 9.0, 10 de Mayo de 1877). La extensión de la laguna se redujo después de los terremotos de Arequipa (Mw = 8.3, 23 de Junio de 2001) y de Antofagasta (Mw=8.1, 30 de Julio de 1995). Hemos calculado interferogramas a partir de imágenes ASAR Envisat adquiridas antes y después del terremoto de Tocopilla para deducir la localización, geometría y deslizamiento asociados a la rotura. La modelización elástica de estos datos indica que la ruptura principal de 2007 se propagó sobre un área de ~150 x 60 km2, entre 35 y 55 km de profundidad, con un deslizamiento medio de ~1.3 m. Esto significa que el terremoto de Tocopilla rompió la parte profunda de la interfase sismogéncia, probablemente dentro de la zona de transición. Este terremoto relajó una porción muy pequeña del déficit de deslizamiento acumulado en la laguna sísmica durante los últimos 130 años (~10 m). Por lo tanto, el evento de Tocopilla podría constituir un precursor de un gran terremoto de subducción en la laguna sísmica actual de 500 km que continua acumulando deformación elástica desde 1877.Depto. de Geodinámica, Estratigrafía y PaleontologíaFac. de Ciencias GeológicasTRUEFrench National Research Agencypu

Effectiveness of influenza vaccine in aging and older adults: comprehensive analysis of the evidence

Foremost amongst the diseases preventable by vaccination is influenza. Worldwide, influenza virus infection is associated with serious adverse events leading to hospitalization, debilitating complications, and death in elderly individuals. Immunization is considered to be the cornerstone for preventing these adverse health outcomes, and vaccination programs are timed to optimize protection during the annual influenza season. Trivalent inactivated influenza virus vaccines are believed to be both effective and cost-saving; however, in spite of widespread influenza vaccination programs, rates of hospitalization for acute respiratory illness and cardiovascular diseases have been increasing in this population during recent annual influenza seasons. From meta-analyses summarizing estimates of influenza vaccine effectiveness from available observational clinical studies, this review aims to examine how effective current influenza vaccine strategies are in the aging and older adult population and to analyze which are the most important biases that interfere with measurements of influenza vaccine effectiveness. Furthermore, consideration is given to strategies that should be adopted in order to optimize influenza vaccine effectiveness in the face of immune exhaustion

Seismological analyses of the 2010 March 11, Pichilemu, Chile M_w 7.0 and M_w 6.9 coastal intraplate earthquakes

On 2010 March 11, a sequence of large, shallow continental crust earthquakes shook central Chile. Two normal faulting events with magnitudes around M_w 7.0 and M_w 6.9 occurred just 15 min apart, located near the town of Pichilemu. These kinds of large intraplate, inland crustal earthquakes are rare above the Chilean subduction zone, and it is important to better understand their relationship with the 2010 February 27, M_w 8.8, Maule earthquake, which ruptured the adjacent megathrust plate boundary. We present a broad seismological analysis of these earthquakes by using both teleseismic and regional data. We compute seismic moment tensors for both events via a W-phase inversion, and test sensitivities to various inversion parameters in order to assess the stability of the solutions. The first event, at 14 hr 39 min GMT, is well constrained, displaying a fault plane with strike of N145°E, and a preferred dip angle of 55°SW, consistent with the trend of aftershock locations and other published results. Teleseismic finite-fault inversions for this event show a large slip zone along the southern part of the fault, correlating well with the reported spatial density of aftershocks. The second earthquake (14 hr 55 min GMT) appears to have ruptured a fault branching southward from the previous ruptured fault, within the hanging wall of the first event. Modelling seismograms at regional to teleseismic distances (Δ > 10°) is quite challenging because the observed seismic wave fields of both events overlap, increasing apparent complexity for the second earthquake. We perform both point- and extended-source inversions at regional and teleseismic distances, assessing model sensitivities resulting from variations in fault orientation, dimension, and hypocentre location. Results show that the focal mechanism for the second event features a steeper dip angle and a strike rotated slightly clockwise with respect to the previous event. This kind of geological fault configuration, with secondary rupture in the hanging wall of a large normal fault, is commonly observed in extensional geological regimes. We propose that both earthquakes form part of a typical normal fault diverging splay, where the secondary fault connects to the main fault at depth. To ascertain more information on the spatial and temporal details of slip for both events, we gathered near-fault seismological and geodetic data. Through forward modelling of near-fault synthetic seismograms we build a kinematic k^(−2) earthquake source model with spatially distributed slip on the fault that, to first-order, explains both coseismic static displacement GPS vectors and short-period seismometer observations at the closest sites. As expected, the results for the first event agree with the focal mechanism derived from teleseismic modelling, with a magnitude M_w 6.97. Similarly, near-fault modelling for the second event suggests rupture along a normal fault, M_w 6.90, characterized by a steeper dip angle (dip = 74°) and a strike clockwise rotated (strike = 155°) with respect to the previous event

Andean structural control on interseismic coupling in the North Chile subduction zone

Segmentation can influence the extent of earthquake rupture and event magnitude: large megathrust earthquakes result from total rupture of relatively continuous segments of the subduction interface. Segmentation is attributed to variations in the frictional properties of the seismogenic zone or to topographic features on the down-going plate. Structures in the overriding plate may also influence segmentation but their importance has been dismissed. Here, we investigate the links between interface segmentation at the North Chile seismic gap and a crustal-scale fault structure in the overriding plate that forms a coastal scarp of about 1 km in height. We use satellite interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) and Global Positioning System (GPS) data to measure interseismic surface deformation between 2003 and 2009 and compare the deformation with rupture extent during well-documented earthquakes. From these data we infer the degree of coupling and segmentation at depth. We find that along a 500-km-long segment, the base of the strongly coupled seismogenic zone correlates with the line of the surface coastal scarp and follows the outline of the Mejillones Peninsula. This correlation implies that large-scale structures in the overriding plate can influence the frictional properties of the seismogenic zone at depth. We therefore suggest that the occurrence of megathrust earthquakes in northern Chile is controlled by the surface structures that build Andean topography

The energy cascade of surface wave turbulence: toward identifying the active wave coupling

We investigate experimentally turbulence of surface gravity waves in the Coriolis facility in Grenoble by using both high sensitivity local probes and a time and space resolved stereoscopic reconstruction of the water surface. We show that the water deformation is made of the superposition of weakly nonlinear waves following the linear dispersion relation and of bound waves resulting from non resonant triadic interaction. Although the theory predicts a 4-wave resonant coupling supporting the presence of an inverse cascade of wave action, we do not observe such inverse cascade. We investigate 4-wave coupling by computing the tricoherence i.e. 4-wave correlations. We observed very weak values of the tricoherence at the frequencies excited on the linear dispersion relation that are consistent with the hypothesis of weak coupling underlying the weak turbulence theory.Comment: proceedings of the Euromech-Ercoftac workshop "Turbulent Cascades II" organized in Ecole Centrale de Lyon in december 201