80 research outputs found
Статистичне прогнозування в системі державного планування та програмування розвитку економіки України
Стаття присвячена формуванню методологічних засад побудови інтегрованої моделі короткострокового прогнозування показників національних рахунків на базі блоків, що відображають факторні зв’язки в кожному секторі економіки.The article is devoted to the formation of methodological principles of building an integrated model of short-term forecasting of the indicators of national accounts based on blocs that reflect factor ties in each sector
Evaluation of the impact of innovations on the intensity and proportions of economic growth
Стаття присвячена проблемним питанням розробки концептуальних засад оцінювання впливу інновацій на темпи економічного зростання та моделювання на цій основі ефективної інноваційно-інвестиційної політики держави, як складової її антикризової стратегії.This article is devoted to the crucial aspects of the development of the conceptual
foundations of the impact of innovations on economic growth statistical evaluation and
modeling on this basis an effective innovation and investment policy, which is considered as a part of the Government anti-crisis strategy
The Period Changes of the Cepheid RT Aurigae
Observations of the light curve for the 3.7-day Cepheid RT Aur both before
and since 1980 indicate that the variable is undergoing an overall period
increase, amounting to +0.082 +-0.012 s/yr, rather than a period decrease, as
implied by all observations prior to 1980. Superposed on the star's O-C
variations is a sinusoidal trend that cannot be attributed to random
fluctuations in pulsation period. Rather, it appears to arise from light travel
time effects in a binary system. The derived orbital period for the system is P
= 26,429 +-89 days (72.36 +-0.24 years). The inferred orbital parameters from
the O-C residuals differ from those indicated by existing radial velocity data.
The latter imply the most reasonable results, namely a1 sin i = 9.09 (+-1.81) x
10^8 km and a minimum secondary mass of M2 = 1.15 +-0.25 Msun. Continued
monitoring of the brightness and radial velocity changes in the Cepheid are
necessary to confirm the long-term trend and to provide data for a proper
spectroscopic solution to the orbit.Comment: Accepted for publication in PASP (November 2007
A search for W bb and W Higgs production in ppbar collisions at sqrt(s)=1.96 TeV
We present a search for W b \bar{b} production in p \bar{p} collisions at
sqrt{s}=1.96 TeV in events containing one electron, an imbalance in transverse
momentum, and two b-tagged jets. Using 174 pb-1 of integrated luminosity
accumulated by the D0 experiment at the Fermilab Tevatron collider, and the
standard-model description of such events, we set a 95% C.L. upper limit on W b
\bar{b}WH--$135
GeV.Comment: 7 pages, 4 figures, 1 table, submitted to Physical Review Letter
Measurement of the Ratio of B+ and B0 Meson Lifetimes
The ratio of B+ and B0 meson lifetimes was measured using data collected in
2002-2004 by the D0 experiment in Run II of the Fermilab Tevatron Collider.
These mesons were reconstructed in B -> mu+ nu D*- X decays, which are
dominated by B0, and B ->mu+ nu D0bar X decays, which are dominated by B+. The
ratio of lifetimes is measured to be t+/t0 = 1.080 +- 0.016(stat) +-
0.014(syst).Comment: 7 pages, 2 figures, LaTeX, to be submitted to Physical Review Letter
A Search for the Flavor-Changing Neutral Current Decay B0_s -> mu^+mu^- in pp(bar) Collisions at \sqrt{s} = 1.96 TeV with the D0 Detector
We present the results of a search for the flavor-changing neutral current
decay B0_s -> mu+ mu- using a data set with integrated luminosity of 240
pb^{-1} of pp(bar) collisions at sqrt{s}=1.96 TeV collected with the D0
detector in Run II of the Fermilab Tevatron collider. We find the upper limit
on the branching fraction to be Br(B0_s -> mu+ mu-) \leq 5.0 x 10^{-7} at the
95% C.L. assuming no contributions from the decay B0_d -> mu+ mu- in the signal
region. This limit is the most stringent upper bound on the branching fraction
B0_s -> mu+ mu- to date.Comment: 7 pages, 3 figures, LaTeX, to be submitted to Physical Review
Letters, minor changes to text, reference adde
Data assimilation in a system with two scales-combining two initialization techniques
11 pages, 11 figures, 1 tableFull-text version available Open Access at: http://clivar.iim.csic.es/?q=es/node/319An ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is used to assimilate data onto a non-linear chaotic model, coupling two kinds of variables. The first kind of variables of the system is characterized as large amplitude, slow, large scale, distributed in eight equally spaced locations around a circle. The second kind of variables are small amplitude, fast, and short scale, distributed in 256 equally spaced locations. Synthetic observations are obtained from the model and the observational error is proportional to their respective amplitudes. The performance of the EnKF is affected by differences in the spatial correlation scales of the variables being assimilated. This method allows the simultaneous assimilation of all the variables. The ensemble filter also allows assimilating only the large-scale variables, letting the small-scale variables to freely evolve. Assimilation of the large-scale variables together with a few small-scale variables significantly degrades the filter. These results are explained by the spurious correlations that arise from the sampled ensemble covariances. An alternative approach is to combine two different initialization techniques for the slow and fast variables. Here, the fast variables are initialized by restraining the evolution of the ensemble members, using a Newtonian relaxation toward the observed fast variables. Then, the usual ensemble analysis is used to assimilate the large-scale observationsThis study is supported by the Spanish National Science Program under contracts ESP2005–06823-C05 and ESP2007–65667-C04Peer reviewe
Measurement of Dijet Azimuthal Decorrelations at Central Rapidities in pp-bar Collisions at sqrt(s)=1.96 TeV
Correlations in the azimuthal angle between the two largest transverse
momentum jets have been measured using the D0 detector in pp-bar collisions at
a center-of-mass energy sqrt(s)=1.96 TeV. The analysis is based on an inclusive
dijet event sample in the central rapidity region corresponding to an
integrated luminosity of 150 pb-1. Azimuthal correlations are stronger at
larger transverse momenta. These are well-described in perturbative QCD at
next-to-leading order in the strong coupling constant, except at large
azimuthal differences where soft effects are significant.Comment: 6 pages, 3 Figures submitted to Phys. Rev. Let
- …