Tracking integrated ecosystem assessments in the ICES network: a social network analysis of the ICES expert groups

The advice the International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) provides to its member countries is crucial for the sustainable management of shared marine resources, and the conservation of relevant marine ecosystems. In 2014, ICES made a strategic decision to integrate marine and social sciences in a new type of assessment framework called “integrated ecosystem assessments” (IEA) to deliver advice on societal trade-offs between different policy options. The IEA-focused expert groups formed before and after this period now cover all major ecoregions. To track the progression of IEAs in the ICES network over time, we conducted a social network analysis (SNA) on expert group attendance for the years 2015–2019. The IEA-focused expert groups generally ranked lower in the overall ICES network. Our study shows that some IEA-groups become more connected over time, while others decline. We also evaluated the role of workshops in the ICES network, particularly their role in the development of IEA knowledge. Our study shows that workshops play an important role in ICES network connectivity. The study demonstrates how social network analysis can be used to study an organization such as ICES and determine the effectiveness, or impact, of that organizational function.publishedVersio

Ocean warming and acidification may drag down the commercial Arctic cod fishery by 2100

The Arctic Ocean is an early warning system for indicators and effects of climate change. We use a novel combination of experimental and time-series data on effects of ocean warming and acidification on the commercially important Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) to incorporate these physiological processes into the recruitment model of the fish population. By running an ecological-economic optimization model, we investigate how the interaction of ocean warming, acidification and fishing pressure affects the sustainability of the fishery in terms of ecological, economic, social and consumer-related indicators, ranging from present day conditions up to future climate change scenarios. We find that near-term climate change will benefit the fishery, but under likely future warming and acidification this large fishery is at risk of collapse by the end of the century, even with the best adaptation effort in terms of reduced fishing pressure.publishedVersio

Political overfishing: Social-economic drivers in TAC setting decisions

Sustainable use of marine resources, as targeted by Ecosystem-Based Fishery Management (EBFM), is a highly ranked policy goal. However, many marine fish stocks are still overused, challenging sustainability goals. Reasons for this policy failure are disputed and they might be manifold, including economic, institutional, and social drivers. We use Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) to empirically determine and quantify the importance of interacting ecological, economic, and social drivers in a political decision making process, i.e. the setting of annual Total Allowable Catch (TAC) limits. GAMs allow non linear relationships between response and explanatory variables and due to their flexibility have successfully been applied to investigate ecosystem dynamics. Here, we use this modeling approach in a novel way to quantify social-economic-ecological feed-backs on policy decisions. European fisheries policy agreed in most cases to TACs higher than scientifically advised. We recorded this deviation for all managed European fish stocks for the time-series 1987-2013. Additionally, we make use of available time-series of socio-economic and ecological variables potentially influencing the decision, including national unemployment rates, stock status, economic growth rates, and employment in fisheries. We show that political decisions on TACs are not only driven by scientific advice on the ecological state of the stock, but that socio-economic variables have a significant effect on TACs – however not related to sound scientific advice. We conclude that scientific advice for a successful implementation of EBFM will have to address socio-economic driving forces more explicitly

Optimal Management of the Baltic Sea Fishery Under Climate Change: An Ecological-Economic Age-Structured Multi-Species Model Analysis

To achieve sustainable fisheries, ecosystem-based fisheries management yields increasing attention. However, so far mainly single-species models are used to develop management advice, not accounting for species interaction. In particular many traditional fisheries economic models have been criticized by biologists, especially if results were gained by rather simple biomass models. Therefore, age-structured ecological-economic models have the potential to foster communication between economists and stock assessment scientists. Biological assessment models, on the other hand, rarely explicitly take into account economic considerations. To overcome these shortcomings, we develop an age-structured, multi-species fishery model that incorporates dominant biological interactions like predation via multi-species models. Given the ultimate goal of providing most appropriate management advice for the operating fishery we adopt an economic objective function (present value of resource rents) and determine optimal management. In the Baltic Sea, the stock dynamics of the 3 most important fish species cod, herring and sprat are strongly interlinked by predation as well as competition. Accordingly, we develop a biological multi-species model that can be used to predict coupled stock dynamics under different management scenarios. We include environmentally-sensitive stock-recruitment functions in the model and simulate stock trajectories for a period of 30 years under an assumed climate change scenario. By further adding an age-structured ecologicaleconomic model, we derive the optimal multi-species management strategy in terms of net present value of resource rents. We evaluate the cost (as deviation from the optimum) of alternative management scenarios, e.g. when introducing side-conditions on minimum stock sizes or maximum year-to-year changes in the fishery. Specifically, we evaluate the economic and ecological sensibility of the present long-term management plan for Baltic cod in a multi-species framework

Report on IIFET Special Session “Fisheries Games and Experiments: Applications for Education, Outreach and Science”

There is growing realization of the potential for games and experiments as powerful tools not only for research, but also for education and outreach. Experiments are particularly powerful and useful for fisheries economists because (a) they can vividly illustrate some fundamental concepts and (b) are effective at testing the relative merits of various fishery management proposals. Fisheries economists have developed a wide variety of games and experiments for a wide variety of applications. However, many fisheries economists are unfamiliar with games and experiments and their potential applications. This two-part special session has a pair of complementary objectives: (a) to demonstrate a range of games and experiments to IIFET members who are unfamiliar with these methods so they can understand their potential for education, outreach and research; and (b) to provide an opportunity for existing developers and users of games and experiments to share new ideas for applications in fisheries

RNA-protein correlation of liver toxicity markers in HepaRG cells

The liver is a main target organ for the toxicity of many different compounds. While in general, in vivo testing is still routinely used for assessing the hepatotoxic potential of test chemicals, the use of in vitro models offers advantages with regard to throughput, consumption of resources, and animal welfare aspects. Using the human hepatoma cell line HepaRG, we performed a comparative evaluation of a panel of hepatotoxicity marker mRNAs and proteins after exposure of the cells to 30 different pesticidal active compounds comprising herbizides, fungicides, insecticides, and others. The panel of hepatotoxicity markers included nuclear receptor target genes, key players of fatty acid and bile acid metabolism-related pathways, as well as recently identified biomarkers of drug-induced liver injury. Moreover, marker genes and proteins were identified, for example, S100P, ANXA10, CYP1A1, and CYP7A1. These markers respond with high sensitivity to stimulation with chemically diverse test compounds already at non-cytotoxic concentrations. The potency of the test compounds, determined as an overall parameter of their ability to deregulate marker expression in vitro, was very similar between the mRNA and protein levels. Thus, this study does not only characterize the response of human liver cells to 30 different pesticides but also demonstrates that hepatotoxicity testing in human HepaRG cells yields well comparable results at the mRNA and protein levels. Furthermore, robust hepatotoxicity marker genes and proteins were identified in HepaRG cells

International perceptions of an integrated, multi-sectoral, ecosystem approach to management:Editor’s Choice

Abstract The Ecosystem Approach to Management (EAM) has emerged over the past decades, largely to promote biodiversity conservation, and more recently sectoral tradeoffs in the management of marine ecosystems. To ascertain the state of practice of EAM operationalization, a workshop was held, which included a pre-workshop online survey. The survey gauged international participants’ perspectives regarding capacity, knowledge, and application of EAM. When asked about the subject, most survey respondents had a general understanding of EAM, and provided a clear definition. Major perceived challenges to EAM objectives by those surveyed included limited knowledge, conflicting interests, insufficient communication, and limited organizational legal frameworks or governance structures. Of those directly involved in an ecosystem approach, the majority responded that processes were in place or developed for application of integrated knowledge toward assessing key issues within their respective sectors (i.e. fisheries, conservation, energy), and that capacity was generally high. Our results show that most respondents, irrespective of sector or geography, see value in considering an integrated, broader ecosystem approach as they manage their sector. Although many participants were from the North Atlantic region, our results suggest that much of the international community is converging toward continued understanding of broad-scale, integrated approaches to marine resource management.</jats:p