Vertebrate Air Breathing Arose In Fresh Waters And Not In The Oceans

Peer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/137418/1/evo00662.pd

The Effect of Relative Pricing on the Fixed-Rate Mortgage Term Decision

This paper analyzes determinants of the fifteen- versus thirty-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) loan term decision. Because the thirty-year FRM may be converted (by partial prepayment) to the shorter term, the thirty-year instrument provides the implicit option to extend repayment. Relative rates measure the price (cost) of this option to the consumer. The results indicate that the term decision of consumers is highly sensitive to relative rates: probit estimates using data from a large national lending institution for the 1987 to 1990 period indicate that a 1% increase in the ratio of fifteen- to thirty-year rates lowers the probability of fifteen-year term choice by 20%. The results also indicate that expected housing price appreciation, which measures investment determinants of housing demand, is negatively related to the fifteen-year FRM term choice.

Risk Levels and Adverse Clinical Outcomes Among Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Oral Anticoagulants

IMPORTANCE: The CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc score (calculated as congestive heart failure, hypertension, age 75 years and older, diabetes, stroke or TIA, vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, and sex category) is the standard for assessing risk of stroke and systemic embolism and includes age and thromboembolic history. To our knowledge, no studies have comprehensively evaluated safety and effectiveness outcomes among patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation receiving oral anticoagulants according to independent, categorical risk strata. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the incidence of key adverse outcomes among patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation receiving oral anticoagulants by CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc risk score range, thromboembolic event history, and age group. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study was a retrospective claims data analysis using combined data sets from 5 large health claims databases. Eligible participants were adult patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation who initiated oral anticoagulants. Data were analyzed between January 2012 and June 2019. EXPOSURE: Initiation of oral anticoagulants. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: We observed clinical outcomes (including stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, and a composite outcome) on treatment through study end, censoring for discontinuation of oral anticoagulants, death, and insurance disenrollment. The population was stratified by CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc risk score; history of stroke, systemic embolism, or transient ischemic attack; and age groups. We calculated time to event, incidence rates, and cumulative incidence for outcomes. RESULTS: We identified 1 141 097 patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation; the mean (SD) age was 75.0 (10.5) years, 608 127 patients (53.3%) were men, and over 1 million were placed in the 2 highest risk categories (high risk 1, 327 766 participants; high risk 2, 688 449 participants). Deyo-Charlson Comorbidity Index scores ranged progressively alongside CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc risk score strata (mean [SD] scores: low risk, 0.4 [1.0]; high risk 2, 4.1 [2.9]). The crude incidence of stroke and systemic embolism generally progressed alongside risk score strata (low risk, 0.25 events per 100 person-years [95% CI, 0.18-0.34 events]; high risk 2, 3.43 events per 100 person-years [95% CI, 3.06-4.20 events]); patients at the second-highest risk strata with thromboembolic event history had higher stroke incidence vs patients at the highest risk score strata without event history (2.06 events per 100 person-years [95% CI, 2.00-3.12 events] vs 1.18 events per 100 person-years [95% CI, 1.14-1.30 events]). Major bleeding and composite incidence also increased progressively alongside risk score strata (major bleeding: low risk, 0.68 events per 100 person-years [95% CI, 0.56-0.82 events]; high risk 2, 6.29 events per 100 person-years [95% CI, 6.21-6.62 events]; composite incidence: 1.22 events per 100 person-years [95% CI, 1.06-1.41 events]; high risk 2, 10.67 events per 100 person-years [95% CI, 10.26-11.48 events]). The 12-month cumulative incidence proportions for stroke and systemic embolism, major bleeding, and composite outcomes progressed alongside risk score strata (stroke or systemic embolism, 0.30%-1.85%; major bleeding, 0.55%-5.55%; composite, 1.05%-8.23%). Age subgroup analysis followed similar trends. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The observed incidence of stroke or systemic embolism and major bleeding events generally conformed to an expected increasing incidence by risk score, adding insight into the importance of specific risk score range, thromboembolic event history, and age group strata. These results can help inform clinical decision-making, research, and policy

Bayesian methods and optimal experimental design for gene mapping by radiation hybrids

Radiation hybrid mapping is a somatic cell technique for ordering human loci along a chromosome and estimating the physical distance between adjacent loci. The present paper considers a realistic model of fragment generation and retention. This model assumes that fragments are generated in the ancestral cell of a clone according to a Poisson breakage process along the chromosome. Once generated, fragments are independently retained in the clone with a common retention probability. Based on this and less restrictive models, statistical criteria such as minimum obligate breaks, maximum likelihood, and Bayesian posterior probabilities can be used to decide order. Distances can be estimated by either maximum likelihood or Bayesian posterior means. The model also permits rational design of radiation dose for optimal statistical precision. A brief examination of some real data illustrates our criteria and computational algorithms.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/65749/1/j.1469-1809.1992.tb01139.x.pd

Design mining interacting wind turbines

© 2016 by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. An initial study has recently been presented of surrogate-assisted evolutionary algorithms used to design vertical-axis wind turbines wherein candidate prototypes are evaluated under fan-generated wind conditions after being physically instantiated by a 3D printer. Unlike other approaches, such as computational fluid dynamics simulations, no mathematical formulations were used and no model assumptions weremade. This paper extends that work by exploring alternative surrogate modelling and evolutionary techniques. The accuracy of various modelling algorithms used to estimate the fitness of evaluated individuals from the initial experiments is compared. The effect of temporally windowing surrogate model training samples is explored. A surrogateassisted approach based on an enhanced local search is introduced; and alternative coevolution collaboration schemes are examined

A Guide to Utilization of the Microbiology Laboratory for Diagnosis of Infectious Diseases: 2013 Recommendations by the Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA) and the American Society for Microbiology (ASM)a

The critical role of the microbiology laboratory in infectious disease diagnosis calls for a close, positive working relationship between the physician and the microbiologists who provide enormous value to the health care team. This document, developed by both laboratory and clinical experts, provides information on which tests are valuable and in which contexts, and on tests that add little or no value for diagnostic decisions. Sections are divided into anatomic systems, including Bloodstream Infections and Infections of the Cardiovascular System, Central Nervous System Infections, Ocular Infections, Soft Tissue Infections of the Head and Neck, Upper Respiratory Infections, Lower Respiratory Tract infections, Infections of the Gastrointestinal Tract, Intraabdominal Infections, Bone and Joint Infections, Urinary Tract Infections, Genital Infections, and Skin and Soft Tissue Infections; or into etiologic agent groups, including Tickborne Infections, Viral Syndromes, and Blood and Tissue Parasite Infections. Each section contains introductory concepts, a summary of key points, and detailed tables that list suspected agents; the most reliable tests to order; the samples (and volumes) to collect in order of preference; specimen transport devices, procedures, times, and temperatures; and detailed notes on specific issues regarding the test methods, such as when tests are likely to require a specialized laboratory or have prolonged turnaround times. There is redundancy among the tables and sections, as many agents and assay choices overlap. The document is intended to serve as a reference to guide physicians in choosing tests that will aid them to diagnose infectious diseases in their patients

Steps toward determination of the size and structure of the broad-line region in active galactic nuclei. 5: Variability of the ultraviolet continuum and emission lines of NGC 3783

We report on the results of intensive ultraviolet spectral monitoring of the Seyfert 1 galaxy NGC 3783. The nucleus of NGC 3783 was observed with the International Ultraviolet Explorer satellite on a regular basis for a total of 7 months, once every 4 days for the first 172 days and once every other day for the final 50 days. Significant variability was observed in both continuum and emission-line fluxes. The light curves for the continuum fluxes exhibited two well-defined local minima or 'dips,' the first lasting is less than or approximately 20 days and the second is less than or approximately 4 days, with additional episodes of relatively rapid flickering of approximately the same amplitude. As in the case of NGC 5548 (the only other Seyfert galaxy that has been the subject of such an intensive, sustained monitoring effort), the largest continuum variations were seen at the shortest wavelengths, so that the continuum became 'harder' when brighter. The variations in the continuum occurred simultaneously at all wavelengths (delta(t) is less than 2 days). Generally, the amplitude of variability of the emission lines was lower than (or comparable to) that of the continuum. Apart from Mg II (which varied little) and N V (which is relatively weak and badly blended with Ly(alpha), the light curves of the emission lines are very similar to the continuum light curves, in each case with a small systematic delay or 'lag.' As for NGC 5548, the highest ionization lines seem to respond with shorter lags than the lower ionization lines. The lags found for NGC 3783 are considerably shorter than those obtained for NGC 5548, with values of (formally) approximately 0 days for He II + O III), and approximately 4 days for Ly(alpha) and C IV. The data further suggest lags of approximately 4 days for Si IV + O IV) and 8-30 days for Si III + C III). Mg II lagged the 1460 A continuum by approximately 9 days, although this result depends on the method of measuring the line flux and may in fact be due to variability of the underlying Fe II lines. Correlation analysis further shows that the power density spectrum contains substantial unresolved power over timescales of is less than or approximately 2 days, and that the character of the continuum variability may change with time

Neonatal Handling Affects Durably Bonding and Social Development

The neonatal period in humans and in most mammals is characterized by intense mother-young interactions favoring pair bonding and the adaptation of neonates to their new environment. However, in many post-delivery procedures, human babies commonly experience combined maternal separation and intense handling for about one hour post-birth. Currently, the effects of such disturbances on later attachment and on the development of newborns are still debated: clearly, further investigations are required. As animals present good models for controlled experimentation, we chose domestic horses to investigate this issue. Horses, like humans, are characterized by single births, long lactating periods and selective mother-infant bonds. Routine postnatal procedures for foals, as for human babies, also involve intense handling and maternal separation. In the present study, we monitored the behavior of foals from early stages of development to “adolescence”, in a normal ecological context (social groups with adults and peers). Experimental foals, separated from their mothers and handled for only 1 hour post-birth, were compared to control foals, left undisturbed after birth. Our results revealed short- and long-term effects of this unique neonatal experience on attachment and subsequent social competences. Thus, experimental foals presented patterns of insecure attachment to their mothers (strong dependence on their mothers, little play) and impaired social competences (social withdrawal, aggressiveness) at all ages. We discuss these results in terms of mother-young interactions, timing of interactions and relationships between bonding and subsequent social competences. Our results indicate that this ungulate species could become an interesting animal model. To our knowledge, this is the first clear demonstration that intervention just after birth affects bonding and subsequent social competences (at least until “adolescence”). It opens new research directions for studies on both humans and other animals

Designing Bioactive Delivery Systems for Tissue Regeneration

The direct infusion of macromolecules into defect sites generally does not impart adequate physiological responses. Without the protection of delivery systems, inductive molecules may likely redistribute away from their desired locale and are vulnerable to degradation. In order to achieve efficacy, large doses supplied at interval time periods are necessary, often at great expense and ensuing detrimental side effects. The selection of a delivery system plays an important role in the rate of re-growth and functionality of regenerating tissue: not only do the release kinetics of inductive molecules and their consequent bioactivities need to be considered, but also how the delivery system interacts and integrates with its surrounding host environment. In the current review, we describe the means of release of macromolecules from hydrogels, polymeric microspheres, and porous scaffolds along with the selection and utilization of bioactive delivery systems in a variety of tissue-engineering strategies