Modelling wave-current interactions off the east coast of Scotland

Densely populated coastal areas of the North Sea are particularly vulnerable to severe wave conditions, which overtop or damage sea-defences leading to dangerous flooding. Around the shallow southern North Sea, where the coastal margin is low-lying and population density is high, oceanographic modelling has helped to develop forecasting systems to predict flood risk. However coastal areas of the deeper northern North Sea are also subject to regular storm damage but there has been little or no effort to develop coastal wave models for these waters. Here we present a high spatial resolution model of northeast Scottish coastal waters, simulating waves and the effect of tidal currents on wave propagation, driven by global ocean tides, far-field wave conditions, and local air pressure and wind stress. We show that the wave- current interactions and wave-wave interactions are particularly important for simulating the wave conditions close to the coast at various locations. The model can simulate the extreme conditions experienced when high (spring) tides are combined with sea-level surges and large Atlantic swell. Such a combination of extremes represents a high risk for damaging conditions along the Scottish coast

Modelling sea level surges in the Firth of Clyde, a fjordic embayment in south-west Scotland

Storm surges are an abnormal enhancement of the water level in response to weather perturbations. They have the capacity to cause damaging flooding of coastal regions, expecially when they coincide with astronomical high spring tides. Some areas of the UK have suffered particularly damaging surge events, and the Firth of Clyde is a region with high risk due to its location and morphology. Here we use a three-dimensional high spatial resolution hydrodynamic model to simulate the local bathymetric and morphological enhancement of surge in the Clyde, and disaggregate the effects of far-field atmospheric pressure distribution and local scale wind forcing of surges. A climatological analysis, based on 30 years of data from Millport tide gauges is also discussed. The results suggest that floods are not only caused by extreme surge events, but also by the coupling of spring high tides with moderate surges. Water level is also enhanced by a funnelling effect due to the bathymetry and the morphology of fjordic sealochs and the River Clyde estuary. In a world of rising sea level, studying the propagation and the climatology of surges and high water events is fundamental. In addition, high-resolution hydrodynamic models are essential to forecast extreme events and prevents the loss of lives, or to plan coastal defences solutions

Briefing: Young Coastal Scientists and Engineers Conference 2013

On 25–26 March 2013, 52 early career scientists and engineers, studying various aspects of coastal science, met at the University of Aberdeen for the ninth Young Coastal Scientists and Engineers Conference. The conference was jointly organised by the School of Engineering, University of Aberdeen, and Marine Scotland Science. Early-career scientists, researchers and practitioners presented 23 oral and 17 poster presentations over the 2-day meeting. The papers all had a coastal theme with a large diversity in the subjects covered, including waves, currents, tidal energy, coastal erosion, sediment transport, fluid mechanics and particle tracking. This briefing paper reports on the conference, and presents the keynote lecture and four papers voted to be of especially high quality by the panel of judges

Briefing: Young Coastal Scientists and Engineers Conference 2011

The 7th UK Young Coastal Scientists and Engineers Conference welcomed 60 scientists and engineers to come together and discuss coastal research. The conference was hosted by the National Oceanography Centre in Liverpool, 30–31 March 2011. Early career practitioners and researchers presented 42 short papers on a range of topics driven by current issues addressed by UK universities, government agencies and consultancies. Although all presentations had a coastal theme, content varied from small-scale processes to regional-scale monitoring and management, covering topics such as structure impact, sediment transport, morphology, waves, currents, ecology, oxygen, estuarine systems, stratification, modelling, observation, ice, renewables and extreme events. This paper presents the keynote lecture and six abstracts considered to be of particular merit by the panel of judges. The conference continues to travel the UK and will be held at Bangor University in 2012

Wave groups and sediment resuspension processes over evolving sandy bedforms

High resolution measurements of the water velocity, bedforms and suspended sediment concentration were made using an Acoustic Doppler Velocimeter, acoustic bedform scanners and an Acoustic Backscatter System, under irregular free-surface waves. The waves were generated in a large scale flume facility above a number of bedform types. These data were analysed in (i) the frequency domain in order to examine the frequency at which sediment suspensions occurred in the oscillatory bottom boundary layer and the free stream; and (ii) the time domain in order to examine the instantaneous entrainment and vertical transport of sediment at intra-wave, wave average and wave group time scales. During the course of the experiments the significant wave height was systematically incremented enabling the character of sediment suspensions to be studied under a number of flow and bedform regimes. Wave groups were identified as an important control over sediment suspensions in both the wave boundary layer and free stream, with fluctuations in the suspended sediment concentration occurring at low, wave group, frequencies. However, the initial entrainment process, within the wave boundary layer, occurred at intra-wave frequencies. In contrast, in the free stream, sediment suspensions were dominated by the vertical transport of sediment at wave group time scales. During wave groups the sediment suspension field was characterised by the upward transport of sediment due to the continual injection of turbulence under a series of waves which generated a wave pumping effect. The character of a wave group is considered to be an important control over sediment suspensions in the free stream. Four distinct types of wave group were identified and the instantaneous sediment suspension field below each type examined. Such comparisons were possible using the high resolution Acoustic Backscatter System which enabled both intra-wave and wave group processes to be resolved up to 0.8 m above the bed

The surgical safety checklist and patient outcomes after surgery: a prospective observational cohort study, systematic review and meta-analysis

© 2017 British Journal of Anaesthesia Background: The surgical safety checklist is widely used to improve the quality of perioperative care. However, clinicians continue to debate the clinical effectiveness of this tool. Methods: Prospective analysis of data from the International Surgical Outcomes Study (ISOS), an international observational study of elective in-patient surgery, accompanied by a systematic review and meta-analysis of published literature. The exposure was surgical safety checklist use. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality and the secondary outcome was postoperative complications. In the ISOS cohort, a multivariable multi-level generalized linear model was used to test associations. To further contextualise these findings, we included the results from the ISOS cohort in a meta-analysis. Results are reported as odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals. Results: We included 44 814 patients from 497 hospitals in 27 countries in the ISOS analysis. There were 40 245 (89.8%) patients exposed to the checklist, whilst 7508 (16.8%) sustained ≥1 postoperative complications and 207 (0.5%) died before hospital discharge. Checklist exposure was associated with reduced mortality [odds ratio (OR) 0.49 (0.32–0.77); P\u3c0.01], but no difference in complication rates [OR 1.02 (0.88–1.19); P=0.75]. In a systematic review, we screened 3732 records and identified 11 eligible studies of 453 292 patients including the ISOS cohort. Checklist exposure was associated with both reduced postoperative mortality [OR 0.75 (0.62–0.92); P\u3c0.01; I2=87%] and reduced complication rates [OR 0.73 (0.61–0.88); P\u3c0.01; I2=89%). Conclusions: Patients exposed to a surgical safety checklist experience better postoperative outcomes, but this could simply reflect wider quality of care in hospitals where checklist use is routine

Prospective observational cohort study on grading the severity of postoperative complications in global surgery research

Background The Clavien–Dindo classification is perhaps the most widely used approach for reporting postoperative complications in clinical trials. This system classifies complication severity by the treatment provided. However, it is unclear whether the Clavien–Dindo system can be used internationally in studies across differing healthcare systems in high- (HICs) and low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Methods This was a secondary analysis of the International Surgical Outcomes Study (ISOS), a prospective observational cohort study of elective surgery in adults. Data collection occurred over a 7-day period. Severity of complications was graded using Clavien–Dindo and the simpler ISOS grading (mild, moderate or severe, based on guided investigator judgement). Severity grading was compared using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Data are presented as frequencies and ICC values (with 95 per cent c.i.). The analysis was stratified by income status of the country, comparing HICs with LMICs. Results A total of 44 814 patients were recruited from 474 hospitals in 27 countries (19 HICs and 8 LMICs). Some 7508 patients (16·8 per cent) experienced at least one postoperative complication, equivalent to 11 664 complications in total. Using the ISOS classification, 5504 of 11 664 complications (47·2 per cent) were graded as mild, 4244 (36·4 per cent) as moderate and 1916 (16·4 per cent) as severe. Using Clavien–Dindo, 6781 of 11 664 complications (58·1 per cent) were graded as I or II, 1740 (14·9 per cent) as III, 2408 (20·6 per cent) as IV and 735 (6·3 per cent) as V. Agreement between classification systems was poor overall (ICC 0·41, 95 per cent c.i. 0·20 to 0·55), and in LMICs (ICC 0·23, 0·05 to 0·38) and HICs (ICC 0·46, 0·25 to 0·59). Conclusion Caution is recommended when using a treatment approach to grade complications in global surgery studies, as this may introduce bias unintentionally