Video thoracoscopic surgery used to manage tuberculosis in thoracic surgery

Background: The aim of this study was to evaluate the indications and results of video-assisted thoracic surgery (VATS) for the management of tuberculosis in 10 patients with unusual clinical and radiologic presentation for the disease. Methods: From March 2000 to March 2002, 96 diagnostic VATS operations for unclear thoracic lesions were performed at the authors' institution. Their final diagnosis for 10 (10.4%) of these patients was tuberculosis. The suspected preoperative diagnoses were pancoast tumour (n = 1), pericardial effusion (n = 1), pleural mesothelioma (n = 1), pleural empyema (n = 2), mediastinal lymphoma (n = l), and lung cancer (n = 4). Results: For all the patients, the diagnosis of tuberculosis was achieved by VATS. The duration of drainage was 2.5 days. There have been neither morbidity nor mortality since surgery. The hospital stay was 3 to 5 days. Conclusion: Thoracoscopy is a safe and effective procedure for the management of tuberculosis. Tuberculosis should be kept in mind during the differential diagnosis of unknown thoracic lesions, and also for patients who live in economically well developed countries and are not immune compromise

Value at Risk models with long memory features and their economic performance

We study alternative dynamics for Value at Risk (VaR) that incorporate a slow moving component and information on recent aggregate returns in established quantile (auto) regression models. These models are compared on their economic performance, and also on metrics of first-order importance such as violation ratios. By better economic performance, we mean that changes in the VaR forecasts should have a lower variance to reduce transaction costs and should lead to lower exceedance sizes without raising the average level of the VaR. We find that, in combination with a targeted estimation strategy, our proposed models lead to improved performance in both statistical and economic terms

Mating skew in Barbary macaque males: the role of female mating synchrony, female behavior, and male–male coalitions

A fundamental question of sexual selection theory concerns the causes and consequences of reproductive skew among males. The priority of access (PoA) model (Altmann, Ann NY Acad Sci 102:338–435, 1962) has been the most influential framework in primates living in permanent, mixed-sex groups, but to date it has only been tested with the appropriate data on female synchrony in a handful of species. In this paper, we used mating data from one large semi-free ranging group of Barbary macaques: (1) to provide the first test of the priority-of-access model in this species, using mating data from 11 sexually active females (including six females that were implanted with a hormonal contraceptive but who showed levels of sexual activity comparable to those of naturally cycling females) and (2) to determine the proximate mechanism(s) underlying male mating skew. Our results show that the fit of the observed distribution of matings with sexually attractive females to predictions of the PoA model was poor, with lower-ranking males mating more than expected. While our work confirms that female mating synchrony sets an upper limit to monopolization by high-ranking individuals, other factors are also important. Coalitionary activity was the main tactic used by males to lower mating skew in the study group. Coalitions were expressed in a strongly age-related fashion and allowed subordinate, post-prime males to increase their mating success by targeting more dominant, prime males. Conversely, females, while mating promiscuously with several males during a given mating cycle, were more likely to initiate their consortships with prime males, thus reducing the overall effectiveness of coalitions. We conclude that high-ranking Barbary macaque males have a limited ability to monopolize mating access, leading to a modest mating skew among them

Population pharmacokinetics of the humanised monoclonal antibody, HuHMFG1 (AS1402), derived from a phase I study on breast cancer

International audienceBACKGROUND: HuHMFG1 (AS1402) is a humanised monoclonal antibody that has undergone a phase I trial in metastatic breast cancer. The aim of this study was to characterise the pharmacokinetics (PKs) of HuHMFG1 using a population PK model. METHOD: Data were derived from a phase I study of 26 patients receiving HuHMFG1 at doses ranging from 1 to 16 mg kg(-1). Data were analysed using NONMEM software and covariates were included. A limited sampling strategy (LSS) was developed using training and a validation data set. RESULTS: A linear two-compartment model was shown to be adequate to describe data. Covariate analysis indicated that weight was not related to clearance. An LSS was successfully developed on the basis of the model, in which one sample is collected immediately before the start of an infusion and the second is taken at the end of infusion. CONCLUSION: A two-compartment population PK model successfully describes HuHMFG1 behaviour. The model suggests using a fixed dose of HuHMFG1, which would simplify dosing. The model could be used to optimise dose level and dosing schedule if more data on the correlation between exposure and efficacy become available from future studies. The derived LSS could optimise further PK assessment of this antibody

Long-term Site Fidelity and Individual Home Range Shifts in Lophocebus albigena

We investigated long-term site fidelity of gray-cheeked mangabey (Lophocebus albigena) groups in Kibale National Park, Uganda. Concurrently, we monitored shifts in home range by individual females and subadult and adult males. We documented home range stability by calculating the area of overlap in successive years, and by recording the drift of each group’s monthly centroid from its initial location. Home ranges remained stable for 3 of our 4 groups (overlap over 10 yr >60%). Core areas were more labile, but group centroids drifted an average of only 530 m over the entire decade. Deviations from site fidelity were associated with dispersal or group fission. During natal dispersal, subadult males expanded their home ranges over many months, settling ≤4 home ranges away. Adult males, in contrast, typically dispersed within a few days to an adjacent group in an area of home range overlap. Adult males made solitary forays, but nearly always into areas used by their current group or by a group to which they had previously belonged. After secondary dispersal, they expanded their ranging in the company of their new group, apparently without prior solitary exploration of the new area. Some females also participated in home range shifts. Females shifted home ranges only within social groups, in association with temporary or permanent group splits. Our observations raise the possibility that male mangabeys use a finder-joiner mechanism when moving into new home ranges during secondary dispersal. Similarly, females might learn new resource locations from male immigrants before or during group fission

Refining value-at-risk estimates using a Bayesian Markov-switching GJR-GARCH copula-EVT model

In this paper, we propose a model for forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) using a Bayesian Markov-switching GJR-GARCH(1,1) model with skewed Student’s-t innovation, copula functions and extreme value theory. A Bayesian Markov-switching GJR-GARCH(1,1) model that identifies non-constant volatility over time and allows the GARCH parameters to vary over time following a Markov process, is combined with copula functions and EVT to formulate the Bayesian Markov-switching GJR-GARCH(1,1) copula-EVT VaR model, which is then used to forecast the level of risk on financial asset returns. We further propose a new method for threshold selection in EVT analysis, which we term the hybrid method. Empirical and back-testing results show that the proposed VaR models capture VaR reasonably well in periods of calm and in periods of crisis