Modeling of the number of divorce in Turkey using the Generalized Poisson, Quasi-Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression

In this study, it has been aimed to model the numbers of divorce in Turkey between years 2001- 2009 using Generalized Poisson, Quasi-Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression methods. Data set of this study has been based on the data obtained from Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK). Response variable-the annual rate of divorce- has been categorized into four groups with respect to the length of ex-married life of divorced couples. Explanatory variables have been designated as average age of the first marriage of men and women, the professional work life ratio of married women, the percentage of university graduates in both men and women. For Poisson models, overdispersion parameters have been detected respectively 32.413, 7.277, 16.158 and 26.361. Furthermore Pearson and G2 statistics have revealed that Poisson models are not appropriate for data set. When Quasi Poisson regression was employed, it has been detected that residual deviances are rather close to Poisson residuals. Finally, Negative binomial regression has been conducted. Overdispersion is a common phenomenon in Poisson modeling. In such data sets certain generalizations of Poisson regression and negative binomial regression modeling are used. In present study negative binomial regression has been detected as approved method.Bu çalışmada, 2001-2009 yılları arasında Türkiye’deki boşanma sayılarının Genelleştirilmiş Poisson, Quasi Poisson ve Negatif Binomiyal Regresyon metotlarına gore modellenmesi amaçlanmıştır. Çalışmanın veri seti, Türk İstatistik Kurumu (TÜİK)’den elde edilmiştir. Cevap değişkeni olan yıllık boşanma sayısı, boşanmış çiftlerin evil kalma sürelerine göre dört gruba ayrılmıştır. Çalışmanın veri seti Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu (TÜİK)’ndan elde edilen bilgiler ile oluşturulmuştur. Cevap değişkeni olan yıllık boşanma sayısı, boşanan çiftlerin evli kalma sürelerine göre dört gruba ayrılmıştır. Açıklayıcı değişkenler olarak, erkek ve kadınların ilk evlilik yaşı ortalamaları, evli kadının iş hayatına katılma oranı, erkek ve kadınlarda yüksek okul mezunu olma oranları ele alınmıştır. Poisson modelleri için aşırı yayılım parametresi sırasıyla 32.413, 7.277, 16.158 ve 26.361 olarak belirlenmiştir. Ayrıca Pearson ve G2 istatistikleri de Poisson modellerinin veri seti için uygun olmadığını göstermiştir. Quasi Poisson uygulandığında ise artıkların dağılımı Poisson modellerine çok yakın çıkmıştır. Sonuç olarak Negatif Binomiyal Regresyon kullanılmıştır. Aşırıyayılım, Poisson modellemesinde yaygın bir fenomendir. Bu gibi veri setlerinde Poisson Regresyonun çeşitli genelleştirmeleri ve Negatif Binomiyal Regresyon kullanılır. Bu çalışmada Negatif Binomiyal Regresyonun uygun olduğuna karar verilmiştir

Electrodialytic recovery of rare earth elements from coal ashes

Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, I.P., Portugal, UIDB/04085/2020 (Research unit CENSE “Center for Environmental and Sustainability Research”). Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia is also acknowledged for N. Couto Contract established under Individual Call to Scientific Employment Stimulus (CEECIND/04210/2017).Rare earth elements (REE) are critical raw materials crucial for modern technologies and used in a variety of industries. There is a need of investment in REE recovery from secondary sources. The present work was designed to assess the potential of the electrodialytic process to recover REE from coal ash. The content of REE was evaluated in bituminous and anthracite ash. Anthracite presented higher REE concentration (447 ppm vs. 138 ppm) and a triple concentration of critical REE compared with bituminous ash. Anthracite ash was treated aiming to test the REE recover potential, including differences between light REE (LREE) and heavy REE (HREE) fractions as well as the specific recovery of REE with high criticality. A two-compartment electrodialytic cell was tested with the matrix placed in the anode compartment and a cation-exchange membrane separating the compartments. Experiments lasted a maximum of 7 days applying different current intensities and pH adjustment in the catholyte (≈ 2). Three main steps are observed in the removal process 1) REE solubilization - from the solid to the liquid phase (anolyte); 2) REE mobilization - movement from the anolyte towards the cathode end; 3) REE removal - presence in the catholyte. The extent of each step observed for the REE depends on their individual position in the periodic table with HREE removal being more regulated by step 1 and LREE by step 2. At the best tested conditions (50 mA, 3 days, pH adjustment), more than 70% of REE were extracted from the ash with the catholyte enclosing up to ≈ 50% of LREE and HREE. Combining the high criticality of neodymium with its high concentration in anthracite coal ash (65 ppm), the electrodialytic treatment is highly recommended to concentrate this REE in the catholyte. The results demonstrated the proof-of-concept for electro-assisted extraction of REE from anthracite coal ash, opening perspectives to a selective recovery of these elements from secondary sources.authorsversionpublishe

Climbing the crustal ladder: Magma storage-depth evolution during a volcanic flare-up

© The Author(s), 2018. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Science Advances 4 (2018): eaap7567, doi:10.1126/sciadv.aap7567.Very large eruptions (>50 km3) and supereruptions (>450 km3) reveal Earth’s capacity to produce and store enormous quantities (>1000 km3) of crystal-poor, eruptible magma in the shallow crust. We explore the interplay between crustal evolution and volcanism during a volcanic flare-up in the Taupo Volcanic Zone (TVZ, New Zealand) using a combination of quartz-feldspar-melt equilibration pressures and time scales of quartz crystallization. Over the course of the flare-up, crystallization depths became progressively shallower, showing the gradual conditioning of the crust. Yet, quartz crystallization times were invariably very short (<100 years), demonstrating that very large reservoirs of eruptible magma were transient crustal features. We conclude that the dynamic nature of the TVZ crust favored magma eruption over storage. Episodic tapping of eruptible magmas likely prevented a supereruption. Instead, multiple very large bodies of eruptible magma were assembled and erupted in decadal time scales.This work was supported by the NSF (EAR-1151337) and by two Vanderbilt University Discovery Grants

Timescales of Quartz Crystallization and the Longevity of the Bishop Giant Magma Body

Supereruptions violently transfer huge amounts (100 s–1000 s km3) of magma to the surface in a matter of days and testify to the existence of giant pools of magma at depth. The longevity of these giant magma bodies is of significant scientific and societal interest. Radiometric data on whole rocks, glasses, feldspar and zircon crystals have been used to suggest that the Bishop Tuff giant magma body, which erupted ∼760,000 years ago and created the Long Valley caldera (California), was long-lived (>100,000 years) and evolved rather slowly. In this work, we present four lines of evidence to constrain the timescales of crystallization of the Bishop magma body: (1) quartz residence times based on diffusional relaxation of Ti profiles, (2) quartz residence times based on the kinetics of faceting of melt inclusions, (3) quartz and feldspar crystallization times derived using quartz+feldspar crystal size distributions, and (4) timescales of cooling and crystallization based on thermodynamic and heat flow modeling. All of our estimates suggest quartz crystallization on timescales of <10,000 years, more typically within 500–3,000 years before eruption. We conclude that large-volume, crystal-poor magma bodies are ephemeral features that, once established, evolve on millennial timescales. We also suggest that zircon crystals, rather than recording the timescales of crystallization of a large pool of crystal-poor magma, record the extended periods of time necessary for maturation of the crust and establishment of these giant magma bodies

Environmental Electrokinetics for a sustainable subsurface

International audienceSoil and groundwater are key components in the sustainable management of the subsurface environment. Source contamination is one of its main threats and is commonly addressed using established remediation techniques such as in-situ chemical oxidation (ISCO), in-situ chemical reduction (ISCR; most notably using zero-valent iron [ZVI]), enhanced in-situ bioremediation (EISB), phytoremediation, soil-washing, pump-and-treat, soil vapour extraction (SVE), thermal treatment, and excavation and disposal. Decades of field applications have shown that these techniques can successfully treat or control contaminants in higher permeability subsurface materials such as sands, but achieve only limited success at sites where low permeability soils, such as silts and clays, prevail. Electrokinetics (EK), a soil remediation technique mostly recognized in in-situ treatment of low permeability soils, has, for the last decade, been combined with more conventional techniques and can significantly enhance the performance of several of these remediation technologies, including ISCO, ISCR, EISB and phytoremediation. Herein, we discuss the use of emerging EK techniques in tandem with conventional remediation techniques, to achieve improved remediation performance. Furthermore, we highlight new EK applications that may come to play a role in the sustainable treatment of the contaminated subsurface

Human Genetics in Rheumatoid Arthritis Guides a High-Throughput Drug Screen of the CD40 Signaling Pathway

Although genetic and non-genetic studies in mouse and human implicate the CD40 pathway in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), there are no approved drugs that inhibit CD40 signaling for clinical care in RA or any other disease. Here, we sought to understand the biological consequences of a CD40 risk variant in RA discovered by a previous genome-wide association study (GWAS) and to perform a high-throughput drug screen for modulators of CD40 signaling based on human genetic findings. First, we fine-map the CD40 risk locus in 7,222 seropositive RA patients and 15,870 controls, together with deep sequencing of CD40 coding exons in 500 RA cases and 650 controls, to identify a single SNP that explains the entire signal of association (rs4810485, P = 1.4×10(−9)). Second, we demonstrate that subjects homozygous for the RA risk allele have ∼33% more CD40 on the surface of primary human CD19+ B lymphocytes than subjects homozygous for the non-risk allele (P = 10(−9)), a finding corroborated by expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) analysis in peripheral blood mononuclear cells from 1,469 healthy control individuals. Third, we use retroviral shRNA infection to perturb the amount of CD40 on the surface of a human B lymphocyte cell line (BL2) and observe a direct correlation between amount of CD40 protein and phosphorylation of RelA (p65), a subunit of the NF-κB transcription factor. Finally, we develop a high-throughput NF-κB luciferase reporter assay in BL2 cells activated with trimerized CD40 ligand (tCD40L) and conduct an HTS of 1,982 chemical compounds and FDA–approved drugs. After a series of counter-screens and testing in primary human CD19+ B cells, we identify 2 novel chemical inhibitors not previously implicated in inflammation or CD40-mediated NF-κB signaling. Our study demonstrates proof-of-concept that human genetics can be used to guide the development of phenotype-based, high-throughput small-molecule screens to identify potential novel therapies in complex traits such as RA

Toxicological aspects of the use of phenolic compounds in disease prevention

The consumption of a diet low in fat and enhanced by fruits and vegetables, especially rich in phenolic compounds, may reduce risks of many civilization diseases. The use of traditional medicines, mainly derived from plant sources, has become an attractive segment in the management of many lifestyle diseases. Concerning the application of dietary supplements (based on phenolic compounds) in common practice, the ongoing debate over possible adverse effects of certain nutrients and dosage levels is of great importance. Since dietary supplements are not classified as drugs, their potential toxicities and interactions have not been thoroughly evaluated. First, this review will introduce phenolic compounds as natural substances beneficial for human health. Second, the potential dual mode of action of flavonoids will be outlined. Third, potential deleterious impacts of phenolic compounds utilization will be discussed: pro-oxidant and estrogenic activities, cancerogenic potential, cytotoxic effects, apoptosis induction and flavonoid-drug interaction. Finally, future trends within the research field will be indicated