Diet and population trends of warthog in the Addo Elephant National Park

The common warthog (Phacochoerus africanus) has recently been recognised as an alien invasive species in the Eastern Cape and their population is increasing rapidly within the region. This then raises a concern as it is recorded that invasive species have negative impacts on both economic and ecological aspects of biodiversity in the receiving community. There are few studies that have documented the impacts of this species in the Eastern Cape. This study therefore seeks to determine the diet and population trends of this species in the Addo Elephant National Park (AENP) Main Camp and the results obtained can be correlated with previous studies and used to quantify the impacts of this species in the Eastern Cape. Warthogs are specialized grazers, it was therefore hypothesized that they will have potential impacts on grazing resources in the AENP Main Camp. The diet of common warthogs in the AENP Main Camp was determined through microhistological analysis of faecal material of samples collected seasonally. Population trends of common warthogs were determined in relation to the effects of predation on the population growth and population age structure of these animals within the AENP Main Camp. The results were compared with the findings for common warthog population growth and population age structure of Great Fish River Nature Reserve (GFRNR), a predator free population. It was hypothesized that the population growth rate of common warthogs in the AENP Main Camp before the introduction of lions and hyaenas in the AENP would not differ from the population growth rate of common warthogs in GFRNR. Secondly, the post-lion/hyaena common warthog population in the AENP Main Camp would differ from both the AENP Main Camp pre-lion/hyaena and GFRNR common warthog populations due to the presence of large predators in the AENP Main Camp. For population age structure it was hypothesized that the two populations, AENP Main Camp and GFRNR would differ because of predators increasing mortality. The diet of common warthogs was dominated by grass (87.4 percent), with Cynodon dactylon being the dominant grass species. Common warthogs in the AENP Main Camp should be properly managed because they have potential impact on grasses. The population growth of common warthogs in the AENP Main Camp showed no effect of predation, with population growth not differing from that of GFRNR. Predation had an effect on common warthog population age structure with AENP Main Camp and GFRNR populations differing, particularly in terms of adult structure. Thus, population growth of common warthogs in the AENP Main Camp is not determined by the presence of predators. These findings highlight the status of common warthog as an invasive species in the AENP Main Camp and potentially impacting on grass species and show little effects of top-down population regulation. These results show a need of monitoring common warthog population as well as their potential impacts in the area

Diet and population trends of warthog in the Addo Elephant National Park

The common warthog (Phacochoerus africanus) has recently been recognised as an alien invasive species in the Eastern Cape and their population is increasing rapidly within the region. This then raises a concern as it is recorded that invasive species have negative impacts on both economic and ecological aspects of biodiversity in the receiving community. There are few studies that have documented the impacts of this species in the Eastern Cape. This study therefore seeks to determine the diet and population trends of this species in the Addo Elephant National Park (AENP) Main Camp and the results obtained can be correlated with previous studies and used to quantify the impacts of this species in the Eastern Cape. Warthogs are specialized grazers, it was therefore hypothesized that they will have potential impacts on grazing resources in the AENP Main Camp. The diet of common warthogs in the AENP Main Camp was determined through microhistological analysis of faecal material of samples collected seasonally. Population trends of common warthogs were determined in relation to the effects of predation on the population growth and population age structure of these animals within the AENP Main Camp. The results were compared with the findings for common warthog population growth and population age structure of Great Fish River Nature Reserve (GFRNR), a predator free population. It was hypothesized that the population growth rate of common warthogs in the AENP Main Camp before the introduction of lions and hyaenas in the AENP would not differ from the population growth rate of common warthogs in GFRNR. Secondly, the post-lion/hyaena common warthog population in the AENP Main Camp would differ from both the AENP Main Camp pre-lion/hyaena and GFRNR common warthog populations due to the presence of large predators in the AENP Main Camp. For population age structure it was hypothesized that the two populations, AENP Main Camp and GFRNR would differ because of predators increasing mortality. The diet of common warthogs was dominated by grass (87.4 percent), with Cynodon dactylon being the dominant grass species. Common warthogs in the AENP Main Camp should be properly managed because they have potential impact on grasses. The population growth of common warthogs in the AENP Main Camp showed no effect of predation, with population growth not differing from that of GFRNR. Predation had an effect on common warthog population age structure with AENP Main Camp and GFRNR populations differing, particularly in terms of adult structure. Thus, population growth of common warthogs in the AENP Main Camp is not determined by the presence of predators. These findings highlight the status of common warthog as an invasive species in the AENP Main Camp and potentially impacting on grass species and show little effects of top-down population regulation. These results show a need of monitoring common warthog population as well as their potential impacts in the area

Lions do not change rivers: complex African savannas preclude top-down forcing by large carnivores

Trophic cascade theories such as the ‘behaviourally-mediated trophic cascade hypothesis’ (BMTCH), have mainstreamed as ecological tools for conserving biodiversity and restoring ecosystems. The BMTCH relies on indirect negative effects of large carnivores through suppression of mesocarnivore activity and habitat use. Importantly, effects of top carnivores on mesocarnivores varies over time and space, is dependent on the species involved, and local context. In South Africa, there are very few free-ranging carnivores, as populations are often restricted to enclosed reserves. While predator-proof fences reduce human-wildlife conflict, they also influence space use within communities. We used an enclosed reserve with a relatively full complement of carnivores to test the generality of the BMTCH in the African context. Using single-species, multi-season occupancy models we investigated the spatial dynamics of multiple carnivores. We also investigated spatial partitioning by vegetation type and temporal partitioning

Elephant effects on treefall and logfall highlight the absence of megaherbivores in coarse woody debris conceptual frameworks

Despite the importance of coarse woody debris (CWD) in woody ecosystems, conceptual frameworks of its dynamics currently exclude the role of the megaherbivores, focusing instead on the role of insects, disease, fire, wind and droughts. However, recognizing the ecological roles of the megaherbivores is one of the most urgent contemporary issues, particularly as their decline will likely have unanticipated outcomes at the ecosystem-level. Here we used sites with and without elephants in a semi-arid woodland ecosystem in South Africa to test whether elephants changed the quantitative and qualitative features of the CWD profile in relation to other wood producers. We show that elephants increased the abundance of CWD, influenced its quality by toppling mostly maturing trees, and changed the distribution of large woody items along gentle hillslopes. Surprisingly, and despite the recognized importance of both CWD and elephants for biodiversity, there is almost no published data on the role of elephants in shaping wood-living communities by changing fallen woody debris dynamics. Our study contributes towards developing a broader conceptual framework of CWD dynamics that includes the role of megaherbivores and provides a novel view of the ecological consequences of the loss of the Pleistocene megaherbivores. Our findings have important implications for CWD restoration efforts in transformed systems that previously supported megaherbivores

Elephant effects on treefall and logfall highlight the absence of megaherbivores in coarse woody debris conceptual frameworks

Despite the importance of coarse woody debris (CWD) in woody ecosystems, conceptual frameworks of its dynamics currently exclude the role of the megaherbivores, focusing instead on the role of insects, disease, fire, wind and droughts. However, recognizing the ecological roles of the megaherbivores is one of the most urgent contemporary issues, particularly as their decline will likely have unanticipated outcomes at the ecosystem-level. Here we used sites with and without elephants in a semi-arid woodland ecosystem in South Africa to test whether elephants changed the quantitative and qualitative features of the CWD profile in relation to other wood producers. We show that elephants increased the abundance of CWD, influenced its quality by toppling mostly maturing trees, and changed the distribution of large woody items along gentle hillslopes. Surprisingly, and despite the recognized importance of both CWD and elephants for biodiversity, there is almost no published data on the role of elephants in shaping wood-living communities by changing fallen woody debris dynamics. Our study contributes towards developing a broader conceptual framework of CWD dynamics that includes the role of megaherbivores and provides a novel view of the ecological consequences of the loss of the Pleistocene megaherbivores. Our findings have important implications for CWD restoration efforts in transformed systems that previously supported megaherbivores

Varying degrees of spatio-temporal partitioning among large carnivores in a fenced reserve, South Africa

CONTEXT : The spatio-temporal partitioning of large carnivores is influenced by interspecific competition and coexistence within small, enclosed reserves. Lions (Panthera leo), spotted hyaenas (Crocuta crocuta) and leopards (Panthera pardus) are the three largest African carnivores and have the greatest potential for intra-guild competition, particularly where space is limited. AIM : To investigate the spatio-temporal partitioning between lions, spotted hyaenas and leopards in a small (~75 000 ha), enclosed nature reserve, Madikwe Game Reserve (Madikwe), South Africa. METHODS : We deployed 110 camera traps (baited n = 55 and unbaited n = 55) across Madikwe from 26 August 2019 until 6 May 2020. Von Mises kernel density plots were used to investigate daily temporal partitioning among the three species. A multiple-species, single-season occupancy model was used to investigate daily space use patterns. KEY RESULTS : We found both temporal and spatial exclusion between lions and spotted hyaenas on Madikwe. However, no evidence was found of spatio-temporal partitioning between lions and leopards, and spotted hyaenas and leopards. COBCLUSIONS : Exploitative and interference competition on Madikwe might be high enough to warrant spatio-temporal partitioning between lions and spotted hyaenas to avoid the negative effects of intra-guild competition. Contrastingly, patterns observed between leopards and both lions and spotted hyaenas preclude the possibility of top-down control by superior carnivores. IMPLICATION : These findings call for an adaptive management approach, where both carnivore and prey species compositions are constantly monitored. Management strategies such as these will allow for the conservation of valuable resources (i.e. prey species) to ensure the persistence of large carnivore populations across African ecosystems.DATA AVAILABILTY : The data that support this study are available online at: https://doi-org.uplib.idm.oclc.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.16825624.The Smith May & Stanley Trust (held by the Eugène Marais Chair of Wildlife Management, University of Pretoria), The Oppenheimer Memorial Trust and National Research Foundation and Foundational Biodiversity Information Programme.https://www.publish.csiro.au/WRhj2022Mammal Research InstituteZoology and Entomolog

Error Correction Based Deep Neural Networks for Modeling and Predicting South African Wildlife–Vehicle Collision Data

The seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous factors (SARIMAX) has shown promising results in modeling small and sparse observed time-series data by capturing linear features using independent and dependent variables. Long short-term memory (LSTM) is a promising neural network for learning nonlinear dependence features from data. With the increase in wildlife roadkill patterns, the SARIMAX-only and LSTM-only models would likely fail to learn the precise endogenous and/or exogenous variables driven by this wildlife roadkill data. In this paper, we design and implement an error correction mathematical framework based on LSTM-only. The framework extracts features from the residual error generated by a SARIMAX-only model. The learned residual features correct the output time-series prediction of the SARIMAX-only model. The process combines SARIMAX-only predictions and LSTM-only residual predictions to obtain a hybrid SARIMAX-LSTM. The models are evaluated using South African wildlife–vehicle collision datasets, and the experiments show that compared to single models, SARIMAX-LSTM increases the accuracy of a taxon whose linear components outweigh the nonlinear ones. In addition, the hybrid model fails to outperform LSTM-only when a taxon contains more nonlinear components rather than linear components. Our assumption of the results is that the collected exogenous and endogenous data are insufficient, which limits the hybrid model’s performance since it cannot accurately detect seasonality on residuals from SARIMAX-only and minimize the SARIMAX-LSTM error. We conclude that the error correction framework should be preferred over single models in wildlife time-series modeling and predictions when a dataset contains more linear components. Adding more related data may improve the prediction performance of SARIMAX-LSTM

Lions do not change rivers: complex African savannas preclude top-down forcing by large carnivores

Trophic cascade theories such as the ‘behaviourally-mediated trophic cascade hypothesis’ (BMTCH), have mainstreamed as ecological tools for conserving biodiversity and restoring ecosystems. The BMTCH relies on indirect negative effects of large carnivores through suppression of mesocarnivore activity and habitat use. Importantly, effects of top carnivores on mesocarnivores varies over time and space, is dependent on the species involved, and local context. In South Africa, there are very few free-ranging carnivores, as populations are often restricted to enclosed reserves. While predator-proof fences reduce human-wildlife conflict, they also influence space use within communities. We used an enclosed reserve with a relatively full complement of carnivores to test the generality of the BMTCH in the African context. Using single-species, multi-season occupancy models we investigated the spatial dynamics of multiple carnivores. We also investigated spatial partitioning by vegetation type and temporal partitioning