92 research outputs found

    Fatores de risco associados aos problemas dos leitões no período pós-desmame.

    Get PDF
    Porque conhecer os fatores de risco?; Estudos desenvolvidos na Embrapa Suínos e Aves; Como usar esta tecnologia?bitstream/item/68657/1/DMeu-DiscoCNPSA-COM.-TEC.-226-98CNPSA-COM.-TEC.-226-98.pd

    A hierarchical network approach for modeling Rift Valley fever epidemics with applications in North America

    Get PDF
    Rift Valley fever is a vector-borne zoonotic disease which causes high morbidity and mortality in livestock. In the event Rift Valley fever virus is introduced to the United States or other non-endemic areas, understanding the potential patterns of spread and the areas at risk based on disease vectors and hosts will be vital for developing mitigation strategies. Presented here is a general network-based mathematical model of Rift Valley fever. Given a lack of empirical data on disease vector species and their vector competence, this discrete time epidemic model uses stochastic parameters following several PERT distributions to model the dynamic interactions between hosts and likely North American mosquito vectors in dispersed geographic areas. Spatial effects and climate factors are also addressed in the model. The model is applied to a large directed asymmetric network of 3,621 nodes based on actual farms to examine a hypothetical introduction to some counties of Texas, an important ranching area in the United States of America (U.S.A.). The nodes of the networks represent livestock farms, livestock markets, and feedlots, and the links represent cattle movements and mosquito diffusion between different nodes. Cattle and mosquito (Aedes and Culex) populations are treated with different contact networks to assess virus propagation. Rift Valley fever virus spread is assessed under various initial infection conditions (infected mosquito eggs, adults or cattle). A surprising trend is fewer initial infectious organisms result in a longer delay before a larger and more prolonged outbreak. The delay is likely caused by a lack of herd immunity while the infections expands geographically before becoming an epidemic involving many dispersed farms and animals almost simultaneously

    The Effect of the CO32- to Ca2+ Ion activity ratio on calcite precipitation kinetics and Sr2+ partitioning

    Get PDF
    <p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>A proposed strategy for immobilizing trace metals in the subsurface is to stimulate calcium carbonate precipitation and incorporate contaminants by co-precipitation. Such an approach will require injecting chemical amendments into the subsurface to generate supersaturated conditions that promote mineral precipitation. However, the formation of reactant mixing zones will create gradients in both the saturation state and ion activity ratios (i.e., <inline-formula><m:math name="1467-4866-13-1-i1" xmlns:m="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><m:msub><m:mrow><m:mi>a</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mi>C</m:mi><m:msup><m:mrow><m:msub><m:mrow><m:mi>O</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mn>3</m:mn></m:mrow></m:msub></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mn>2</m:mn><m:mo class="MathClass-bin">-</m:mo></m:mrow></m:msup></m:mrow></m:msub><m:mo class="MathClass-bin">/</m:mo><m:msub><m:mrow><m:mi>a</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mi>C</m:mi><m:msup><m:mrow><m:mi>a</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mn>2</m:mn><m:mo class="MathClass-bin">+</m:mo></m:mrow></m:msup></m:mrow></m:msub></m:math></inline-formula>). To better understand the effect of ion activity ratios on CaCO<sub>3 </sub>precipitation kinetics and Sr<sup>2+ </sup>co-precipitation, experiments were conducted under constant composition conditions where the supersaturation state (Ω) for calcite was held constant at 9.4, but the ion activity ratio <inline-formula><m:math name="1467-4866-13-1-i2" xmlns:m="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"><m:mrow><m:mo class="MathClass-open">(</m:mo><m:mrow><m:mi>r</m:mi><m:mo class="MathClass-rel">=</m:mo><m:msub><m:mrow><m:mi>a</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mi>C</m:mi><m:msup><m:mrow><m:msub><m:mrow><m:mi>O</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mn>3</m:mn></m:mrow></m:msub></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mn>2</m:mn><m:mo class="MathClass-bin">-</m:mo></m:mrow></m:msup></m:mrow></m:msub><m:mo class="MathClass-bin">/</m:mo><m:msub><m:mrow><m:mi>a</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mi>C</m:mi><m:msup><m:mrow><m:mi>a</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mn>2</m:mn><m:mo class="MathClass-bin">+</m:mo></m:mrow></m:msup></m:mrow></m:msub></m:mrow><m:mo class="MathClass-close">)</m:mo></m:mrow></m:math></inline-formula> was varied between 0.0032 and 4.15.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Calcite was the only phase observed, by XRD, at the end of the experiments. Precipitation rates increased from 41.3 ± 3.4 μmol m<sup>-2 </sup>min<sup>-1 </sup>at <it>r = </it>0.0315 to a maximum rate of 74.5 ± 4.8 μmol m<sup>-2 </sup>min<sup>-1 </sup>at <it>r = </it>0.306 followed by a decrease to 46.3 ± 9.6 μmol m<sup>-2 </sup>min<sup>-1 </sup>at <it>r </it>= 1.822. The trend was simulated using a simple mass transfer model for solute uptake at the calcite surface. However, precipitation rates at fixed saturation states also evolved with time. Precipitation rates accelerated for low <it>r </it>values but slowed for high <it>r </it>values. These trends may be related to changes in effective reactive surface area. The <inline-formula><m:math xmlns:m="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" name="1467-4866-13-1-i1"><m:msub><m:mrow><m:mi>a</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mi>C</m:mi><m:msup><m:mrow><m:msub><m:mrow><m:mi>O</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mn>3</m:mn></m:mrow></m:msub></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mn>2</m:mn><m:mo class="MathClass-bin">-</m:mo></m:mrow></m:msup></m:mrow></m:msub><m:mo class="MathClass-bin">/</m:mo><m:msub><m:mrow><m:mi>a</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mi>C</m:mi><m:msup><m:mrow><m:mi>a</m:mi></m:mrow><m:mrow><m:mn>2</m:mn><m:mo class="MathClass-bin">+</m:mo></m:mrow></m:msup></m:mrow></m:msub></m:math></inline-formula> ratios did not affect the distribution coefficient for Sr in calcite (D<sup>P</sup><sub>Sr</sub><sup>2+</sup>), apart from the indirect effect associated with the established positive correlation between D<sup>P</sup><sub>Sr</sub><sup>2+ </sup>and calcite precipitation rate.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>At a constant supersaturation state (Ω = 9.4), varying the ion activity ratio affects the calcite precipitation rate. This behavior is not predicted by affinity-based rate models. Furthermore, at the highest ion ratio tested, no precipitation was observed, while at the lowest ion ratio precipitation occurred immediately and valid rate measurements could not be made. The maximum measured precipitation rate was 2-fold greater than the minima, and occurred at a carbonate to calcium ion activity ratio of 0.306. These findings have implications for predicting the progress and cost of remediation operations involving enhanced calcite precipitation where mineral precipitation rates, and the spatial/temporal distribution of those rates, can have significant impacts on the mobility of contaminants.</p

    Factors Associated with High Prevalence of Intestinal Protozoan Infections among Patients in Sana'a City, Yemen

    Get PDF
    Intestinal protozoan diseases in Yemen are a significant health problem with prevalence ranging from 18% to 27%. The present study is a cross-sectional study aimed at determining the factors associated with the high prevalence of intestinal protozoan infections among patients seeking health care in Sana'a City, the capital of Yemen. (0.4%). Multivariate analysis using forward stepwise logistic regression based on intestinal protozoan infections showed that contact with animals (OR = 1.748, 95% CI = 1.168–2.617) and taking bath less than twice a week (OR = 1.820, 95% CI = 1.192–2.779) were significant risk factors of protozoan infections. infections being most common. Statistical analysis indicated that low personal hygiene and contact with animals were important predictors for intestinal protozoan infections. As highlighted in this study, in order to effectively reduce these infections, a multi-sectoral effort is needed. Preventive measures should include good hygienic practices, good animal husbandry practices, heightened provision of educational health programs, health services in all governorates including rural areas. Furthermore, it is also essential to find radical solutions to the recent water crises in Yemen

    The Impact of Human Conflict on the Genetics of Mastomys natalensis and Lassa Virus in West Africa

    Get PDF
    Environmental changes have been shown to play an important role in the emergence of new human diseases of zoonotic origin. The contribution of social factors to their spread, especially conflicts followed by mass movement of populations, has not been extensively investigated. Here we reveal the effects of civil war on the phylogeography of a zoonotic emerging infectious disease by concomitantly studying the population structure, evolution and demography of Lassa virus and its natural reservoir, the rodent Mastomys natalensis, in Guinea, West Africa. Analysis of nucleoprotein gene sequences enabled us to reconstruct the evolutionary history of Lassa virus, which appeared 750 to 900 years ago in Nigeria and only recently spread across western Africa (170 years ago). Bayesian demographic inferences revealed that both the host and the virus populations have gone recently through severe genetic bottlenecks. The timing of these events matches civil war-related mass movements of refugees and accompanying environmental degradation. Forest and habitat destruction and human predation of the natural reservoir are likely explanations for the sharp decline observed in the rodent populations, the consequent virus population decline, and the coincident increased incidence of Lassa fever in these regions. Interestingly, we were also able to detect a similar pattern in Nigeria coinciding with the Biafra war. Our findings show that anthropogenic factors may profoundly impact the population genetics of a virus and its reservoir within the context of an emerging infectious disease
    corecore