On detecting jumps in time series: Nonparametric setting

Motivated by applications in statistical quality control and signal analysis, we propose a sequential detection procedure which is designed to detect structural changes, in particular jumps, immediately. This is achieved by modifying a median filter by appropriate kernel-based jump preserving weights (shrinking) and a clipping mechanism. We aim at both robustness and immediate detection of jumps. Whereas the median approach ensures robust smooths when there are no jumps, the modification ensure immediate reaction to jumps. For general clipping location estimators we show that the procedure can detect jumps of certain heights with no delay, even when applied to Banach space valued data. For shrinking medians we provide an asymptotic upper bound for the normed delay. The finite sample properties are studied by simulations which show that our proposal outperforms classical procedures in certain respects. --Edge Detection,Nonparametric Estimation,Quality Control,Statistical Process Control

On Detecting Jumps in Time Series - Nonparametric Setting

Motivated by applications in statistical quality control and signal analysis, we propose a sequential detection procedure which is designed to detect structural changes, in particular jumps, immediately. This is achieved by modifying a median filter by appropriate kernel-based jump preserving weights (shrinking) and a clipping mechanism. We aim at both robustness and immediate detection of jumps. Whereas the median approach ensures robust smooths when there are no jumps, the modification ensure immediate reaction to jumps. For general clipping location estimators we show that the procedure can detect jumps of certain heights with no delay, even when applied to Banach space valued data. For shrinking medians we provide an asymptotic upper bound for the normed delay. The finite sample properties are studied by simulations which show that our proposal outperforms classical procedures in certain respects

Sex- and age-related differences in the management and outcomes of chronic heart failure: an analysis of patients from the ESC HFA EORP Heart Failure Long-Term Registry

Aims: This study aimed to assess age- and sex-related differences in management and 1-year risk for all-cause mortality and hospitalization in chronic heart failure (HF) patients. Methods and results: Of 16 354 patients included in the European Society of Cardiology Heart Failure Long-Term Registry, 9428 chronic HF patients were analysed [median age: 66 years; 28.5% women; mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 37%]. Rates of use of guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) were high (angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers, beta-blockers and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists: 85.7%, 88.7% and 58.8%, respectively). Crude GDMT utilization rates were lower in women than in men (all differences: P\ua0 64 0.001), and GDMT use became lower with ageing in both sexes, at baseline and at 1-year follow-up. Sex was not an independent predictor of GDMT prescription; however, age >75 years was a significant predictor of GDMT underutilization. Rates of all-cause mortality were lower in women than in men (7.1% vs. 8.7%; P\ua0=\ua00.015), as were rates of all-cause hospitalization (21.9% vs. 27.3%; P\ua075 years. Conclusions: There was a decline in GDMT use with advanced age in both sexes. Sex was not an independent predictor of GDMT or adverse outcomes. However, age >75 years independently predicted lower GDMT use and higher all-cause mortality in patients with LVEF 6445%

Acute heart failure congestion and perfusion status – impact of the clinical classification on in-hospital and long-term outcomes; insights from the ESC-EORP-HFA Heart Failure Long-Term Registry

Aims: Classification of acute heart failure (AHF) patients into four clinical profiles defined by evidence of congestion and perfusion is advocated by the 2016 European Society of Cardiology (ESC)guidelines. Based on the ESC-EORP-HFA Heart Failure Long-Term Registry, we compared differences in baseline characteristics, in-hospital management and outcomes among congestion/perfusion profiles using this classification. Methods and results: We included 7865 AHF patients classified at admission as: ‘dry-warm’ (9.9%), ‘wet-warm’ (69.9%), ‘wet-cold’ (19.8%) and ‘dry-cold’ (0.4%). These groups differed significantly in terms of baseline characteristics, in-hospital management and outcomes. In-hospital mortality was 2.0% in ‘dry-warm’, 3.8% in ‘wet-warm’, 9.1% in ‘dry-cold’ and 12.1% in ‘wet-cold’ patients. Based on clinical classification at admission, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for 1-year mortality were: ‘wet-warm’ vs. ‘dry-warm’ 1.78 (1.43–2.21) and ‘wet-cold’ vs. ‘wet-warm’ 1.33 (1.19–1.48). For profiles resulting from discharge classification, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for 1-year mortality were: ‘wet-warm’ vs. ‘dry-warm’ 1.46 (1.31–1.63) and ‘wet-cold’ vs. ‘wet-warm’ 2.20 (1.89–2.56). Among patients discharged alive, 30.9% had residual congestion, and these patients had higher 1-year mortality compared to patients discharged without congestion (28.0 vs. 18.5%). Tricuspid regurgitation, diabetes, anaemia and high New York Heart Association class were independently associated with higher risk of congestion at discharge, while beta-blockers at admission, de novo heart failure, or any cardiovascular procedure during hospitalization were associated with lower risk of residual congestion. Conclusion: Classification based on congestion/perfusion status provides clinically relevant information at hospital admission and discharge. A better understanding of the clinical course of the two entities could play an important role towards the implementation of targeted strategies that may improve outcomes. © 2019 The Authors. European Journal of Heart Failure © 2019 European Society of Cardiolog

Are hospitalized or ambulatory patients with heart failure treated in accordance with European Society of Cardiology guidelines? Evidence from 12 440 patients of the ESC Heart Failure Long-Term Registry.

AIMS: To evaluate how recommendations of European guidelines regarding pharmacological and non-pharmacological treatments for heart failure (HF) are adopted in clinical practice. METHODS AND RESULTS: The ESC-HF Long-Term Registry is a prospective, observational study conducted in 211 Cardiology Centres of 21 European and Mediterranean countries, members of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). From May 2011 to April 2013, a total of 12 440 patients were enrolled, 40.5% with acute HF and 59.5% with chronic HF. Intravenous treatments for acute HF were heterogeneously administered, irrespective of guideline recommendations. In chronic HF, with reduced EF, renin-angiotensin system (RAS) blockers, beta-blockers, and mineralocorticoid antagonists (MRAs) were used in 92.2, 92.7, and 67.0% of patients, respectively. When reasons for non-adherence were considered, the real rate of undertreatment accounted for 3.2, 2.3, and 5.4% of the cases, respectively. About 30% of patients received the target dosage of these drugs, but a documented reason for not achieving the target dosage was reported in almost two-thirds of them. The more relevant reasons for non-implantation of a device, when clinically indicated, were related to doctor uncertainties on the indication, patient refusal, or logistical/cost issues. CONCLUSION: This pan-European registry shows that, while in patients with acute HF, a large heterogeneity of treatments exists, drug treatment of chronic HF can be considered largely adherent to recommendations of current guidelines, when the reasons for non-adherence are taken into account. Observations regarding the real possibility to adhere fully to current guidelines in daily clinical practice should be seriously considered when clinical practice guidelines have to be written

Acute heart failure congestion and perfusion status – impact of the clinical classification on in-hospital and long-term outcomes; insights from the ESC-EORP-HFA Heart Failure Long-Term Registry

none614siAims: Classification of acute heart failure (AHF) patients into four clinical profiles defined by evidence of congestion and perfusion is advocated by the 2016 European Society of Cardiology (ESC)guidelines. Based on the ESC-EORP-HFA Heart Failure Long-Term Registry, we compared differences in baseline characteristics, in-hospital management and outcomes among congestion/perfusion profiles using this classification. Methods and results: We included 7865 AHF patients classified at admission as: ‘dry-warm’ (9.9%), ‘wet-warm’ (69.9%), ‘wet-cold’ (19.8%) and ‘dry-cold’ (0.4%). These groups differed significantly in terms of baseline characteristics, in-hospital management and outcomes. In-hospital mortality was 2.0% in ‘dry-warm’, 3.8% in ‘wet-warm’, 9.1% in ‘dry-cold’ and 12.1% in ‘wet-cold’ patients. Based on clinical classification at admission, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for 1-year mortality were: ‘wet-warm’ vs. ‘dry-warm’ 1.78 (1.43–2.21) and ‘wet-cold’ vs. ‘wet-warm’ 1.33 (1.19–1.48). For profiles resulting from discharge classification, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for 1-year mortality were: ‘wet-warm’ vs. ‘dry-warm’ 1.46 (1.31–1.63) and ‘wet-cold’ vs. ‘wet-warm’ 2.20 (1.89–2.56). Among patients discharged alive, 30.9% had residual congestion, and these patients had higher 1-year mortality compared to patients discharged without congestion (28.0 vs. 18.5%). Tricuspid regurgitation, diabetes, anaemia and high New York Heart Association class were independently associated with higher risk of congestion at discharge, while beta-blockers at admission, de novo heart failure, or any cardiovascular procedure during hospitalization were associated with lower risk of residual congestion. Conclusion: Classification based on congestion/perfusion status provides clinically relevant information at hospital admission and discharge. A better understanding of the clinical course of the two entities could play an important role towards the implementation of targeted strategies that may improve outcomes.noneChioncel O.; Mebazaa A.; Maggioni A.P.; Harjola V.-P.; Rosano G.; Laroche C.; Piepoli M.F.; Crespo-Leiro M.G.; Lainscak M.; Ponikowski P.; Filippatos G.; Ruschitzka F.; Seferovic P.; Coats A.J.S.; Lund L.H.; Auer J.; Ablasser K.; Fruhwald F.; Dolze T.; Brandner K.; Gstrein S.; Poelzl G.; Moertl D.; Reiter S.; Podczeck-Schweighofer A.; Muslibegovic A.; Vasilj M.; Fazlibegovic E.; Cesko M.; Zelenika D.; Palic B.; Pravdic D.; Cuk D.; Vitlianova K.; Katova T.; Velikov T.; Kurteva T.; Gatzov P.; Kamenova D.; Antova M.; Sirakova V.; Krejci J.; Mikolaskova M.; Spinar J.; Krupicka J.; Malek F.; Hegarova M.; Lazarova M.; Monhart Z.; Hassanein M.; Sobhy M.; El Messiry F.; El Shazly A.H.; Elrakshy Y.; Youssef A.; Moneim A.A.; Noamany M.; Reda A.; Dayem T.K.A.; Farag N.; Halawa S.I.; Hamid M.A.; Said K.; Saleh A.; Ebeid H.; Hanna R.; Aziz R.; Louis O.; Enen M.A.; Ibrahim B.S.; Nasr G.; Elbahry A.; Sobhy H.; Ashmawy M.; Gouda M.; Aboleineen W.; Bernard Y.; Luporsi P.; Meneveau N.; Pillot M.; Morel M.; Seronde M.-F.; Schiele F.; Briand F.; Delahaye F.; Damy T.; Eicher J.-C.; de Groote P.; Fertin M.; Lamblin N.; Isnard R.; Lefol C.; Thevenin S.; Hagege A.; Jondeau G.; Logeart D.; Le Marcis V.; Ly J.-F.; Coisne D.; Lequeux B.; Le Moal V.; Mascle S.; Lotton P.; Behar N.; Donal E.; Thebault C.; Ridard C.; Reynaud A.; Basquin A.; Bauer F.; Codjia R.; Galinier M.; Tourikis P.; Stavroula M.; Tousoulis D.; Stefanadis C.; Chrysohoou C.; Kotrogiannis I.; Matzaraki V.; Dimitroula T.; Karavidas A.; Tsitsinakis G.; Kapelios C.; Nanas J.; Kampouri H.; Nana E.; Kaldara E.; Eugenidou A.; Vardas P.; Saloustros I.; Patrianakos A.; Tsaknakis T.; Evangelou S.; Nikoloulis N.; Tziourganou H.; Tsaroucha A.; Papadopoulou A.; Douras A.; Polgar L.; Merkely B.; Kosztin A.; Nyolczas N.; Nagy A.C.; Halmosi R.; Elber J.; Alony I.; Shotan A.; Fuhrmann A.V.; Amir O.; Romano S.; Marcon S.; Penco M.; Di Mauro M.; Lemme E.; Carubelli V.; Rovetta R.; Metra M.; Bulgari M.; Quinzani F.; Lombardi C.; Bosi S.; Schiavina G.; Squeri A.; Barbieri A.; Di Tano G.; Pirelli S.; Ferrari R.; Fucili A.; Passero T.; Musio S.; Di Biase M.; Correale M.; Salvemini G.; Brognoli S.; Zanelli E.; Giordano A.; Agostoni P.; Italiano G.; Salvioni E.; Copelli S.; Modena M.G.; Reggianini L.; Valenti C.; Olaru A.; Bandino S.; Deidda M.; Mercuro G.; Dessalvi C.C.; Marino P.N.; Di Ruocco M.V.; Sartori C.; Piccinino C.; Parrinello G.; Licata G.; Torres D.; Giambanco S.; Busalacchi S.; Arrotti S.; Novo S.; Inciardi R.M.; Pieri P.; Chirco P.R.; Galifi M.A.; Teresi G.; Buccheri D.; Minacapelli A.; Veniani M.; Frisinghelli A.; Priori S.G.; Cattaneo S.; Opasich C.; Gualco A.; Pagliaro M.; Mancone M.; Fedele F.; Cinque A.; Vellini M.; Scarfo I.; Romeo F.; Ferraiuolo F.; Sergi D.; Anselmi M.; Melandri F.; Leci E.; Iori E.; Bovolo V.; Pidello S.; Frea S.; Bergerone S.; Botta M.; Canavosio F.G.; Gaita F.; Merlo M.; Cinquetti M.; Sinagra G.; Ramani F.; Fabris E.; Stolfo D.; Artico J.; Miani D.; Fresco C.; Daneluzzi C.; Proclemer A.; Cicoira M.; Zanolla L.; Marchese G.; Torelli F.; Vassanelli C.; Voronina N.; Erglis A.; Tamakauskas V.; Smalinskas V.; Karaliute R.; Petraskiene I.; Kazakauskaite E.; Rumbinaite E.; Kavoliuniene A.; Vysniauskas V.; Brazyte-Ramanauskiene R.; Petraskiene D.; Stankala S.; Switala P.; Juszczyk Z.; Sinkiewicz W.; Gilewski W.; Pietrzak J.; Orzel T.; Kasztelowicz P.; Kardaszewicz P.; Lazorko-Piega M.; Gabryel J.; Mosakowska K.; Bellwon J.; Rynkiewicz A.; Raczak G.; Lewicka E.; Dabrowska-Kugacka A.; Bartkowiak R.; Sosnowska-Pasiarska B.; Wozakowska-Kaplon B.; Krzeminski A.; Zabojszcz M.; Mirek-Bryniarska E.; Grzegorzko A.; Bury K.; Nessler J.; Zalewski J.; Furman A.; Broncel M.; Poliwczak A.; Bala A.; Zycinski P.; Rudzinska M.; Jankowski L.; Kasprzak J.D.; Michalak L.; Soska K.W.; Drozdz J.; Huziuk I.; Retwinski A.; Flis P.; Weglarz J.; Bodys A.; Grajek S.; Kaluzna-Oleksy M.; Straburzynska-Migaj E.; Dankowski R.; Szymanowska K.; Grabia J.; Szyszka A.; Nowicka A.; Samcik M.; Wolniewicz L.; Baczynska K.; Komorowska K.; Poprawa I.; Komorowska E.; Sajnaga D.; Zolbach A.; Dudzik-Plocica A.; Abdulkarim A.-F.; Lauko-Rachocka A.; Kaminski L.; Kostka A.; Cichy A.; Ruszkowski P.; Splawski M.; Fitas G.; Szymczyk A.; Serwicka A.; Fiega A.; Zysko D.; Krysiak W.; Szabowski S.; Skorek E.; Pruszczyk P.; Bienias P.; Ciurzynski M.; Welnicki M.; Mamcarz A.; Folga A.; Zielinski T.; Rywik T.; Leszek P.; Sobieszczanska-Malek M.; Piotrowska M.; Kozar-Kaminska K.; Komuda K.; Wisniewska J.; Tarnowska A.; Balsam P.; Marchel M.; Opolski G.; Kaplon-Cieslicka A.; Gil R.J.; Mozenska O.; Byczkowska K.; Gil K.; Pawlak A.; Michalek A.; Krzesinski P.; Piotrowicz K.; Uzieblo-Zyczkowska B.; Stanczyk A.; Skrobowski A.; Ponikowski P.; Jankowska E.; Rozentryt P.; Polonski L.; Gadula-Gacek E.; Nowalany-Kozielska E.; Kuczaj A.; Kalarus Z.; Szulik M.; Przybylska K.; Klys J.; Prokop-Lewicka G.; Kleinrok A.; Aguiar C.T.; Ventosa A.; Pereira S.; Faria R.; Chin J.; De Jesus I.; Santos R.; Silva P.; Moreno N.; Queiros C.; Lourenco C.; Pereira A.; Castro A.; Andrade A.; Guimaraes T.O.; Martins S.; Placido R.; Lima G.; Brito D.; Francisco A.R.; Cardiga R.; Proenca M.; Araujo I.; Marques F.; Fonseca C.; Moura B.; Leite S.; Campelo M.; Silva-Cardoso J.; Rodrigues J.; Rangel I.; Martins E.; Correia A.S.; Peres M.; Marta L.; da Silva G.F.; Severino D.; Durao D.; Leao S.; Magalhaes P.; Moreira I.; Cordeiro A.F.; Ferreira C.; Araujo C.; Ferreira A.; Baptista A.; Radoi M.; Bicescu G.; Vinereanu D.; Sinescu C.-J.; Macarie C.; Popescu R.; Daha I.; Dan G.-A.; Stanescu C.; Dan A.; Craiu E.; Nechita E.; Aursulesei V.; Christodorescu R.; Otasevic P.; Seferovic P.M.; Simeunovic D.; Ristic A.D.; Celic V.; Pavlovic-Kleut M.; Lazic J.S.; Stojcevski B.; Pencic B.; Stevanovic A.; Andric A.; Iric-Cupic V.; Jovic M.; Davidovic G.; Milanov S.; Mitic V.; Atanaskovic V.; Antic S.; Pavlovic M.; Stanojevic D.; Stoickov V.; Ilic S.; Ilic M.D.; Petrovic D.; Stojsic S.; Kecojevic S.; Dodic S.; Adic N.C.; Cankovic M.; Stojiljkovic J.; Mihajlovic B.; Radin A.; Radovanovic S.; Krotin M.; Klabnik A.; Goncalvesova E.; Pernicky M.; Murin J.; Kovar F.; Kmec J.; Semjanova H.; Strasek M.; Iskra M.S.; Ravnikar T.; Suligoj N.C.; Komel J.; Fras Z.; Jug B.; Glavic T.; Losic R.; Bombek M.; Krajnc I.; Krunic B.; Horvat S.; Kovac D.; Rajtman D.; Cencic V.; Letonja M.; Winkler R.; Valentincic M.; Melihen-Bartolic C.; Bartolic A.; Vrckovnik M.P.; Kladnik M.; Pusnik C.S.; Marolt A.; Klen J.; Drnovsek B.; Leskovar B.; Anguita M.J.F.; Page J.C.G.; Martinez F.M.S.; Andres J.; Bayes-Genis A.; Mirabet S.; Mendez A.; Garcia-Cosio L.; Roig E.; Leon V.; Gonzalez-Costello J.; Muntane G.; Garay A.; Alcade-Martinez V.; Fernandez S.L.; Rivera-Lopez R.; Puga-Martinez M.; Fernandez-Alvarez M.; Serrano-Martinez J.L.; Crespo-Leiro M.; Grille-Cancela Z.; Marzoa-Rivas R.; Blanco-Canosa P.; Paniagua-Martin M.J.; Barge-Caballero E.; Cerdena I.L.; Baldomero I.F.H.; Padron A.L.; Rosillo S.O.; Gonzalez-Gallarza R.D.; Montanes O.S.; Manjavacas A.M.I.; Conde A.C.; Araujo A.; Soria T.; Garcia-Pavia P.; Gomez-Bueno M.; Cobo-Marcos M.; Alonso-Pulpon L.; Cubero J.S.; Sayago I.; Gonzalez-Segovia A.; Briceno A.; Subias P.E.; Hernandez M.V.; Cano M.J.R.; Sanchez M.A.G.; Jimenez J.F.D.; Garrido-Lestache E.B.; Pinilla J.M.G.; de la Villa B.G.; Sahuquillo A.; Marques R.B.; Calvo F.T.; Perez-Martinez M.T.; Gracia-Rodenas M.R.; Garrido-Bravo I.P.; Pastor-Perez F.; Pascual-Figal D.A.; Molina B.D.; Orus J.; Gonzalo F.E.; Bertomeu V.; Valero R.; Martinez-Abellan R.; Quiles J.; Rodrigez-Ortega J.A.; Mateo I.; ElAmrani A.; Fernandez-Vivancos C.; Valero D.B.; Almenar-Bonet L.; Sanchez-Lazaro I.J.; Marques-Sule E.; Facila-Rubio L.; Perez-Silvestre J.; Garcia-Gonzalez P.; Ridocci-Soriano F.; Garcia-Escriva D.; Pellicer-Cabo A.; de la Fuente Galan L.; Diaz J.L.; Platero A.R.; Arias J.C.; Blasco-Peiro T.; Julve M.S.; Sanchez-Insa E.; Aured-Guallar C.; Portoles-Ocampo A.; Melin M.; Hagglund E.; Stenberg A.; Lindahl I.-M.; Asserlund B.; Olsson L.; Dahlstrom U.; Afzelius M.; Karlstrom P.; Tengvall L.; Wiklund P.-A.; Olsson B.; Kalayci S.; Temizhan A.; Cavusoglu Y.; Gencer E.; Yilmaz M.B.; Gunes H.Chioncel, O.; Mebazaa, A.; Maggioni, A. P.; Harjola, V. -P.; Rosano, G.; Laroche, C.; Piepoli, M. F.; Crespo-Leiro, M. G.; Lainscak, M.; Ponikowski, P.; Filippatos, G.; Ruschitzka, F.; Seferovic, P.; Coats, A. J. S.; Lund, L. H.; Auer, J.; Ablasser, K.; Fruhwald, F.; Dolze, T.; Brandner, K.; Gstrein, S.; Poelzl, G.; Moertl, D.; Reiter, S.; Podczeck-Schweighofer, A.; Muslibegovic, A.; Vasilj, M.; Fazlibegovic, E.; Cesko, M.; Zelenika, D.; Palic, B.; Pravdic, D.; Cuk, D.; Vitlianova, K.; Katova, T.; Velikov, T.; Kurteva, T.; Gatzov, P.; Kamenova, D.; Antova, M.; Sirakova, V.; Krejci, J.; Mikolaskova, M.; Spinar, J.; Krupicka, J.; Malek, F.; Hegarova, M.; Lazarova, M.; Monhart, Z.; Hassanein, M.; Sobhy, M.; El Messiry, F.; El Shazly, A. H.; Elrakshy, Y.; Youssef, A.; Moneim, A. A.; Noamany, M.; Reda, A.; Dayem, T. K. A.; Farag, N.; Halawa, S. I.; Hamid, M. A.; Said, K.; Saleh, A.; Ebeid, H.; Hanna, R.; Aziz, R.; Louis, O.; Enen, M. A.; Ibrahim, B. S.; Nasr, G.; Elbahry, A.; Sobhy, H.; Ashmawy, M.; Gouda, M.; Aboleineen, W.; Bernard, Y.; Luporsi, P.; Meneveau, N.; Pillot, M.; Morel, M.; Seronde, M. -F.; Schiele, F.; Briand, F.; Delahaye, F.; Damy, T.; Eicher, J. -C.; de Groote, P.; Fertin, M.; Lamblin, N.; Isnard, R.; Lefol, C.; Thevenin, S.; Hagege, A.; Jondeau, G.; Logeart, D.; Le Marcis, V.; Ly, J. -F.; Coisne, D.; Lequeux, B.; Le Moal, V.; Mascle, S.; Lotton, P.; Behar, N.; Donal, E.; Thebault, C.; Ridard, C.; Reynaud, A.; Basquin, A.; Bauer, F.; Codjia, R.; Galinier, M.; Tourikis, P.; Stavroula, M.; Tousoulis, D.; Stefanadis, C.; Chrysohoou, C.; Kotrogiannis, I.; Matzaraki, V.; Dimitroula, T.; Karavidas, A.; Tsitsinakis, G.; Kapelios, C.; Nanas, J.; Kampouri, H.; Nana, E.; Kaldara, E.; Eugenidou, A.; Vardas, P.; Saloustros, I.; Patrianakos, A.; Tsaknakis, T.; Evangelou, S.; Nikoloulis, N.; Tziourganou, H.; Tsaroucha, A.; Papadopoulou, A.; Douras, A.; Polgar, L.; Merkely, B.; Kosztin, A.; Nyolczas, N.; Nagy, A. C.; Halmosi, R.; Elber, J.; Alony, I.; Shotan, A.; Fuhrmann, A. V.; Amir, O.; Romano, S.; Marcon, S.; Penco, M.; Di Mauro, M.; Lemme, E.; Carubelli, V.; Rovetta, R.; Metra, M.; Bulgari, M.; Quinzani, F.; Lombardi, C.; Bosi, S.; Schiavina, G.; Squeri, A.; Barbieri, A.; Di Tano, G.; Pirelli, S.; Ferrari, R.; Fucili, A.; Passero, T.; Musio, S.; Di Biase, M.; Correale, M.; Salvemini, G.; Brognoli, S.; Zanelli, E.; Giordano, A.; Agostoni, P.; Italiano, G.; Salvioni, E.; Copelli, S.; Modena, M. G.; Reggianini, L.; Valenti, C.; Olaru, A.; Bandino, S.; Deidda, M.; Mercuro, G.; Dessalvi, C. C.; Marino, P. N.; Di Ruocco, M. V.; Sartori, C.; Piccinino, C.; Parrinello, G.; Licata, G.; Torres, D.; Giambanco, S.; Busalacchi, S.; Arrotti, S.; Novo, S.; Inciardi, R. M.; Pieri, P.; Chirco, P. R.; Galifi, M. A.; Teresi, G.; Buccheri, D.; Minacapelli, A.; Veniani, M.; Frisinghelli, A.; Priori, S. G.; Cattaneo, S.; Opasich, C.; Gualco, A.; Pagliaro, M.; Mancone, M.; Fedele, F.; Cinque, A.; Vellini, M.; Scarfo, I.; Romeo, F.; Ferraiuolo, F.; Sergi, D.; Anselmi, M.; Melandri, F.; Leci, E.; Iori, E.; Bovolo, V.; Pidello, S.; Frea, S.; Bergerone, S.; Botta, M.; Canavosio, F. G.; Gaita, F.; Merlo, M.; Cinquetti, M.; Sinagra, G.; Ramani, F.; Fabris, E.; Stolfo, D.; Artico, J.; Miani, D.; Fresco, C.; Daneluzzi, C.; Proclemer, A.; Cicoira, M.; Zanolla, L.; Marchese, G.; Torelli, F.; Vassanelli, C.; Voronina, N.; Erglis, A.; Tamakauskas, V.; Smalinskas, V.; Karaliute, R.; Petraskiene, I.; Kazakauskaite, E.; Rumbinaite, E.; Kavoliuniene, A.; Vysniauskas, V.; Brazyte-Ramanauskiene, R.; Petraskiene, D.; Stankala, S.; Switala, P.; Juszczyk, Z.; Sinkiewicz, W.; Gilewski, W.; Pietrzak, J.; Orzel, T.; Kasztelowicz, P.; Kardaszewicz, P.; Lazorko-Piega, M.; Gabryel, J.; Mosakowska, K.; Bellwon, J.; Rynkiewicz, A.; Raczak, G.; Lewicka, E.; Dabrowska-Kugacka, A.; Bartkowiak, R.; Sosnowska-Pasiarska, B.; Wozakowska-Kaplon, B.; Krzeminski, A.; Zabojszcz, M.; Mirek-Bryniarska, E.; Grzegorzko, A.; Bury, K.; Nessler, J.; Zalewski, J.; Furman, A.; Broncel, M.; Poliwczak, A.; Bala, A.; Zycinski, P.; Rudzinska, M.; Jankowski, L.; Kasprzak, J. D.; Michalak, L.; Soska, K. W.; Drozdz, J.; Huziuk, I.; Retwinski, A.; Flis, P.; Weglarz, J.; Bodys, A.; Grajek, S.; Kaluzna-Oleksy, M.; Straburzynska-Migaj, E.; Dankowski, R.; Szymanowska, K.; Grabia, J.; Szyszka, A.; Nowicka, A.; Samcik, M.; Wolniewicz, L.; Baczynska, K.; Komorowska, K.; Poprawa, I.; Komorowska, E.; Sajnaga, D.; Zolbach, A.; Dudzik-Plocica, A.; Abdulkarim, A. -F.; Lauko-Rachocka, A.; Kaminski, L.; Kostka, A.; Cichy, A.; Ruszkowski, P.; Splawski, M.; Fitas, G.; Szymczyk, A.; Serwicka, A.; Fiega, A.; Zysko, D.; Krysiak, W.; Szabowski, S.; Skorek, E.; Pruszczyk, P.; Bienias, P.; Ciurzynski, M.; Welnicki, M.; Mamcarz, A.; Folga, A.; Zielinski, T.; Rywik, T.; Leszek, P.; Sobieszczanska-Malek, M.; Piotrowska, M.; Kozar-Kaminska, K.; Komuda, K.; Wisniewska, J.; Tarnowska, A.; Balsam, P.; Marchel, M.; Opolski, G.; Kaplon-Cieslicka, A.; Gil, R. J.; Mozenska, O.; Byczkowska, K.; Gil, K.; Pawlak, A.; Michalek, A.; Krzesinski, P.; Piotrowicz, K.; Uzieblo-Zyczkowska, B.; Stanczyk, A.; Skrobowski, A.; Ponikowski, P.; Jankowska, E.; Rozentryt, P.; Polonski, L.; Gadula-Gacek, E.; Nowalany-Kozielska, E.; Kuczaj, A.; Kalarus, Z.; Szulik, M.; Przybylska, K.; Klys, J.; Prokop-Lewicka, G.; Kleinrok, A.; Aguiar, C. T.; Ventosa, A.; Pereira, S.; Faria, R.; Chin, J.; De Jesus, I.; Santos, R.; Silva, P.; Moreno, N.; Queiros, C.; Lourenco, C.; Pereira, A.; Castro, A.; Andrade, A.; Guimaraes, T. O.; Martins, S.; Placido, R.; Lima, G.; Brito, D.; Francisco, A. R.; Cardiga, R.; Proenca, M.; Araujo, I.; Marques, F.; Fonseca, C.; Moura, B.; Leite, S.; Campelo, M.; Silva-Cardoso, J.; Rodrigues, J.; Rangel, I.; Martins, E.; Correia, A. S.; Peres, M.; Marta, L.; da Silva, G. F.; Severino, D.; Durao, D.; Leao, S.; Magalhaes, P.; Moreira, I.; Cordeiro, A. F.; Ferreira, C.; Araujo, C.; Ferreira, A.; Baptista, A.; Radoi, M.; Bicescu, G.; Vinereanu, D.; Sinescu, C. -J.; Macarie, C.; Popescu, R.; Daha, I.; Dan, G. -A.; Stanescu, C.; Dan, A.; Craiu, E.; Nechita, E.; Aursulesei, V.; Christodorescu, R.; Otasevic, P.; Seferovic, P. M.; Simeunovic, D.; Ristic, A. D.; Celic, V.; Pavlovic-Kleut, M.; Lazic, J. S.; Stojcevski, B.; Pencic, B.; Stevanovic, A.; Andric, A.; Iric-Cupic, V.; Jovic, M.; Davidovic, G.; Milanov, S.; Mitic, V.; Atanaskovic, V.; Antic, S.; Pavlovic, M.; Stanojevic, D.; Stoickov, V.; Ilic, S.; Ilic, M. D.; Petrovic, D.; Stojsic, S.; Kecojevic, S.; Dodic, S.; Adic, N. C.; Cankovic, M.; Stojiljkovic, J.; Mihajlovic, B.; Radin, A.; Radovanovic, S.; Krotin, M.; Klabnik, A.; Goncalvesova, E.; Pernicky, M.; Murin, J.; Kovar, F.; Kmec, J.; Semjanova, H.; Strasek, M.; Iskra, M. S.; Ravnikar, T.; Suligoj, N. C.; Komel, J.; Fras, Z.; Jug, B.; Glavic, T.; Losic, R.; Bombek, M.; Krajnc, I.; Krunic, B.; Horvat, S.; Kovac, D.; Rajtman, D.; Cencic, V.; Letonja, M.; Winkler, R.; Valentincic, M.; Melihen-Bartolic, C.; Bartolic, A.; Vrckovnik, M. P.; Kladnik, M.; Pusnik, C. S.; Marolt, A.; Klen, J.; Drnovsek, B.; Leskovar, B.; Anguita, M. J. F.; Page, J. C. G.; Martinez, F. M. S.; Andres, J.; Bayes-Genis, A.; Mirabet, S.; Mendez, A.; Garcia-Cosio, L.; Roig, E.; Leon, V.; Gonzalez-Costello, J.; Muntane, G.; Garay, A.; Alcade-Martinez, V.; Fernandez, S. L.; Rivera-Lopez, R.; Puga-Martinez, M.; Fernandez-Alvarez, M.; Serrano-Martinez, J. L.; Crespo-Leiro, M.; Grille-Cancela, Z.; Marzoa-Rivas, R.; Blanco-Canosa, P.; Paniagua-Martin, M. J.; Barge-Caballero, E.; Cerdena, I. L.; Baldomero, I. F. H.; Padron, A. L.; Rosillo, S. O.; Gonzalez-Gallarza, R. D.; Montanes, O. S.; Manjavacas, A. M. I.; Conde, A. C.; Araujo, A.; Soria, T.; Garcia-Pavia, P.; Gomez-Bueno, M.; Cobo-Marcos, M.; Alonso-Pulpon, L.; Cubero, J. S.; Sayago, I.; Gonzalez-Segovia, A.; Briceno, A.; Subias, P. E.; Hernandez, M. V.; Cano, M. J. R.; Sanchez, M. A. G.; Jimenez, J. F. D.; Garrido-Lestache, E. B.; Pinilla, J. M. G.; de la Villa, B. G.; Sahuquillo, A.; Marques, R. B.; Calvo, F. T.; Perez-Martinez, M. T.; Gracia-Rodenas, M. R.; Garrido-Bravo, I. P.; Pastor-Perez, F.; Pascual-Figal, D. A.; Molina, B. D.; Orus, J.; Gonzalo, F. E.; Bertomeu, V.; Valero, R.; Martinez-Abellan, R.; Quiles, J.; Rodrigez-Ortega, J. A.; Mateo, I.; Elamrani, A.; Fernandez-Vivancos, C.; Valero, D. B.; Almenar-Bonet, L.; Sanchez-Lazaro, I. J.; Marques-Sule, E.; Facila-Rubio, L.; Perez-Silvestre, J.; Garcia-Gonzalez, P.; Ridocci-Soriano, F.; Garcia-Escriva, D.; Pellicer-Cabo, A.; de la Fuente Galan, L.; Diaz, J. L.; Platero, A. R.; Arias, J. C.; Blasco-Peiro, T.; Julve, M. S.; Sanchez-Insa, E.; Aured-Guallar, C.; Portoles-Ocampo, A.; Melin, M.; Hagglund, E.; Stenberg, A.; Lindahl, I. -M.; Asserlund, B.; Olsson, L.; Dahlstrom, U.; Afzelius, M.; Karlstrom, P.; Tengvall, L.; Wiklund, P. -A.; Olsson, B.; Kalayci, S.; Temizhan, A.; Cavusoglu, Y.; Gencer, E.; Yilmaz, M. B.; Gunes, H

Sacubitril/valsartan eligibility and outcomes in the ESC-EORP-HFA Heart Failure Long-Term Registry: bridging between European Medicines Agency/Food and Drug Administration label, the PARADIGM-HF trial, ESC guidelines, and real world

Aims: To assess the proportion of patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) who are eligible for sacubitril/valsartan (LCZ696) based on the European Medicines Agency/Food and Drug Administration (EMA/FDA) label, the PARADIGM-HF trial and the 2016 ESC guidelines, and the association between eligibility and outcomes. Methods and results: Outpatients with HFrEF in the ESC-EORP-HFA Long-Term Heart Failure (HF-LT) Registry between March 2011 and November 2013 were considered. Criteria for LCZ696 based on EMA/FDA label, PARADIGM-HF and ESC guidelines were applied. Of 5443 patients, 2197 and 2373 had complete information for trial and guideline eligibility assessment, and 84%, 12% and 12% met EMA/FDA label, PARADIGM-HF and guideline criteria, respectively. Absent PARADIGM-HF criteria were low natriuretic peptides (21%), hyperkalemia (4%), hypotension (7%) and sub-optimal pharmacotherapy (74%); absent Guidelines criteria were LVEF>35% (23%), insufficient NP levels (30%). and sub-optimal pharmacotherapy (82%); absent label criteria were absence of symptoms (New York Heart Association class I). When a daily requirement of ACEi/ARB ≥ 10 mg enalapril (instead of ≥ 20 mg) was used, eligibility rose from 12% to 28% based on both PARADIGM-HF and guidelines. One-year heart failure hospitalization was higher (12% and 17% vs. 12%) and all-cause mortality lower (5.3% and 6.5% vs. 7.7%) in registry eligible patients compared to the enalapril arm of PARADIGM-HF. Conclusions: Among outpatients with HFrEF in the ESC-EORP-HFA HF-LT Registry, 84% met label criteria, while only 12% and 28% met PARADIGM-HF and guideline criteria for LCZ696 if requiring ≥ 20 mg and ≥ 10 mg enalapril, respectively. Registry patients eligible for LCZ696 had greater heart failure hospitalization but lower mortality rates than the PARADIGM-HF enalapril group

Performance of Prognostic Risk Scores in Chronic Heart Failure Patients Enrolled in the European Society of Cardiology Heart Failure Long-Term Registry

Objectives: This study compared the performance of major heart failure (HF) risk models in predicting mortality and examined their utilization using data from a contemporary multinational registry. Background: Several prognostic risk scores have been developed for ambulatory HF patients, but their precision is still inadequate and their use limited. Methods: This registry enrolled patients with HF seen in participating European centers between May 2011 and April 2013. The following scores designed to estimate 1- to 2-year all-cause mortality were calculated in each participant: CHARM (Candesartan in Heart Failure-Assessment of Reduction in Mortality), GISSI-HF (Gruppo Italiano per lo Studio della Streptochinasi nell'Infarto Miocardico-Heart Failure), MAGGIC (Meta-analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure), and SHFM (Seattle Heart Failure Model). Patients with hospitalized HF (n = 6,920) and ambulatory HF patients missing any variable needed to estimate each score (n = 3,267) were excluded, leaving a final sample of 6,161 patients. Results: At 1-year follow-up, 5,653 of 6,161 patients (91.8%) were alive. The observed-to-predicted survival ratios (CHARM: 1.10, GISSI-HF: 1.08, MAGGIC: 1.03, and SHFM: 0.98) suggested some overestimation of mortality by all scores except the SHFM. Overprediction occurred steadily across levels of risk using both the CHARM and the GISSI-HF, whereas the SHFM underpredicted mortality in all risk groups except the highest. The MAGGIC showed the best overall accuracy (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.743), similar to the GISSI-HF (AUC = 0.739; p = 0.419) but better than the CHARM (AUC = 0.729; p = 0.068) and particularly better than the SHFM (AUC = 0.714; p = 0.018). Less than 1% of patients received a prognostic estimate from their enrolling physician. Conclusions: Performance of prognostic risk scores is still limited and physicians are reluctant to use them in daily practice. The need for contemporary, more precise prognostic tools should be considered

Hyponatraemia and changes in natraemia during hospitalization for acute heart failure and associations with in-hospital and long-term outcomes - from the ESC HFA EORP Heart Failure Long-Term Registry

Aims: To comprehensively assess hyponatraemia in acute heart failure (AHF) regarding prevalence, associations, hospital course, and post-discharge outcomes. Methods and results: Of 8,298 patients in the ESC-HF Long-Term Registry hospitalized for AHF with any ejection fraction, 20% presented with hyponatraemia (serum sodium <135 mmol/L). Independent predictors included lower systolic blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and haemoglobin, along with diabetes, hepatic disease, use of thiazide diuretics, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, digoxin, higher doses of loop diuretics, and non-use of angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers and beta-blockers. In-hospital death occurred in 3.3%. The prevalence of hyponatraemia and in-hospital mortality with different combinations were: 9% hyponatraemia both at admission and discharge (hyponatraemia Yes/Yes, in-hospital mortality 6.9%), 11% Yes/No (in-hospital mortality 4.9%), 8% No/Yes (in-hospital mortality 4.7%), and 72% No/No (in-hospital mortality 2.4%). Correction of hyponatraemia was associated with improvement in eGFR. In-hospital development of hyponatraemia was associated with greater diuretic use and worsening eGFR but also more effective decongestion. Among hospital survivors, 12-month mortality was 19% and adjusted hazard ratios were for hyponatraemia Yes/Yes 1.60 (1.35-1.89), Yes/No 1.35 (1.14-1.59), and No/Yes 1.18 (0.96-1.45). For death or HF hospitalization they were 1.38 (1.21-1.58), 1.17 (1.02-1.33), and 1.09 (0.93-1.27), respectively. Conclusion: Among patients with AHF, 20% had hyponatraemia at admission, which was associated with more advanced HF and normalized in half of patients during hospitalization. Admission hyponatraemia (possibly dilutional), especially if it did not resolve, was associated with worse in-hospital and post-discharge outcomes. Hyponatraemia developing during hospitalization (possibly depletional) was associated with lower risk. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved