Biological brain age prediction using machine learning on structural neuroimaging data: Multi-cohort validation against biomarkers of Alzheimer’s disease and neurodegeneration stratified by sex

Brain-age can be inferred from structural neuroimaging and compared to chronological age (brain-age delta) as a marker of biological brain aging. Accelerated aging has been found in neurodegenerative disorders like Alzheimer’s disease (AD), but its validation against markers of neurodegeneration and AD is lacking. Here, imaging-derived measures from the UK Biobank dataset (N=22,661) were used to predict brain-age in 2,314 cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals at higher risk of AD and mild cognitive impaired (MCI) patients from four independent cohorts with available biomarker data: ALFA+, ADNI, EPAD and OASIS. Brain-age delta was associated with abnormal amyloid-b, more advanced stages (AT) of AD pathology and APOE-e4 status. Brain-age delta was positively associated with plasma neurofilament light, a marker of neurodegeneration, and sex differences in the brain effects of this marker were found. These results validate brain-age delta as a non-invasive marker of biological brain aging related to markers of AD and neurodegeneration.The project leading to these results has received funding from “la Caixa” Foundation (ID 100010434), under agreement LCF/PR/GN17/50300004 and the Alzheimer’s Association and an international anonymous charity foundation through the TriBEKa Imaging Platform project (TriBEKa-17-519007). Additional support has been received from the Universities and Research Secretariat, Ministry of Business and Knowledge of the Catalan Government under the grant no. 2017-SGR-892 and the Spanish Research Agency (AEI) under project PID2020-116907RB-I00 of the call MCIN/ AEI /10.13039/501100011033. FB is supported by the NIHR biomedical research center at UCLH. MSC receives funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (Grant agreement No. 948677), the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (PI19/00155), and from a fellowship from ”la Caixa” Foundation (ID 100010434) and from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 847648 (LCF/BQ/PR21/11840004).Report de recerca signat per 27 autors/es: Irene Cumplido-Mayoral 1,2; Marina García-Prat 1; Grégory Operto 1,3,4; Carles Falcon 1,3,5; Mahnaz Shekari 1,2,3; Raffaele Cacciaglia 1,3,4; Marta Milà-Alomà 1,2,3,4; Luigi Lorenzini 6; Silvia Ingala 6; Alle Meije Wink 6; Henk JMM Mutsaerts 6; Carolina Minguillón 1,3,4; Karine Fauria 1,4; José Luis Molinuevo 1; Sven Haller 7; Gael Chetelat 8,10; Adam Waldman 9; Adam Schwarz 10; Frederik Barkhof 6,11; Ivonne Suridjan 12, 11; Gwendlyn Kollmorgen 13; Anna Bayfield 13; Henrik Zetterberg 14,15,16,17,18; Kaj Blennow 14,15 12; Marc Suárez-Calvet 1,3,4,19; Verónica Vilaplana 20; Juan Domingo Gispert 1,3,5; ALFA study; EPAD study; ADNI study; OASIS study // 1) Barcelonaβeta Brain Research Center (BBRC), Pasqual Maragall Foundation, Barcelona, Spain; 2) Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain; 3) IMIM (Hospital del Mar Medical Research Institute), Barcelona, Spain; 4) CIBER Fragilidad y Envejecimiento Saludable (CIBERFES), Madrid, Spain; 5) Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Bioingeniería, Biomateriales y Nanomedicina (CIBER-BBN), Madrid, Spain; 6) Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam UMC, Amsterdam, The Netherlands; 7) CIRD Centre d'Imagerie Rive Droite, Geneva, Switzerland; 8) Normandie Univ, UNICAEN, INSERM, U1237, PhIND "Physiopathology and Imaging of Neurological Disorders", Institut Blood and Brain @ Caen-Normandie, Cyceron, Caen, France; 9) Centre for Dementia Prevention, Edinburgh Imaging, and UK Dementia Research Institute at The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; 10) Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Ltd, Cambridge, MA, USA; 11) Institutes of Neurology and Healthcare Engineering, University College London, London, UK; 12) Roche Diagnostics International Ltd, Rotkreuz, Switzerland; 13) Roche Diagnostics GmbH, Penzberg, Germany; 14) Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden; 15) Clinical Neurochemistry Laboratory, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Mölndal, Sweden; 16) Department of Neurodegenerative Disease, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, London, United Kingdom; 17) UK Dementia Research Institute at UCL, London, United Kingdom; 18) Hong Kong Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases, Hong Kong, China; 19) Servei de Neurologia, Hospital del Mar, Barcelona, Spain; 20) Department of Signal Theory and Communications, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain.Preprin

Quantitative informant- and self-reports of subjective cognitive decline predict amyloid beta PET outcomes in cognitively unimpaired individuals independently of age and APOE ε4

Introduction: Amyloid beta (Aβ) pathology is an Alzheimer's disease early hallmark. Here we assess the value of longitudinal self- and informant reports of cognitive decline to predict Aβ positron emission tomography (PET) outcome in cognitively unimpaired middle-aged individuals. Methods: A total of 261 participants from the ALFA+ study underwent [18F]flutemetamol PET and Subjective Cognitive Decline Questionnaire (SCD-Q) concurrently, and 3 years before scan. We used logistic regressions to evaluate the ability of SCD-Q scores (self and informant) to predict Aβ PET visual read, and repeated analysis of variance to assess whether changes in SCD-Q scores relate to Aβ status. Results: Self-perception of decline in memory (odds ratio [OR] = 1.2), and informant perception of executive decline (OR = 1.6), increased the probability of a positive scan. Informant reports 3 years before scanning predicted Aβ PET outcome. Longitudinal increase of self-reported executive decline was predictive of Aβ in women (P = .003). Discussion: Subjective reports of cognitive decline are useful to predict Aβ and may improve recruitment strategies

Reference Data for Attentional, Executive, Linguistic, and Visual Processing Tests Obtained from Cognitively Healthy Individuals with Normal Alzheimer's Disease Cerebrospinal Fluid Biomarker Levels

BACKGROUND: Conventional neuropsychological norms likely include cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals with preclinical Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology (amyloid-β, tau, and neurodegeneration) since they are based on cohorts without AD biomarkers data. Due to this limitation, population-based norms would lack sensitivity for detecting subtle cognitive decline due to AD, the transitional stage between healthy cognition and mild cognitive impairment. We have recently published norms for memory tests in individuals with normal cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) AD biomarker levels. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the present study was to provide further AD biomarker-based cognitive references covering attentional, executive function, linguistic, and visual processing tests. METHODS: We analyzed 248 CU individuals aged between 50-70 years old with normal CSF Aβ, p-tau, and neurodegeneration (t-tau) biomarker levels. The tests included were the Trail Making Test (TMT), Semantic Fluency Test, Digit and Symbol Span, Coding, Matrix Reasoning, Judgement of Line Orientation and Visual Puzzles. Normative data were developed based on regression models adjusted for age, education, and sex when needed. We present equations to calculate z-scores, the corresponding normative percentile tables, and online calculators. RESULTS: Age, education, and sex were associated with performance in all tests, except education for the TMT-A, and sex for the TMT-B, Coding, and Semantic Fluency. Cut-offs derived from the current biomarker-based reference data were higher and more sensitive than standard norms. CONCLUSION: We developed reference data obtained from individuals with evidence of non-pathologic AD biomarker levels that may improve the objective characterization of subtle cognitive decline in preclinical AD

Reactive astrogliosis is associated with higher cerebral glucose consumption in the early Alzheimer's continuum

PURPOSE: Glial activation is one of the earliest mechanisms to be altered in Alzheimer's disease (AD). Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) relates to reactive astrogliosis and can be measured in both cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and blood. Plasma GFAP has been suggested to become altered earlier in AD than its CSF counterpart. Although astrocytes consume approximately half of the glucose-derived energy in the brain, the relationship between reactive astrogliosis and cerebral glucose metabolism is poorly understood. Here, we aimed to investigate the association between fluorodeoxyglucose ([18F]FDG) uptake and reactive astrogliosis, by means of GFAP quantified in both plasma and CSF for the same participants. METHODS: We included 314 cognitively unimpaired participants from the ALFA + cohort, 112 of whom were amyloid-β (Aβ) positive. Associations between GFAP markers and [18F]FDG uptake were studied. We also investigated whether these associations were modified by Aβ and tau status (AT stages). RESULTS: Plasma GFAP was positively associated with glucose consumption in the whole brain, while CSF GFAP associations with [18F]FDG uptake were only observed in specific smaller areas like temporal pole and superior temporal lobe. These associations persisted when accounting for biomarkers of Aβ pathology but became negative in Aβ-positive and tau-positive participants (A + T +) in similar areas of AD-related hypometabolism. CONCLUSIONS: Higher astrocytic reactivity, probably in response to early AD pathological changes, is related to higher glucose consumption. With the onset of tau pathology, the observed uncoupling between astrocytic biomarkers and glucose consumption might be indicative of a failure to sustain the higher energetic demands required by reactive astrocytes

Brain alterations in the early Alzheimer's continuum with amyloid-β, tau, glial and neurodegeneration CSF markers

Higher grey matter volumes/cortical thickness and fluorodeoxyglucose uptake have been consistently found in cognitively unimpaired individuals with abnormal Alzheimer's disease biomarkers compared with those with normal biomarkers. It has been hypothesized that such transient increases may be associated with neuroinflammatory mechanisms triggered in response to early Alzheimer's pathology. Here, we evaluated, in the earliest stages of the Alzheimer's continuum, associations between grey matter volume and fluorodeoxyglucose uptake with CSF biomarkers of several pathophysiological mechanisms known to be altered in preclinical Alzheimer's disease stages. We included 319 cognitively unimpaired participants from the ALFA+ cohort with available structural MRI, fluorodeoxyglucose PET and CSF biomarkers of amyloid-β and tau pathology (phosphorylated tau and total tau), synaptic dysfunction (neurogranin), neuronal and axonal injury (neurofilament light), glial activation (soluble triggering receptor on myeloid cells 2, YKL40, GFAP, interleukin-6 and S100b) and α-synuclein using the Roche NeuroToolKit. We first used the amyloid-β/tau framework to investigate differences in the neuroimaging biomarkers between preclinical Alzheimer's disease stages. Then, we looked for associations between the neuroimaging markers and all the CSF markers. Given the non-negative nature of the concentrations of CSF biomarkers and their high collinearity, we clustered them using non-negative matrix factorization approach (components) and sought associations with the imaging markers. By groups, higher grey matter volumes were found in the amyloid-β-positive tau-negative participants with respect to the reference amyloid-β-negative tau-negative group. Both amyloid-β and tau-positive participants showed higher fluorodeoxyglucose uptake than tau-negative individuals. Using the obtained components, we observed that tau pathology accompanied by YKL-40 (astrocytic marker) was associated with higher grey matter volumes and fluorodeoxyglucose uptake in extensive brain areas. Higher grey matter volumes in key Alzheimer-related regions were also found in association with two other components characterized by a higher expression of amyloid-β in combination with different glial markers: one with higher GFAP and S100b levels (astrocytic markers) and the other one with interleukin-6 (pro-inflammatory). Notably, these components' expression had different behaviours across amyloid-β/tau stages. Taken together, our results show that CSF amyloid-β and phosphorylated tau, in combination with different aspects of glial response, have distinctive associations with higher grey matter volumes and increased glucose metabolism in key Alzheimer-related regions. These mechanisms combine to produce transient higher grey matter volumes and fluorodeoxyglucose uptake at the earliest stages of the Alzheimer's continuum, which may revert later on the course of the disease when neurodegeneration drives structural and metabolic cerebral changes

Plasma p-tau231 and p-tau217 as state markers of amyloid-β pathology in preclinical Alzheimer’s disease

Blood biomarkers indicating elevated amyloid-β (Aβ) pathology in preclinical Alzheimer's disease are needed to facilitate the initial screening process of participants in disease-modifying trials. Previous biofluid data suggest that phosphorylated tau231 (p-tau231) could indicate incipient Aβ pathology, but a comprehensive comparison with other putative blood biomarkers is lacking. In the ALFA+ cohort, all tested plasma biomarkers (p-tau181, p-tau217, p-tau231, GFAP, NfL and Aβ42/40) were significantly changed in preclinical Alzheimer's disease. However, plasma p-tau231 reached abnormal levels with the lowest Aβ burden. Plasma p-tau231 and p-tau217 had the strongest association with Aβ positron emission tomography (PET) retention in early accumulating regions and associated with longitudinal increases in Aβ PET uptake in individuals without overt Aβ pathology at baseline. In summary, plasma p-tau231 and p-tau217 better capture the earliest cerebral Aβ changes, before overt Aβ plaque pathology is present, and are promising blood biomarkers to enrich a preclinical population for Alzheimer's disease clinical trials

Pre-pandemic Alzheimer Disease Biomarkers and Anxious-Depressive Symptoms During the COVID-19 Confinement in Cognitively Unimpaired Adults

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Increased anxious-depressive symptomatology is observed in the preclinical stage of Alzheimer's disease (AD), which may accelerate disease progression. We investigated whether amyloid-β, cortical thickness in medial temporal lobe structures , neuroinflammation and sociodemographic factors were associated with greater anxious-depressive symptoms during the COVID-19 confinement. METHODS: This retrospective observational study included cognitively unimpaired older adults from the ALFA (Alzheimer and FAmilies) cohort, the majority with a family history of sporadic AD. Participants performed the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) during the COVID-19 confinement. A subset had available retrospective (on average: 2.4 years before) HADS assessment, amyloid [18F] flutemetamol PET and structural MRI scans and CSF markers of neuroinflammation (interleukin-6 [IL-6], triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 and glial fibrillary acidic protein levels). We performed multivariable linear regression models to investigate the associations of pre-pandemic AD-related biomarkers and sociodemographic factors with HADS scores during the confinement. We further performed an analysis of covariance in order to adjust by participants' pre-pandemic anxiety-depression levels . Finally, we explored the role of stress and lifestyle changes (sleep patterns, eating, drinking, smoking habits, and medication use) on the tested associations and performed sex-stratified analyses. RESULTS: We included 921 (254 with AD biomarkers) participants. Amyloid-β positivity (B=3.73; 95%CI=1.1 to 6.36; p=.006), caregiving (B=1.37; 95%CI=0.24 to 2.5; p=.018), sex (women: B=1.95; 95%CI=1.1 to 2.79; p<.001), younger age (B=-0.12; 95%CI=-0.18 to -0.052; p<.001) and lower education (B=-0.16; 95%CI=-0.28 to -0.042; p=.008) were associated with greater anxious-depressive symptoms during the confinement. Considering pre-pandemic anxiety-depression levels, we further observed an association between lower levels of CSF IL-6 (B=-5.11; 95%CI=-10.1 to -0.13; p=.044) and greater HADS scores. The results were independent of stress-related variables and lifestyle changes. Stratified analysis revealed that the associations were mainly driven by women. DISCUSSION: Our results link AD-related pathophysiology and neuroinflammation with greater anxious-depressive symptomatology during the COVID-19-related confinement, notably in women. AD pathophysiology may increase neuropsychiatric symptomatology in response to stressors. This association may imply a worse clinical prognosis in people at risk for AD after the pandemic, and thus deserves to be considered by clinicians. TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT02485730

Biological brain age prediction using machine learning on structural neuroimaging data: Multi-cohort validation against biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease and neurodegeneration stratified by sex

Brain-age can be inferred from structural neuroimaging and compared to chronological age (brain-age delta) as a marker of biological brain aging. Accelerated aging has been found in neurodegenerative disorders like Alzheimer's disease (AD), but its validation against markers of neurodegeneration and AD is lacking. Here, imaging-derived measures from the UK Biobank dataset (N=22,661) were used to predict brain-age in 2,314 cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals at higher risk of AD and mild cognitive impaired (MCI) patients from four independent cohorts with available biomarker data: ALFA+, ADNI, EPAD, and OASIS. Brain-age delta was associated with abnormal amyloid-β, more advanced stages (AT) of AD pathology and APOE-ε4 status. Brain-age delta was positively associated with plasma neurofilament light, a marker of neurodegeneration, and sex differences in the brain effects of this marker were found. These results validate brain-age delta as a non-invasive marker of biological brain aging in non-demented individuals with abnormal levels of biomarkers of AD and axonal injury

P-tau235: a novel biomarker for staging preclinical Alzheimer's disease

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is characterised by a long preclinical phase. Although phosphorylated tau (p-tau) species such as p-tau217 and p-tau231 provide accurate detection of early pathological changes, other biomarkers capable of staging disease progression during preclinical AD are still needed. Combining exploratory and targeted mass spectrometry methods in neuropathologically confirmed brain tissue, we observed that p-tau235 is a prominent feature of AD pathology. In addition, p-tau235 seemed to be preceded by p-tau231, in what appeared to be a sequential phosphorylation event. To exploit its biomarker potential in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), we developed and validated a new p-tau235 Simoa assay. Using three clinical cohorts, we demonstrated that (i) CSF p-235 increases early in AD continuum, and (ii) changes in CSF p-tau235 and p-tau231 levels during preclinical AD are consistent with the sequential phosphorylation evidence in AD brain. In conclusion, CSF p-tau235 appears to be not only a highly specific biomarker of AD but also a promising staging biomarker for the preclinical phase. Thus, it could prove useful tracking disease progression and help enriching clinical trial recruitment

Genetically predicted telomere length and Alzheimer’s disease endophenotypes: a Mendelian randomization study

Telomere length (TL) is associated with biological aging, consequently influencing the risk of age-related diseases such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). We aimed to evaluate the potential causal role of TL in AD endophenotypes (i.e., cognitive performance, N = 2233; brain age and AD-related signatures, N = 1134; and cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers (CSF) of AD and neurodegeneration, N = 304) through a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Our analysis was conducted in the context of the ALFA (ALzheimer and FAmilies) study, a population of cognitively healthy individuals at risk of AD. A total of 20 single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with TL were used to determine the effect of TL on AD endophenotypes. Analyses were adjusted by age, sex, and years of education. Stratified analyses by APOE-epsilon 4 status and polygenic risk score of AD were conducted. MR analysis revealed significant associations between genetically predicted longer TL and lower levels of CSF A beta and higher levels of CSF NfL only in APOE-epsilon 4 non-carriers. Moreover, inheriting longer TL was associated with greater cortical thickness in age and AD-related brain signatures and lower levels of CSF p-tau among individuals at a high genetic predisposition to AD. Further observational analyses are warranted to better understand these associations