The Effect of Shocks on the Current and Future Behavior of Sudan Economy: Autoregressive Moving-average Approach

This paper attempts to achieve two core objectives. Firstly, it aims to synthesize the information contained in the different expenditure components of GDP for developing a set of Autoregressive Moving-Average (ARMA) models to examine the effect of shocks on the current and subsequent cyclical deviations of Sudan real GDP from what is trending. Secondly, it aims to compare the intensity of those cyclical deviations within the reviewed period (1970-2010) and outside it. ARMA models of different orders are experimented to distinguish, empirically, whether the effect of shocks is transient or permanent and lasts for a long period of time. The major result is that the lingering effect of shocks is permanent causing intensified deviation from the trend outside the reviewed period

Hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus in pregnant Sudanese women

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The epidemiology of viral hepatitis during pregnancy is essential for health planners and programme managers. While much data exist concerning viral hepatitis during pregnancy in many African countries, no proper published data are available in Sudan.</p> <p>Aim</p> <p>The study aimed to investigate the sero-prevalance and the possible risk factors for hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) among antenatal care attendants in central Sudan.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>During 3 months from March–June 2006, sera were collected from pregnant women at Umdurman Maternity Hospital in Sudan, and they were tested for markers of hepatitis B virus (HBVsAg) and HCV.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>HBVsAg was detected in 41 (5.6%) out 728 women, Anti-HCV was detected in 3 (0.6%) out of 423 women, all of them were not aware of their condition. Age, parity, gestational age, residence, history of blood transfusion, dental manipulations, tattooing and circumcision did not contribute significantly to increased HBVsAg sero-positivity.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Thus 5.6% of pregnant women were positive for HBVsAg irrespective of their age, parity and socio-demographic characteristics. There was low prevalence of Anti-HCV.</p

Clinical and radiological outcomes of arthroscopic subcoracoid decompression for idiopathic coracoid impingement, a stepped approach

Background: Idiopathic subcoracoid impingement is considered now as a well-established cause of anterior shoulder pain. There are multiple techniques reported for management of subcoracoid impingement. Open decompression and reattachment of conjoint tendon as well as arthroscopic resection of coracoid tip. The aim of this study was to evaluate the results of arthroscopic stepwise approach for management of idiopathic coracoid impingment.Methods: This prospective therapeutic case series study included 26 consecutive patients suffering from anterior shoulder pain and were diagnosed as subcoracoid impingement. All cases were evaluated preoperatively and followed up for 12 months after surgery both clinically and radiologically. Arthroscopic subcoracoid decompression, coracoplasty and arthroscopic repair of partial subscapularis tear if present were done for all cases.Results: The mean age at the time of surgery was 45.3±5.4years. At the final follow up, the mean VAS score improved significantly to 0.8±0.8points postoperatively (p&lt;0.01). The mean Constant score improved significantly to 87.8±7.8 at the final follow-up (p&lt;0.001). The mean UCLA score improved significantly to 32.1±2.4 at the end of follow-up (P&lt;0.001)Conclusions: Coracoid impingement should be in mind when evaluating any patient with anterior shoulder pain. The arthroscopic management in form of bone, bursal and tendon procedures (triple attack) is a good treatment to relieve clinical symptoms with excellent patient reported outcomes.

Fatigue loading characteristic for the composite steel-concrete beams

During the past few decades, composite beams (steel I beam and concrete slab) have had a wide range of uses, particularly in bridge construction. This is due to its relatively low economic cost compared to individual steel structures or reinforced concrete structures. This type of bridges in particular and many similar industrial structures in general are repeatedly subjected to fatigue loads, and that is frequently, as a result of the vehicles passing on these bridges or the vibrations caused by the machines in the industrial facilities. It has been observed during the successive studies that they have been interested in studying this problem that it is concerned with the external structural behavior of these beams &nbsp;such as a load –deflection relation, observing the cracks appearing during the failure stage and the strain in the steel and concrete flanges. Hence, in this study we have focused on several factors affecting mode of failure of these beams under the fatigue loads, and the common element in all stages of failure was the shear stud, specifically the welding collar at the base of this stud as it is a structurally weak region

EFFECT OF PHOSPHATE ROCK AND TRIPLESUPERPHOSPHATE ON GROWTH AND LEAF N, P AND K CONTENTS OF GROUNDNUT (ARACHIS HYPOGAEA L.) GROWN ON A CLAY SOIL

A pot experiment was carried out to investigate the agricultural value of a local phosphate rock (PR) as a source of plant phosphorus compared with that of the currently imported triplesuper-phosphate (TSP) .The PR was applied at the rate of 0, 55, and 110 kg P2O5 /ha and the TSP was at the rate of 0, 45 and 90 kg P2O5 /ha. The growth and leaf contents of N, P and K of groundnut (Arachis hypogaea L.) grown on a clay soil were measured. The experiment continued for two sea-sons. Phosphatic fertilizers are of low recovery; therefore, they can remain for the next crop. Thus, the pots of the first season were set to study the residual effect of phosphorus in the second season. The results indicated that PR and TSP significant-ly (P>0.05) increased dry weights of shoot and root, leaf contents of N , P and available soil phosphorus. However, plant height was signifi-cantly increased by TSP only. The leaf content of K was neither affected by PR nor TSP application. The results showed a positive effect of the residual PR and TSP on the measured parameters. Moreo-ver, the results revealed that the plant measure-ments obtained from PR treatments were compa-rable to those obtained from TSP treatments which indicate that PR can be used as a potential source of phosphorus fertilizer

The effect of water deprivation on the pharmacokinetics of antipyrine and sulphadimidine following intravenous administration in Nubian goats

The effect of water deprivation on the pharmacokinetic parameters of antipyrine and sulphadimidine in the Nubian goat was studied. Water deprivation, to a level of dehydration at which the animals lost an average of 7.5% body weight, resulted in a significant reduction in antipyrine clearance (p < 0.05), and a consequently increased AUC value (p < 0.05). No effect was observed on the distribution parameters of the drug. In dehydrated animals which had lost an average of 10% or 12.5% of their body weight owing to water deprivation, significant changes were found in the distribution and elimination pharmacokinetic parameters of antipyrine and sulphadimidine. The volume of distribution was significantly decreased, resulting n elevated plasma levels for the two drags compared to normally watered animals. Significant decreases in clearance and subsequent prolongation of the elimination half-lives were observed during these periods of water deprivation. These changes in the disposition kinetics of the two drugs may be attributed to the loss of total body water and extracellular fluids and changes in the liver and kidney functions taking place during dehydration

Controlling the Density of Plasma Species in Ar/CF4 Radiofrequency Capacitively Coupled Plasma Discharges

In this manuscript, a fluid model is utilized to calculate the density of plasma species assuming geometrically symmetric Ar/CF4 Radiofrequency Capacitively Coupled Plasmas. The electrodes are driven by a sinusoidal waefront with an amplitude of 200 V and a frequency of 13.56 MHz. The gap between the electrodes is 5cm. The plasma species density is calculated as a function of the gas pressure, electron temperature, and the gas composition. In a good agreement with recent experimental results, $CF^+_3$ and F are dominant for all considered simulation parameters. The results explain the pathways to perform atomic layer etching and nanolayer deposition processes. In order to reveal the effect of electron heating on the discharge dynamics, The spatiotemporal electron energy equation is coupled to the fluid model. Tailoring the driven potential has been found to control the concentration of some plasma species. When the plasma is driven with the fundamental frequency, Ohmic and stochastic heating allows electrons to be heated symmetrically. Higher harmonics give rise to an electrical asymmetry and electron heating asymmetry between the powered and grounded sheaths. The electron temperature depends on the driven harmonics; it adjusts gain and loss rates and some plasma species densities

Effect of Hydrogen on Pristine Amorphous V2O5 Thin Film

Sequentially deposited layer by layer up to five vanadium oxide film is deposited on glass and silica substrates at 300 k by vacuum thermal evaporation technique. The deposited samples subjected to reduction process in the preparation situe by hydrogen gas at 473k for 10 minutes and 573 k for 10, 20 minutes. The XRD investigation of the samples demonstrates that the pristine sample is amorphous while those reduced are crystalline. The existed phases in virgin samples are educated by Raman spectroscopy which indicates the single V2O5 phase. The different phases in the reduced sample are identified by analyzing their XRD patterns. The electrical resistance of the reduced samples is measured as a function of temperature during heating and cooling cycles. The transition temperature from semiconducting to metal state is defined by the derivative of dR/d

CLOUD POINT EXTRACTION, PRECONCENRATION AND SPECTROPHOTOMETRIC DETERMINATION OF COBALT IN WATER SAMPLES

Objective: A new cloud point extraction (CPE) method was developed for pre concentration of trace cobalt (II) in water samples.Methods: The method is based on the complexation reaction of Co (II) with 2-(benzothiazolyl azo)-4-nitrophenol reagent (BTANP) at pH 7.0 and micelle-mediated extraction using the nonionic surfactant Triton X-114 of the complex.Results: The enriched analyte in the surfactant-rich phase was diluted with methanol and the cobalt content was determined by spectrophotometry at 549 nm. The optimum conditions (e. g. pH, reagent and surfactant concentrations, and temperature and centrifugation times) were evaluated and optimized. The proposed CPE method showed linear calibration within the range 10–300 ng/ml of Co(II) and the limit of detection of the method was 1.5 ng/ml with a pre concentration factor of 50. The relative standard deviation (RSD) was found to be 1.20% (N = 6). The interference effect of some cations and anions was also studied.Conclusion: The proposed method has been successfully applied to the determination of Co(II) in water samples with a recovery from spiked samples in the range of 96.60–98.70%.Â