Variation in Ringed Seal Density and Abundance in Western Hudson Bay Estimated from Aerial Surveys, 1995 to 2013

We conducted systematic aerial surveys of ringed seals along strip transects in western Hudson Bay (WHB), Canada, in late May to early June of 1995–97, 1999, 2000, 2007–10, and 2013. The density of ringed seals hauled out on ice over the entire study area ranged from 1.22 seals/km2 in 1995, to 0.20 seals/km2 in 2013. Density estimates varied significantly over the study period and, with the exception of 2013, appeared to follow a cyclical pattern. Although density estimates also appear to follow a downward trend over time, results of multiple linear regression, weighted by survey effort, indicated no significant trend in ringed seal density as a function of year, survey date, or proportion of open water. In addition, no significant correlation was observed among any of the environmental variables and density estimates. As the proportion of seals hauled out at the time of the survey is unknown, the density estimates of WHB ringed seals presented in this study should be considered indices that might be useful to explore trends in abundance. Although our results do not indicate that a significant decline has occurred, the low density estimate in 2013 may indicate that population changes unrelated to a natural cycle are taking place. We were unable to test for direct effects of changes in food supply or predation, but polar bears, Arctic foxes, and Inuit communities in the Hudson Bay region all would be negatively affected should ringed seal populations undergo significant declines. Further monitoring and directed research are necessary to understand what mechanism may be responsible for the observed changes in ringed seal density.Nous avons fait les levés aériens systématiques de phoques annelés sur de longs transects en bandes dans l’ouest de la baie d’Hudson (OBH), au Canada, de la fin de mai au début de juin des années 1995 à 1997, 1999, 2000, 2007 à 2010 et 2013. Pendant toute la durée de l’étude, la densité de phoques annelés hissés sur la glace a varié de 1,22 phoque/km2 en 1995 à 0,20 phoque/km2 en 2013. Les estimations de densité ont varié considérablement au cours de la période visée par l’étude et, à l’exception de 2013, elles semblaient suivre un profil cyclique. Bien que les estimations de densité semblent également suivre une tendance à la baisse au fil du temps, les résultats de la régression linéaire multiple, pondérée par les levés, n’ont indiqué aucune tendance importante sur le plan de la densité de phoques annelés en fonction de l’année, de la date des levés ou de la proportion d’eaux libres. Par ailleurs, aucune corrélation importante n’a été observée pour n’importe quelle variable environnementale et n’importe quelle estimation de densité. Puisque la proportion de phoques hissés au moment des levés est inconnue, les estimations de densité de phoques annelés dans l’OBH présentées dans cette étude devraient être considérées comme des indices susceptibles d’aider à explorer les tendances en matière d’abondance. Bien que nos résultats ne laissent pas entrevoir la présence d’un déclin important, la faible estimation de densité enregistrée en 2013 pourrait indiquer qu’il se produit des changements de population et que ceux-ci ne sont pas attribuables à un cycle naturel. Nous n’avons pu examiner les effets directs des changements en matière d’approvisionnement alimentaire ou de prédation, mais les ours polaires, les renards arctiques et les communautés inuites de la région de la baie d’Hudson subiraient tous des effets négatifs si les populations de phoques annelés diminuaient considérablement. Il y a lieu de faire de la surveillance et des recherches dirigées pour comprendre à quel mécanisme les changements observés sur le plan de la densité de phoques annelés pourrait être attribuable

Dramatic clinical response to ultra-high dose IVIg in otherwise treatment resistant inflammatory neuropathies

Background Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIg) has short and long-term efficacy in both chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP) and multifocal motor neuropathy with conduction block (MMNCB). There is potential for under and over-treatment if trial regimens are strictly adhered to in clinical practice where titrating dose to clinical response is recommended. Methods We report the response to high-dose IVIg (>2 g/kg/6 weeks) in a subgroup of patients with definite CIDP or MMNCB who were unresponsive to ‘usual’ dosing. IVIg frequency and dosing was determined for each individual by subjective and objective outcome measures for impairment, grip strength, and activity and participation. Results Six patients (three with chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP), three with MMN) were included. Two patients (one CIDP and one MMNCB) returned to full-time work on fractionated IVIg doses of 5 g/kg/month and 9 g/kg/month. Patient three (CIDP) failed numerous other immunosuppressants but responded to short-term fractionated 4 g/kg/month of IVIg. Patient four has severe, refractory, childhood-onset CIDP, remains stable but dependent currently on 6.9 g/kg/month of IVIg. Patients five and six, both with MMNCB, required short term 4.5–5 g/kg/month to recover significant bilateral hand strength. No IVIg-related adverse events occurred in any individual. Conclusions These six cases demonstrate the safety and effectiveness of a treatment approach that includes individualised but evidence-based clinical assessment and, when necessary, high-doses of IVIg to restore patients’ strength and ability to participate in activities of daily activities. Careful patient selection is important

Distributed expertise: Qualitative study of a British network of multidisciplinary teams supporting parents of children with chronic kidney disease

© 2014 The Authors. Background: Long-term childhood conditions are often managed by hospital-based multidisciplinary teams (MDTs) of professionals with discipline specific expertise of a condition, in partnership with parents. However, little evidence exists on professional-parent interactions in this context. An exploration of professionals' accounts of the way they individually and collectively teach parents to manage their child's clinical care at home is, therefore, important for meeting parents' needs, informing policy and educating novice professionals. Using chronic kidney disease as an exemplar this paper reports on one aspect of a study of interactions between professionals and parents in a network of 12 children's kidney units in Britain. Methods: We conducted semi-structured, qualitative interviews with a convenience sample of 112 professionals (clinical-psychologists, dietitians, doctors, nurses, pharmacists, play-workers, therapists and social workers), exploring accounts of their parent-educative activity. We analysed data using framework and the concept of distributed expertise. Results: Four themes emerged that related to the way expertise was distributed within and across teams: (i) recognizing each other's' expertise, (ii) sharing expertise within the MDT, (iii) language interpretation, and (iv) acting as brokers. Two different professional identifications were also seen to co-exist within MDTs, with participants using the term 'we' both as the intra-professional 'we' (relating to the professional identity) when describing expertise within a disciplinary group (for example: 'As dietitians we aim to give tailored advice to optimize children's growth'), and the inter-professional 'we' (a 'team-identification'), when discussing expertise within the team (for example: 'We work as a team and make sure we're all happy with every aspect of their training before they go home'). Conclusions: This study highlights the dual identifications implicit in 'being professional' in this context (to the team and to one's profession) as well as the unique role that each member of a team contributes to children's care. Our methodology and results have the potential to be transferred to teams managing other conditions

Amyloid β peptides are differentially vulnerable to preanalytical surface exposure, an effect incompletely mitigated by the use of ratios

INTRODUCTION: We tested the hypothesis that the amyloid β (Aβ) peptide ratios are more stable than Aβ42 alone when biofluids are exposed to two preanalytical conditions known to modify measurable Aβ concentration. METHODS: Human cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and culture media (CM) from human cortical neurons were exposed to a series of volumes and polypropylene surfaces. Aβ42, Aβ40, and Aβ38 peptide concentrations were measured using a multiplexed electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. Data were analyzed using mixed models in R. RESULTS: Decrease of measurable Aβ peptide concentrations was exaggerated in longer peptides, affecting the Aβ42:Aβ40 and Aβ42:Aβ38 ratios. However, the effect size of surface treatment was reduced in Aβ peptide ratios versus Aβ42 alone. For Aβ42:Aβ40, the effect was reduced by approximately 50% (volume) and 75% (transfer) as compared to Aβ42 alone. DISCUSSION: Use of Aβ ratios, in conjunction with concentrations, may mitigate confounding factors and assist the clinical diagnostic process for Alzheimer's disease

Extending DerSimonian and Laird's methodology to perform network meta-analyses with random inconsistency effects.

Network meta-analysis is becoming more popular as a way to compare multiple treatments simultaneously. Here, we develop a new estimation method for fitting models for network meta-analysis with random inconsistency effects. This method is an extension of the procedure originally proposed by DerSimonian and Laird. Our methodology allows for inconsistency within the network. The proposed procedure is semi-parametric, non-iterative, fast and highly accessible to applied researchers. The methodology is found to perform satisfactorily in a simulation study provided that the sample size is large enough and the extent of the inconsistency is not very severe. We apply our approach to two real examples.DJ, RT and IRW are employed by the UK Medical Research Council (code U105260558). JB is supported by the UK MRC grant numbers G0902100 and MR/K014811/1.This is the final version of the article. It first appeared from Wiley via http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sim.675

A Statistical Social Network Model for Consumption Data in Food Webs

We adapt existing statistical modeling techniques for social networks to study consumption data observed in trophic food webs. These data describe the feeding volume (non-negative) among organisms grouped into nodes, called trophic species, that form the food web. Model complexity arises due to the extensive amount of zeros in the data, as each node in the web is predator/prey to only a small number of other trophic species. Many of the zeros are regarded as structural (non-random) in the context of feeding behavior. The presence of basal prey and top predator nodes (those who never consume and those who are never consumed, with probability 1) creates additional complexity to the statistical modeling. We develop a special statistical social network model to account for such network features. The model is applied to two empirical food webs; focus is on the web for which the population size of seals is of concern to various commercial fisheries.Comment: On 2013-09-05, a revised version entitled "A Statistical Social Network Model for Consumption Data in Trophic Food Webs" was accepted for publication in the upcoming Special Issue "Statistical Methods for Ecology" in the journal Statistical Methodolog

An Investigation into Gender Disparities in the Field of Computing

This paper explains the reasons as to why there is under-representation of females computer science. Recent research undertaken at a British University focused on gender imbalance amongst academic staff in the Faculty of Technology and Environment, Liverpool John Moores University. The paper presents evidence that suggests the significance of identifying female role models in the field as a precursor to improving the current gender imbalance amongst academic faculty. In addition, the paper suggests the importance of addressing the negative stereotypical images related to the discipline and suggests the importance of identifying barriers to access and mobility females encounter in the field. The results of this initial investigation demonstrate the subjective belief amongst female academic faculty that in the School of Computing is dominated by male academics. Further, this belief pattern manifests itself in a perceived lack of motivation for promotion in the School. It can be concluded that the deeply entrenched belief system determines a lack of attempts to seek and secure promotion amongst all grades of female faculty. The paper proposes recommendations which the School could adopt to improve recruitment and retention of female academic staff and students