How People Think About Distributing Aid

This paper examines how people think about aiding others in a way that can inform both theory and practice. It uses data gathered from Kiva, an online, non-profit organization that allows individuals to aid other individuals around the world, to isolate intuitions that people find broadly compelling. The central result of the paper is that people seem to give more priority to aiding those in greater need, at least below some threshold. That is, the data strongly suggest incorporating both a threshold and a prioritarian principle into the analysis of what principles for aid distribution people accept. This conclusion should be of broad interest to aid practitioners and policy makers. It may also provide important information for political philosophers interested in building, justifying, and criticizing theories about meeting needs using empirical evidence

Rethinking Resource Allocation in Science

US funding agencies alone distribute a yearly total of roughly $65B dollars largely through the process of proposal peer review: scientists compete for project funding by submitting grant proposals which are evaluated by selected panels of peer reviewers. Similar funding systems are in place in most advanced democracies. However, in spite of its venerable history, proposal peer review is increasingly struggling to deal with the increasing mismatch between demand and supply of research funding.Comment: This working paper formed the basis of J. Bollen, Who would you share your funding with. Nature 560, 143 (2018

Pregnancy after liver transplantation with tacrolimus immunosuppression: A single center's experience update at 13 years

Background. Chronic liver disease often leads to amenorrhea in women of childbearing age. There are several reports of successful pregnancy after liver transplantation (LTx) with cyclosporine A immunosuppression. Tacrolimus has been increasingly used in solid-organ transplantation, and the effect of the drug on pregnancy is still of interest to clinicians. This study updates our single-center experience. Methods. All pregnancies after LTx with tacrolimus immunosuppression were followed prospectively. Patients' clinical courses during pregnancy and labor along with gestational period and birth weight were catalogued. Changes in liver function, renal function, and immunosuppression also were recorded. The birth weight percentile was calculated on the basis of the gestational period using a standard chart. Results. Thirty-seven mothers delivered 49 babies. Three mothers delivered three times, and six mothers delivered two times. Thirty-six mothers (97%) survived the pregnancy, and 36 allografts (97%) survived. The one death and graft loss was in a patient who demonstrated infra-aortic arterial graft, which clotted by the gravid uterus during labor. The patient developed a gangrenous liver and died before she could undergo retransplantation. The mean gestational period was 36.4±3. 2 weeks, excluding two premature deliveries at 23 and 24 weeks gestation. Twenty-two babies (46.9%) were delivered by cesarean section, and the other babies were delivered vaginally. In addition to the two premature babies, one baby, who was born to a mother with Alagille syndrome, died from congenital birth defects. The rest of the newborns survived. The mean birth weight was 2,797±775 g, with 38 babies (78%) weighing more than 2,000 g. The mean birth weight percentile to gestational period was 54±23. Four babies (8.5%) had a birth weight percentile of less than 25, and 28 babies (59.6%) had a birth weight percentile greater than 50. Twelve patients demonstrated an increase in hepatic enzymes without jaundice during the pregnancy. All of them responded to augmentation of immunosuppression. Conclusion. The present report reconfirms the safety of tacrolimus during pregnancy after LTx. Preterm delivery and low birth weight seem to be a persistent problem in all solid-organ transplantation under any form of immunosuppression. However, toxemia of pregnancy and new onset of hypertension seem to be have a low occurrence with the use of tacrolimus

Ecological criteria for evaluation candidate sites for marine reserves

Several schemes have been developed to help select the locations of marine reserves. All of them combine social, economic, and biological criteria, and few offer any guidance as to how to prioritize among the criteria identified. This can imply that the relative weights given to different criteria are unimportant. Where two sites are of equal value ecologically, then socioeconomic criteria should dominate the choice of which should be protected. However, in many cases, socioeconomic criteria are given equal or greater weight than ecological considerations in the choice of sites. This can lead to selection of reserves with little biological value that fail to meet many of the desired objectives. To avoid such a possibility, we develop a series of criteria that allow preliminary evaluation of candidate sites according to their relative biological values in advance of the application of socioeconomic criteria. We include criteria that, while not strictly biological, have a strong influence on the species present or ecological processes. Our scheme enables sites to be assessed according to their biodiversity, the processes which underpin that diversity, and the processes that support fisheries and provide a spectrum of other services important to people. Criteria that capture biodiversity values include biogeographic representation, habitat representation and heterogeneity, and presence of species or populations of special interest (e.g., threatened species). Criteria that capture sustainability of biodiversity and fishery values include the size of reserves necessary to protect viable habitats, presence of exploitable species, vulnerable life stages, connectivity among reserves, links among ecosystems, and provision of ecosystem services to people. Criteria measuring human and natural threats enable candidate sites to be eliminated from consideration if risks are too great, but also help prioritize among sites where threats can be mitigated by protection. While our criteria can be applied to the design of reserve networks, they also enable choice of single reserves to be made in the context of the attributes of existing protected areas. The overall goal of our scheme is to promote the development of reserve networks that will maintain biodiversity and ecosystem functioning at large scales. The values of ecosystem goods and services for people ultimately depend on meeting this objective

Designing a solution to enable agency-academic scientific collaboration for disasters

© The Author(s), 2017. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Ecology and Society 22 (2017): 18, doi:10.5751/ES-09246-220218.As large-scale environmental disasters become increasingly frequent and more severe globally, people and organizations that prepare for and respond to these crises need efficient and effective ways to integrate sound science into their decision making. Experience has shown that integrating nongovernmental scientific expertise into disaster decision making can improve the quality of the response, and is most effective if the integration occurs before, during, and after a crisis, not just during a crisis. However, collaboration between academic, government, and industry scientists, decision makers, and responders is frequently difficult because of cultural differences, misaligned incentives, time pressures, and legal constraints. Our study addressed this challenge by using the Deep Change Method, a design methodology developed by Stanford ChangeLabs, which combines human-centered design, systems analysis, and behavioral psychology. We investigated underlying needs and motivations of government agency staff and academic scientists, mapped the root causes underlying the relationship failures between these two communities based on their experiences, and identified leverage points for shifting deeply rooted perceptions that impede collaboration. We found that building trust and creating mutual value between multiple stakeholders before crises occur is likely to increase the effectiveness of problem solving. We propose a solution, the Science Action Network, which is designed to address barriers to scientific collaboration by providing new mechanisms to build and improve trust and communication between government administrators and scientists, industry representatives, and academic scientists. The Science Action Network has the potential to ensure cross-disaster preparedness and science-based decision making through novel partnerships and scientific coordination.The authors thank the David and Lucile Packard Foundation for a grant to undertake this project and enable participation of a wide range of participants and interviewees. We thank the Center for Ocean Solutions and ChangeLabs for their oversight and support

Deleting species from model food webs

We use food webs generated by a model to investigate the effects of deleting species on other species in the web and on the web as a whole. The model incorporates a realistic population dynamics, adaptive foragers and other features which allow for the construction of model webs which resemble empirical food webs. A large number of simulations were carried out to produce a substantial number of model webs on which deletion experiments could be performed. We deleted each species in four hundred distinct model webs and determined, on average, how many species were eliminated from the web as a result. Typically only a small number of species became extinct; in no instance was the web close to collapse. Next, we examined how the the probability of extinction of a species depended on its relationship with the deleted species. This involved the exploration of the concept of indirect predator and prey species and the extent that the probability of extinction depended on the trophic level of the two species. The effect of deletions on the web itself was studied by searching for keystone species, whose removal caused a major restructuring of the community, and also by looking at the correlation between a number of food web properties (number of species, linkage density, fraction of omnivores, degree of cycling and redundancy) and the stability of the web to deletions. With the exception of redundancy, we found little or no correlation. In particular, we found no evidence that complexity in terms of increased species number or links per species is destabilising.Comment: 30 pages, 9 figure

Male gender is an important clinical risk factor for iron deficiency in healthy infants

Author's personal copy ; Acknowledgements to the children and families who were involved in this study, and to BH Pathology Clinic Dpt.Background & aims: To identify ID risk factors in infancy, and try to explore why ID is more prevalent in boys than in girls in the first year of life. Methods: A multiple logistic regression was performed on data of 201 infants, with ferritin<12 ng/ml as the dependent variable and months of breastfeeding, weight gain from birth to 9 months (WG), and gender as independent variables. To compare haematological parameters we used Manne-Whitney and t test. Results: From the 39 infants with IDA (19.4%), 24 (61.5%) were male and of the 162 infants without IDA, 50% were male (p ¼ 0.195). The median(minimum; maximum) ferritin concentrations in male infants at 9 months was of 9.8 ng/ml (0.5e67.0 ng/ml) and in females 14 ng/ml (0.5e74.5 ng/ml), p < 0.001. The average (±SD) WG was of 5863.3 g (±855.4 g) in male infants and 5556.9 g (±1054.3 g) in female infants (p = 0.027). A multiple logistic regression (OR; 95%CI) showed that male gender was the most important risk factor (OR: 3.3; 1.7e6.3; p < 0.001), followed by a higher weight increase (OR: 1.6; CI [1.1; 2.2]; p = 0.016) and longer breastfeeding time (OR: 1.1; CI [0.98; 1.2]; p = 0.099). Comparison of other haematological parameters at 9 months in relation to gender (males (M): 105; females (F): 96) showed significant differences in: mean ± SD, Mean Corpuscular Haemoglobin (M: 25.0 ± 2.1; F: 25.8 ± 2.4 pg, p = 0.001), Mean Corpuscular Volume (M: 73.4 ± 4.1; F: 75.3 ± 4.2 fl, 0.009), RDW (M: 14.6 ± 1.5; F: 14.1 ± 1.6%, p = 0.048), Plaquelets (M: 324.9 ± 77.9; F: 350.5 ± 81.4 x 10³/µl, p = 0.026). Conclusions: ID was significantly more frequent in male infants, independent of rapid growth or longer breastfeeding duration. The clinical risk profile for ID in infants includes male gender and not only rapid growth, and longer breastfeeding duration.This study received a scholarship from the Foment Commission for Investigation in Health Care, from the Health Ministry P.I. nº 87/07

Pregnancy after liver transplantation under tacrolimus

Background. The maternal and fetal risk of pregnancy after organ transplantation under tacrolimus has not been reported. This was prospectively studied in 27 pregnancies by 21 female liver recipients who were treated with tacrolimus before and throughout gestation. Method. Twenty- seven babies were born between October 1990 and April 1996. In 15 cases, samples were obtained at or after delivery and stored (-40°C) for comparison of tacrolimus concentration in the maternal blood with different combinations of cord and infant venous blood, breast milk, or a section of the placenta. Results. The 21 mothers had surprisingly few serious complications of pregnancy and no mortality. Two infants with 23 and 24 weeks gestation died shortly after birth. The mean birth weight of the other 25 was 2638±781 g after a gestational period of 36.0±3.3 weeks. Mean birth weight percentile for gestational age was 50.2±26.2 (median 40). On the day of delivery, the mean tacrolimus concentrations (ng/ml) were 4.3 in placenta versus 1.5, 0.7, and 0.5 in maternal, cord, and child plasma, and 0.6 in the first breast milk specimens. The infants had a 36% incidence of transient perinatal hyperkalemia (K+>7.0 meq/L) and a mild reversible renal impairment, which were thought to reflect in part maternal homeostasis. One newborn had unilateral polycystic renal disease (the only anomaly). All 25 babies have had satisfactory postnatal growth and development with a current mean weight percentile of 62±37 (median 80). Conclusions. Pregnancy by postliver transplant mothers under tacrolimus was possible with a surprisingly low incidence of the hypertension, preeclampsia, and other maternal complications historically associated with such gestations. As in previous experience with other immunosuppressive regimens, preterm deliveries were common. However, prenatal growth for gestational age and postnatal infant growth for post- partum age were normal

Environmental and Resource Economics: Some Recent Developments by

A first draft of this paper was prepared when the authors were visiting the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, during April-May 2004. The current version was completed in Colombo, Sri Lanka, in June 2004, while the authors were attending the bi-annual teaching and research workshop of the South Asian Network for Development and Environmental Economics (SANDEE). We are most grateful to K. Sreenivasan (Director of ICTP), and Manik Duggar and Priya Shyamsundar (respectively, Programme Manager and Director of SANDEE), for making our visits both possible and most agreeable. Over the years, we have benefited greatly from discussions with Scott Barrett, William Brock, Stev

Genetic diversity and interdependent crop choices in agriculture

The extent of genetic diversity in food crops is important as it affects the risk of attack by pathogens. A drop in diversity increases this risk. Farmers may not take this into account when making crop choices, leading to what from a social perspective is an inadequate level of diversity