88 research outputs found
The Human Ecology and Geography of Burning in an Unstable Savanna Environment
According to new ecological theories, many savannas are inherently in disequilibrium and can flip from tree-dominated to grass-dominated landscapes depending upon the disturbance regime. In particular, a shift in a fire regime to a more frequent and intensive one can radically alter the tree-to-grass ratio in a given savanna. Drawing upon the ecological buffering model we argue that savanna persistence requires a relatively stable fire regime. We hypothesize that anthropogenic burning practices perform this function by producing a regular annual spatiotemporal pattern of fire that is linked to vegetation type. We test this hypothesis using a study of two areas, one in Mali and the other Burkina Faso. We use two sources of satellite data to produce an 11-year time series of the spatiotemporal pattern of fires and an example of the annual burned area pattern these fires produce. We combine the analysis of satellite imagery with interviews of rural inhabitants who set fires to understand the logic underlying the patterns of fire. Analysis of a time series of imagery reveals a strikingly regular annual spatiotemporal pattern of burning for both study areas, which cannot be explained by the regional climatic pattern alone. We conclude that the regularity of the annual fire regime in West Africa is a human-ecological phenomenon closely linked to vegetation type and controlled by people\u27s burning practices. We argue that the anthropogenic burning regime serves to buffer the savanna and maintain its ecological stability
Religious affiliation modulates weekly cycles of cropland burning in Sub-Saharan Africa
Research ArticleVegetation burning is a common land management practice in Africa, where fire is used
for hunting, livestock husbandry, pest control, food gathering, cropland fertilization, and
wildfire prevention. Given such strong anthropogenic control of fire, we tested the hypotheses
that fire activity displays weekly cycles, and that the week day with the fewest fires
depends on regionally predominant religious affiliation.We also analyzed the effect of land
use (anthrome) on weekly fire cycle significance. Fire density (fire counts.km-2) observed
per week day in each region was modeled using a negative binomial regression model, with
fire counts as response variable, region area as offset and a structured random effect to
account for spatial dependence. Anthrome (settled, cropland, natural, rangeland), religion
(Christian, Muslim, mixed) week day, and their 2-way and 3-way interactions were used as
independent variables. Models were also built separately for each anthrome, relating
regional fire density with week day and religious affiliation. Analysis revealed a significant
interaction between religion and week day, i.e. regions with different religious affiliation
(Christian, Muslim) display distinct weekly cycles of burning. However, the religion vs. week
day interaction only is significant for croplands, i.e. fire activity in African croplands is significantly
lower on Sunday in Christian regions and on Friday in Muslim regions. Magnitude of
fire activity does not differ significantly among week days in rangelands and in natural
areas, where fire use is under less strict control than in croplands. These findings can contribute
towards improved specification of ignition patterns in regional/global vegetation fire
models, and may lead to more accurate meteorological and chemical weather forecastinginfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio
The changing role of china in the global illegal cigarette trade
This study explores the history of the illegal production, distribution, and smuggling of cigarettes in mainland China. Data were obtained from a content analysis of 931 media reports retrieved from LexisNexis for the time period 1975 until 2010, and from other open sources. The illegal cigarette trade first emerged in the form of violations of state tobacco monopoly regulations. In the course of the restructuring of the legal tobacco sector, which occurred under external political pressure to open the Chinese market to foreign competition, an illegal cigarette industry emerged which at first primarily produced fake Chinese brand cigarettes for the domestic black market. At the same time, China became a destination country for smuggled genuine Western brand cigarettes. It was only after effective crackdowns against cigarette smuggling and domestic distribution channels in the late 1990s that the Chinese illegal cigarette industry shifted to exporting large numbers of counterfeit Western brand cigarettes to black markets abroad. China’s current role as a leading supplier of counterfeit cigarettes is a result of the contradictions of the economic reform process and of external licit and illicit forces that worked toward opening up the Chinese tobacco sector to the outside world
Global Pyrogeography: the Current and Future Distribution of Wildfire
Climate change is expected to alter the geographic distribution of wildfire, a complex abiotic process that responds to a variety of spatial and environmental gradients. How future climate change may alter global wildfire activity, however, is still largely unknown. As a first step to quantifying potential change in global wildfire, we present a multivariate quantification of environmental drivers for the observed, current distribution of vegetation fires using statistical models of the relationship between fire activity and resources to burn, climate conditions, human influence, and lightning flash rates at a coarse spatiotemporal resolution (100 km, over one decade). We then demonstrate how these statistical models can be used to project future changes in global fire patterns, highlighting regional hotspots of change in fire probabilities under future climate conditions as simulated by a global climate model. Based on current conditions, our results illustrate how the availability of resources to burn and climate conditions conducive to combustion jointly determine why some parts of the world are fire-prone and others are fire-free. In contrast to any expectation that global warming should necessarily result in more fire, we find that regional increases in fire probabilities may be counter-balanced by decreases at other locations, due to the interplay of temperature and precipitation variables. Despite this net balance, our models predict substantial invasion and retreat of fire across large portions of the globe. These changes could have important effects on terrestrial ecosystems since alteration in fire activity may occur quite rapidly, generating ever more complex environmental challenges for species dispersing and adjusting to new climate conditions. Our findings highlight the potential for widespread impacts of climate change on wildfire, suggesting severely altered fire regimes and the need for more explicit inclusion of fire in research on global vegetation-climate change dynamics and conservation planning
Bushfire in Madagascar: natural hazard, useful tool, and change agent
Bushfire does not usually figure on lists of natural hazards in Madagascar, despite being damaging hazard on the island. This chapter argues that the lack of attention to fire comes from the fact that fire is multivalent, ambiguous, and flexible, being simultaneously an occasional 'hazard' for thatch-roof huts or crop fields, a 'useful tool' that farmers and pastoralists use to manage vegetation, and a major transformational force, or 'change agent', that damages land and forest. The chapter builds on the concept of pyric phases, identifying six important pyric phases in which fire serves, or is perceived to serve, different roles as hazard, tool, or change agent
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