Sources of pro-cyclicality in east Asian financial systems

Procyclicality is a normal feature of economic systems, but financial sector weaknesses can exacerbate it sufficiently to pose a threat to macroeconomic and financial stability. These include shortcomings in bank risk management and governance, in supervision and in terms of dependence on volatile sources of funds. The paper tests econometrically for the importance of such features leading to pro-cyclicality in the financial systems of 11 East Asian countries. This analysis makes it possible to identify specific policy measures for East Asian countries that could limit the extent to which financial systems exacerbate pro-cyclicality

Electron ionization mass spectral fragmentation study of sulfation derivatives of polychlorinated biphenyls

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Polychlorinated biphenyls are persistent organic pollutants that can be metabolized via hydroxylated PCBs to PCB sulfate metabolites. The sensitive and selective analysis of PCB sulfate monoesters by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS) requires their derivatization, for example, as PCB 2,2,2-trichloroethyl (TCE) sulfate monoesters. To aid in the identification of unknown PCB sulfate metabolites isolated from biological samples, the electron impact MS fragmentation pathways of selected PCB TCE sulfate diesters were analyzed and compared to the fragmentation pathways of the corresponding methoxylated PCBs.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>The most abundant and characteristic fragment ions of PCB TCE sulfate diesters were formed by releasing CHCCl₃, SO₃, HCl₂and/or CCl₃from the TCE sulfate moiety and Cl₂, HCl, ethyne and chloroethyne from an intermediate phenylcyclopentadienyl cation. The fragmentation pattern depended on the degree of chlorination and the position of the TCE sulfate moiety (i.e., <it>ortho </it>vs. <it>meta/para </it>to the second phenyl ring), but were independent of the chlorine substitution pattern. These fragmentation pathways are similar to the fragmentation pathways of structurally related methoxylated PCBs.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Knowledge of the fragmentation patterns of PCB TCE sulfate diesters will greatly aid in determining the position of sulfate moiety (<it>ortho </it>vs. <it>meta/para</it>) of unknown PCB sulfate metabolites isolated from environmental or laboratory samples.</p

Relative efficacy of different types of exercise for treatment of knee and hip osteoarthritis: Protocol for network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

Background: “Exercise” is universally recommended as a core treatment for knee and hip osteoarthritis (OA). However, there are very few head-to-head comparative trials to determine the relative efficacy between different types of exercise. The aim of this study is to benchmark different types of exercises against each other through the use of a common comparator in a network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials (RCTs). Methods: This study will include only RCTs published in peer-reviewed journals. A systematic search will be conducted in several electronic databases and other relevant online resources. No limitations are imposed on language or publication date. Participants must be explicitly identified by authors as having OA. Interventions that involved exercise or comparators in any form will be included. Pain is the primary outcome of interest; secondary outcomes will include function and quality of life measures. Quality assessment of studies will be based on the modified Cochrane’s risk of bias assessment tool. At least two investigators will be involved throughout all stages of screening and data acquisition. Conflicts will be resolved through discussion. Conventional meta-analysis will be performed based on random effects model and network meta-analysis on a Bayesian model. Subgroup analysis will also be conducted based on study, patient and disease characteristics. Discussion: This study will provide for the first time comprehensive research evidence for the relative efficacy of different exercise regimens for treatment of OA. We will use network meta-analysis of existing RCT data to answer this question

Stage II/III rectal cancer with intermediate response to preoperative radiochemotherapy: Do we have indications for individual risk stratification?

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Response to preoperative radiochemotherapy (RCT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer is very heterogeneous. Pathologic complete response (pCR) is accompanied by a favorable outcome. However, most patients show incomplete response. The aim of this investigation was to find indications for risk stratification in the group of intermediate responders to RCT.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>From a prospective database of 496 patients with rectal adenocarcinoma, 107 patients with stage II/III cancers and intermediate response to preoperative 5-FU based RCT (ypT2/3 and TRG 2/3), treated within the German Rectal Cancer Trials were studied. Surgical treatment comprised curative (R0) total mesorectal excision (TME) in all cases. In 95 patients available for statistical analyses, residual transmural infiltration of the mesorectal compartment, nodal involvement and histolologic tumor grading were investigated for their prognostic impact on disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS).</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Residual tumor transgression into the mesorectal compartment (ypT3) did not influence DFS and OS rates (p = 0.619, p = 0.602, respectively). Nodal involvement after preoperative RCT (ypN1/2) turned out to be a valid prognostic factor with decreased DFS and OS (p = 0.0463, p = 0.0236, respectively). Persistent tumor infiltration of the mesorectum (ypT3) and histologic tumor grading of residual tumor cell clusters were strongly correlated with lymph node metastases after neoadjuvant treatment (p < 0.001).</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>Advanced transmural tumor invasion after RCT does not affect prognosis when curative (R0) resection is achievable. Residual nodal status is the most important predictor of individual outcome in intermediate responders to preoperative RCT. Furthermore, ypT stage and tumor grading turn out to be additional auxiliary factors. Future clinical trials for risk-adapted adjuvant therapy should be based on a synopsis of clinicopathologic parameters.</p

Carcinoma of an unknown primary: are EGF receptor, Her-2/neu, and c-Kit tyrosine kinases potential targets for therapy?

Carcinomas of an unknown primary site (CUP) are heterogeneous tumours with a median survival of only 8 months. Tyrosine kinase inhibitors are promising new drugs. The aim of this study was to determine the expression of EGF-receptor, Her-2/neu, and c-Kit tyrosine kinases in CUP. Paraffin-embedded specimens were obtained from 54 patients with a CUP who were included in the GEFCAPI 01 randomised phase II trial. Immunohistochemistry was performed using the Dako autostainer with antibodies directed against HER-2/neu protein, EGFR protein, and c-Kit protein (CD117). EGFR expression was found in 36 out of 54 samples (66%). In contrast, Her-2/neu overexpression and c-Kit positivity were only detected in 4 and 10% of patients, respectively. No significant association was found between the expression of the tyrosine kinase receptors and prognosis. EGFR expression was significantly associated with response to cisplatin-based chemotherapy: the response rates were 50 and 22% in patients with EGFR-positive tumours and EGFR-negative tumours, respectively (P<0.05). This study shows that EGFR is frequently expressed in CUP. This finding may prompt clinical trials investigating EGFR inhibitors in this setting. In contrast, c-Kit expression and Her-2/neu overexpression occur infrequently in CUP. EGFR expression was correlated to tumour chemosensitivity

The Prevalence and Psychopathological Correlates of Sibling Bullying in Children with and without Autism Spectrum Disorder

Using data from a prospective population based study, the prevalence and psychopathological correlates of sibling bullying in children with and without autism spectrum disorder (ASD) were estimated. There were 475 children with ASD and 13,702 children without ASD aged 11 years. Children with ASD were more likely to be bullied by their siblings compared to those without ASD. They were also more likely than those without ASD to both bully and be bullied by their siblings, which was associated with lower prosocial skills as well as more internalizing and externalizing problems compared to those not involved in any sibling bullying. Interventions to improve social and emotional outcomes in children with ASD should focus on both the affected and the unaffected sibling

Validation of the modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) in recurrent ovarian cancer (ROC) – Analysis of patients enrolled in the GCIG Symptom Benefit Study (SBS)

Background: Modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) is predictive of survival in many advanced cancers, but has not been evaluated in recurrent ovarian cancer (ROC). The aim was to determine validity of mGPS in ROC, investigate its associations with health related quality of life (HRQL) and ECOG performance status (PS). / Methods: mGPS is based on serum C reactive protein (CRP) and albumin, with scores ranging from 0 (least) to 2 (most). HRQL was measured with EORTC QLQ C-30 and OV-28. χ2 tests for trend were used to examine the relationship between HRQL, PS and mGPS. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess associations between mGPS, HRQL, clinicopathological factors, and overall survival (OS). / Results: Inflammatory markers were available in 516 of 948 patients in GCIG SBS. 200(39%) had potentially platinum sensitive ROC with ≥ 3 lines of chemotherapy, 316(61%) had platinum resistant ROC. 282(55%), 123(24%), 111(22%) had mGPS of 0, 1, 2, respectively. Median OS (months) was 18.1, 9.6, and 6.6 for mGPS 0, 1, and 2 respectively. mGPS was an independent predictor of OS after adjusting for PS and platinum sensitivity (p < 0.001). mGPS remained a predictor of OS after adjusting for physical function, role function, global health status, abdominal/GI symptoms, and multiple clinicopathologic factors (p = 0.02). Worse PS and higher mGPS were associated with poorer HRQL (p < 0.001). Higher mGPS was associated with worse HRQL, independent of PS. / Conclusion: The mGPS is an independent predictor of OS in ROC after adjusting for HRQL and clinicopathological factors. Higher mGPS is associated with worse HRQL independent of PS. mGPS is simple, inexpensive and may be suitable for clinical practice, clinical trial patient selection and stratification

Concurrent chemoradiation with capecitabine and weekly irinotecan as preoperative treatment for rectal cancer: results from a phase I/II study

The aim of this study was to investigate the efficacy and safety of chemoradiation using capecitabine and irinotecan as neoadjuvant therapy for patients with rectal cancer. Conventional radiation was given at daily fractions of 1.8 Gy on 5 days a week for a total dose of 55.8 (50.4+5.4) Gy. Concurrently, irinotecan 40 mg m−2 once weekly and capecitabine continuously at dose levels of 500, 650, 750 and 825 mg m−2 twice daily were administered. Surgery was performed 4–6 weeks following completion of chemoradiation. A total of 28 patients (3 UICC II, 25 UICC III) were enrolled and all received treatment. Dose-limiting toxicity was diarrhoea grade IV and hand–foot syndrome at the 825 mg m−2 dose level. The maximum tolerated dose of capecitabine was 750 mg m−2. Diarrhoea was the most common toxicity: grade III in nine patients. Two patients died, one due to pneumonia and one due to sudden cardiac death. A complete response and only microfocal residual tumour disease was achieved in four and three patients (27%). In all, 25 of 28 patients undergoing surgery, 24 (96%) had R0 resection. Preoperative chemoradiation based on continuous daily capecitabine and weekly irinotecan appears to tolerated and effective in patients with rectal cancer