Problem?tica del financiamiento bancario de locales comerciales a micro y peque?os empresarios que conforman una asociaci?n

Los micro y peque?os empresarios tienen la necesidad de adquirir galer?as comerciales y para ello recurren a la figura jur?dica de la Asociaci?n, la misma que como ente jur?dico distinto a ellos, los agrupa con la finalidad de canalizar sus intereses y necesidades de financiamiento en la banca m?ltiple. Esto permite que el sector financiero pueda estructurar una oferta de cr?ditos vinculados entre s?, cuyos fondos ser?n destinados a la finalidad com?n de los micro y peque?os empresarios, la cual ser? ejecutada por la Asociaci?n, con las condiciones que para ello establezca la entidad financiera. La estructuraci?n de estos proyectos ha permitido el desarrollo de diversos Centros Comerciales en la provincia de Lima y en especial en el denominado ?Centro de Lima?, el cual se caracteriza por la alta afluencia de comercio. Sin embargo, estos proyectos no son ajenos a riesgos legales y financieros, pues en los mismos no se habr?an considerado aspectos como la formalizaci?n predial y la incidencia tributaria en la estructuraci?n, lo cual constituye el principal inter?s en la revisi?n de estos a efectos de generar alternativas que mitiguen los riesgos ya mencionados

SANITARY AND PHYSIOLOGICAL QUALITY, METHODS OF DETECTION AND TREATMENT OF SEEDS OF PEACH PALM

Desde o ano 2000 \ue9 verificada a ocorr\ueancia da doen\ue7a podrid\ue3o da base do estipe (PBE), causada por Fusarium spp., em plantios de pupunheira ( Bactris gasipaes Kunth. var. gasipaes Henderson). A PBE pode se tornar limitante para o cultivo da pupunheira, ocorrendo em plantas com diferentes idades. Temse verificado a presen\ue7a do pat\uf3geno em sementes. Os objetivos deste trabalho foram: avaliar a qualidade sanit\ue1ria e fisiol\uf3gica de oito lotes comerciais de sementes de pupunheira provenientes da regi\ue3o de Porto Velho - RO; avaliar dois m\ue9todos de detec\ue7\ue3o de Fusarium spp. em sementes; avaliar a patogenicidade e agressividade de isolados de Fusarium spp. obtidos de sementes ; avaliar o tratamento qu\uedmico de dois lotes de sementes de pupunheira para o controle de Fusarium spp. Houve grande varia\ue7\ue3o entre os lotes de sementes de pupunheira quanto \ue0 germina\ue7\ue3o, vigor e emerg\ueancia de pl\ue2ntulas. Fusarium spp. pode ser transmitido das sementes para pl\ue2ntulas causando a doen\ue7a PBE. A metodologia do papel-cart\ue3o para detec\ue7\ue3o de Fusarium spp. mostrou-se mais eficaz na recupera\ue7\ue3o deste pat\uf3geno em sementes de pupunheira. Os fungicidas tiofanato met\uedlico+clorotalonil e tiofanato met\uedlico controlaram Fusarium spp. em sementes de pupunheira. Fusarium oxysporum e Fusarium proliferatum , isolados de semente e pl\ue2ntula, respectivamente, foram patog\ueanicos \ue0 pupunheira.Basal stem rotting (BSR), caused by Fusarium spp., has been observed in peach palm (Bactris gasipaes Kunth. var. gasipaes Henderson) plantations in Brazil since 2000. The disease is a limiting factor to peach palm farming, damaging plants of different ages. The pathogen presence has been verified in seeds. The objectives of this study were: to evaluate the sanitary and physiological quality of eight commercial lots of peach palm seeds from Porto Velho, state of Rondonia, in Brazil; to compare two detection methods for Fusarium spp. in peach palm seeds; to evaluate pathogenicity and to compare aggressiveness of Fusarium spp. isolates from peach palm seeds; and to evaluate the chemical treatment of two peach palm seed lots for controlling Fusarium spp., about their effects on: a) sanitary effect; b) germination and vigor. The Fusarium spp. pathogenic may be transmitted by seeds to seedlings causing BSR disease. The paperboard methodology for Fusarium spp. detection proved to be more efficient for recovering this pathogen in peach palm seeds. The Chlorothalonil + Thiophanate Methyl and Thiophanate Methyl fungicides achieved the effective control over the target pathogen Fusarium spp. in peach palm seeds. Fusarium oxysporum and Fusarium proliferatum isolated from seed and seedling, respectively, were pathogenic to peach palm

INITIAL GROWTH OF ITA aBA AND MACACA aBA UNDER CONTAINERS OF DIFFERENT SIZES

As dimens\uf5es do recipiente afetam tanto o custo de produ\ue7\ue3o quanto a qualidade das mudas de esp\ue9cies florestais, e o padr\ue3o de resposta destas \ue9 dependente da especificidade da esp\ue9cie. Objetivou-se com o presente estudo avaliar o efeito do tamanho de recipientes no crescimento inicial das esp\ue9cies florestais Mezilaurus itauba Taub. ex Mez e Platymiscium ulei Harms. Foram conduzidos dois experimentos concomitantemente, em condi\ue7\uf5es de viveiro, utilizando-se o delineamento experimental inteiramente casualizado, com cinco repeti\ue7\uf5es. Os tamanhos de recipientes testados equivaleram-se a 20 x 15 cm (T1); 20 x 20 cm (T2); 23 x 20 cm (T3); 25 x 20 cm (T4); 30 x 20 cm (T5) e 33 x 23 cm (T6). Aos 90 dias ap\uf3s o transplantio das pl\ue2ntulas, verificou-se que o tamanho de recipientes afeta, de maneira diferenciada, a qualidade das mudas tanto de macaca\ufaba quanto de ita\ufaba. Sendo o recipiente 25 x 20 cm mais indicado para o cultivo da esp\ue9cie macaca\ufaba, enquanto que para a ita\ufaba recomenda-se o recipiente de dimens\uf5es 33 x 23 cm. Por outro lado, os recipientes 20 x 15 cm e 20 x 20 cm n\ue3o devem ser utilizados para nenhuma das esp\ue9cies avaliadas.The dimensions of the container affect both the production cost and the quality of seedlings of forest species, and the pattern of response of these depends on the specificity of the species. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of size of containers on the initial growth of forest species Mezilaurus itauba Taub. ex Mez and Platymiscium ulei Harms. Two experiments were conducted concomitantly in nursery conditions, using the completely randomized design with five replicates. The treatments comprised of six sizes of containers: 20 cm x 15 cm (T1), 20 cm x 20 cm (T2), 23 cm x 20 cm (T3), 25 cm x 20 cm (T4), 30 cm x 20 cm (T5) and 33 cm x 23 cm (T6). After 90 days of growth, the size of containers affects differently the quality of the seedlings of both the species. The size of container 25 x 20 cm is more appropriate for the cultivation of macaca\ufaba species while the best response to ita\ufaba was obtained for the container 33 x 23 cm. On the other hand, the containers 20 x 15 cm and 20 x 20 cm should not be used for any of the tested species

Structural and environmental variations in a continuum of gallery forest/savana stricto sensu in Itumirim, MG

Objetivou-se, com este trabalho, verificar as poss?veis correla??es entre as varia??es da estrutura, da diversidade de esp?cies e de varia??es do substrato num compartimento arb?reo em um cont?nuo de Mata de Galeria/Cerrado stricto sensu em Itumirim, sul de Minas Gerais. Os solos das ?reas de Mata de Galeria, transi??o e Cerrado stricto sensu apresentaram textura m?dia, acidez elevada com pH entre 4,5 e 5,0 e altos teores de alum?nio. O levantamento estrutural em todo o fragmento apresentou 1.347 indiv?duos que se distribu?ram em 39 fam?lias, 77 g?neros e 102 esp?cies. A fam?lia Fabaceae destacou-se pela maior riqueza de esp?cies seguida das fam?lias Myrtaceae, Lauraceae e Rubiaceae. As esp?cies Protium spruceanum e Myrsine umbellata foram superiores em todos os par?metros fitossociol?gicos, respectivamente, para as ?reas de Mata de Galeria e Cerrado stricto sensu. Na ?rea de transi??o, a esp?cie Copaifera langsdorffii obteve os maiores valores de ?rea basal e domin?ncia absoluta; j?, com rela??o ? densidade absoluta e valor de cobertura foi a esp?cie Myrsine umbellata. Os ?ndices de diversidade de Shannon (H') e os ?ndices de equabilidade de Pielou (J') para os tr?s ambientes foram de 3,57, 3,51 e 2,58 e 0,79, 0,88 e 0,77, respectivamente, para as ?reas de Mata de Galeria, transi??o e Cerrado stricto sensu. Por meio da an?lise de correspond?ncia retificada (DCA) observaram-se dois agrupamentos no diagrama da DCA: Agrupamento 1, contendo apenas as tr?s parcelas pertencentes ao Cerrado stricto sensu; Agrupamento 2, reunindo as demais parcelas amostradas abrangendo os ambientes de Mata de Galeria e transi??o.Funda??o de Amparo ? Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais (FAPEMIG)Empresa de Pesquisa Agropecu?ria de Minas Gerais (EPAMIG)Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient?fico e Tecnol?gico (CNPq)Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior (CAPES)This work verified the possible correlations among the variations of the strucuture, species diversity and variations of the substrate in a tree compartment in a continuum of Gallery Forest/Savana stricto sensu in Itumirim, southern of Minas Gerais. The soils of the areas of Gallery Forest, Transition Forest and Savana stricto sensu presented medium structure, high acidity with pH between 4.5 and 5.0 and high aluminum contents. The structural survey all over the patch presented 1,347 individuals distributed into 39 families, 77 genera and 102 species. The family Fabaceae stood out by the greatest richness of species followed by the families Myrtaceae, Lauraceae and Rubiaceae. The species Protium spruceanum and Myrsine umbellata were superior in all the phytosociological parameters, respectively, for all the areas of Gallery Forest and Savana stricto sensu. In the area of transition , the species Copaifera langsdorffii reached the highest values of basal area and absolute dominance; however, as regards to absolute density and cover value was the species Myrsine umbellata. Shannon's diversity indices (H') and Pielou's equatibility index (J') for the three places were of 3,57, 3,51 and 2,58 and 0,79, 0,88 and 0,77, respectively, for the areas of Gallery Forest, transition Forest and Savana stricto sensu. Through the rectified correspondence analysis (DCA), two groupings in the DCA diagram were found: grouping 1 containing only the three plots corresponding to the Savana stricto sensu; and grouping 2 joining together the other plots sampled encompassing the sites of Gallery and transition Forest

Effects of different surface treatments and accelerated artificial aging on the bond strength of composite resin repairs

Funda??o de Amparo ? Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais (FAPEMIG)Empresa de Pesquisa Agropecu?ria de Minas Gerais (EPAMIG)Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient?fico e Tecnol?gico (CNPq)Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior (CAPES)The purpose of the present study was to assess the bond strength of composite resin repairs subjected to different surface treatments and accelerated artificial aging. 192 cylindrical samples (CSs) were prepared and divided into 24 groups (n = 8). Half of the CSs were stored in water for 24 h, and the other half were subjected to C-UV accelerated aging for non-metallic specimens. The treatments were phosphoric acid + silane + adhesive (PSA); phosphoric acid + adhesive (PA); diamond bur + phosphoric acid + silane + adhesive (DPSA); diamond bur + phosphoric acid + adhesive (DPA); air abrasion + phosphoric acid + silane + adhesive (APSA); and air abrasion + phosphoric acid + adhesive (APA). The repair was performed and the specimens were again aged as described above. A control group (n = 8) was established and did not receive any type of aging or surface treatment. The specimens were loaded to failure in shear mode with a crosshead speed of 0.5 mm/min until fracture. Data were analyzed by one-way ANOVA/Tukey's test (p < 0.05). No statistically significant differences were found among DPSA, DPA, APSA, APA, and the control group. The aged PSA and PA achieved low bonding values and were statistically different from the control group, whereas the non-aged PSA and PA presented no statistically significant difference from the control group. Repairs with the proposed surface treatments were viable on both recent and aged restorations; however, phosphoric acid + adhesive alone were effective only on recent restorations

Improved personalized survival prediction of patients with diffuse large B-cell Lymphoma using gene expression profiling

BACKGROUND: Thirty to forty percent of patients with Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma (DLBCL) have an adverse clinical evolution. The increased understanding of DLBCL biology has shed light on the clinical evolution of this pathology, leading to the discovery of prognostic factors based on gene expression data, genomic rearrangements and mutational subgroups. Nevertheless, additional efforts are needed in order to enable survival predictions at the patient level. In this study we investigated new machine learning-based models of survival using transcriptomic and clinical data. METHODS: Gene expression profiling (GEP) of in 2 different publicly available retrospective DLBCL cohorts were analyzed. Cox regression and unsupervised clustering were performed in order to identify probes associated with overall survival on the largest cohort. Random forests were created to model survival using combinations of GEP data, COO classification and clinical information. Cross-validation was used to compare model results in the training set, and Harrel's concordance index (c-index) was used to assess model's predictability. Results were validated in an independent test set. RESULTS: Two hundred thirty-three and sixty-four patients were included in the training and test set, respectively. Initially we derived and validated a 4-gene expression clusterization that was independently associated with lower survival in 20% of patients. This pattern included the following genes: TNFRSF9, BIRC3, BCL2L1 and G3BP2. Thereafter, we applied machine-learning models to predict survival. A set of 102 genes was highly predictive of disease outcome, outperforming available clinical information and COO classification. The final best model integrated clinical information, COO classification, 4-gene-based clusterization and the expression levels of 50 individual genes (training set c-index, 0.8404, test set c-index, 0.7942). CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that DLBCL survival models based on the application of machine learning algorithms to gene expression and clinical data can largely outperform other important prognostic variables such as disease stage and COO. Head-to-head comparisons with other risk stratification models are needed to compare its usefulness

GROWTH RESULTING FROM THE VARIATION AND COMBINATION OF MODELS OF CHAPMAN-RICHARDS AND SILVA-BAILEY APPLIED TO Leucaena leucocephala (Lam.) of Wit

O objetivo deste trabalho foi desenvolver novos modelos de crescimento para recursos florestais aplicados \ue0 leucena [Leucaena leucocephala (Lam.) de Wit], tendo como base as hip\uf3teses biol\uf3gicas propostas por Chapman-Richards e Silva-Bailey. O experimento de leucena foi conduzido na Esta\ue7\ue3o Experimental da Empresa Pernambucana de Pesquisa Agropecu\ue1ria - IPA, Caruaru, PE. Foram utilizadas 544 \ue1rvores de leucena de um experimento com vinte remedi\ue7\uf5es realizadas ao longo de 12 anos. Compararam-se novos modelos de crescimento resultantes da combina\ue7\ue3o e varia\ue7\uf5es dos modelos de Chapman-Richards e Silva-Bailey, bem como outros comumente usados em recursos florestais. Para a sele\ue7\ue3o das equa\ue7\uf5es, utilizaram-se o \ucdndice de Ajuste (IA), o erro-padr\ue3o da estimativa e a distribui\ue7\ue3o gr\ue1fica dos res\uedduos. Os resultados indicaram que todos os modelos testados se ajustaram de maneira satisfat\uf3ria aos dados, podendo ser utilizados para se estimar o crescimento em altura da leucena.The main objective of this work was to develop new growth models for forest resources, applied to (leucena) [Leucaena leucocephala (Lam.) of Wit], based on the biological hypotheses proposed by Chapman-Richards and Silva-Bailey. The experiment of the leucena was carried out in the Experimental Station of the Agricultural and Liverstock Research Company of Pernambuco - IPA, in the municipal district of Caruaru - PE. Five hundred and forty four trees of Leucaena leucocephala (Lam.) of Wit were used, with 20 measures along the time. It was compared new growth models resulting from the combination and variation of the Chapman-Richards and Silva-Bailey models, as well other models used in forest resources. For the selection of the final equations, the fit of index, standard error of estimate and the graphic distribution of the residues were used. Results show that new models were as good as Chapman-Richards and Silva-Bailey and other tested. Therefore, any one of them can be applied to estimate the growth of leucena

Morphologic characterization of sweet potato accesses from the germplasm bank of the Universidade Federal dos Vales do Jequitinhonha e Mucuri, Brazil

O trabalho teve como objetivo caracterizar morfologicamente os acessos de batata-doce do banco de germoplasma da Universidade Federal dos Vales do Jequitinhonha e Mucuri (UFVJM). O experimento foi realizado no Setor de Olericultura da UFVJM, per?odo de fevereiro a novembro de 2006, utilizando-se o delineamento em blocos casualizados (DBC), contendo 65 tratamentos e 3 repeti??es, totalizando 195 parcelas de 4,5 m? cada. As avalia??es da parte vegetativa foram feitas tr?s meses ap?s o plantio e a colheita de ra?zes foi realizada nove meses ap?s o plantio das ramas. Observou-se pelo dendrograma de dissimilaridade morfol?gica, que os acessos da cole??o do banco de germoplasma da UFVJM apresentaram ampla variabilidade morfol?gica. Os descritores referentes ? parte a?rea se mostraram significativos com diferen?a entre clones, pelo teste Scott-Knott (p=0,05), diferentemente daqueles referentes ? raiz.Funda??o de Amparo ? Pesquisa do Estado de Minas Gerais (FAPEMIG)Empresa de Pesquisa Agropecu?ria de Minas Gerais (EPAMIG)Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient?fico e Tecnol?gico (CNPq)Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior (CAPES)Sweet potato accesses from the germplasm bank of the Universidade Federal dos Vales do Jequitinhonha e Mucuri, Diamantina, Minas Gerais state, Brazil were characterized. The experiment was carried out between February and November 2006, using a randomized blocks design, with 65 treatments and three replications, totaling 195 plots. The evaluation of the vegetative part was carried out three months after planting and the roots were harvested nine months after planting. Based on the dendrogram of morphologic differences we observed a great morphologic variability on the accesses. The characteristics of the vegetative part showed significant differences among the clones, by Scott Knot test at 5% probability, differently from those of the roots

Composition and nutrient biological utilization efficiency in Atlantic Forest fragment in Pernambuco, Brazil

A maioria dos estudos sobre teores de nutrientes em matas naturais se concentra na serapilheira. No Brasil, em Mata Atl\ue2ntica, foram realizadas pesquisas na Mata de Dois Irm\ue3os/PE, na Floresta da Tijuca/RJ e na Mata Sal\ue3o Dourado/MG. Neste trabalho, a \ue1rea em estudo constitui um remanescente de Mata Atl\ue2ntica, enquadrando-se como Floresta Estacional Semidecidual. O trabalho objetivou determinar, por meio da fitossociologia, as dez esp\ue9cies de maior valor de import\ue2ncia (VI), avaliar os teores dos nutrientes Ca, Mg, P, K e N nas folhas dessas esp\ue9cies, estimar sua biomassa foliar e determinar a efici\ueancia de utiliza\ue7\ue3o biol\uf3gica desses nutrientes, ampliando assim, o conhecimento sobre os remanescentes de Mata Atl\ue2ntica no Brasil. Metodologicamente, depois de definidas as dez esp\ue9cies de maior VI, amostraram-se os indiv\uedduos de maior circunfer\ueancia a 1,30 m do solo (CAP) de cada esp\ue9cie, e coletaram-se as folhas da parte intermedi\ue1ria da copa, formando uma amostra composta em que foram determinados os teores de Ca, Mg, P, K e N. Neste estudo, estimou-se a biomassa foliar em cada esp\ue9cie e para transformar essa biomassa em kg/ha, somaramse as biomassas foliares dos indiv\uedduos da esp\ue9cie encontrados na \ue1rea. O conte\ufado de nutrientes na biomassa foliar das esp\ue9cies (kg/ha) foi obtido multiplicando-se o teor (g/kg) pela biomassa foliar (kg/ha) de cada esp\ue9cie. A efici\ueancia de utiliza\ue7\ue3o biol\uf3gica foi calculada pela raz\ue3o entre a biomassa foliar e o conte\ufado de nutrientes das esp\ue9cies. Os teores dos nutrientes, nas folhas, apresentaram a seguinte ordem decrescente N&gt;Ca&gt;K&gt;Mg&gt;P, por\ue9m em algumas esp\ue9cies o teor de K foi maior do que o de Ca. A biomassa foliar das dez esp\ue9cies de maior VI foi de 3,3 t ha-1, e representaram 24,5% da biomassa foliar total (13,4 t ha-1) do fragmento. A esp\ue9cie Schefflera morototoni (Aubl.) Maguire, Steyerm &amp; Frodin foi respons\ue1vel pelo maior aporte via foliar de Ca e Mg e Helicostylis tomentosa (Poepp. &amp; Endl.) J.F., Macbr. pelo de P, K e N no fragmento. A efici\ueancia de utiliza\ue7\ue3o de nutrientes apresentou a seguinte ordem P&gt;Mg&gt;K&gt;Ca&gt;N.The vast majority of research on nutrients in natural forest is concentrated in the litter. In Brazil, in Atlantic Forest, some investigations have been conducted in few locations such as Dois Irm\ue3os Forest (PE), Tijuca Forest (RJ) and Sal\ue3o Dourado Forest (MG). In the present research, the studied area was characterized as remaining of Atlantic Forest classified as slope, ombrofilous forest. The objective was to determine by a phytosociologic study the ten species of most important value (VI) and to evaluate the Ca, Mg, P, K and N nutrients contents in these species leaves, likewise to estimate leaf biomass and the efficiency of biological nutrient utilization, increasing the knowledge about Atlantic Forest residues in Brazil. After determining the ten species of most important value, the largest circumference individuals at 1.30 m from soil surface (CAP) in each specie were sampled and the leaves from the intermediate part of the trees top were collected, making a composed sample, being determined Ca, Mg, P, K and N contents. In this study, the leaf biomass was estimate in each species and, to transform this biomass in kg/ha, the leaf biomasses from the species' individuals were added in the area. The nutrient contents in leaf biomass from the species (kg/ha) were achieved multiplying the content (g/kg) by leaf biomass (kg/ha) in each specie. The biological utilization efficiency was calculated considering the ratio between the leaf biomass and the nutrient contents from species. The leaves nutrient contents were in a decreasing order N&gt;Ca&gt;K&gt;Mg&gt;P, but in some species the K content was higher than Ca content. The leaf biomass of the ten most important value species was 3.3 t ha-1 which represented 24.5 % of the total spot leaf biomass (13.4 t ha-1). Schefflera morototoni (Aubl.) Maguire, Steyerm &amp; Frodin showed the most leaf entrance of Ca e Mg while Helicostylis tomentosa (Poepp. &amp; Endl.) J.F., Macbr. showed the best results for P, K and N in the spot. The biological utilization efficiency presented the sequence P&gt;Mg&gt;K&gt;Ca&gt;N

FIRE BEHAVIOUR IN DIFFERENT PERIODS AND CONFIGURATIONS OF A LANDSCAPE IN NORTHEASTERN PORTUGAL

Neste trabalho aborda-se a import\ue2ncia do planejamento do uso e ocupa\ue7\ue3o do solo, e do manejo dos sistemas florestais na redu\ue7\ue3o do perigo de inc\ueandio, analisando-se o comportamento do fogo em rela\ue7\ue3o \ue0s altera\ue7\uf5es na paisagem da Deil\ue3o, nordeste de Portugal. Foram utilizadas cadeias de Markov e modelos de aut\uf4matos celulares como metodologia para projetar a paisagem no futuro. FlamMap foi utilizado para simular o comportamento do fogo. De acordo com as m\ue9tricas da paisagem obtidas no Fragstats, observouse que os cen\ue1rios e proje\ue7\uf5es em Deil\ue3o t\ueam uma tend\ueancia \ue0 simplifica\ue7\ue3o da paisagem, o que pode facilitar a ocorr\ueancia de inc\ueandios maiores e mais graves. A an\ue1lise dos resultados indicou uma tend\ueancia ao aumento do perigo de inc\ueandios na regi\ue3o, em grande parte, ocasionado pela expans\ue3o de planta\ue7\uf5es cont\uednuas de florestas. Para evitar tais impactos, o manejo florestal e ordenamento da paisagem devem ser modificados a fim de se reduzir o ac\ufamulo de materiais combust\uedveis.In this study, we discuss the importance of land use, land cover planning and forest stand management in fire hazard reduction, through the analysis of fire behavior in relation to landscape changes in Deil\ue3o, northeastern Portugal. Markov chains and cellular automata model were used to project future landscapes whose structures were quantified by landscape metrics. The FlamMap model was used to simulate fire behavior. According to landscape metrics from Fragstats, we observed that scenarios and projections in Deil\ue3o have a trend towards landscape simplification, which may facilitate the occurrence of larger, more severe fires. The analyses indicate an increased fire hazard trend in the region, largely caused by the continuity of forest cover. To avoid such impacts, forest management and landscape plannig should be modified in order to reduce the accumulation of combustible materials